Researchers: Paul Gregg and Emma Tominey
The best predictor of whether a person will be unemployed today is whether they were unemployed yesterday. Even over long periods of time the same people tend to be unemployed, such that bulk of days spent in unemployment are experienced by a relatively small number of individuals with others never being unemployed. Such concentration of unemployment may be due to unemployment damaging peoples chances of finding work (often called scarring) or because they have characteristics, such as low educational attainment, that make them vulnerable to unemployment.
