Publications and conference presentations
Publications arising from TSU work
Ades AE, Davies AL, Phillippo DM, Pedder H, Thom H, Downing B, Caldwell DM, Welton NJ. Treatment recommendations based on Network Meta-Analysis: rules for risk-averse decision-makers. In press: Research Synthesis Methods. WinBUGS.odc files
Downing BC, Welton Nicky, Pedder H, Mavranezouli I, Megnin-Viggars O, Ades AE. Synthesis of depression outcomes reported on different scales: a comparison of methods for modelling mean differences. In press: Research Synthesis Methods
Mavranezouli I, Megnin-Viggars O, Pedder H, Welton NJ, Dias S, Watkins E, Nixon N, Daly CH, Keeney E, Eadon H, Caldwell DM, O’Donoghue KJM, Stockton S, Arnold S, Kapur N, Pilling S. A systematic review and network meta-analysis of psychological, psychosocial, pharmacological, physical and combined treatments for adults with a new episode of depression. eClinicalMedicine 2024;75: 102780. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.102780
Ades AE, Welton NJ, Dias S, Phillippo DM, Caldwell DM. Twenty years of network meta-analysis: continuing controversies and recent developments. Research Synthesis Methods 2024. 15:702-727 https://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1700
Ades A E, Welton NJ, Dias S, Caldwell D, Phillippo D. Response to discussant comments on “NMA, the first 20 years. Research Synthesis Methods 2024. 15:751-757 http://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1745
Mavranezouli I, Welton NJ, Daly CH, Wilcock J, Bromham N, Kuznetsov L, Xu J, Wood D, Ravenscroft JC, Dworzynski K, Healy E. Cost-effectiveness of topical, oral, physical and combined treatments for acne vulgaris. Clinical and Experimental Dermatology. 2022 47: 2176-2187. https://doi.org/10.1111/ced.15356
Mavranezouli I, Daly CH, Welton NJ, Deshpande S, Kuznetsov L, Bromham N, Arnold S, Phillippo DM, Wilcock J, Xu J, Ravenscroft JC, Wood D, Rafiq M, Fou L, Dworzynski K, Healy E. A systematic review and network meta-analysis of topical, oral, physical and combined treatments for acne vulgaris. British Journal of Dermatology. 2022 Nov;187(5):639-649. http://doi.org/10.1111/bjd.21739
Daly CH, Maconachie R, Ades AE, Welton NJ. A non‐parametric approach for jointly combining evidence on progression free and overall survival time in network meta‐analysis. Research Synthesis Methods. 2022. 13: 573-584. https://doi.org/10.1002/jrsm.1539
Mavranezouli I, Megnin-Viggars O, Daly C, Dias S, Welton NJ, Stockton S, Bhutani G, Grey N, Leach J, Greenberg N, Katona C, El-Leithy S, Pilling S. Cost-effectiveness of psychological treatments for post-traumatic stress disorder in adults. PLOS ONE 2020; 15(4): e0232245. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0232245 Awarded the EMDR Europe Association Francine Shapiro award for 2021
Mavranezouli I, Megnin-Viggars O, Daly C, Dias S, Welton NJ, Stockton S, Bhutani G, Grey N, Leach J, Greenberg N, Katona C, El-Leithy S, Pilling S. Psychological treatments for post-traumatic stress disorder in adults: a network meta-analysis. Psychological Medicine. 2020. 50:542-555. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0033291720000070
Phillippo DM, Dias S, Welton NJ, Caldwell DM, Taske N, Ades AE. Confidence in recommendations based on Network Meta-Analysis: threshold analysis as an alternative to GRADE NMA in guideline development. Annals of Internal Medicine 2019. 170: 538-546. https://doi.org/10.7326/M18-3542
Phillippo DM, Dias S, Ades AE, Didelez V, Welton NJ. Sensitivity of treatment recommendations to bias in network meta-analysis. JRSSA. 2018. 181:843-867. https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12341 The accompanying R package nmathresh is available on CRAN.
Caldwell, D., Ades, A. E., Dias, S., Watkins, S. & Welton, N. Threshold analysis can assess the credibility of conclusions from network meta-analysis. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. 2016. 80:68-76. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2016.07.003
Welton NJ, Willis S, Ades AE. Synthesis of Survival and Disease Progression Outcomes for Health Technology Assessment of Cancer Therapies. Research Synthesis Methods 2010 1:239-257.
