Mr Jose Bayona
BSc, MSc
Expertise
Current positions
Leverhulme Early Career Fellow
School of Earth Sciences
Contact
Press and media
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Research interests
My research interests are mainly focused on improving the assessment of seismic hazards through earthquake modelling and forecast testing. In particular, I combine physics- and statistics-based methods to estimate earthquake activity at regional and global scales. Then, I evaluate the consistency of these forecasts with observed earthquakes.
Until now, I have worked on time-independent ensemble models that combine interseismic strain rates with earthquake-catalogue data. Currently, as a postdoctoral researcher of the European RISE project, I am modelling the time dependence of geodesy-based seismicity models for Europe, which might be useful for real-time earthquake forecasting and informed decision making. In addition, I contribute to the development of forecast tests used in the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP).
Publications
Recent publications
12/04/2024Evaluation of a Decade-Long Prospective Earthquake Forecasting Experiment in Italy
Seismological Research Letters
Are Regionally Calibrated Seismicity Models More Informative than Global Models? Insights from California, New Zealand, and Italy
The Seismic Record
Statistical power of spatial earthquake forecast tests
Geophysical Journal International
The need for open, transdisciplinary, and ethical science in seismology
Seismica