R version 3.6.3 (2020-02-29) -- "Holding the Windsock"
Copyright (C) 2020 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing
Platform: x86_64-w64-mingw32/x64 (64-bit)

R is free software and comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY.
You are welcome to redistribute it under certain conditions.
Type 'license()' or 'licence()' for distribution details.

  Natural language support but running in an English locale

R is a collaborative project with many contributors.
Type 'contributors()' for more information and
'citation()' on how to cite R or R packages in publications.

Type 'demo()' for some demos, 'help()' for on-line help, or
'help.start()' for an HTML browser interface to help.
Type 'q()' to quit R.

> ############################################################################
> #     MLwiN MCMC Manual
> #
> # 23  Using Orthogonal fixed effect vectors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .357
> #
> #     Browne, W.J. (2009) MCMC Estimation in MLwiN, v2.13. Centre for
> #     Multilevel Modelling, University of Bristol.
> ############################################################################
> #     R script to replicate all analyses using R2MLwiN
> #
> #     Zhang, Z., Charlton, C., Parker, R, Leckie, G., and Browne, W.J.
> #     Centre for Multilevel Modelling, 2012
> #     http://www.bristol.ac.uk/cmm/software/R2MLwiN/
> ############################################################################
> 
> # 23.1 A simple example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .358
> 
> # 23.2 Constructing orthogonal vectors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 359
> 
> # 23.3 A Binomial response example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 360
> 
> library(R2MLwiN)

R2MLwiN: A package to run models implemented in MLwiN from R
Copyright 2013-2017 Zhengzheng Zhang, Christopher M. J. Charlton, Richard M. A. Parker, William J. Browne and George Leckie

Support provided by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC)
(Grants RES-149-25-1084, RES-576-25-0032 and ES/K007246/1)

To cite R2MLwiN in publications use:

  Zhengzheng Zhang, Richard M. A. Parker, Christopher M. J. Charlton,
  George Leckie, William J. Browne (2016). R2MLwiN: A Package to Run
  MLwiN from within R. Journal of Statistical Software, 72(10), 1-43.
  doi:10.18637/jss.v072.i10

A BibTeX entry for LaTeX users is

  @Article{,
    title = {{R2MLwiN}: A Package to Run {MLwiN} from within {R}},
    author = {Zhengzheng Zhang and Richard M. A. Parker and Christopher M. J. Charlton and George Leckie and William J. Browne},
    journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
    year = {2016},
    volume = {72},
    number = {10},
    pages = {1--43},
    doi = {10.18637/jss.v072.i10},
  }

The MLwiN_path option is currently set to C:/Program Files/MLwiN v3.05/
To change this use: options(MLwiN_path="<path to MLwiN>")
> # MLwiN folder
> mlwin <- getOption("MLwiN_path")
> while (!file.access(mlwin, mode = 1) == 0) {
+   cat("Please specify the root MLwiN folder or the full path to the MLwiN executable:\n")
+   mlwin <- scan(what = character(0), sep = "\n")
+   mlwin <- gsub("\\", "/", mlwin, fixed = TRUE)
+ }
> options(MLwiN_path = mlwin)
> 
> data(bang1, package="R2MLwiN")
> 
> ## Define the model
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(logit(use) ~ 1 + age + lc + urban + (1 + urban | district), D = "Binomial", estoptions = list(EstM = 1),
+   data = bang1))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3
iteration 4
iteration 5

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 2 1 1 2
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2341.937991
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2362.425212
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2336.458088
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2343.693739
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2310.537894
Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2344.737853
Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2332.320335
Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2340.973110
Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2310.834954
Adapting for 1000 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2333.233051
Adapting for 1100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2366.357628
Adapting for 1200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2312.176063
Adapting for 1300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2311.441870
Adapting for 1400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2342.139483
Adapting for 1500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2337.786630
Adapting finished and took 1600 iterations
Adapting took 1600 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2336.577406
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2325.447551
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2319.393014
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2334.594066
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2317.882286
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2309.210809
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2349.235208
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2333.935032
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2330.186094
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2341.758937

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 2
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.051966
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2339.874970
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2309.198285
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.152832
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2314.905831
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2351.101631
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.632930
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2325.626086
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.890641
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.271130
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2343.902312
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2343.491811
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2344.520396
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2309.826321
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.424001
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2310.992568
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.427891
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2323.921427
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2320.199534
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.341232
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.222503
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2314.921784
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2319.414142
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2314.796888
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2334.021752
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.470518
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2319.541619
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2355.054801
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2320.924157
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2325.057474
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2335.210506
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.135609
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2342.416626
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.267379
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2331.467392
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.493864
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.190621
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2364.273160
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.407860
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2323.954660
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2339.502065
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.468232
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2303.744745
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2325.786949
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.438484
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2339.011289
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.161947
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2315.798484
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2302.336882
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2319.976222
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2337.104563
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.705841
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.761085
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2324.958384
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.598206
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2315.708314
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.813844
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.083980
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2353.960950
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2331.027917
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2311.569206
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.945181
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.156234
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2348.518739
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2324.434414
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.245823
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.719836
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2318.488151
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2325.632416
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2319.865947
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.254000
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.766484
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.723143
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2311.475498
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.305098
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.418754
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2311.329769
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.299342
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2355.744179
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2347.723972
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2305.070878
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.601416
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.932742
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2325.133962
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2303.844210
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.715838
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2293.449631
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2325.586295
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.399955
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2344.514423
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2320.400520
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2305.159474
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2320.230335
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2316.097034
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2324.333599
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2313.919676
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2319.360953
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2340.517958
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2323.156696
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.761270
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          2327.3
S.D.    =          13.554
S.E.M.  =         0.19168

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Binomial) 
          N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
district 60   2 32.23333 118         60            2      32.23333          118
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 6.72s 
Number of obs:  1934 (from total 1934)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
2327.272   2269.602   57.670     2384.941   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
logit(use) ~ 1 + age + lc + urban + (1 + urban | district)
Level 2: district     Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
                    Coef.   Std. Err.       z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
Intercept        -1.72364     0.16457  -10.47   1.142e-25  ***    -2.08125    -1.39809    64 
age              -0.02594     0.00774   -3.35   0.0008015  ***    -0.04135    -0.01102   292 
lcOne_child       1.12629     0.15253    7.38   1.535e-13  ***     0.83731     1.43950   279 
lcTwo_children    1.34653     0.16855    7.99   1.363e-15  ***     1.01308     1.67241   182 
lcThree_plus      1.34301     0.17061    7.87   3.501e-15  ***     1.00944     1.65942    96 
urbanUrban        0.83932     0.19878    4.22   2.418e-05  ***     0.46094     1.25496    93 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the district level: 
                              Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
var_Intercept               0.43687     0.14548      0.22124     0.78523   186 
cov_Intercept_urbanUrban   -0.46159     0.19214     -0.92123    -0.15848   118 
var_urbanUrban              0.78897     0.33255      0.29580     1.58722    96 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
                Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_bcons_1   1.00000       1e-05      1.00000     1.00000   5000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> trajectories(mymodel)
dev.new(): using pdf(file="Rplots2.pdf")
> 
> ## Orthogonal update
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(logit(use) ~ 1 + age + lc + urban + (1 + urban | district), D = "Binomial", estoptions = list(EstM = 1,
+   mcmcOptions = list(orth = 1)), data = bang1))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3
iteration 4
iteration 5

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 2 1 1 2
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2337.322230
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2316.691634
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2341.340708
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2333.781936
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2346.289428
Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2328.159115
Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2318.953344
Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2345.289592
Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2318.364467
Adapting for 1000 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2322.991461
Adapting for 1100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2346.970270
Adapting finished and took 1200 iterations
Adapting took 1200 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2325.185648
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2305.567068
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2345.278446
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2292.035489
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2324.765546
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2333.863661
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2325.465457
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2310.417874
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2332.533635
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2328.702232

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 2
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2337.838339
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2318.920523
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2305.053342
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.427944
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.858413
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2323.922719
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.878946
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.155720
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2343.443552
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.772033
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2335.030565
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2311.509472
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.199820
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.409215
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.947371
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.947767
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.513443
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.612196
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2340.368839
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2350.420350
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.208394
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.958221
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.391010
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2343.171574
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2311.079892
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2319.647785
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.637852
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2324.678560
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2318.353838
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2316.288094
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.211897
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.494156
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.630595
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2313.392789
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2325.003198
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2312.935296
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.903595
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2306.894318
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.793129
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.413119
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2319.815170
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.011019
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2309.928606
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.403261
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.813043
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.050631
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.845437
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2319.364067
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.793550
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.257315
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2340.741219
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2340.920219
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2339.136355
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2324.127447
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2362.306299
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2311.678761
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2318.575630
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2323.066120
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2335.911082
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2340.797405
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2354.965435
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.400708
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2334.795722
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.315997
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2324.279787
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.117578
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2320.318949
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2343.366013
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2344.374385
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2340.612532
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.371540
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.775870
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.498009
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2312.121903
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2337.460304
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2347.122635
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.815532
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.943483
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2312.374891
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2312.121418
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2320.140219
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2315.629012
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2314.426678
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.459486
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2315.715362
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.435619
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.551392
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2345.680810
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.899472
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2320.869233
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.290977
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2335.321520
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2357.976515
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.088880
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2353.411926
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2345.877264
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.450908
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2359.398450
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2358.745731
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.460550
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          2329.9
S.D.    =          13.773
S.E.M.  =         0.19478

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Binomial) 
          N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
district 60   2 32.23333 118         60            2      32.23333          118
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 6.28s 
Number of obs:  1934 (from total 1934)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
2329.932   2274.246   55.686     2385.619   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
logit(use) ~ 1 + age + lc + urban + (1 + urban | district)
Level 2: district     Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
                    Coef.   Std. Err.       z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
Intercept        -1.72531     0.15970  -10.80   3.315e-27  ***    -2.04633    -1.41669    253 
age              -0.02682     0.00791   -3.39   0.0006962  ***    -0.04201    -0.01128   1022 
lcOne_child       1.13785     0.16084    7.07     1.5e-12  ***     0.83887     1.45232   1029 
lcTwo_children    1.36251     0.17940    7.59    3.08e-14  ***     1.01457     1.70508    906 
lcThree_plus      1.36258     0.18452    7.38   1.532e-13  ***     1.00614     1.72403    947 
urbanUrban        0.81988     0.17754    4.62   3.877e-06  ***     0.49603     1.18249    185 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the district level: 
                              Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
var_Intercept               0.41479     0.13095      0.21191     0.72769   201 
cov_Intercept_urbanUrban   -0.41011     0.17509     -0.82066    -0.14898   111 
var_urbanUrban              0.67575     0.31982      0.24280     1.46760    77 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
                Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_bcons_1   1.00000       1e-05      1.00000     1.00000   5000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> trajectories(mymodel)
dev.new(): using pdf(file="Rplots3.pdf")
> 
> # 23.4 A Poisson example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 364
> 
> ## Read mmmec data
> data(mmmec, package = "R2MLwiN")
> 
> contrasts(mmmec$nation, 9) <- diag(9)
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(log(obs) ~ 0 + nation + nation:uvbi + offset(log(exp)) + (1 | region), D = "Poisson", estoptions = list(EstM = 1,
+   mcmcMeth = list(iterations = 50000)), data = mmmec))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3
iteration 4

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 2 1 1 3
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2027.554507
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2041.257653
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2013.579906
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2001.972003
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2006.448039
Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2046.674644
Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2038.791861
Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2032.799357
Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2026.884747
Adapting for 1000 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2067.736356
Adapting for 1100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2020.854484
Adapting for 1200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2030.981396
Adapting for 1300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2019.537416
Adapting finished and took 1400 iterations
Adapting took 1400 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2014.548796
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2017.839274
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2035.387358
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2030.007735
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2032.042690
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2017.765732
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2009.990613
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2023.068739
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2023.247416
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2008.556933