Conference presentations based on TSU work
Downing BC, Welton NJ, Pedder H, Mavranezouli I, Ades AE. Synthesis of depression outcomes reported on different scales: a comparison of methods for modelling mean differences. Society of Research Synthesis Methodology 5th-7th July 2023, Paris, France.
Tebbs H, Dietz J, Downing B, Welton NJ, Claxton L. Synthesis of survival outcomes in economic evaluation: does the NMA model matter? ISPOR Europe 2022, Wien, Austria 6 - 9 November, 2022. Poster presentation.
Dietz, J, Tebbs, H, Claxton, L, Downing, B, Welton NJ. Lessons learned from network meta-analysis of survival data with fractional polynomials. ISPOR Europe 2022, Wien, Austria 6 - 9 November, 2022. Poster presentation
Dietz, J, Claxton, L, Welton NJ. The Added Value of Joint Modelling of Progression Free and Overall Survival in a Restricted Mean Survival Network Meta-Analysis. ISPOR Europe 2022, Wien, Austria 6 - 9 November, 2022. Oral presentation
Welton NJ. A non-parametric approach for jointly combining evidence on restricted mean progression free and overall survival time for partitioned survival models. Seminar CHE York. 12th Jan 2022. Invited speaker.
Welton NJ, Daly C, Maconachie R, Ades AE. A non-parametric approach for combining evidence on progression free and overall survival. 2021 SRSM Virtual Meeting, Berne, Switzerland. June 29-July 1, 2021. Oral live presentation.
Welton NJ. A non-parametric approach for jointly combining evidence on restricted mean progression free and overall survival time for partitioned survival models. PenTAG Seminar, Exeter. 9th Nov 2021. Invited speaker.
Daly C, Maconachie R, Ades AE, Welton NJ. A Non-Parametric Approach for Combining Evidence on Progression Free and Overall Survival Time. Toronto Health Economics and Technology Assessment THETA Collaborative, Toronto. 21st February 2020. (Invited speaker)
Daly C, Maconachie R, Ades AE, Welton NJ. Evidence Synthesis to Inform Partitioned Survival Models for Cancer Treatments: A Non-Parametric Approach. Society for Medical Decision Making, Virtual 42nd Annual Meeting “Relationships in Medical Decision Making”. October 2020. Oral presentation.
Daly C, Maconachie R, Ades AE, Welton NJ. A non-parametric approach for combining evidence on restricted mean progression free and overall survival time in the presence of non-proportional hazards. Statistical Analysis of Multi-outcome Data (SAM). 6-7th June 2019. Manchester, UK.
Daly C, Maconachie R, Ades AE, Welton NJ. A non-parametric approach for combining evidence on restricted mean progression free and overall survival time in the presence of non-proportional hazards. Health Economics Study Group, University of East Anglia, 3rd-5th July 2019. Discussed paper.
Phillippo DM, Dias S, Welton NJ, Taske N, Naidoo B, Ades AE. Sensitivity of treatment decisions to bias adjustment in Network Meta-Analysis. Cochrane Colloquium 16-18 Sept 2018, Edinburgh. Oral presentation.
Dias S, Welton NJ, Phillippo DM. An introduction to network meta-analysis for decision making. Guidelines International Network (G-I-N) 14th annual conference, Manchester 11th – 14th Sept 2018. Workshop
Phillippo DM, Dias S, Welton NJ, Caldwell DM, Taske N, Ades AE. Confidence in recommendations based on Network Meta-Analysis: threshold analysis as an alternative to GRADE. Guidelines International Network (G-I-N) 14th annual conference, Manchester 11th – 14th Sept 2018. Oral presentation
Keeney, E, Dias, S & Dawoud, D, 2017, ‘Different Methods for Modelling Severe Hypoglycaemic Events: Implications for Effectiveness and Cost-Effectiveness Analyses’. in: Value in Health., pp. A408. Keeney E - ISPOR presentation 2017 (PDF, 393kB)
Phillippo D, et al "Sensitivity of treatment decisions to bias adjustment in network meta-analysis (PDF, 2,962kB)" Oral presentation at the 16th Biennial European Conference of the Society for Medical Decision Making, London, UK June 12 - June 14, 2016.