Dr Francesco Serafini
PhD
Expertise
My research is focused on the application of advanced statistical methods to the study of natural phenomena, with particular interest in formulating and evaluating earthquake forecasting models.
Current positions
Senior Research Associate
School of Earth Sciences
Contact
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Biography
Statistician by training, I have been interested in the application of modern Bayesian techniques to modelling natural phenomena. I did my PhD in Edinburgh working on developing models for earthquake occurrence and in developing new metrics (as well as assess the statistical properties of current ones) for validating them. My broader research interests are spatio-temporal bayesian modelling of point process data, approximate bayesian computational methods, operational forecasting, and validation of point process forecasts.