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 50000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 3
Actual update 50 of 50000, Stored update 50 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.448480
Actual update 100 of 50000, Stored update 100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.764780
Actual update 150 of 50000, Stored update 150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.197039
Actual update 200 of 50000, Stored update 200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.675809
Actual update 250 of 50000, Stored update 250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.054237
Actual update 300 of 50000, Stored update 300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.841731
Actual update 350 of 50000, Stored update 350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.851795
Actual update 400 of 50000, Stored update 400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.975603
Actual update 450 of 50000, Stored update 450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.741354
Actual update 500 of 50000, Stored update 500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.920328
Actual update 550 of 50000, Stored update 550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.973367
Actual update 600 of 50000, Stored update 600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.940429
Actual update 650 of 50000, Stored update 650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.541428
Actual update 700 of 50000, Stored update 700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.228405
Actual update 750 of 50000, Stored update 750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.333243
Actual update 800 of 50000, Stored update 800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.698165
Actual update 850 of 50000, Stored update 850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.314790
Actual update 900 of 50000, Stored update 900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.928373
Actual update 950 of 50000, Stored update 950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.562481
Actual update 1000 of 50000, Stored update 1000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.347690
Actual update 1050 of 50000, Stored update 1050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.102599
Actual update 1100 of 50000, Stored update 1100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.995843
Actual update 1150 of 50000, Stored update 1150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.114169
Actual update 1200 of 50000, Stored update 1200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.896238
Actual update 1250 of 50000, Stored update 1250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.116121
Actual update 1300 of 50000, Stored update 1300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.246382
Actual update 1350 of 50000, Stored update 1350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.112609
Actual update 1400 of 50000, Stored update 1400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.658768
Actual update 1450 of 50000, Stored update 1450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.639910
Actual update 1500 of 50000, Stored update 1500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.695004
Actual update 1550 of 50000, Stored update 1550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.202863
Actual update 1600 of 50000, Stored update 1600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.890853
Actual update 1650 of 50000, Stored update 1650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.963355
Actual update 1700 of 50000, Stored update 1700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.865911
Actual update 1750 of 50000, Stored update 1750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.572320
Actual update 1800 of 50000, Stored update 1800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.922157
Actual update 1850 of 50000, Stored update 1850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.660818
Actual update 1900 of 50000, Stored update 1900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.363701
Actual update 1950 of 50000, Stored update 1950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.072834
Actual update 2000 of 50000, Stored update 2000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.226070
Actual update 2050 of 50000, Stored update 2050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.610026
Actual update 2100 of 50000, Stored update 2100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.377139
Actual update 2150 of 50000, Stored update 2150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.914156
Actual update 2200 of 50000, Stored update 2200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.165765
Actual update 2250 of 50000, Stored update 2250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.862513
Actual update 2300 of 50000, Stored update 2300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.678800
Actual update 2350 of 50000, Stored update 2350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.687262
Actual update 2400 of 50000, Stored update 2400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.244180
Actual update 2450 of 50000, Stored update 2450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.073233
Actual update 2500 of 50000, Stored update 2500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.714004
Actual update 2550 of 50000, Stored update 2550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.157501
Actual update 2600 of 50000, Stored update 2600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.963429
Actual update 2650 of 50000, Stored update 2650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.769442
Actual update 2700 of 50000, Stored update 2700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.919439
Actual update 2750 of 50000, Stored update 2750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.325537
Actual update 2800 of 50000, Stored update 2800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.558661
Actual update 2850 of 50000, Stored update 2850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.088543
Actual update 2900 of 50000, Stored update 2900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.658484
Actual update 2950 of 50000, Stored update 2950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.588264
Actual update 3000 of 50000, Stored update 3000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.803888
Actual update 3050 of 50000, Stored update 3050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.386753
Actual update 3100 of 50000, Stored update 3100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.642253
Actual update 3150 of 50000, Stored update 3150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.288152
Actual update 3200 of 50000, Stored update 3200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.266885
Actual update 3250 of 50000, Stored update 3250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.881761
Actual update 3300 of 50000, Stored update 3300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.153459
Actual update 3350 of 50000, Stored update 3350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.790098
Actual update 3400 of 50000, Stored update 3400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.920643
Actual update 3450 of 50000, Stored update 3450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.802790
Actual update 3500 of 50000, Stored update 3500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.266520
Actual update 3550 of 50000, Stored update 3550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.813154
Actual update 3600 of 50000, Stored update 3600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.105361
Actual update 3650 of 50000, Stored update 3650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.143640
Actual update 3700 of 50000, Stored update 3700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.405898
Actual update 3750 of 50000, Stored update 3750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.313776
Actual update 3800 of 50000, Stored update 3800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.009694
Actual update 3850 of 50000, Stored update 3850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.520255
Actual update 3900 of 50000, Stored update 3900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.774671
Actual update 3950 of 50000, Stored update 3950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.584070
Actual update 4000 of 50000, Stored update 4000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.803907
Actual update 4050 of 50000, Stored update 4050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.405962
Actual update 4100 of 50000, Stored update 4100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.814480
Actual update 4150 of 50000, Stored update 4150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.335028
Actual update 4200 of 50000, Stored update 4200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.336282
Actual update 4250 of 50000, Stored update 4250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.919945
Actual update 4300 of 50000, Stored update 4300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.856158
Actual update 4350 of 50000, Stored update 4350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.902423
Actual update 4400 of 50000, Stored update 4400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.199421
Actual update 4450 of 50000, Stored update 4450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.189220
Actual update 4500 of 50000, Stored update 4500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.195380
Actual update 4550 of 50000, Stored update 4550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.292730
Actual update 4600 of 50000, Stored update 4600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.071897
Actual update 4650 of 50000, Stored update 4650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.893758
Actual update 4700 of 50000, Stored update 4700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.655533
Actual update 4750 of 50000, Stored update 4750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.433302
Actual update 4800 of 50000, Stored update 4800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.802474
Actual update 4850 of 50000, Stored update 4850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.748056
Actual update 4900 of 50000, Stored update 4900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.879142
Actual update 4950 of 50000, Stored update 4950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.574628
Actual update 5000 of 50000, Stored update 5000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.161357
Actual update 5050 of 50000, Stored update 5050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.283264
Actual update 5100 of 50000, Stored update 5100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.972179
Actual update 5150 of 50000, Stored update 5150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.068322
Actual update 5200 of 50000, Stored update 5200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.658080
Actual update 5250 of 50000, Stored update 5250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.750731
Actual update 5300 of 50000, Stored update 5300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.378656
Actual update 5350 of 50000, Stored update 5350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.228191
Actual update 5400 of 50000, Stored update 5400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.376300
Actual update 5450 of 50000, Stored update 5450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.771237
Actual update 5500 of 50000, Stored update 5500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.446436
Actual update 5550 of 50000, Stored update 5550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.890559
Actual update 5600 of 50000, Stored update 5600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.092022
Actual update 5650 of 50000, Stored update 5650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.420049
Actual update 5700 of 50000, Stored update 5700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.683152
Actual update 5750 of 50000, Stored update 5750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1990.461306
Actual update 5800 of 50000, Stored update 5800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.097271
Actual update 5850 of 50000, Stored update 5850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.523392
Actual update 5900 of 50000, Stored update 5900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.342301
Actual update 5950 of 50000, Stored update 5950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.876362
Actual update 6000 of 50000, Stored update 6000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.759045
Actual update 6050 of 50000, Stored update 6050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.133565
Actual update 6100 of 50000, Stored update 6100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.174846
Actual update 6150 of 50000, Stored update 6150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.583972
Actual update 6200 of 50000, Stored update 6200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.822827
Actual update 6250 of 50000, Stored update 6250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.684513
Actual update 6300 of 50000, Stored update 6300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.896130
Actual update 6350 of 50000, Stored update 6350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.694819
Actual update 6400 of 50000, Stored update 6400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.084356
Actual update 6450 of 50000, Stored update 6450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.064019
Actual update 6500 of 50000, Stored update 6500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.236871
Actual update 6550 of 50000, Stored update 6550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.622200
Actual update 6600 of 50000, Stored update 6600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.590551
Actual update 6650 of 50000, Stored update 6650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.075241
Actual update 6700 of 50000, Stored update 6700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.253161
Actual update 6750 of 50000, Stored update 6750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.858662
Actual update 6800 of 50000, Stored update 6800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.458536
Actual update 6850 of 50000, Stored update 6850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.068700
Actual update 6900 of 50000, Stored update 6900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.219191
Actual update 6950 of 50000, Stored update 6950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.268286
Actual update 7000 of 50000, Stored update 7000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.255774
Actual update 7050 of 50000, Stored update 7050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.208749
Actual update 7100 of 50000, Stored update 7100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.005626
Actual update 7150 of 50000, Stored update 7150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.778648
Actual update 7200 of 50000, Stored update 7200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.830777
Actual update 7250 of 50000, Stored update 7250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.443728
Actual update 7300 of 50000, Stored update 7300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.437046
Actual update 7350 of 50000, Stored update 7350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.963822
Actual update 7400 of 50000, Stored update 7400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.926526
Actual update 7450 of 50000, Stored update 7450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1992.388612
Actual update 7500 of 50000, Stored update 7500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.298313
Actual update 7550 of 50000, Stored update 7550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.054363
Actual update 7600 of 50000, Stored update 7600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.189666
Actual update 7650 of 50000, Stored update 7650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.930040
Actual update 7700 of 50000, Stored update 7700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.127506
Actual update 7750 of 50000, Stored update 7750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.733326
Actual update 7800 of 50000, Stored update 7800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.274038
Actual update 7850 of 50000, Stored update 7850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.594191
Actual update 7900 of 50000, Stored update 7900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.148749
Actual update 7950 of 50000, Stored update 7950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.751351
Actual update 8000 of 50000, Stored update 8000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2058.546404
Actual update 8050 of 50000, Stored update 8050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.153212
Actual update 8100 of 50000, Stored update 8100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.903856
Actual update 8150 of 50000, Stored update 8150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.283174
Actual update 8200 of 50000, Stored update 8200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.777613
Actual update 8250 of 50000, Stored update 8250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.068786
Actual update 8300 of 50000, Stored update 8300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.972880
Actual update 8350 of 50000, Stored update 8350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.829709
Actual update 8400 of 50000, Stored update 8400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.996567
Actual update 8450 of 50000, Stored update 8450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.859831
Actual update 8500 of 50000, Stored update 8500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.146261
Actual update 8550 of 50000, Stored update 8550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.464193
Actual update 8600 of 50000, Stored update 8600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.031456
Actual update 8650 of 50000, Stored update 8650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.512739
Actual update 8700 of 50000, Stored update 8700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.952137
Actual update 8750 of 50000, Stored update 8750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.678418
Actual update 8800 of 50000, Stored update 8800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.849942
Actual update 8850 of 50000, Stored update 8850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.714676
Actual update 8900 of 50000, Stored update 8900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.919122
Actual update 8950 of 50000, Stored update 8950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.575676
Actual update 9000 of 50000, Stored update 9000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1999.589438
Actual update 9050 of 50000, Stored update 9050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.820247
Actual update 9100 of 50000, Stored update 9100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.996087
Actual update 9150 of 50000, Stored update 9150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.436419
Actual update 9200 of 50000, Stored update 9200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.597529
Actual update 9250 of 50000, Stored update 9250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.164625
Actual update 9300 of 50000, Stored update 9300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.712524
Actual update 9350 of 50000, Stored update 9350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.039008
Actual update 9400 of 50000, Stored update 9400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.557326
Actual update 9450 of 50000, Stored update 9450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.207283
Actual update 9500 of 50000, Stored update 9500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.909779
Actual update 9550 of 50000, Stored update 9550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.744485
Actual update 9600 of 50000, Stored update 9600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.688010
Actual update 9650 of 50000, Stored update 9650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.798746
Actual update 9700 of 50000, Stored update 9700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.908814
Actual update 9750 of 50000, Stored update 9750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.287002
Actual update 9800 of 50000, Stored update 9800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.193164
Actual update 9850 of 50000, Stored update 9850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.695365
Actual update 9900 of 50000, Stored update 9900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.838319
Actual update 9950 of 50000, Stored update 9950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.002485
Actual update 10000 of 50000, Stored update 10000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.351483
Actual update 10050 of 50000, Stored update 10050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.453438
Actual update 10100 of 50000, Stored update 10100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.841212
Actual update 10150 of 50000, Stored update 10150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.183086
Actual update 10200 of 50000, Stored update 10200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.514045
Actual update 10250 of 50000, Stored update 10250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2059.387802
Actual update 10300 of 50000, Stored update 10300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.339491
Actual update 10350 of 50000, Stored update 10350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.802054
Actual update 10400 of 50000, Stored update 10400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.257208
Actual update 10450 of 50000, Stored update 10450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.902903
Actual update 10500 of 50000, Stored update 10500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.157359
Actual update 10550 of 50000, Stored update 10550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.078444
Actual update 10600 of 50000, Stored update 10600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.604991
Actual update 10650 of 50000, Stored update 10650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.669032
Actual update 10700 of 50000, Stored update 10700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.786783
Actual update 10750 of 50000, Stored update 10750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.420771
Actual update 10800 of 50000, Stored update 10800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.082491
Actual update 10850 of 50000, Stored update 10850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2066.524853
Actual update 10900 of 50000, Stored update 10900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.677184
Actual update 10950 of 50000, Stored update 10950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.160865
Actual update 11000 of 50000, Stored update 11000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.850242
Actual update 11050 of 50000, Stored update 11050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.385413
Actual update 11100 of 50000, Stored update 11100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.128697
Actual update 11150 of 50000, Stored update 11150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.722414
Actual update 11200 of 50000, Stored update 11200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.875556
Actual update 11250 of 50000, Stored update 11250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.548862
Actual update 11300 of 50000, Stored update 11300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.364118
Actual update 11350 of 50000, Stored update 11350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.843122
Actual update 11400 of 50000, Stored update 11400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.721423
Actual update 11450 of 50000, Stored update 11450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.241832
Actual update 11500 of 50000, Stored update 11500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.454904
Actual update 11550 of 50000, Stored update 11550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.311632
Actual update 11600 of 50000, Stored update 11600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.905747
Actual update 11650 of 50000, Stored update 11650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.695839
Actual update 11700 of 50000, Stored update 11700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2059.524324
Actual update 11750 of 50000, Stored update 11750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.143175
Actual update 11800 of 50000, Stored update 11800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.843591
Actual update 11850 of 50000, Stored update 11850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.781494
Actual update 11900 of 50000, Stored update 11900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.538396
Actual update 11950 of 50000, Stored update 11950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.219074
Actual update 12000 of 50000, Stored update 12000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.207299
Actual update 12050 of 50000, Stored update 12050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.035651
Actual update 12100 of 50000, Stored update 12100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.258265
Actual update 12150 of 50000, Stored update 12150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.836917
Actual update 12200 of 50000, Stored update 12200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.772540
Actual update 12250 of 50000, Stored update 12250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.571873
Actual update 12300 of 50000, Stored update 12300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.233354
Actual update 12350 of 50000, Stored update 12350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.287953
Actual update 12400 of 50000, Stored update 12400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.342654
Actual update 12450 of 50000, Stored update 12450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.515622
Actual update 12500 of 50000, Stored update 12500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.794647
Actual update 12550 of 50000, Stored update 12550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.615119
Actual update 12600 of 50000, Stored update 12600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.415110
Actual update 12650 of 50000, Stored update 12650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.604106
Actual update 12700 of 50000, Stored update 12700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.435779
Actual update 12750 of 50000, Stored update 12750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.550117
Actual update 12800 of 50000, Stored update 12800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.640963
Actual update 12850 of 50000, Stored update 12850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.123413
Actual update 12900 of 50000, Stored update 12900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.662248
Actual update 12950 of 50000, Stored update 12950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.615857
Actual update 13000 of 50000, Stored update 13000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.279242
Actual update 13050 of 50000, Stored update 13050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.653380
Actual update 13100 of 50000, Stored update 13100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.026968
Actual update 13150 of 50000, Stored update 13150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.825003
Actual update 13200 of 50000, Stored update 13200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.856719
Actual update 13250 of 50000, Stored update 13250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.938245
Actual update 13300 of 50000, Stored update 13300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.159948
Actual update 13350 of 50000, Stored update 13350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.249938
Actual update 13400 of 50000, Stored update 13400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.971657
Actual update 13450 of 50000, Stored update 13450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.465540
Actual update 13500 of 50000, Stored update 13500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.565739
Actual update 13550 of 50000, Stored update 13550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.648956
Actual update 13600 of 50000, Stored update 13600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.679000
Actual update 13650 of 50000, Stored update 13650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.707802
Actual update 13700 of 50000, Stored update 13700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.010459
Actual update 13750 of 50000, Stored update 13750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.714269
Actual update 13800 of 50000, Stored update 13800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.753705
Actual update 13850 of 50000, Stored update 13850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.007015
Actual update 13900 of 50000, Stored update 13900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.867349
Actual update 13950 of 50000, Stored update 13950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.744326
Actual update 14000 of 50000, Stored update 14000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.152730
Actual update 14050 of 50000, Stored update 14050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.156146
Actual update 14100 of 50000, Stored update 14100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.271897
Actual update 14150 of 50000, Stored update 14150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.639751
Actual update 14200 of 50000, Stored update 14200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.273774
Actual update 14250 of 50000, Stored update 14250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.604516
Actual update 14300 of 50000, Stored update 14300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.142712
Actual update 14350 of 50000, Stored update 14350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.106743
Actual update 14400 of 50000, Stored update 14400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.477528
Actual update 14450 of 50000, Stored update 14450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.280095
Actual update 14500 of 50000, Stored update 14500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.812541
Actual update 14550 of 50000, Stored update 14550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.386236
Actual update 14600 of 50000, Stored update 14600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.966688
Actual update 14650 of 50000, Stored update 14650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.663489
Actual update 14700 of 50000, Stored update 14700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.428565
Actual update 14750 of 50000, Stored update 14750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.314687
Actual update 14800 of 50000, Stored update 14800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.704604
Actual update 14850 of 50000, Stored update 14850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.525567
Actual update 14900 of 50000, Stored update 14900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2061.144607
Actual update 14950 of 50000, Stored update 14950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.451937
Actual update 15000 of 50000, Stored update 15000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.371997
Actual update 15050 of 50000, Stored update 15050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.213795
Actual update 15100 of 50000, Stored update 15100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.882392
Actual update 15150 of 50000, Stored update 15150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.964911
Actual update 15200 of 50000, Stored update 15200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.374825
Actual update 15250 of 50000, Stored update 15250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.140587
Actual update 15300 of 50000, Stored update 15300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.947647
Actual update 15350 of 50000, Stored update 15350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.686875
Actual update 15400 of 50000, Stored update 15400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.757293
Actual update 15450 of 50000, Stored update 15450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.317066
Actual update 15500 of 50000, Stored update 15500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.318974
Actual update 15550 of 50000, Stored update 15550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.683352
Actual update 15600 of 50000, Stored update 15600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.723464
Actual update 15650 of 50000, Stored update 15650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.284745
Actual update 15700 of 50000, Stored update 15700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.647574
Actual update 15750 of 50000, Stored update 15750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.306397
Actual update 15800 of 50000, Stored update 15800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.365078
Actual update 15850 of 50000, Stored update 15850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.762057
Actual update 15900 of 50000, Stored update 15900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.037449
Actual update 15950 of 50000, Stored update 15950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.939137
Actual update 16000 of 50000, Stored update 16000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.148047
Actual update 16050 of 50000, Stored update 16050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.563857
Actual update 16100 of 50000, Stored update 16100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.920357
Actual update 16150 of 50000, Stored update 16150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.056680
Actual update 16200 of 50000, Stored update 16200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.942513
Actual update 16250 of 50000, Stored update 16250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.436598
Actual update 16300 of 50000, Stored update 16300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.340751
Actual update 16350 of 50000, Stored update 16350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.731890
Actual update 16400 of 50000, Stored update 16400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.159163
Actual update 16450 of 50000, Stored update 16450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.902882
Actual update 16500 of 50000, Stored update 16500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.317684
Actual update 16550 of 50000, Stored update 16550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.082379
Actual update 16600 of 50000, Stored update 16600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.185492
Actual update 16650 of 50000, Stored update 16650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.025078
Actual update 16700 of 50000, Stored update 16700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.644064
Actual update 16750 of 50000, Stored update 16750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.460925
Actual update 16800 of 50000, Stored update 16800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.091742
Actual update 16850 of 50000, Stored update 16850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.118754
Actual update 16900 of 50000, Stored update 16900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.754409
Actual update 16950 of 50000, Stored update 16950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.771623
Actual update 17000 of 50000, Stored update 17000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.152389
Actual update 17050 of 50000, Stored update 17050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.776364
Actual update 17100 of 50000, Stored update 17100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.770321
Actual update 17150 of 50000, Stored update 17150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.134527
Actual update 17200 of 50000, Stored update 17200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.095249
Actual update 17250 of 50000, Stored update 17250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.068501
Actual update 17300 of 50000, Stored update 17300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.147227
Actual update 17350 of 50000, Stored update 17350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.709696
Actual update 17400 of 50000, Stored update 17400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.514527
Actual update 17450 of 50000, Stored update 17450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.295560
Actual update 17500 of 50000, Stored update 17500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.760141
Actual update 17550 of 50000, Stored update 17550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.033098
Actual update 17600 of 50000, Stored update 17600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.828180
Actual update 17650 of 50000, Stored update 17650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.707757
Actual update 17700 of 50000, Stored update 17700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.737296
Actual update 17750 of 50000, Stored update 17750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.284806
Actual update 17800 of 50000, Stored update 17800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.486030
Actual update 17850 of 50000, Stored update 17850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.605974
Actual update 17900 of 50000, Stored update 17900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.716677
Actual update 17950 of 50000, Stored update 17950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.098632
Actual update 18000 of 50000, Stored update 18000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.306113
Actual update 18050 of 50000, Stored update 18050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.356412
Actual update 18100 of 50000, Stored update 18100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.490905
Actual update 18150 of 50000, Stored update 18150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.845001
Actual update 18200 of 50000, Stored update 18200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.797009
Actual update 18250 of 50000, Stored update 18250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.413205
Actual update 18300 of 50000, Stored update 18300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.606033
Actual update 18350 of 50000, Stored update 18350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2059.991623
Actual update 18400 of 50000, Stored update 18400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.956482
Actual update 18450 of 50000, Stored update 18450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.065886
Actual update 18500 of 50000, Stored update 18500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.665303
Actual update 18550 of 50000, Stored update 18550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.334953
Actual update 18600 of 50000, Stored update 18600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.249241
Actual update 18650 of 50000, Stored update 18650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.366254
Actual update 18700 of 50000, Stored update 18700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.554609
Actual update 18750 of 50000, Stored update 18750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.703017
Actual update 18800 of 50000, Stored update 18800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.056619
Actual update 18850 of 50000, Stored update 18850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.558298
Actual update 18900 of 50000, Stored update 18900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.692573
Actual update 18950 of 50000, Stored update 18950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.311412
Actual update 19000 of 50000, Stored update 19000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.459899
Actual update 19050 of 50000, Stored update 19050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.030204
Actual update 19100 of 50000, Stored update 19100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.827072
Actual update 19150 of 50000, Stored update 19150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.096202
Actual update 19200 of 50000, Stored update 19200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2062.924747
Actual update 19250 of 50000, Stored update 19250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.423730
Actual update 19300 of 50000, Stored update 19300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.616864
Actual update 19350 of 50000, Stored update 19350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.812293
Actual update 19400 of 50000, Stored update 19400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.487723
Actual update 19450 of 50000, Stored update 19450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.708520
Actual update 19500 of 50000, Stored update 19500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.511541
Actual update 19550 of 50000, Stored update 19550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.354215
Actual update 19600 of 50000, Stored update 19600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.031062
Actual update 19650 of 50000, Stored update 19650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.703652
Actual update 19700 of 50000, Stored update 19700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.501063
Actual update 19750 of 50000, Stored update 19750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.688229
Actual update 19800 of 50000, Stored update 19800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.683565
Actual update 19850 of 50000, Stored update 19850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.651050
Actual update 19900 of 50000, Stored update 19900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.454145
Actual update 19950 of 50000, Stored update 19950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.139645
Actual update 20000 of 50000, Stored update 20000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.876222
Actual update 20050 of 50000, Stored update 20050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.857870
Actual update 20100 of 50000, Stored update 20100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.893385
Actual update 20150 of 50000, Stored update 20150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.106921
Actual update 20200 of 50000, Stored update 20200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.718643
Actual update 20250 of 50000, Stored update 20250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.097643
Actual update 20300 of 50000, Stored update 20300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.770121
Actual update 20350 of 50000, Stored update 20350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.729158
Actual update 20400 of 50000, Stored update 20400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.371240
Actual update 20450 of 50000, Stored update 20450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.529727
Actual update 20500 of 50000, Stored update 20500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.616635
Actual update 20550 of 50000, Stored update 20550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.088579
Actual update 20600 of 50000, Stored update 20600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.092263
Actual update 20650 of 50000, Stored update 20650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.304549
Actual update 20700 of 50000, Stored update 20700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.463988
Actual update 20750 of 50000, Stored update 20750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.615631
Actual update 20800 of 50000, Stored update 20800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.173041
Actual update 20850 of 50000, Stored update 20850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.700659
Actual update 20900 of 50000, Stored update 20900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.634437
Actual update 20950 of 50000, Stored update 20950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.268413
Actual update 21000 of 50000, Stored update 21000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.662437
Actual update 21050 of 50000, Stored update 21050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.712891
Actual update 21100 of 50000, Stored update 21100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.923690
Actual update 21150 of 50000, Stored update 21150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.277444
Actual update 21200 of 50000, Stored update 21200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.904191
Actual update 21250 of 50000, Stored update 21250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.064914
Actual update 21300 of 50000, Stored update 21300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.489790
Actual update 21350 of 50000, Stored update 21350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.655613
Actual update 21400 of 50000, Stored update 21400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.584041
Actual update 21450 of 50000, Stored update 21450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.897573
Actual update 21500 of 50000, Stored update 21500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.733447
Actual update 21550 of 50000, Stored update 21550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.245622
Actual update 21600 of 50000, Stored update 21600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.551256
Actual update 21650 of 50000, Stored update 21650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.112924
Actual update 21700 of 50000, Stored update 21700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.919464
Actual update 21750 of 50000, Stored update 21750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.319466
Actual update 21800 of 50000, Stored update 21800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.865461
Actual update 21850 of 50000, Stored update 21850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.862232
Actual update 21900 of 50000, Stored update 21900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.114213
Actual update 21950 of 50000, Stored update 21950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.174069
Actual update 22000 of 50000, Stored update 22000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.602087
Actual update 22050 of 50000, Stored update 22050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.380996
Actual update 22100 of 50000, Stored update 22100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.681023
Actual update 22150 of 50000, Stored update 22150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.801529
Actual update 22200 of 50000, Stored update 22200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.078133
Actual update 22250 of 50000, Stored update 22250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.097974
Actual update 22300 of 50000, Stored update 22300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.165176
Actual update 22350 of 50000, Stored update 22350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.125326
Actual update 22400 of 50000, Stored update 22400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.528624
Actual update 22450 of 50000, Stored update 22450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.577456
Actual update 22500 of 50000, Stored update 22500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.264953
Actual update 22550 of 50000, Stored update 22550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.332835
Actual update 22600 of 50000, Stored update 22600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1997.102610
Actual update 22650 of 50000, Stored update 22650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.995443
Actual update 22700 of 50000, Stored update 22700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.707465
Actual update 22750 of 50000, Stored update 22750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.523921
Actual update 22800 of 50000, Stored update 22800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.611017
Actual update 22850 of 50000, Stored update 22850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.006654
Actual update 22900 of 50000, Stored update 22900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.174684
Actual update 22950 of 50000, Stored update 22950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.117978
Actual update 23000 of 50000, Stored update 23000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.866629
Actual update 23050 of 50000, Stored update 23050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.948299
Actual update 23100 of 50000, Stored update 23100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.247330
Actual update 23150 of 50000, Stored update 23150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.684978
Actual update 23200 of 50000, Stored update 23200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.283831
Actual update 23250 of 50000, Stored update 23250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.871247
Actual update 23300 of 50000, Stored update 23300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.124456
Actual update 23350 of 50000, Stored update 23350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.461788
Actual update 23400 of 50000, Stored update 23400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.557329
Actual update 23450 of 50000, Stored update 23450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.081004
Actual update 23500 of 50000, Stored update 23500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.900354
Actual update 23550 of 50000, Stored update 23550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.849119
Actual update 23600 of 50000, Stored update 23600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.219565
Actual update 23650 of 50000, Stored update 23650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.862003
Actual update 23700 of 50000, Stored update 23700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.817787
Actual update 23750 of 50000, Stored update 23750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.451725
Actual update 23800 of 50000, Stored update 23800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.741236
Actual update 23850 of 50000, Stored update 23850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.401779
Actual update 23900 of 50000, Stored update 23900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.195457
Actual update 23950 of 50000, Stored update 23950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2067.906032
Actual update 24000 of 50000, Stored update 24000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.332836
Actual update 24050 of 50000, Stored update 24050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1995.767433
Actual update 24100 of 50000, Stored update 24100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.441116
Actual update 24150 of 50000, Stored update 24150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.465376
Actual update 24200 of 50000, Stored update 24200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.367815
Actual update 24250 of 50000, Stored update 24250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.916438
Actual update 24300 of 50000, Stored update 24300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.183116
Actual update 24350 of 50000, Stored update 24350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.532612
Actual update 24400 of 50000, Stored update 24400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.458235
Actual update 24450 of 50000, Stored update 24450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.899505
Actual update 24500 of 50000, Stored update 24500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.219858
Actual update 24550 of 50000, Stored update 24550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.066012
Actual update 24600 of 50000, Stored update 24600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.327846
Actual update 24650 of 50000, Stored update 24650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.532886
Actual update 24700 of 50000, Stored update 24700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.299289
Actual update 24750 of 50000, Stored update 24750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.311660
Actual update 24800 of 50000, Stored update 24800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.714544
Actual update 24850 of 50000, Stored update 24850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.841984
Actual update 24900 of 50000, Stored update 24900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.181820
Actual update 24950 of 50000, Stored update 24950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.677505
Actual update 25000 of 50000, Stored update 25000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.802632
Actual update 25050 of 50000, Stored update 25050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.124979
Actual update 25100 of 50000, Stored update 25100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2058.405433
Actual update 25150 of 50000, Stored update 25150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.578985
Actual update 25200 of 50000, Stored update 25200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.210974
Actual update 25250 of 50000, Stored update 25250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.623070
Actual update 25300 of 50000, Stored update 25300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.411248
Actual update 25350 of 50000, Stored update 25350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.475993
Actual update 25400 of 50000, Stored update 25400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.176430
Actual update 25450 of 50000, Stored update 25450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.588002
Actual update 25500 of 50000, Stored update 25500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.976240
Actual update 25550 of 50000, Stored update 25550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.723094
Actual update 25600 of 50000, Stored update 25600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.720478
Actual update 25650 of 50000, Stored update 25650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.978381
Actual update 25700 of 50000, Stored update 25700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.212236
Actual update 25750 of 50000, Stored update 25750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.776488
Actual update 25800 of 50000, Stored update 25800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.768182
Actual update 25850 of 50000, Stored update 25850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.926056
Actual update 25900 of 50000, Stored update 25900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.703985
Actual update 25950 of 50000, Stored update 25950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.054441
Actual update 26000 of 50000, Stored update 26000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.781853
Actual update 26050 of 50000, Stored update 26050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.833309
Actual update 26100 of 50000, Stored update 26100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.799746
Actual update 26150 of 50000, Stored update 26150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.526496
Actual update 26200 of 50000, Stored update 26200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.378066
Actual update 26250 of 50000, Stored update 26250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.823580
Actual update 26300 of 50000, Stored update 26300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.984154
Actual update 26350 of 50000, Stored update 26350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.578801
Actual update 26400 of 50000, Stored update 26400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.637939
Actual update 26450 of 50000, Stored update 26450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.396729
Actual update 26500 of 50000, Stored update 26500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.006477
Actual update 26550 of 50000, Stored update 26550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.554765
Actual update 26600 of 50000, Stored update 26600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.589707
Actual update 26650 of 50000, Stored update 26650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.273809
Actual update 26700 of 50000, Stored update 26700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.863220
Actual update 26750 of 50000, Stored update 26750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.863699
Actual update 26800 of 50000, Stored update 26800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.844150
Actual update 26850 of 50000, Stored update 26850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.211264
Actual update 26900 of 50000, Stored update 26900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.348851
Actual update 26950 of 50000, Stored update 26950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.638979
Actual update 27000 of 50000, Stored update 27000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.938500
Actual update 27050 of 50000, Stored update 27050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.839371
Actual update 27100 of 50000, Stored update 27100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.288020
Actual update 27150 of 50000, Stored update 27150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.627362
Actual update 27200 of 50000, Stored update 27200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.619362
Actual update 27250 of 50000, Stored update 27250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.558757
Actual update 27300 of 50000, Stored update 27300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.742466
Actual update 27350 of 50000, Stored update 27350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.313555
Actual update 27400 of 50000, Stored update 27400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.943384
Actual update 27450 of 50000, Stored update 27450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.862957
Actual update 27500 of 50000, Stored update 27500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.300547
Actual update 27550 of 50000, Stored update 27550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.227747
Actual update 27600 of 50000, Stored update 27600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.770756
Actual update 27650 of 50000, Stored update 27650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.020806
Actual update 27700 of 50000, Stored update 27700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.292376
Actual update 27750 of 50000, Stored update 27750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.836870
Actual update 27800 of 50000, Stored update 27800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.901791
Actual update 27850 of 50000, Stored update 27850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.374127
Actual update 27900 of 50000, Stored update 27900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.391398
Actual update 27950 of 50000, Stored update 27950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.679502
Actual update 28000 of 50000, Stored update 28000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.193881
Actual update 28050 of 50000, Stored update 28050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.027195
Actual update 28100 of 50000, Stored update 28100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.216066
Actual update 28150 of 50000, Stored update 28150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.990916
Actual update 28200 of 50000, Stored update 28200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.034835
Actual update 28250 of 50000, Stored update 28250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.592986
Actual update 28300 of 50000, Stored update 28300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.377908
Actual update 28350 of 50000, Stored update 28350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.709566
Actual update 28400 of 50000, Stored update 28400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.168555
Actual update 28450 of 50000, Stored update 28450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.024192
Actual update 28500 of 50000, Stored update 28500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.670622
Actual update 28550 of 50000, Stored update 28550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.790142
Actual update 28600 of 50000, Stored update 28600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.486321
Actual update 28650 of 50000, Stored update 28650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.547141
Actual update 28700 of 50000, Stored update 28700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.540029
Actual update 28750 of 50000, Stored update 28750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.724010
Actual update 28800 of 50000, Stored update 28800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.902502
Actual update 28850 of 50000, Stored update 28850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.303151
Actual update 28900 of 50000, Stored update 28900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.529635
Actual update 28950 of 50000, Stored update 28950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.278075
Actual update 29000 of 50000, Stored update 29000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.814112
Actual update 29050 of 50000, Stored update 29050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.148293
Actual update 29100 of 50000, Stored update 29100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.863514
Actual update 29150 of 50000, Stored update 29150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.706045
Actual update 29200 of 50000, Stored update 29200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.253285
Actual update 29250 of 50000, Stored update 29250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.501099
Actual update 29300 of 50000, Stored update 29300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.547856
Actual update 29350 of 50000, Stored update 29350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.785816
Actual update 29400 of 50000, Stored update 29400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.031508
Actual update 29450 of 50000, Stored update 29450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.149323
Actual update 29500 of 50000, Stored update 29500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.850151
Actual update 29550 of 50000, Stored update 29550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.625098
Actual update 29600 of 50000, Stored update 29600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1999.180571
Actual update 29650 of 50000, Stored update 29650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.952014
Actual update 29700 of 50000, Stored update 29700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.235947
Actual update 29750 of 50000, Stored update 29750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.845987
Actual update 29800 of 50000, Stored update 29800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.276932
Actual update 29850 of 50000, Stored update 29850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.305160
Actual update 29900 of 50000, Stored update 29900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.081174
Actual update 29950 of 50000, Stored update 29950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.758451
Actual update 30000 of 50000, Stored update 30000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.057571
Actual update 30050 of 50000, Stored update 30050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.865604
Actual update 30100 of 50000, Stored update 30100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.394664
Actual update 30150 of 50000, Stored update 30150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.281822
Actual update 30200 of 50000, Stored update 30200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.984764
Actual update 30250 of 50000, Stored update 30250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.163860
Actual update 30300 of 50000, Stored update 30300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.036939
Actual update 30350 of 50000, Stored update 30350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.605046
Actual update 30400 of 50000, Stored update 30400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.666115
Actual update 30450 of 50000, Stored update 30450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.372205
Actual update 30500 of 50000, Stored update 30500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.701576
Actual update 30550 of 50000, Stored update 30550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.525950
Actual update 30600 of 50000, Stored update 30600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2063.090650
Actual update 30650 of 50000, Stored update 30650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.921827
Actual update 30700 of 50000, Stored update 30700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.471426
Actual update 30750 of 50000, Stored update 30750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.161090
Actual update 30800 of 50000, Stored update 30800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.702412
Actual update 30850 of 50000, Stored update 30850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.304524
Actual update 30900 of 50000, Stored update 30900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.822118
Actual update 30950 of 50000, Stored update 30950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.787227
Actual update 31000 of 50000, Stored update 31000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.565770
Actual update 31050 of 50000, Stored update 31050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.436314
Actual update 31100 of 50000, Stored update 31100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.773670
Actual update 31150 of 50000, Stored update 31150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.085922
Actual update 31200 of 50000, Stored update 31200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.397985
Actual update 31250 of 50000, Stored update 31250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2062.756494
Actual update 31300 of 50000, Stored update 31300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.591377
Actual update 31350 of 50000, Stored update 31350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.671750
Actual update 31400 of 50000, Stored update 31400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.926856
Actual update 31450 of 50000, Stored update 31450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.517847
Actual update 31500 of 50000, Stored update 31500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.929084
Actual update 31550 of 50000, Stored update 31550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.005107
Actual update 31600 of 50000, Stored update 31600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.490983
Actual update 31650 of 50000, Stored update 31650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.285884
Actual update 31700 of 50000, Stored update 31700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.634235
Actual update 31750 of 50000, Stored update 31750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.472304
Actual update 31800 of 50000, Stored update 31800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.499775
Actual update 31850 of 50000, Stored update 31850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.853709
Actual update 31900 of 50000, Stored update 31900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.822449
Actual update 31950 of 50000, Stored update 31950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.547532
Actual update 32000 of 50000, Stored update 32000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.633382
Actual update 32050 of 50000, Stored update 32050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.208933
Actual update 32100 of 50000, Stored update 32100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.759233
Actual update 32150 of 50000, Stored update 32150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.340380
Actual update 32200 of 50000, Stored update 32200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.132061
Actual update 32250 of 50000, Stored update 32250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.107556
Actual update 32300 of 50000, Stored update 32300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.567339
Actual update 32350 of 50000, Stored update 32350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.169715
Actual update 32400 of 50000, Stored update 32400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.148831
Actual update 32450 of 50000, Stored update 32450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.867509
Actual update 32500 of 50000, Stored update 32500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.727129
Actual update 32550 of 50000, Stored update 32550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.219047
Actual update 32600 of 50000, Stored update 32600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.341521
Actual update 32650 of 50000, Stored update 32650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.506997
Actual update 32700 of 50000, Stored update 32700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.955951
Actual update 32750 of 50000, Stored update 32750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.653409
Actual update 32800 of 50000, Stored update 32800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.612168
Actual update 32850 of 50000, Stored update 32850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.702317
Actual update 32900 of 50000, Stored update 32900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.205279
Actual update 32950 of 50000, Stored update 32950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.647877
Actual update 33000 of 50000, Stored update 33000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.165009
Actual update 33050 of 50000, Stored update 33050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.623953
Actual update 33100 of 50000, Stored update 33100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2068.888615
Actual update 33150 of 50000, Stored update 33150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.459950
Actual update 33200 of 50000, Stored update 33200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.327041
Actual update 33250 of 50000, Stored update 33250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.449545
Actual update 33300 of 50000, Stored update 33300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.836616
Actual update 33350 of 50000, Stored update 33350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.531341
Actual update 33400 of 50000, Stored update 33400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.023249
Actual update 33450 of 50000, Stored update 33450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.151149
Actual update 33500 of 50000, Stored update 33500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.943366
Actual update 33550 of 50000, Stored update 33550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.870976
Actual update 33600 of 50000, Stored update 33600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.938279
Actual update 33650 of 50000, Stored update 33650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.591384
Actual update 33700 of 50000, Stored update 33700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.808773
Actual update 33750 of 50000, Stored update 33750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.757289
Actual update 33800 of 50000, Stored update 33800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.895552
Actual update 33850 of 50000, Stored update 33850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.771476
Actual update 33900 of 50000, Stored update 33900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.830773
Actual update 33950 of 50000, Stored update 33950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.821882
Actual update 34000 of 50000, Stored update 34000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.039463
Actual update 34050 of 50000, Stored update 34050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.917426
Actual update 34100 of 50000, Stored update 34100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.225666
Actual update 34150 of 50000, Stored update 34150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.755168
Actual update 34200 of 50000, Stored update 34200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.727099
Actual update 34250 of 50000, Stored update 34250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.449369
Actual update 34300 of 50000, Stored update 34300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.350844
Actual update 34350 of 50000, Stored update 34350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.012945
Actual update 34400 of 50000, Stored update 34400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.324368
Actual update 34450 of 50000, Stored update 34450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.786014
Actual update 34500 of 50000, Stored update 34500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.872591
Actual update 34550 of 50000, Stored update 34550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.263318
Actual update 34600 of 50000, Stored update 34600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.064333
Actual update 34650 of 50000, Stored update 34650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.849901
Actual update 34700 of 50000, Stored update 34700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.908700
Actual update 34750 of 50000, Stored update 34750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.923004
Actual update 34800 of 50000, Stored update 34800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.653760
Actual update 34850 of 50000, Stored update 34850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.430244
Actual update 34900 of 50000, Stored update 34900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.239649
Actual update 34950 of 50000, Stored update 34950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.490897
Actual update 35000 of 50000, Stored update 35000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.382593
Actual update 35050 of 50000, Stored update 35050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.532175
Actual update 35100 of 50000, Stored update 35100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.068747
Actual update 35150 of 50000, Stored update 35150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.145380
Actual update 35200 of 50000, Stored update 35200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.479514
Actual update 35250 of 50000, Stored update 35250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.580561
Actual update 35300 of 50000, Stored update 35300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.874413
Actual update 35350 of 50000, Stored update 35350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.275854
Actual update 35400 of 50000, Stored update 35400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.806404
Actual update 35450 of 50000, Stored update 35450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.185854
Actual update 35500 of 50000, Stored update 35500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.137588
Actual update 35550 of 50000, Stored update 35550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.444171
Actual update 35600 of 50000, Stored update 35600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.915142
Actual update 35650 of 50000, Stored update 35650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.475713
Actual update 35700 of 50000, Stored update 35700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.318399
Actual update 35750 of 50000, Stored update 35750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.893833
Actual update 35800 of 50000, Stored update 35800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.918511
Actual update 35850 of 50000, Stored update 35850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.920298
Actual update 35900 of 50000, Stored update 35900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.319340
Actual update 35950 of 50000, Stored update 35950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.413345
Actual update 36000 of 50000, Stored update 36000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.082680
Actual update 36050 of 50000, Stored update 36050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.932851
Actual update 36100 of 50000, Stored update 36100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.357029
Actual update 36150 of 50000, Stored update 36150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.361718
Actual update 36200 of 50000, Stored update 36200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.136540
Actual update 36250 of 50000, Stored update 36250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.743411
Actual update 36300 of 50000, Stored update 36300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.572694
Actual update 36350 of 50000, Stored update 36350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.117325
Actual update 36400 of 50000, Stored update 36400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2062.238959
Actual update 36450 of 50000, Stored update 36450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.506669
Actual update 36500 of 50000, Stored update 36500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.338209
Actual update 36550 of 50000, Stored update 36550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.547785
Actual update 36600 of 50000, Stored update 36600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.564683
Actual update 36650 of 50000, Stored update 36650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.169883
Actual update 36700 of 50000, Stored update 36700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.761616
Actual update 36750 of 50000, Stored update 36750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.112496
Actual update 36800 of 50000, Stored update 36800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.045158
Actual update 36850 of 50000, Stored update 36850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.352398
Actual update 36900 of 50000, Stored update 36900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.411732
Actual update 36950 of 50000, Stored update 36950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.845976
Actual update 37000 of 50000, Stored update 37000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.629211
Actual update 37050 of 50000, Stored update 37050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.731910
Actual update 37100 of 50000, Stored update 37100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.488058
Actual update 37150 of 50000, Stored update 37150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.862927
Actual update 37200 of 50000, Stored update 37200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.873645
Actual update 37250 of 50000, Stored update 37250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.220166
Actual update 37300 of 50000, Stored update 37300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.295223
Actual update 37350 of 50000, Stored update 37350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.824844
Actual update 37400 of 50000, Stored update 37400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.705666
Actual update 37450 of 50000, Stored update 37450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.766540
Actual update 37500 of 50000, Stored update 37500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.291211
Actual update 37550 of 50000, Stored update 37550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.352839
Actual update 37600 of 50000, Stored update 37600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.562466
Actual update 37650 of 50000, Stored update 37650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.400034
Actual update 37700 of 50000, Stored update 37700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.144626
Actual update 37750 of 50000, Stored update 37750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.303274
Actual update 37800 of 50000, Stored update 37800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.583888
Actual update 37850 of 50000, Stored update 37850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.561646
Actual update 37900 of 50000, Stored update 37900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.185014
Actual update 37950 of 50000, Stored update 37950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.033729
Actual update 38000 of 50000, Stored update 38000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.470779
Actual update 38050 of 50000, Stored update 38050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.740952
Actual update 38100 of 50000, Stored update 38100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.199235
Actual update 38150 of 50000, Stored update 38150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.917604
Actual update 38200 of 50000, Stored update 38200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.063105
Actual update 38250 of 50000, Stored update 38250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.583492
Actual update 38300 of 50000, Stored update 38300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.497557
Actual update 38350 of 50000, Stored update 38350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.960980
Actual update 38400 of 50000, Stored update 38400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.652718
Actual update 38450 of 50000, Stored update 38450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.804024
Actual update 38500 of 50000, Stored update 38500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.619947
Actual update 38550 of 50000, Stored update 38550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.813293
Actual update 38600 of 50000, Stored update 38600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.083193
Actual update 38650 of 50000, Stored update 38650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.477310
Actual update 38700 of 50000, Stored update 38700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.841148
Actual update 38750 of 50000, Stored update 38750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.908599
Actual update 38800 of 50000, Stored update 38800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.572561
Actual update 38850 of 50000, Stored update 38850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.297893
Actual update 38900 of 50000, Stored update 38900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.876199
Actual update 38950 of 50000, Stored update 38950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.479980
Actual update 39000 of 50000, Stored update 39000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.297857
Actual update 39050 of 50000, Stored update 39050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.889520
Actual update 39100 of 50000, Stored update 39100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.483616
Actual update 39150 of 50000, Stored update 39150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.879259
Actual update 39200 of 50000, Stored update 39200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.299553
Actual update 39250 of 50000, Stored update 39250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.355697
Actual update 39300 of 50000, Stored update 39300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.215971
Actual update 39350 of 50000, Stored update 39350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.951640
Actual update 39400 of 50000, Stored update 39400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.113885
Actual update 39450 of 50000, Stored update 39450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.579492
Actual update 39500 of 50000, Stored update 39500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.733216
Actual update 39550 of 50000, Stored update 39550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.551706
Actual update 39600 of 50000, Stored update 39600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.875962
Actual update 39650 of 50000, Stored update 39650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.316800
Actual update 39700 of 50000, Stored update 39700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.801129
Actual update 39750 of 50000, Stored update 39750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.253143
Actual update 39800 of 50000, Stored update 39800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.473924
Actual update 39850 of 50000, Stored update 39850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.393099
Actual update 39900 of 50000, Stored update 39900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.967276
Actual update 39950 of 50000, Stored update 39950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.387969
Actual update 40000 of 50000, Stored update 40000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.319630
Actual update 40050 of 50000, Stored update 40050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.937702
Actual update 40100 of 50000, Stored update 40100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.129107
Actual update 40150 of 50000, Stored update 40150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.081122
Actual update 40200 of 50000, Stored update 40200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.229224
Actual update 40250 of 50000, Stored update 40250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.771225
Actual update 40300 of 50000, Stored update 40300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.507313
Actual update 40350 of 50000, Stored update 40350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.467966
Actual update 40400 of 50000, Stored update 40400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.731562
Actual update 40450 of 50000, Stored update 40450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.133990
Actual update 40500 of 50000, Stored update 40500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.627804
Actual update 40550 of 50000, Stored update 40550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1998.873093
Actual update 40600 of 50000, Stored update 40600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.258887
Actual update 40650 of 50000, Stored update 40650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.626183
Actual update 40700 of 50000, Stored update 40700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.882396
Actual update 40750 of 50000, Stored update 40750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.825155
Actual update 40800 of 50000, Stored update 40800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.481321
Actual update 40850 of 50000, Stored update 40850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1994.084654
Actual update 40900 of 50000, Stored update 40900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.894990
Actual update 40950 of 50000, Stored update 40950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.846556
Actual update 41000 of 50000, Stored update 41000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.469103
Actual update 41050 of 50000, Stored update 41050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.961845
Actual update 41100 of 50000, Stored update 41100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.428071
Actual update 41150 of 50000, Stored update 41150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.219865
Actual update 41200 of 50000, Stored update 41200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.239865
Actual update 41250 of 50000, Stored update 41250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.304406
Actual update 41300 of 50000, Stored update 41300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.096908
Actual update 41350 of 50000, Stored update 41350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.069906
Actual update 41400 of 50000, Stored update 41400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.462505
Actual update 41450 of 50000, Stored update 41450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.412754
Actual update 41500 of 50000, Stored update 41500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.727949
Actual update 41550 of 50000, Stored update 41550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.596005
Actual update 41600 of 50000, Stored update 41600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.902246
Actual update 41650 of 50000, Stored update 41650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.697474
Actual update 41700 of 50000, Stored update 41700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.663058
Actual update 41750 of 50000, Stored update 41750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.708685
Actual update 41800 of 50000, Stored update 41800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.032496
Actual update 41850 of 50000, Stored update 41850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.315225
Actual update 41900 of 50000, Stored update 41900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.532175
Actual update 41950 of 50000, Stored update 41950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.835905
Actual update 42000 of 50000, Stored update 42000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.994633
Actual update 42050 of 50000, Stored update 42050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.175224
Actual update 42100 of 50000, Stored update 42100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.747664
Actual update 42150 of 50000, Stored update 42150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.845485
Actual update 42200 of 50000, Stored update 42200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.702029
Actual update 42250 of 50000, Stored update 42250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.731753
Actual update 42300 of 50000, Stored update 42300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.907101
Actual update 42350 of 50000, Stored update 42350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.882774
Actual update 42400 of 50000, Stored update 42400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.805577
Actual update 42450 of 50000, Stored update 42450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.146275
Actual update 42500 of 50000, Stored update 42500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.285041
Actual update 42550 of 50000, Stored update 42550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.502539
Actual update 42600 of 50000, Stored update 42600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.655907
Actual update 42650 of 50000, Stored update 42650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.951125
Actual update 42700 of 50000, Stored update 42700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.497837
Actual update 42750 of 50000, Stored update 42750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.311393
Actual update 42800 of 50000, Stored update 42800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.069573
Actual update 42850 of 50000, Stored update 42850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.584118
Actual update 42900 of 50000, Stored update 42900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.707570
Actual update 42950 of 50000, Stored update 42950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.136241
Actual update 43000 of 50000, Stored update 43000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.513620
Actual update 43050 of 50000, Stored update 43050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.247438
Actual update 43100 of 50000, Stored update 43100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.605542
Actual update 43150 of 50000, Stored update 43150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.095477
Actual update 43200 of 50000, Stored update 43200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.762203
Actual update 43250 of 50000, Stored update 43250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.874821
Actual update 43300 of 50000, Stored update 43300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.570481
Actual update 43350 of 50000, Stored update 43350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.713097
Actual update 43400 of 50000, Stored update 43400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.814210
Actual update 43450 of 50000, Stored update 43450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.234028
Actual update 43500 of 50000, Stored update 43500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.518821
Actual update 43550 of 50000, Stored update 43550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.265296
Actual update 43600 of 50000, Stored update 43600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.857801
Actual update 43650 of 50000, Stored update 43650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.481717
Actual update 43700 of 50000, Stored update 43700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.756737
Actual update 43750 of 50000, Stored update 43750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.795062
Actual update 43800 of 50000, Stored update 43800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.679994
Actual update 43850 of 50000, Stored update 43850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.433780
Actual update 43900 of 50000, Stored update 43900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.352206
Actual update 43950 of 50000, Stored update 43950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.799782
Actual update 44000 of 50000, Stored update 44000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.382911
Actual update 44050 of 50000, Stored update 44050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.051601
Actual update 44100 of 50000, Stored update 44100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.453693
Actual update 44150 of 50000, Stored update 44150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.068712
Actual update 44200 of 50000, Stored update 44200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.414387
Actual update 44250 of 50000, Stored update 44250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.337363
Actual update 44300 of 50000, Stored update 44300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.653930
Actual update 44350 of 50000, Stored update 44350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.450215
Actual update 44400 of 50000, Stored update 44400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.801640
Actual update 44450 of 50000, Stored update 44450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1999.360720
Actual update 44500 of 50000, Stored update 44500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.639851
Actual update 44550 of 50000, Stored update 44550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.238702
Actual update 44600 of 50000, Stored update 44600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.082553
Actual update 44650 of 50000, Stored update 44650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.427222
Actual update 44700 of 50000, Stored update 44700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.623500
Actual update 44750 of 50000, Stored update 44750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.076274
Actual update 44800 of 50000, Stored update 44800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.703262
Actual update 44850 of 50000, Stored update 44850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.947193
Actual update 44900 of 50000, Stored update 44900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.248526
Actual update 44950 of 50000, Stored update 44950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.264821
Actual update 45000 of 50000, Stored update 45000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.774341
Actual update 45050 of 50000, Stored update 45050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.565320
Actual update 45100 of 50000, Stored update 45100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.296553
Actual update 45150 of 50000, Stored update 45150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.619467
Actual update 45200 of 50000, Stored update 45200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.334714
Actual update 45250 of 50000, Stored update 45250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.501916
Actual update 45300 of 50000, Stored update 45300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.861818
Actual update 45350 of 50000, Stored update 45350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.249740
Actual update 45400 of 50000, Stored update 45400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.135274
Actual update 45450 of 50000, Stored update 45450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.157788
Actual update 45500 of 50000, Stored update 45500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.770839
Actual update 45550 of 50000, Stored update 45550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.164989
Actual update 45600 of 50000, Stored update 45600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.785591
Actual update 45650 of 50000, Stored update 45650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2060.818925
Actual update 45700 of 50000, Stored update 45700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.072100
Actual update 45750 of 50000, Stored update 45750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.246199
Actual update 45800 of 50000, Stored update 45800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.189633
Actual update 45850 of 50000, Stored update 45850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.232658
Actual update 45900 of 50000, Stored update 45900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.725803
Actual update 45950 of 50000, Stored update 45950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.557861
Actual update 46000 of 50000, Stored update 46000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.038470
Actual update 46050 of 50000, Stored update 46050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.017621
Actual update 46100 of 50000, Stored update 46100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.326280
Actual update 46150 of 50000, Stored update 46150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.343619
Actual update 46200 of 50000, Stored update 46200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.529160
Actual update 46250 of 50000, Stored update 46250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.888372
Actual update 46300 of 50000, Stored update 46300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.263416
Actual update 46350 of 50000, Stored update 46350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.365405
Actual update 46400 of 50000, Stored update 46400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.571035
Actual update 46450 of 50000, Stored update 46450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.498022
Actual update 46500 of 50000, Stored update 46500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.438013
Actual update 46550 of 50000, Stored update 46550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.592908
Actual update 46600 of 50000, Stored update 46600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.541033
Actual update 46650 of 50000, Stored update 46650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.622068
Actual update 46700 of 50000, Stored update 46700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.662432
Actual update 46750 of 50000, Stored update 46750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.810207
Actual update 46800 of 50000, Stored update 46800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.029618
Actual update 46850 of 50000, Stored update 46850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.877619
Actual update 46900 of 50000, Stored update 46900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.315869
Actual update 46950 of 50000, Stored update 46950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.057206
Actual update 47000 of 50000, Stored update 47000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.929099
Actual update 47050 of 50000, Stored update 47050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.329407
Actual update 47100 of 50000, Stored update 47100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.270552
Actual update 47150 of 50000, Stored update 47150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.848981
Actual update 47200 of 50000, Stored update 47200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.075836
Actual update 47250 of 50000, Stored update 47250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.143091
Actual update 47300 of 50000, Stored update 47300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.533102
Actual update 47350 of 50000, Stored update 47350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.787868
Actual update 47400 of 50000, Stored update 47400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.137120
Actual update 47450 of 50000, Stored update 47450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.486974
Actual update 47500 of 50000, Stored update 47500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.737607
Actual update 47550 of 50000, Stored update 47550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.378247
Actual update 47600 of 50000, Stored update 47600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.843691
Actual update 47650 of 50000, Stored update 47650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.710655
Actual update 47700 of 50000, Stored update 47700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.410201
Actual update 47750 of 50000, Stored update 47750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.150432
Actual update 47800 of 50000, Stored update 47800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.029615
Actual update 47850 of 50000, Stored update 47850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.284049
Actual update 47900 of 50000, Stored update 47900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.801732
Actual update 47950 of 50000, Stored update 47950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.732032
Actual update 48000 of 50000, Stored update 48000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.708254
Actual update 48050 of 50000, Stored update 48050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.968119
Actual update 48100 of 50000, Stored update 48100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.058983
Actual update 48150 of 50000, Stored update 48150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.242265
Actual update 48200 of 50000, Stored update 48200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.548373
Actual update 48250 of 50000, Stored update 48250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.808480
Actual update 48300 of 50000, Stored update 48300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.626794
Actual update 48350 of 50000, Stored update 48350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.084224
Actual update 48400 of 50000, Stored update 48400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.505513
Actual update 48450 of 50000, Stored update 48450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.185323
Actual update 48500 of 50000, Stored update 48500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.497492
Actual update 48550 of 50000, Stored update 48550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.051663
Actual update 48600 of 50000, Stored update 48600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.692876
Actual update 48650 of 50000, Stored update 48650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.062825
Actual update 48700 of 50000, Stored update 48700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.212492
Actual update 48750 of 50000, Stored update 48750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.090851
Actual update 48800 of 50000, Stored update 48800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.304281
Actual update 48850 of 50000, Stored update 48850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.154313
Actual update 48900 of 50000, Stored update 48900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.617585
Actual update 48950 of 50000, Stored update 48950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.680990
Actual update 49000 of 50000, Stored update 49000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.103338
Actual update 49050 of 50000, Stored update 49050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.658344
Actual update 49100 of 50000, Stored update 49100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.158099
Actual update 49150 of 50000, Stored update 49150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.618886
Actual update 49200 of 50000, Stored update 49200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.568736
Actual update 49250 of 50000, Stored update 49250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.730368
Actual update 49300 of 50000, Stored update 49300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.618988
Actual update 49350 of 50000, Stored update 49350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.430573
Actual update 49400 of 50000, Stored update 49400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.506462
Actual update 49450 of 50000, Stored update 49450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.936078
Actual update 49500 of 50000, Stored update 49500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.574233
Actual update 49550 of 50000, Stored update 49550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.191212
Actual update 49600 of 50000, Stored update 49600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.430445
Actual update 49650 of 50000, Stored update 49650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.211349
Actual update 49700 of 50000, Stored update 49700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.614336
Actual update 49750 of 50000, Stored update 49750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.578083
Actual update 49800 of 50000, Stored update 49800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.176767
Actual update 49850 of 50000, Stored update 49850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2073.306599
Actual update 49900 of 50000, Stored update 49900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.877837
Actual update 49950 of 50000, Stored update 49950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.487473
Actual update 50000 of 50000, Stored update 50000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.615594
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =          50000
Average =          2027.0
S.D.    =          12.447
S.E.M.  =        0.055665

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Poisson) 
        N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
region 78   1 4.538462  13         78            1      4.538462           13
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 7.89s 
Number of obs:  354 (from total 354)          Number of iter.: 50000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
2026.965   1965.015   61.951     2088.916   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
log(obs) ~ 0 + nation + nation:uvbi + offset(log(exp)) + (1 | 
    region)
Level 2: region     Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
                            Coef.   Std. Err.       z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
nationBelgium             0.85786     0.64016    1.34      0.1802         -0.33511     2.16062     40 
nationW_Germany           0.47517     0.11485    4.14   3.517e-05  ***     0.25257     0.70089    181 
nationDenmark             0.45224     0.76337    0.59      0.5536         -0.89634     1.86710     18 
nationFrance             -0.59289     0.05533  -10.72   8.604e-27  ***    -0.70272    -0.48488   1367 
nationUK                  0.59900     0.18034    3.32   0.0008953  ***     0.21926     0.92708    100 
nationItaly               0.28128     0.11157    2.52      0.0117  *       0.07665     0.51091    362 
nationIreland            -0.53124     1.19584   -0.44      0.6569         -2.82591     1.75690     63 
nationLuxembourg          6.08531     8.87227    0.69      0.4928        -11.51868    20.57583      4 
nationNetherlands        -0.51103     1.00826   -0.51      0.6123         -2.61799     1.67137     12 
nationBelgium:uvbi        0.31662     0.21714    1.46      0.1448         -0.08526     0.76251     35 
nationW_Germany:uvbi     -0.01408     0.03142   -0.45       0.654         -0.07585     0.04798    227 
nationDenmark:uvbi       -0.05802     0.13471   -0.43      0.6667         -0.29637     0.19419     17 
nationFrance:uvbi         0.01275     0.01788    0.71      0.4758         -0.02218     0.04863   1537 
nationUK:uvbi             0.13842     0.03730    3.71   0.0002064  ***     0.05973     0.20602    108 
nationItaly:uvbi         -0.08706     0.01693   -5.14   2.705e-07  ***    -0.12263    -0.05501    389 
nationIreland:uvbi        0.00016     0.24034    0.00      0.9995         -0.45417     0.46501     63 
nationLuxembourg:uvbi     2.65079     3.86232    0.69      0.4925         -4.97572     8.97258      4 
nationNetherlands:uvbi   -0.15175     0.24062   -0.63      0.5283         -0.65780     0.36645     13 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the region level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.03709     0.00909      0.02252     0.05793   2702 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
                Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]     ESS 
var_bcons_1   1.00000     0.00000      1.00000     1.00000   50000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> sixway(mymodel@chains[, "FP_nationBelgium", drop = FALSE], acf.maxlag = 5000, "beta_1")
> 
> ## Orthogonal update
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(log(obs) ~ 0 + nation + nation:uvbi + offset(log(exp)) + (1 | region), D = "Poisson", estoptions = list(EstM = 1,
+   mcmcMeth = list(iterations = 50000), mcmcOptions = list(orth = 1)), data = mmmec))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3
iteration 4

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 2 1 1 3
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2119.408682
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2130.493251
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2121.415133
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2094.200185
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2048.472666
Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2042.851395
Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2020.345036
Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2025.191874
Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2019.390326
Adapting for 1000 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2034.202485
Adapting for 1100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2014.718406
Adapting for 1200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2023.022848
Adapting for 1300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2031.575264
Adapting for 1400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2029.348016
Adapting finished and took 1500 iterations
Adapting took 1500 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2030.816563
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2006.033555
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2014.824866
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2002.516717
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2019.981434
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2056.271713
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2037.444164
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2033.009001
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2043.175891
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2020.076838

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 50000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 3
Actual update 50 of 50000, Stored update 50 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.197609
Actual update 100 of 50000, Stored update 100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.725721
Actual update 150 of 50000, Stored update 150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.337794
Actual update 200 of 50000, Stored update 200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.305169
Actual update 250 of 50000, Stored update 250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.553191
Actual update 300 of 50000, Stored update 300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.156039
Actual update 350 of 50000, Stored update 350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.515818
Actual update 400 of 50000, Stored update 400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.101918
Actual update 450 of 50000, Stored update 450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.562851
Actual update 500 of 50000, Stored update 500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.762049
Actual update 550 of 50000, Stored update 550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.144168
Actual update 600 of 50000, Stored update 600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.716832
Actual update 650 of 50000, Stored update 650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.522645
Actual update 700 of 50000, Stored update 700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.395991
Actual update 750 of 50000, Stored update 750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.393464
Actual update 800 of 50000, Stored update 800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.026313
Actual update 850 of 50000, Stored update 850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2054.491080
Actual update 900 of 50000, Stored update 900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.529364
Actual update 950 of 50000, Stored update 950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.365957
Actual update 1000 of 50000, Stored update 1000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.766480
Actual update 1050 of 50000, Stored update 1050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.022793
Actual update 1100 of 50000, Stored update 1100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.841400
Actual update 1150 of 50000, Stored update 1150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.816746
Actual update 1200 of 50000, Stored update 1200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.172454
Actual update 1250 of 50000, Stored update 1250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.812105
Actual update 1300 of 50000, Stored update 1300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.088489
Actual update 1350 of 50000, Stored update 1350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.848290
Actual update 1400 of 50000, Stored update 1400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.409047
Actual update 1450 of 50000, Stored update 1450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.671582
Actual update 1500 of 50000, Stored update 1500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.041469
Actual update 1550 of 50000, Stored update 1550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.608952
Actual update 1600 of 50000, Stored update 1600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.601459
Actual update 1650 of 50000, Stored update 1650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.540803
Actual update 1700 of 50000, Stored update 1700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.261928
Actual update 1750 of 50000, Stored update 1750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.345472
Actual update 1800 of 50000, Stored update 1800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.279600
Actual update 1850 of 50000, Stored update 1850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.443512
Actual update 1900 of 50000, Stored update 1900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.338452
Actual update 1950 of 50000, Stored update 1950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.167395
Actual update 2000 of 50000, Stored update 2000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.933758
Actual update 2050 of 50000, Stored update 2050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.217033
Actual update 2100 of 50000, Stored update 2100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.271948
Actual update 2150 of 50000, Stored update 2150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.872177
Actual update 2200 of 50000, Stored update 2200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.204957
Actual update 2250 of 50000, Stored update 2250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.732687
Actual update 2300 of 50000, Stored update 2300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.409559
Actual update 2350 of 50000, Stored update 2350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.299939
Actual update 2400 of 50000, Stored update 2400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.950236
Actual update 2450 of 50000, Stored update 2450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.194095
Actual update 2500 of 50000, Stored update 2500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.901513
Actual update 2550 of 50000, Stored update 2550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.381478
Actual update 2600 of 50000, Stored update 2600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.908769
Actual update 2650 of 50000, Stored update 2650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.507138
Actual update 2700 of 50000, Stored update 2700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2058.124763
Actual update 2750 of 50000, Stored update 2750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.511024
Actual update 2800 of 50000, Stored update 2800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.640816
Actual update 2850 of 50000, Stored update 2850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.868758
Actual update 2900 of 50000, Stored update 2900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.904556
Actual update 2950 of 50000, Stored update 2950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.153841
Actual update 3000 of 50000, Stored update 3000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.216863
Actual update 3050 of 50000, Stored update 3050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.725766
Actual update 3100 of 50000, Stored update 3100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.846888
Actual update 3150 of 50000, Stored update 3150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.309879
Actual update 3200 of 50000, Stored update 3200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.346826
Actual update 3250 of 50000, Stored update 3250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.856429
Actual update 3300 of 50000, Stored update 3300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.179014
Actual update 3350 of 50000, Stored update 3350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.537844
Actual update 3400 of 50000, Stored update 3400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.505256
Actual update 3450 of 50000, Stored update 3450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.030142
Actual update 3500 of 50000, Stored update 3500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.617590
Actual update 3550 of 50000, Stored update 3550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.087860
Actual update 3600 of 50000, Stored update 3600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.454823
Actual update 3650 of 50000, Stored update 3650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.884179
Actual update 3700 of 50000, Stored update 3700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.855965
Actual update 3750 of 50000, Stored update 3750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.967182
Actual update 3800 of 50000, Stored update 3800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.377347
Actual update 3850 of 50000, Stored update 3850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.018125
Actual update 3900 of 50000, Stored update 3900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.146910
Actual update 3950 of 50000, Stored update 3950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.095650
Actual update 4000 of 50000, Stored update 4000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.025110
Actual update 4050 of 50000, Stored update 4050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.608900
Actual update 4100 of 50000, Stored update 4100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.398407
Actual update 4150 of 50000, Stored update 4150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.044497
Actual update 4200 of 50000, Stored update 4200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.997193
Actual update 4250 of 50000, Stored update 4250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.272742
Actual update 4300 of 50000, Stored update 4300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.577056
Actual update 4350 of 50000, Stored update 4350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.113176
Actual update 4400 of 50000, Stored update 4400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.277880
Actual update 4450 of 50000, Stored update 4450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.519326
Actual update 4500 of 50000, Stored update 4500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.269776
Actual update 4550 of 50000, Stored update 4550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.556669
Actual update 4600 of 50000, Stored update 4600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.870279
Actual update 4650 of 50000, Stored update 4650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.858401
Actual update 4700 of 50000, Stored update 4700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.229155
Actual update 4750 of 50000, Stored update 4750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.606250
Actual update 4800 of 50000, Stored update 4800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.771391
Actual update 4850 of 50000, Stored update 4850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.384321
Actual update 4900 of 50000, Stored update 4900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.072215
Actual update 4950 of 50000, Stored update 4950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.057470
Actual update 5000 of 50000, Stored update 5000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.121960
Actual update 5050 of 50000, Stored update 5050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.244380
Actual update 5100 of 50000, Stored update 5100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.935358
Actual update 5150 of 50000, Stored update 5150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.029310
Actual update 5200 of 50000, Stored update 5200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.039211
Actual update 5250 of 50000, Stored update 5250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.959141
Actual update 5300 of 50000, Stored update 5300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.161615
Actual update 5350 of 50000, Stored update 5350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.518635
Actual update 5400 of 50000, Stored update 5400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.709577
Actual update 5450 of 50000, Stored update 5450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.677017
Actual update 5500 of 50000, Stored update 5500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.659209
Actual update 5550 of 50000, Stored update 5550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.053108
Actual update 5600 of 50000, Stored update 5600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.035153
Actual update 5650 of 50000, Stored update 5650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.140545
Actual update 5700 of 50000, Stored update 5700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.139157
Actual update 5750 of 50000, Stored update 5750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.900373
Actual update 5800 of 50000, Stored update 5800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.900541
Actual update 5850 of 50000, Stored update 5850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.456588
Actual update 5900 of 50000, Stored update 5900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.373917
Actual update 5950 of 50000, Stored update 5950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.342691
Actual update 6000 of 50000, Stored update 6000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.807658
Actual update 6050 of 50000, Stored update 6050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.050315
Actual update 6100 of 50000, Stored update 6100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.908638
Actual update 6150 of 50000, Stored update 6150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.852833
Actual update 6200 of 50000, Stored update 6200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.586474
Actual update 6250 of 50000, Stored update 6250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.962352
Actual update 6300 of 50000, Stored update 6300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.623177
Actual update 6350 of 50000, Stored update 6350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.333015
Actual update 6400 of 50000, Stored update 6400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.723820
Actual update 6450 of 50000, Stored update 6450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.118930
Actual update 6500 of 50000, Stored update 6500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.845088
Actual update 6550 of 50000, Stored update 6550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.619385
Actual update 6600 of 50000, Stored update 6600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.736635
Actual update 6650 of 50000, Stored update 6650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.869964
Actual update 6700 of 50000, Stored update 6700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.949861
Actual update 6750 of 50000, Stored update 6750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.498735
Actual update 6800 of 50000, Stored update 6800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.774870
Actual update 6850 of 50000, Stored update 6850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.055848
Actual update 6900 of 50000, Stored update 6900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.541829
Actual update 6950 of 50000, Stored update 6950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.224573
Actual update 7000 of 50000, Stored update 7000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.857546
Actual update 7050 of 50000, Stored update 7050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.316718
Actual update 7100 of 50000, Stored update 7100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.521045
Actual update 7150 of 50000, Stored update 7150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.433693
Actual update 7200 of 50000, Stored update 7200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.176464
Actual update 7250 of 50000, Stored update 7250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.046631
Actual update 7300 of 50000, Stored update 7300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.096201
Actual update 7350 of 50000, Stored update 7350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.097309
Actual update 7400 of 50000, Stored update 7400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.299659
Actual update 7450 of 50000, Stored update 7450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.913397
Actual update 7500 of 50000, Stored update 7500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.273591
Actual update 7550 of 50000, Stored update 7550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.591238
Actual update 7600 of 50000, Stored update 7600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.253773
Actual update 7650 of 50000, Stored update 7650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.925303
Actual update 7700 of 50000, Stored update 7700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.673409
Actual update 7750 of 50000, Stored update 7750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.820258
Actual update 7800 of 50000, Stored update 7800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.267805
Actual update 7850 of 50000, Stored update 7850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.319885
Actual update 7900 of 50000, Stored update 7900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.947607
Actual update 7950 of 50000, Stored update 7950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.616800
Actual update 8000 of 50000, Stored update 8000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.968293
Actual update 8050 of 50000, Stored update 8050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.348454
Actual update 8100 of 50000, Stored update 8100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.107039
Actual update 8150 of 50000, Stored update 8150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.755687
Actual update 8200 of 50000, Stored update 8200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.090268
Actual update 8250 of 50000, Stored update 8250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.397922
Actual update 8300 of 50000, Stored update 8300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.130785
Actual update 8350 of 50000, Stored update 8350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.919590
Actual update 8400 of 50000, Stored update 8400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.504757
Actual update 8450 of 50000, Stored update 8450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.532038
Actual update 8500 of 50000, Stored update 8500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.187612
Actual update 8550 of 50000, Stored update 8550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.278867
Actual update 8600 of 50000, Stored update 8600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.283674
Actual update 8650 of 50000, Stored update 8650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.208784
Actual update 8700 of 50000, Stored update 8700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.309602
Actual update 8750 of 50000, Stored update 8750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.412367
Actual update 8800 of 50000, Stored update 8800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.751357
Actual update 8850 of 50000, Stored update 8850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.154954
Actual update 8900 of 50000, Stored update 8900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2058.871152
Actual update 8950 of 50000, Stored update 8950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.323158
Actual update 9000 of 50000, Stored update 9000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.232251
Actual update 9050 of 50000, Stored update 9050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.585811
Actual update 9100 of 50000, Stored update 9100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.042215
Actual update 9150 of 50000, Stored update 9150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.348314
Actual update 9200 of 50000, Stored update 9200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.987964
Actual update 9250 of 50000, Stored update 9250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.219753
Actual update 9300 of 50000, Stored update 9300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.755551
Actual update 9350 of 50000, Stored update 9350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.489061
Actual update 9400 of 50000, Stored update 9400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.135147
Actual update 9450 of 50000, Stored update 9450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.329166
Actual update 9500 of 50000, Stored update 9500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.507953
Actual update 9550 of 50000, Stored update 9550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.855547
Actual update 9600 of 50000, Stored update 9600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.477149
Actual update 9650 of 50000, Stored update 9650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.204853
Actual update 9700 of 50000, Stored update 9700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.844907
Actual update 9750 of 50000, Stored update 9750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.524170
Actual update 9800 of 50000, Stored update 9800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.531619
Actual update 9850 of 50000, Stored update 9850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.053362
Actual update 9900 of 50000, Stored update 9900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.902674
Actual update 9950 of 50000, Stored update 9950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.183406
Actual update 10000 of 50000, Stored update 10000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.395224
Actual update 10050 of 50000, Stored update 10050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.249400
Actual update 10100 of 50000, Stored update 10100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.667352
Actual update 10150 of 50000, Stored update 10150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.313269
Actual update 10200 of 50000, Stored update 10200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.945603
Actual update 10250 of 50000, Stored update 10250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.548212
Actual update 10300 of 50000, Stored update 10300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.848709
Actual update 10350 of 50000, Stored update 10350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.201347
Actual update 10400 of 50000, Stored update 10400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.338826
Actual update 10450 of 50000, Stored update 10450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.590265
Actual update 10500 of 50000, Stored update 10500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.632839
Actual update 10550 of 50000, Stored update 10550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.532735
Actual update 10600 of 50000, Stored update 10600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.720346
Actual update 10650 of 50000, Stored update 10650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.368551
Actual update 10700 of 50000, Stored update 10700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2054.483750
Actual update 10750 of 50000, Stored update 10750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.277553
Actual update 10800 of 50000, Stored update 10800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.175822
Actual update 10850 of 50000, Stored update 10850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.030549
Actual update 10900 of 50000, Stored update 10900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.419733
Actual update 10950 of 50000, Stored update 10950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.256024
Actual update 11000 of 50000, Stored update 11000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.682526
Actual update 11050 of 50000, Stored update 11050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.041605
Actual update 11100 of 50000, Stored update 11100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.700996
Actual update 11150 of 50000, Stored update 11150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.925117
Actual update 11200 of 50000, Stored update 11200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.551815
Actual update 11250 of 50000, Stored update 11250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.119042
Actual update 11300 of 50000, Stored update 11300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.515558
Actual update 11350 of 50000, Stored update 11350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.026839
Actual update 11400 of 50000, Stored update 11400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.307620
Actual update 11450 of 50000, Stored update 11450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.752688
Actual update 11500 of 50000, Stored update 11500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.025046
Actual update 11550 of 50000, Stored update 11550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.911088
Actual update 11600 of 50000, Stored update 11600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.592257
Actual update 11650 of 50000, Stored update 11650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.096219
Actual update 11700 of 50000, Stored update 11700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.742893
Actual update 11750 of 50000, Stored update 11750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.792208
Actual update 11800 of 50000, Stored update 11800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.934354
Actual update 11850 of 50000, Stored update 11850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.006285
Actual update 11900 of 50000, Stored update 11900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.680831
Actual update 11950 of 50000, Stored update 11950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.983166
Actual update 12000 of 50000, Stored update 12000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.144548
Actual update 12050 of 50000, Stored update 12050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.901121
Actual update 12100 of 50000, Stored update 12100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2058.841551
Actual update 12150 of 50000, Stored update 12150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.546842
Actual update 12200 of 50000, Stored update 12200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.042480
Actual update 12250 of 50000, Stored update 12250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.028020
Actual update 12300 of 50000, Stored update 12300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.482032
Actual update 12350 of 50000, Stored update 12350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.048412
Actual update 12400 of 50000, Stored update 12400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.288008
Actual update 12450 of 50000, Stored update 12450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.209481
Actual update 12500 of 50000, Stored update 12500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.791902
Actual update 12550 of 50000, Stored update 12550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.420484
Actual update 12600 of 50000, Stored update 12600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.440100
Actual update 12650 of 50000, Stored update 12650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2061.317004
Actual update 12700 of 50000, Stored update 12700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.073450
Actual update 12750 of 50000, Stored update 12750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.102286
Actual update 12800 of 50000, Stored update 12800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.682524
Actual update 12850 of 50000, Stored update 12850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.186815
Actual update 12900 of 50000, Stored update 12900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.259629
Actual update 12950 of 50000, Stored update 12950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1997.390710
Actual update 13000 of 50000, Stored update 13000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.047815
Actual update 13050 of 50000, Stored update 13050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.400976
Actual update 13100 of 50000, Stored update 13100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.694734
Actual update 13150 of 50000, Stored update 13150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.788232
Actual update 13200 of 50000, Stored update 13200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.069305
Actual update 13250 of 50000, Stored update 13250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.933992
Actual update 13300 of 50000, Stored update 13300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.955579
Actual update 13350 of 50000, Stored update 13350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.887361
Actual update 13400 of 50000, Stored update 13400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.887760
Actual update 13450 of 50000, Stored update 13450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.158174
Actual update 13500 of 50000, Stored update 13500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.522898
Actual update 13550 of 50000, Stored update 13550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.898325
Actual update 13600 of 50000, Stored update 13600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.386925
Actual update 13650 of 50000, Stored update 13650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.001639
Actual update 13700 of 50000, Stored update 13700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.126888
Actual update 13750 of 50000, Stored update 13750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.329875
Actual update 13800 of 50000, Stored update 13800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.029682
Actual update 13850 of 50000, Stored update 13850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.612129
Actual update 13900 of 50000, Stored update 13900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.643326
Actual update 13950 of 50000, Stored update 13950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.597105
Actual update 14000 of 50000, Stored update 14000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.739122
Actual update 14050 of 50000, Stored update 14050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.294837
Actual update 14100 of 50000, Stored update 14100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.235453
Actual update 14150 of 50000, Stored update 14150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.809123
Actual update 14200 of 50000, Stored update 14200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.123659
Actual update 14250 of 50000, Stored update 14250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.173077
Actual update 14300 of 50000, Stored update 14300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.877042
Actual update 14350 of 50000, Stored update 14350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.388816
Actual update 14400 of 50000, Stored update 14400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.880864
Actual update 14450 of 50000, Stored update 14450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.402496
Actual update 14500 of 50000, Stored update 14500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.066821
Actual update 14550 of 50000, Stored update 14550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.464458
Actual update 14600 of 50000, Stored update 14600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.202053
Actual update 14650 of 50000, Stored update 14650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.310102
Actual update 14700 of 50000, Stored update 14700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.330295
Actual update 14750 of 50000, Stored update 14750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.064354
Actual update 14800 of 50000, Stored update 14800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.888105
Actual update 14850 of 50000, Stored update 14850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.060523
Actual update 14900 of 50000, Stored update 14900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.923852
Actual update 14950 of 50000, Stored update 14950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.093611
Actual update 15000 of 50000, Stored update 15000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.650521
Actual update 15050 of 50000, Stored update 15050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.153722
Actual update 15100 of 50000, Stored update 15100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.017704
Actual update 15150 of 50000, Stored update 15150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.553179
Actual update 15200 of 50000, Stored update 15200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.113385
Actual update 15250 of 50000, Stored update 15250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.455905
Actual update 15300 of 50000, Stored update 15300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.361737
Actual update 15350 of 50000, Stored update 15350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.854684
Actual update 15400 of 50000, Stored update 15400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.993850
Actual update 15450 of 50000, Stored update 15450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.906670
Actual update 15500 of 50000, Stored update 15500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.519149
Actual update 15550 of 50000, Stored update 15550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.691058
Actual update 15600 of 50000, Stored update 15600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.046311
Actual update 15650 of 50000, Stored update 15650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.159339
Actual update 15700 of 50000, Stored update 15700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.180917
Actual update 15750 of 50000, Stored update 15750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.409980
Actual update 15800 of 50000, Stored update 15800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.459820
Actual update 15850 of 50000, Stored update 15850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.815437
Actual update 15900 of 50000, Stored update 15900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.034408
Actual update 15950 of 50000, Stored update 15950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.183570
Actual update 16000 of 50000, Stored update 16000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.175192
Actual update 16050 of 50000, Stored update 16050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.772532
Actual update 16100 of 50000, Stored update 16100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.558849
Actual update 16150 of 50000, Stored update 16150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.378022
Actual update 16200 of 50000, Stored update 16200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.260642
Actual update 16250 of 50000, Stored update 16250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.667703
Actual update 16300 of 50000, Stored update 16300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.495907
Actual update 16350 of 50000, Stored update 16350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.465657
Actual update 16400 of 50000, Stored update 16400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.624545
Actual update 16450 of 50000, Stored update 16450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.553061
Actual update 16500 of 50000, Stored update 16500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.032406
Actual update 16550 of 50000, Stored update 16550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.316441
Actual update 16600 of 50000, Stored update 16600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.985028
Actual update 16650 of 50000, Stored update 16650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.277232
Actual update 16700 of 50000, Stored update 16700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.976290
Actual update 16750 of 50000, Stored update 16750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.756438
Actual update 16800 of 50000, Stored update 16800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.782350
Actual update 16850 of 50000, Stored update 16850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.798347
Actual update 16900 of 50000, Stored update 16900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.537337
Actual update 16950 of 50000, Stored update 16950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.738310
Actual update 17000 of 50000, Stored update 17000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.851737
Actual update 17050 of 50000, Stored update 17050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.668120
Actual update 17100 of 50000, Stored update 17100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.132988
Actual update 17150 of 50000, Stored update 17150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.174190
Actual update 17200 of 50000, Stored update 17200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.837299
Actual update 17250 of 50000, Stored update 17250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.719746
Actual update 17300 of 50000, Stored update 17300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.051109
Actual update 17350 of 50000, Stored update 17350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.650180
Actual update 17400 of 50000, Stored update 17400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.839893
Actual update 17450 of 50000, Stored update 17450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.928161
Actual update 17500 of 50000, Stored update 17500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.188519
Actual update 17550 of 50000, Stored update 17550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.428657
Actual update 17600 of 50000, Stored update 17600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.698664
Actual update 17650 of 50000, Stored update 17650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.494144
Actual update 17700 of 50000, Stored update 17700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.806501
Actual update 17750 of 50000, Stored update 17750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.525844
Actual update 17800 of 50000, Stored update 17800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.427667
Actual update 17850 of 50000, Stored update 17850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.278207
Actual update 17900 of 50000, Stored update 17900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.647040
Actual update 17950 of 50000, Stored update 17950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.522872
Actual update 18000 of 50000, Stored update 18000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.710629
Actual update 18050 of 50000, Stored update 18050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.581431
Actual update 18100 of 50000, Stored update 18100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.838851
Actual update 18150 of 50000, Stored update 18150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.999124
Actual update 18200 of 50000, Stored update 18200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.507960
Actual update 18250 of 50000, Stored update 18250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.325635
Actual update 18300 of 50000, Stored update 18300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.455383
Actual update 18350 of 50000, Stored update 18350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.461242
Actual update 18400 of 50000, Stored update 18400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.176857
Actual update 18450 of 50000, Stored update 18450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.281635
Actual update 18500 of 50000, Stored update 18500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.515391
Actual update 18550 of 50000, Stored update 18550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.319066
Actual update 18600 of 50000, Stored update 18600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.565918
Actual update 18650 of 50000, Stored update 18650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.382392
Actual update 18700 of 50000, Stored update 18700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.840101
Actual update 18750 of 50000, Stored update 18750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.039026
Actual update 18800 of 50000, Stored update 18800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.426118
Actual update 18850 of 50000, Stored update 18850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.634218
Actual update 18900 of 50000, Stored update 18900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.130256
Actual update 18950 of 50000, Stored update 18950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.296292
Actual update 19000 of 50000, Stored update 19000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.671337
Actual update 19050 of 50000, Stored update 19050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.797607
Actual update 19100 of 50000, Stored update 19100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.303026
Actual update 19150 of 50000, Stored update 19150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2058.788716
Actual update 19200 of 50000, Stored update 19200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.192844
Actual update 19250 of 50000, Stored update 19250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.125257
Actual update 19300 of 50000, Stored update 19300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.139808
Actual update 19350 of 50000, Stored update 19350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.629477
Actual update 19400 of 50000, Stored update 19400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.299291
Actual update 19450 of 50000, Stored update 19450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.415450
Actual update 19500 of 50000, Stored update 19500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.190979
Actual update 19550 of 50000, Stored update 19550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.321546
Actual update 19600 of 50000, Stored update 19600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.029284
Actual update 19650 of 50000, Stored update 19650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.216113
Actual update 19700 of 50000, Stored update 19700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.843063
Actual update 19750 of 50000, Stored update 19750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.921958
Actual update 19800 of 50000, Stored update 19800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.465676
Actual update 19850 of 50000, Stored update 19850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.513698
Actual update 19900 of 50000, Stored update 19900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.318718
Actual update 19950 of 50000, Stored update 19950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.238336
Actual update 20000 of 50000, Stored update 20000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.829689
Actual update 20050 of 50000, Stored update 20050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.007309
Actual update 20100 of 50000, Stored update 20100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.217899
Actual update 20150 of 50000, Stored update 20150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.119467
Actual update 20200 of 50000, Stored update 20200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.554484
Actual update 20250 of 50000, Stored update 20250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.708663
Actual update 20300 of 50000, Stored update 20300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.297042
Actual update 20350 of 50000, Stored update 20350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.631337
Actual update 20400 of 50000, Stored update 20400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.550289
Actual update 20450 of 50000, Stored update 20450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.989821
Actual update 20500 of 50000, Stored update 20500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2061.652734
Actual update 20550 of 50000, Stored update 20550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.798411
Actual update 20600 of 50000, Stored update 20600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.494384
Actual update 20650 of 50000, Stored update 20650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.203074
Actual update 20700 of 50000, Stored update 20700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.641930
Actual update 20750 of 50000, Stored update 20750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.778726
Actual update 20800 of 50000, Stored update 20800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.537809
Actual update 20850 of 50000, Stored update 20850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.371461
Actual update 20900 of 50000, Stored update 20900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.378200
Actual update 20950 of 50000, Stored update 20950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.713918
Actual update 21000 of 50000, Stored update 21000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.987523
Actual update 21050 of 50000, Stored update 21050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.883838
Actual update 21100 of 50000, Stored update 21100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.412612
Actual update 21150 of 50000, Stored update 21150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.833540
Actual update 21200 of 50000, Stored update 21200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.879392
Actual update 21250 of 50000, Stored update 21250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.419080
Actual update 21300 of 50000, Stored update 21300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.958044
Actual update 21350 of 50000, Stored update 21350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.917904
Actual update 21400 of 50000, Stored update 21400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.719653
Actual update 21450 of 50000, Stored update 21450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.478821
Actual update 21500 of 50000, Stored update 21500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.870756
Actual update 21550 of 50000, Stored update 21550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.297259
Actual update 21600 of 50000, Stored update 21600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.332032
Actual update 21650 of 50000, Stored update 21650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.166280
Actual update 21700 of 50000, Stored update 21700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.842000
Actual update 21750 of 50000, Stored update 21750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.711757
Actual update 21800 of 50000, Stored update 21800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.984137
Actual update 21850 of 50000, Stored update 21850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.872990
Actual update 21900 of 50000, Stored update 21900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.915916
Actual update 21950 of 50000, Stored update 21950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.378988
Actual update 22000 of 50000, Stored update 22000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.457121
Actual update 22050 of 50000, Stored update 22050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.931417
Actual update 22100 of 50000, Stored update 22100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.954538
Actual update 22150 of 50000, Stored update 22150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.108916
Actual update 22200 of 50000, Stored update 22200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.049249
Actual update 22250 of 50000, Stored update 22250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.625667
Actual update 22300 of 50000, Stored update 22300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.702452
Actual update 22350 of 50000, Stored update 22350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.142386
Actual update 22400 of 50000, Stored update 22400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.033645
Actual update 22450 of 50000, Stored update 22450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.996908
Actual update 22500 of 50000, Stored update 22500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.506174
Actual update 22550 of 50000, Stored update 22550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1998.536153
Actual update 22600 of 50000, Stored update 22600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.100156
Actual update 22650 of 50000, Stored update 22650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.270418
Actual update 22700 of 50000, Stored update 22700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.082984
Actual update 22750 of 50000, Stored update 22750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.837450
Actual update 22800 of 50000, Stored update 22800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.202533
Actual update 22850 of 50000, Stored update 22850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.621437
Actual update 22900 of 50000, Stored update 22900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.251288
Actual update 22950 of 50000, Stored update 22950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.410147
Actual update 23000 of 50000, Stored update 23000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.460224
Actual update 23050 of 50000, Stored update 23050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.485714
Actual update 23100 of 50000, Stored update 23100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.757493
Actual update 23150 of 50000, Stored update 23150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.740873
Actual update 23200 of 50000, Stored update 23200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.831805
Actual update 23250 of 50000, Stored update 23250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.093125
Actual update 23300 of 50000, Stored update 23300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.262500
Actual update 23350 of 50000, Stored update 23350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.352936
Actual update 23400 of 50000, Stored update 23400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.016946
Actual update 23450 of 50000, Stored update 23450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.078269
Actual update 23500 of 50000, Stored update 23500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.103752
Actual update 23550 of 50000, Stored update 23550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.896945
Actual update 23600 of 50000, Stored update 23600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.221570
Actual update 23650 of 50000, Stored update 23650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.833514
Actual update 23700 of 50000, Stored update 23700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.234010
Actual update 23750 of 50000, Stored update 23750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.508255
Actual update 23800 of 50000, Stored update 23800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.475242
Actual update 23850 of 50000, Stored update 23850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.976463
Actual update 23900 of 50000, Stored update 23900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.509116
Actual update 23950 of 50000, Stored update 23950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.581439
Actual update 24000 of 50000, Stored update 24000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.405096
Actual update 24050 of 50000, Stored update 24050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.325201
Actual update 24100 of 50000, Stored update 24100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.163796
Actual update 24150 of 50000, Stored update 24150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.814478
Actual update 24200 of 50000, Stored update 24200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.772859
Actual update 24250 of 50000, Stored update 24250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.000530
Actual update 24300 of 50000, Stored update 24300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.887222
Actual update 24350 of 50000, Stored update 24350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.587311
Actual update 24400 of 50000, Stored update 24400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.341575
Actual update 24450 of 50000, Stored update 24450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.368913
Actual update 24500 of 50000, Stored update 24500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.348787
Actual update 24550 of 50000, Stored update 24550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.936925
Actual update 24600 of 50000, Stored update 24600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.117830
Actual update 24650 of 50000, Stored update 24650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1991.691926
Actual update 24700 of 50000, Stored update 24700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.957970
Actual update 24750 of 50000, Stored update 24750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.577077
Actual update 24800 of 50000, Stored update 24800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.207648
Actual update 24850 of 50000, Stored update 24850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.244359
Actual update 24900 of 50000, Stored update 24900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.607185
Actual update 24950 of 50000, Stored update 24950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.356427
Actual update 25000 of 50000, Stored update 25000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.782430
Actual update 25050 of 50000, Stored update 25050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.643048
Actual update 25100 of 50000, Stored update 25100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.643565
Actual update 25150 of 50000, Stored update 25150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.279450
Actual update 25200 of 50000, Stored update 25200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.850812
Actual update 25250 of 50000, Stored update 25250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.525315
Actual update 25300 of 50000, Stored update 25300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.073341
Actual update 25350 of 50000, Stored update 25350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.011244
Actual update 25400 of 50000, Stored update 25400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.391088
Actual update 25450 of 50000, Stored update 25450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.237655
Actual update 25500 of 50000, Stored update 25500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.185365
Actual update 25550 of 50000, Stored update 25550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.122208
Actual update 25600 of 50000, Stored update 25600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.886172
Actual update 25650 of 50000, Stored update 25650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.733525
Actual update 25700 of 50000, Stored update 25700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.158633
Actual update 25750 of 50000, Stored update 25750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.072483
Actual update 25800 of 50000, Stored update 25800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.323506
Actual update 25850 of 50000, Stored update 25850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.579809
Actual update 25900 of 50000, Stored update 25900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.975468
Actual update 25950 of 50000, Stored update 25950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.906628
Actual update 26000 of 50000, Stored update 26000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.863592
Actual update 26050 of 50000, Stored update 26050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.016433
Actual update 26100 of 50000, Stored update 26100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.973698
Actual update 26150 of 50000, Stored update 26150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.619924
Actual update 26200 of 50000, Stored update 26200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.980043
Actual update 26250 of 50000, Stored update 26250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.362750
Actual update 26300 of 50000, Stored update 26300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.108176
Actual update 26350 of 50000, Stored update 26350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.664634
Actual update 26400 of 50000, Stored update 26400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.056587
Actual update 26450 of 50000, Stored update 26450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.064436
Actual update 26500 of 50000, Stored update 26500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.965270
Actual update 26550 of 50000, Stored update 26550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.463226
Actual update 26600 of 50000, Stored update 26600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.534123
Actual update 26650 of 50000, Stored update 26650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.312428
Actual update 26700 of 50000, Stored update 26700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.375655
Actual update 26750 of 50000, Stored update 26750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.636766
Actual update 26800 of 50000, Stored update 26800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.046382
Actual update 26850 of 50000, Stored update 26850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.655474
Actual update 26900 of 50000, Stored update 26900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.877891
Actual update 26950 of 50000, Stored update 26950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.198197
Actual update 27000 of 50000, Stored update 27000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.165990
Actual update 27050 of 50000, Stored update 27050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.059962
Actual update 27100 of 50000, Stored update 27100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.100878
Actual update 27150 of 50000, Stored update 27150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.474159
Actual update 27200 of 50000, Stored update 27200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.553799
Actual update 27250 of 50000, Stored update 27250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.786158
Actual update 27300 of 50000, Stored update 27300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.442471
Actual update 27350 of 50000, Stored update 27350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.547610
Actual update 27400 of 50000, Stored update 27400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.642988
Actual update 27450 of 50000, Stored update 27450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.933106
Actual update 27500 of 50000, Stored update 27500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.612782
Actual update 27550 of 50000, Stored update 27550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.461986
Actual update 27600 of 50000, Stored update 27600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.825092
Actual update 27650 of 50000, Stored update 27650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.715641
Actual update 27700 of 50000, Stored update 27700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.039523
Actual update 27750 of 50000, Stored update 27750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.097335
Actual update 27800 of 50000, Stored update 27800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.590821
Actual update 27850 of 50000, Stored update 27850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.250330
Actual update 27900 of 50000, Stored update 27900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.096819
Actual update 27950 of 50000, Stored update 27950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.651381
Actual update 28000 of 50000, Stored update 28000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.422386
Actual update 28050 of 50000, Stored update 28050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.143784
Actual update 28100 of 50000, Stored update 28100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.556998
Actual update 28150 of 50000, Stored update 28150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.833925
Actual update 28200 of 50000, Stored update 28200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.172190
Actual update 28250 of 50000, Stored update 28250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.187656
Actual update 28300 of 50000, Stored update 28300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.888787
Actual update 28350 of 50000, Stored update 28350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.001589
Actual update 28400 of 50000, Stored update 28400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.313486
Actual update 28450 of 50000, Stored update 28450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.948878
Actual update 28500 of 50000, Stored update 28500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.991395
Actual update 28550 of 50000, Stored update 28550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.459262
Actual update 28600 of 50000, Stored update 28600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.896688
Actual update 28650 of 50000, Stored update 28650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.210638
Actual update 28700 of 50000, Stored update 28700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2054.332292
Actual update 28750 of 50000, Stored update 28750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.934651
Actual update 28800 of 50000, Stored update 28800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.269941
Actual update 28850 of 50000, Stored update 28850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2058.154442
Actual update 28900 of 50000, Stored update 28900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.408860
Actual update 28950 of 50000, Stored update 28950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.518151
Actual update 29000 of 50000, Stored update 29000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.064752
Actual update 29050 of 50000, Stored update 29050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.500883
Actual update 29100 of 50000, Stored update 29100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.933916
Actual update 29150 of 50000, Stored update 29150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.872329
Actual update 29200 of 50000, Stored update 29200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.342623
Actual update 29250 of 50000, Stored update 29250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.135474
Actual update 29300 of 50000, Stored update 29300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.299807
Actual update 29350 of 50000, Stored update 29350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.786972
Actual update 29400 of 50000, Stored update 29400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.844080
Actual update 29450 of 50000, Stored update 29450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.754027
Actual update 29500 of 50000, Stored update 29500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.665343
Actual update 29550 of 50000, Stored update 29550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2054.895530
Actual update 29600 of 50000, Stored update 29600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.091992
Actual update 29650 of 50000, Stored update 29650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.050823
Actual update 29700 of 50000, Stored update 29700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.322362
Actual update 29750 of 50000, Stored update 29750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.437601
Actual update 29800 of 50000, Stored update 29800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.825337
Actual update 29850 of 50000, Stored update 29850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.029624
Actual update 29900 of 50000, Stored update 29900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.688126
Actual update 29950 of 50000, Stored update 29950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.207902
Actual update 30000 of 50000, Stored update 30000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.647613
Actual update 30050 of 50000, Stored update 30050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.558507
Actual update 30100 of 50000, Stored update 30100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.714427
Actual update 30150 of 50000, Stored update 30150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.969780
Actual update 30200 of 50000, Stored update 30200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.883424
Actual update 30250 of 50000, Stored update 30250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.095223
Actual update 30300 of 50000, Stored update 30300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.003947
Actual update 30350 of 50000, Stored update 30350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.126118
Actual update 30400 of 50000, Stored update 30400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.386985
Actual update 30450 of 50000, Stored update 30450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.758693
Actual update 30500 of 50000, Stored update 30500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.565528
Actual update 30550 of 50000, Stored update 30550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.471918
Actual update 30600 of 50000, Stored update 30600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.215334
Actual update 30650 of 50000, Stored update 30650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.612602
Actual update 30700 of 50000, Stored update 30700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.244760
Actual update 30750 of 50000, Stored update 30750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.230300
Actual update 30800 of 50000, Stored update 30800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.921759
Actual update 30850 of 50000, Stored update 30850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.507917
Actual update 30900 of 50000, Stored update 30900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.717386
Actual update 30950 of 50000, Stored update 30950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.934526
Actual update 31000 of 50000, Stored update 31000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.463229
Actual update 31050 of 50000, Stored update 31050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.545666
Actual update 31100 of 50000, Stored update 31100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.774471
Actual update 31150 of 50000, Stored update 31150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.216914
Actual update 31200 of 50000, Stored update 31200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.743936
Actual update 31250 of 50000, Stored update 31250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.526409
Actual update 31300 of 50000, Stored update 31300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.804838
Actual update 31350 of 50000, Stored update 31350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.236009
Actual update 31400 of 50000, Stored update 31400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.176214
Actual update 31450 of 50000, Stored update 31450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.948382
Actual update 31500 of 50000, Stored update 31500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.742128
Actual update 31550 of 50000, Stored update 31550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.663246
Actual update 31600 of 50000, Stored update 31600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.837224
Actual update 31650 of 50000, Stored update 31650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.766455
Actual update 31700 of 50000, Stored update 31700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.139922
Actual update 31750 of 50000, Stored update 31750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.806316
Actual update 31800 of 50000, Stored update 31800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.127566
Actual update 31850 of 50000, Stored update 31850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.440566
Actual update 31900 of 50000, Stored update 31900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.794893
Actual update 31950 of 50000, Stored update 31950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.809760
Actual update 32000 of 50000, Stored update 32000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.234035
Actual update 32050 of 50000, Stored update 32050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.316071
Actual update 32100 of 50000, Stored update 32100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.690425
Actual update 32150 of 50000, Stored update 32150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.384874
Actual update 32200 of 50000, Stored update 32200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.251895
Actual update 32250 of 50000, Stored update 32250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.561388
Actual update 32300 of 50000, Stored update 32300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.286009
Actual update 32350 of 50000, Stored update 32350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.454394
Actual update 32400 of 50000, Stored update 32400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.873341
Actual update 32450 of 50000, Stored update 32450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.923481
Actual update 32500 of 50000, Stored update 32500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.285952
Actual update 32550 of 50000, Stored update 32550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.215552
Actual update 32600 of 50000, Stored update 32600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.615628
Actual update 32650 of 50000, Stored update 32650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.041092
Actual update 32700 of 50000, Stored update 32700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.335798
Actual update 32750 of 50000, Stored update 32750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.567009
Actual update 32800 of 50000, Stored update 32800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.344072
Actual update 32850 of 50000, Stored update 32850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.805148
Actual update 32900 of 50000, Stored update 32900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2065.911066
Actual update 32950 of 50000, Stored update 32950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.748687
Actual update 33000 of 50000, Stored update 33000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.790052
Actual update 33050 of 50000, Stored update 33050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.392551
Actual update 33100 of 50000, Stored update 33100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.840408
Actual update 33150 of 50000, Stored update 33150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.651039
Actual update 33200 of 50000, Stored update 33200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.203752
Actual update 33250 of 50000, Stored update 33250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.162289
Actual update 33300 of 50000, Stored update 33300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.899328
Actual update 33350 of 50000, Stored update 33350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.272893
Actual update 33400 of 50000, Stored update 33400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.133353
Actual update 33450 of 50000, Stored update 33450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.910970
Actual update 33500 of 50000, Stored update 33500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.668042
Actual update 33550 of 50000, Stored update 33550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.602031
Actual update 33600 of 50000, Stored update 33600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.567662
Actual update 33650 of 50000, Stored update 33650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.826167
Actual update 33700 of 50000, Stored update 33700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.892910
Actual update 33750 of 50000, Stored update 33750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.437660
Actual update 33800 of 50000, Stored update 33800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.304123
Actual update 33850 of 50000, Stored update 33850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.411436
Actual update 33900 of 50000, Stored update 33900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.516898
Actual update 33950 of 50000, Stored update 33950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.442053
Actual update 34000 of 50000, Stored update 34000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.132689
Actual update 34050 of 50000, Stored update 34050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.002467
Actual update 34100 of 50000, Stored update 34100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.509145
Actual update 34150 of 50000, Stored update 34150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.268230
Actual update 34200 of 50000, Stored update 34200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.806309
Actual update 34250 of 50000, Stored update 34250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.888060
Actual update 34300 of 50000, Stored update 34300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.210186
Actual update 34350 of 50000, Stored update 34350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.183300
Actual update 34400 of 50000, Stored update 34400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.711177
Actual update 34450 of 50000, Stored update 34450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.590024
Actual update 34500 of 50000, Stored update 34500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.707200
Actual update 34550 of 50000, Stored update 34550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.346941
Actual update 34600 of 50000, Stored update 34600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.124491
Actual update 34650 of 50000, Stored update 34650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.554540
Actual update 34700 of 50000, Stored update 34700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.692426
Actual update 34750 of 50000, Stored update 34750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.485486
Actual update 34800 of 50000, Stored update 34800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.386063
Actual update 34850 of 50000, Stored update 34850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.404578
Actual update 34900 of 50000, Stored update 34900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.241668
Actual update 34950 of 50000, Stored update 34950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.638545
Actual update 35000 of 50000, Stored update 35000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.249907
Actual update 35050 of 50000, Stored update 35050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.228639
Actual update 35100 of 50000, Stored update 35100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.916372
Actual update 35150 of 50000, Stored update 35150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.728918
Actual update 35200 of 50000, Stored update 35200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.155919
Actual update 35250 of 50000, Stored update 35250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.781903
Actual update 35300 of 50000, Stored update 35300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.777664
Actual update 35350 of 50000, Stored update 35350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.112985
Actual update 35400 of 50000, Stored update 35400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.543654
Actual update 35450 of 50000, Stored update 35450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.543863
Actual update 35500 of 50000, Stored update 35500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.621856
Actual update 35550 of 50000, Stored update 35550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.995045
Actual update 35600 of 50000, Stored update 35600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.961561
Actual update 35650 of 50000, Stored update 35650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.250078
Actual update 35700 of 50000, Stored update 35700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.847095
Actual update 35750 of 50000, Stored update 35750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.712559
Actual update 35800 of 50000, Stored update 35800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.558260
Actual update 35850 of 50000, Stored update 35850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.531753
Actual update 35900 of 50000, Stored update 35900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.539432
Actual update 35950 of 50000, Stored update 35950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.745555
Actual update 36000 of 50000, Stored update 36000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.492022
Actual update 36050 of 50000, Stored update 36050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.742131
Actual update 36100 of 50000, Stored update 36100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.804596
Actual update 36150 of 50000, Stored update 36150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.060104
Actual update 36200 of 50000, Stored update 36200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.724774
Actual update 36250 of 50000, Stored update 36250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.374630
Actual update 36300 of 50000, Stored update 36300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.786763
Actual update 36350 of 50000, Stored update 36350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.878331
Actual update 36400 of 50000, Stored update 36400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.349028
Actual update 36450 of 50000, Stored update 36450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.230308
Actual update 36500 of 50000, Stored update 36500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.708615
Actual update 36550 of 50000, Stored update 36550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.887650
Actual update 36600 of 50000, Stored update 36600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.384089
Actual update 36650 of 50000, Stored update 36650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.879072
Actual update 36700 of 50000, Stored update 36700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.549720
Actual update 36750 of 50000, Stored update 36750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.268618
Actual update 36800 of 50000, Stored update 36800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.380292
Actual update 36850 of 50000, Stored update 36850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.753287
Actual update 36900 of 50000, Stored update 36900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.258219
Actual update 36950 of 50000, Stored update 36950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.992462
Actual update 37000 of 50000, Stored update 37000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.330565
Actual update 37050 of 50000, Stored update 37050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.091143
Actual update 37100 of 50000, Stored update 37100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.444005
Actual update 37150 of 50000, Stored update 37150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.304545
Actual update 37200 of 50000, Stored update 37200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.952415
Actual update 37250 of 50000, Stored update 37250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2075.194015
Actual update 37300 of 50000, Stored update 37300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.573527
Actual update 37350 of 50000, Stored update 37350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.333792
Actual update 37400 of 50000, Stored update 37400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.143192
Actual update 37450 of 50000, Stored update 37450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.066672
Actual update 37500 of 50000, Stored update 37500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.674482
Actual update 37550 of 50000, Stored update 37550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.955581
Actual update 37600 of 50000, Stored update 37600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.837388
Actual update 37650 of 50000, Stored update 37650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.254172
Actual update 37700 of 50000, Stored update 37700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.122077
Actual update 37750 of 50000, Stored update 37750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.497936
Actual update 37800 of 50000, Stored update 37800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.134722
Actual update 37850 of 50000, Stored update 37850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.609892
Actual update 37900 of 50000, Stored update 37900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.112608
Actual update 37950 of 50000, Stored update 37950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.884544
Actual update 38000 of 50000, Stored update 38000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.339752
Actual update 38050 of 50000, Stored update 38050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.812981
Actual update 38100 of 50000, Stored update 38100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.747638
Actual update 38150 of 50000, Stored update 38150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.079108
Actual update 38200 of 50000, Stored update 38200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.424061
Actual update 38250 of 50000, Stored update 38250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.827626
Actual update 38300 of 50000, Stored update 38300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.280844
Actual update 38350 of 50000, Stored update 38350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.639716
Actual update 38400 of 50000, Stored update 38400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.475299
Actual update 38450 of 50000, Stored update 38450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.781203
Actual update 38500 of 50000, Stored update 38500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.869171
Actual update 38550 of 50000, Stored update 38550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.922835
Actual update 38600 of 50000, Stored update 38600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.755373
Actual update 38650 of 50000, Stored update 38650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.355648
Actual update 38700 of 50000, Stored update 38700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1997.774138
Actual update 38750 of 50000, Stored update 38750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.848795
Actual update 38800 of 50000, Stored update 38800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1999.394890
Actual update 38850 of 50000, Stored update 38850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.043175
Actual update 38900 of 50000, Stored update 38900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.756970
Actual update 38950 of 50000, Stored update 38950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.715220
Actual update 39000 of 50000, Stored update 39000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.328335
Actual update 39050 of 50000, Stored update 39050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.632563
Actual update 39100 of 50000, Stored update 39100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.936961
Actual update 39150 of 50000, Stored update 39150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.045111
Actual update 39200 of 50000, Stored update 39200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.827157
Actual update 39250 of 50000, Stored update 39250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.958418
Actual update 39300 of 50000, Stored update 39300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.822968
Actual update 39350 of 50000, Stored update 39350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.156695
Actual update 39400 of 50000, Stored update 39400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.898440
Actual update 39450 of 50000, Stored update 39450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.153396
Actual update 39500 of 50000, Stored update 39500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1999.465041
Actual update 39550 of 50000, Stored update 39550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.681176
Actual update 39600 of 50000, Stored update 39600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.740779
Actual update 39650 of 50000, Stored update 39650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.188946
Actual update 39700 of 50000, Stored update 39700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.593826
Actual update 39750 of 50000, Stored update 39750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.363840
Actual update 39800 of 50000, Stored update 39800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.733491
Actual update 39850 of 50000, Stored update 39850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.112156
Actual update 39900 of 50000, Stored update 39900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.745785
Actual update 39950 of 50000, Stored update 39950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.016435
Actual update 40000 of 50000, Stored update 40000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.591972
Actual update 40050 of 50000, Stored update 40050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.167102
Actual update 40100 of 50000, Stored update 40100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.951471
Actual update 40150 of 50000, Stored update 40150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.121637
Actual update 40200 of 50000, Stored update 40200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.208428
Actual update 40250 of 50000, Stored update 40250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.770169
Actual update 40300 of 50000, Stored update 40300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.281877
Actual update 40350 of 50000, Stored update 40350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.535441
Actual update 40400 of 50000, Stored update 40400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.466470
Actual update 40450 of 50000, Stored update 40450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.817348
Actual update 40500 of 50000, Stored update 40500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.392482
Actual update 40550 of 50000, Stored update 40550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.958351
Actual update 40600 of 50000, Stored update 40600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.403825
Actual update 40650 of 50000, Stored update 40650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.694958
Actual update 40700 of 50000, Stored update 40700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.559333
Actual update 40750 of 50000, Stored update 40750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.855375
Actual update 40800 of 50000, Stored update 40800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.256905
Actual update 40850 of 50000, Stored update 40850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.684507
Actual update 40900 of 50000, Stored update 40900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.091320
Actual update 40950 of 50000, Stored update 40950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.669319
Actual update 41000 of 50000, Stored update 41000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.750037
Actual update 41050 of 50000, Stored update 41050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.171526
Actual update 41100 of 50000, Stored update 41100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.851475
Actual update 41150 of 50000, Stored update 41150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.414673
Actual update 41200 of 50000, Stored update 41200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.658808
Actual update 41250 of 50000, Stored update 41250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.790279
Actual update 41300 of 50000, Stored update 41300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.020653
Actual update 41350 of 50000, Stored update 41350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.587979
Actual update 41400 of 50000, Stored update 41400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.797102
Actual update 41450 of 50000, Stored update 41450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.345550
Actual update 41500 of 50000, Stored update 41500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.466033
Actual update 41550 of 50000, Stored update 41550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.279318
Actual update 41600 of 50000, Stored update 41600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.739819
Actual update 41650 of 50000, Stored update 41650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.757356
Actual update 41700 of 50000, Stored update 41700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.085194
Actual update 41750 of 50000, Stored update 41750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.850221
Actual update 41800 of 50000, Stored update 41800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.793139
Actual update 41850 of 50000, Stored update 41850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.418480
Actual update 41900 of 50000, Stored update 41900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.870710
Actual update 41950 of 50000, Stored update 41950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.915664
Actual update 42000 of 50000, Stored update 42000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.174266
Actual update 42050 of 50000, Stored update 42050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.954900
Actual update 42100 of 50000, Stored update 42100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.934770
Actual update 42150 of 50000, Stored update 42150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.199983
Actual update 42200 of 50000, Stored update 42200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.986348
Actual update 42250 of 50000, Stored update 42250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.189899
Actual update 42300 of 50000, Stored update 42300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.483021
Actual update 42350 of 50000, Stored update 42350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.001946
Actual update 42400 of 50000, Stored update 42400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.040678
Actual update 42450 of 50000, Stored update 42450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.511000
Actual update 42500 of 50000, Stored update 42500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.599745
Actual update 42550 of 50000, Stored update 42550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.898332
Actual update 42600 of 50000, Stored update 42600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.908886
Actual update 42650 of 50000, Stored update 42650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.688034
Actual update 42700 of 50000, Stored update 42700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.179470
Actual update 42750 of 50000, Stored update 42750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.910642
Actual update 42800 of 50000, Stored update 42800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.694134
Actual update 42850 of 50000, Stored update 42850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.972223
Actual update 42900 of 50000, Stored update 42900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.545902
Actual update 42950 of 50000, Stored update 42950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.449991
Actual update 43000 of 50000, Stored update 43000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.458453
Actual update 43050 of 50000, Stored update 43050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.672595
Actual update 43100 of 50000, Stored update 43100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.080301
Actual update 43150 of 50000, Stored update 43150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.717773
Actual update 43200 of 50000, Stored update 43200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.695751
Actual update 43250 of 50000, Stored update 43250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.193917
Actual update 43300 of 50000, Stored update 43300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.766419
Actual update 43350 of 50000, Stored update 43350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.528811
Actual update 43400 of 50000, Stored update 43400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.847272
Actual update 43450 of 50000, Stored update 43450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.373825
Actual update 43500 of 50000, Stored update 43500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.577122
Actual update 43550 of 50000, Stored update 43550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.760958
Actual update 43600 of 50000, Stored update 43600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.891545
Actual update 43650 of 50000, Stored update 43650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.187268
Actual update 43700 of 50000, Stored update 43700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.349254
Actual update 43750 of 50000, Stored update 43750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.805339
Actual update 43800 of 50000, Stored update 43800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.275009
Actual update 43850 of 50000, Stored update 43850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.402160
Actual update 43900 of 50000, Stored update 43900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.711559
Actual update 43950 of 50000, Stored update 43950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.087914
Actual update 44000 of 50000, Stored update 44000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.224443
Actual update 44050 of 50000, Stored update 44050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.316636
Actual update 44100 of 50000, Stored update 44100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.559270
Actual update 44150 of 50000, Stored update 44150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.495228
Actual update 44200 of 50000, Stored update 44200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.645084
Actual update 44250 of 50000, Stored update 44250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.738746
Actual update 44300 of 50000, Stored update 44300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.301008
Actual update 44350 of 50000, Stored update 44350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.446631
Actual update 44400 of 50000, Stored update 44400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.243441
Actual update 44450 of 50000, Stored update 44450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.113229
Actual update 44500 of 50000, Stored update 44500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.907017
Actual update 44550 of 50000, Stored update 44550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.351288
Actual update 44600 of 50000, Stored update 44600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.785908
Actual update 44650 of 50000, Stored update 44650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.901110
Actual update 44700 of 50000, Stored update 44700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.245298
Actual update 44750 of 50000, Stored update 44750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.574834
Actual update 44800 of 50000, Stored update 44800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.023806
Actual update 44850 of 50000, Stored update 44850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.927366
Actual update 44900 of 50000, Stored update 44900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.216170
Actual update 44950 of 50000, Stored update 44950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.368722
Actual update 45000 of 50000, Stored update 45000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2059.069358
Actual update 45050 of 50000, Stored update 45050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.987221
Actual update 45100 of 50000, Stored update 45100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.090789
Actual update 45150 of 50000, Stored update 45150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2060.729609
Actual update 45200 of 50000, Stored update 45200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.302096
Actual update 45250 of 50000, Stored update 45250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.658457
Actual update 45300 of 50000, Stored update 45300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.981271
Actual update 45350 of 50000, Stored update 45350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.759063
Actual update 45400 of 50000, Stored update 45400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2064.403063
Actual update 45450 of 50000, Stored update 45450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.347891
Actual update 45500 of 50000, Stored update 45500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.995888
Actual update 45550 of 50000, Stored update 45550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.331928
Actual update 45600 of 50000, Stored update 45600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.508632
Actual update 45650 of 50000, Stored update 45650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.357284
Actual update 45700 of 50000, Stored update 45700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.042054
Actual update 45750 of 50000, Stored update 45750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.543384
Actual update 45800 of 50000, Stored update 45800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.822279
Actual update 45850 of 50000, Stored update 45850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.704484
Actual update 45900 of 50000, Stored update 45900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.593065
Actual update 45950 of 50000, Stored update 45950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.927347
Actual update 46000 of 50000, Stored update 46000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.988126
Actual update 46050 of 50000, Stored update 46050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.788926
Actual update 46100 of 50000, Stored update 46100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.395777
Actual update 46150 of 50000, Stored update 46150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.210536
Actual update 46200 of 50000, Stored update 46200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.359645
Actual update 46250 of 50000, Stored update 46250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.013211
Actual update 46300 of 50000, Stored update 46300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.433046
Actual update 46350 of 50000, Stored update 46350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.669881
Actual update 46400 of 50000, Stored update 46400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.630217
Actual update 46450 of 50000, Stored update 46450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.097759
Actual update 46500 of 50000, Stored update 46500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.672745
Actual update 46550 of 50000, Stored update 46550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.766552
Actual update 46600 of 50000, Stored update 46600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.949999
Actual update 46650 of 50000, Stored update 46650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.998057
Actual update 46700 of 50000, Stored update 46700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.927533
Actual update 46750 of 50000, Stored update 46750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.734667
Actual update 46800 of 50000, Stored update 46800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.133484
Actual update 46850 of 50000, Stored update 46850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.723120
Actual update 46900 of 50000, Stored update 46900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.813008
Actual update 46950 of 50000, Stored update 46950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.664727
Actual update 47000 of 50000, Stored update 47000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.724640
Actual update 47050 of 50000, Stored update 47050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.699672
Actual update 47100 of 50000, Stored update 47100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1996.590977
Actual update 47150 of 50000, Stored update 47150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.916443
Actual update 47200 of 50000, Stored update 47200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.479291
Actual update 47250 of 50000, Stored update 47250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.639030
Actual update 47300 of 50000, Stored update 47300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.036920
Actual update 47350 of 50000, Stored update 47350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.623404
Actual update 47400 of 50000, Stored update 47400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.028463
Actual update 47450 of 50000, Stored update 47450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.483972
Actual update 47500 of 50000, Stored update 47500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.943529
Actual update 47550 of 50000, Stored update 47550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.590870
Actual update 47600 of 50000, Stored update 47600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.658297
Actual update 47650 of 50000, Stored update 47650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.727300
Actual update 47700 of 50000, Stored update 47700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.656429
Actual update 47750 of 50000, Stored update 47750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.235384
Actual update 47800 of 50000, Stored update 47800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.984444
Actual update 47850 of 50000, Stored update 47850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.507086
Actual update 47900 of 50000, Stored update 47900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.998995
Actual update 47950 of 50000, Stored update 47950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.484956
Actual update 48000 of 50000, Stored update 48000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.875031
Actual update 48050 of 50000, Stored update 48050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.960375
Actual update 48100 of 50000, Stored update 48100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.200710
Actual update 48150 of 50000, Stored update 48150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.702540
Actual update 48200 of 50000, Stored update 48200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.640186
Actual update 48250 of 50000, Stored update 48250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.237050
Actual update 48300 of 50000, Stored update 48300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.659241
Actual update 48350 of 50000, Stored update 48350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1997.837629
Actual update 48400 of 50000, Stored update 48400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.019885
Actual update 48450 of 50000, Stored update 48450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.183936
Actual update 48500 of 50000, Stored update 48500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.905991
Actual update 48550 of 50000, Stored update 48550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.732850
Actual update 48600 of 50000, Stored update 48600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.551474
Actual update 48650 of 50000, Stored update 48650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.931265
Actual update 48700 of 50000, Stored update 48700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.558425
Actual update 48750 of 50000, Stored update 48750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.124675
Actual update 48800 of 50000, Stored update 48800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.483582
Actual update 48850 of 50000, Stored update 48850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.830699
Actual update 48900 of 50000, Stored update 48900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.639293
Actual update 48950 of 50000, Stored update 48950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.239411
Actual update 49000 of 50000, Stored update 49000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.175982
Actual update 49050 of 50000, Stored update 49050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.911070
Actual update 49100 of 50000, Stored update 49100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.343699
Actual update 49150 of 50000, Stored update 49150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.700514
Actual update 49200 of 50000, Stored update 49200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.639031
Actual update 49250 of 50000, Stored update 49250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.741730
Actual update 49300 of 50000, Stored update 49300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.927702
Actual update 49350 of 50000, Stored update 49350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.183538
Actual update 49400 of 50000, Stored update 49400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.001021
Actual update 49450 of 50000, Stored update 49450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.316294
Actual update 49500 of 50000, Stored update 49500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.920262
Actual update 49550 of 50000, Stored update 49550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.246368
Actual update 49600 of 50000, Stored update 49600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.524937
Actual update 49650 of 50000, Stored update 49650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.771256
Actual update 49700 of 50000, Stored update 49700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.712546
Actual update 49750 of 50000, Stored update 49750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.169753
Actual update 49800 of 50000, Stored update 49800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.671889
Actual update 49850 of 50000, Stored update 49850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.298350
Actual update 49900 of 50000, Stored update 49900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.323707
Actual update 49950 of 50000, Stored update 49950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.607438
Actual update 50000 of 50000, Stored update 50000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.710690
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =          50000
Average =          2027.8
S.D.    =          12.641
S.E.M.  =        0.056532

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Poisson) 
        N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
region 78   1 4.538462  13         78            1      4.538462           13
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 8.64s 
Number of obs:  354 (from total 354)          Number of iter.: 50000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
2027.787   1964.600   63.188     2090.975   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
log(obs) ~ 0 + nation + nation:uvbi + offset(log(exp)) + (1 | 
    region)
Level 2: region     Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
                            Coef.   Std. Err.       z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
nationBelgium             0.69615     0.74129    0.94      0.3477         -0.76287     2.15669   4989 
nationW_Germany           0.48770     0.12057    4.05    5.23e-05  ***     0.25931     0.72294    688 
nationDenmark             0.32311     0.88176    0.37       0.714         -1.42235     2.02290   4565 
nationFrance             -0.59463     0.05400  -11.01   3.325e-28  ***    -0.70352    -0.49111   1819 
nationUK                  0.61434     0.21087    2.91    0.003576  **      0.19285     1.02368    762 
nationItaly               0.28011     0.10735    2.61    0.009071  **      0.06601     0.48781   1181 
nationIreland            -0.48224     1.30868   -0.37      0.7125         -3.01877     2.12072   6516 
nationLuxembourg         17.47121    16.21958    1.08      0.2814        -11.12882    52.56874   2319 
nationNetherlands        -0.34889     0.93457   -0.37      0.7089         -2.18004     1.52978   2126 
nationBelgium:uvbi        0.26261     0.25068    1.05      0.2948         -0.23113     0.75639   5070 
nationW_Germany:uvbi     -0.01266     0.03231   -0.39      0.6951         -0.07589     0.04984   1031 
nationDenmark:uvbi       -0.08233     0.15519   -0.53      0.5958         -0.38783     0.21784   4620 
nationFrance:uvbi         0.01275     0.01838    0.69      0.4878         -0.02336     0.04866   1711 
nationUK:uvbi             0.14249     0.04333    3.29    0.001007  **      0.05571     0.22618    871 
nationItaly:uvbi         -0.08732     0.01589   -5.49   3.912e-08  ***    -0.11828    -0.05589   1454 
nationIreland:uvbi        0.01141     0.26379    0.04      0.9655         -0.49319     0.53881   6371 
nationLuxembourg:uvbi     7.62210     7.08305    1.08      0.2819         -4.85573    22.96136   2279 
nationNetherlands:uvbi   -0.11345     0.22462   -0.51      0.6135         -0.55407     0.33850   2121 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the region level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.03719     0.00919      0.02251     0.05843   3456 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
                Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]     ESS 
var_bcons_1   1.00000     0.00000      1.00000     1.00000   50000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> sixway(mymodel@chains[, "FP_nationBelgium", drop = FALSE], acf.maxlag = 100, "beta_1")
> 
> # 23.5 An Ordered multinomial example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .368
> 
> ## Read alevchem data
> data(alevchem, package = "R2MLwiN")
> 
> # Note: Establishment codes on their own do not uniquely identify schools.
> # Schools are instead uniquely identified by LEA code, establishment ID
> # combination. Thus, here we generated a unique school ID.
> alevchem$school <- as.numeric(factor(paste0(alevchem$lea, alevchem$estab)))
> 
> alevchem$gcseav <- alevchem$gcse_tot/alevchem$gcse_no - 6
> 
> ## MCMC
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(logit(a_point, cons, 6) ~ 1 + gcseav[1:5] + I(gcseav^2)[1:5] + gender[1:5] + (1[1:5] | school),
+   D = "Ordered Multinomial", estoptions = list(EstM = 1), data = alevchem))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3
iteration 4
iteration 5
iteration 6

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 2 1 1 7
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5789.899888
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5798.591468
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5782.197552
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5803.659812
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5852.144273
Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5791.659275
Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5846.574118
Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5817.834445
Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5787.698398
Adapting finished and took 1000 iterations
Adapting took 1000 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5847.106255
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5817.575825
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5839.723143
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5827.648428
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5862.546594
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5819.037013
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5826.427682
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5803.642416
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5813.180007
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5822.102395

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 7
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5814.689702
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5829.720884
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5816.423730
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5857.263805
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5788.008912
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5864.737607
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5800.075239
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5857.578030
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5780.085613
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5822.922313
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5811.111919
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5762.614336
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5814.173689
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5792.049614
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5802.183198
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5816.093143
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5816.665909
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5837.944063
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5799.276479
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5764.566510
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5771.812774
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5798.548007
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5807.415872
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5803.842697
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5821.984343
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5796.912804
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5786.489264
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5810.903353
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5813.179311
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5818.492211
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5814.637259
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5828.953520
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5834.093315
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5806.582846
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5770.851843
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5772.011475
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5826.926824
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5830.713320
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5834.287579
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5809.099476
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5817.033039
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5787.719926
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5783.709919
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5826.270697
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5779.268104
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5774.740863
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5817.847067
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5820.065879
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5828.127377
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5826.576368
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5831.921271
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5805.884577
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5845.209646
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5826.313031
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5823.386810
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5837.851990
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5782.180793
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5821.855672
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5844.079044
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5812.991640
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5798.105264
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5794.736757
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5826.469384
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5837.590276
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5816.796428
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5787.984615
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5802.141861
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5824.298636
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5778.745296
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5803.974337
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5813.814568
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5826.748841
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5787.181678
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5813.017360
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5801.032513
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5790.592127
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5862.170307
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5799.174816
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5826.906803
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5827.778873
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5860.584377
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5835.084573
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5814.642795
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5818.375436
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5789.706617
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5835.348809
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5807.155352
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5827.237008
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5831.664787
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5845.382166
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5830.520355
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5801.706739
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5839.311568
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5795.733066
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5815.447959
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5826.935271
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5850.942926
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5791.888938
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5792.398943
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5811.484267
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          5814.8
S.D.    =          23.134
S.E.M.  =         0.32717

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Multinomial) 
         N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
school 220   1 9.845455  94        220            1      9.845455           94
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 12.78s 
Number of obs:  2166 (from total 2166)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
5814.819   5692.565   122.253    5937.072   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
logit(a_point, cons, 6) ~ 1 + gcseav[1:5] + I(gcseav^2)[1:5] + 
    gender[1:5] + (1[1:5] | school)
Level 2: school     Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
                        Coef.   Std. Err.       z     Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
Intercept_F          -1.93053     0.11114  -17.37    1.387e-67  ***    -2.15321    -1.72481    84 
Intercept_E          -0.77288     0.10381   -7.45    9.682e-14  ***    -0.97876    -0.57760    64 
Intercept_D           0.29717     0.10367    2.87      0.00415  **      0.09871     0.49680    59 
Intercept_C           1.55949     0.11150   13.99    1.881e-44  ***     1.34153     1.77609    78 
Intercept_B           3.36283     0.13169   25.54   7.768e-144  ***     3.09880     3.61510    90 
gcseav_12345         -2.26915     0.07218  -31.44   6.215e-217  ***    -2.41140    -2.12468   280 
I(gcseav^2)_12345    -0.45817     0.04577  -10.01    1.375e-23  ***    -0.54707    -0.36460   383 
genderfemale_12345    0.74993     0.09208    8.14      3.8e-16  ***     0.57221     0.93418   315 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the school level: 
                        Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
var_Intercept_12345   0.64392     0.13723      0.41543     0.96019   198 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
             Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
bcons_1    1.00000       1e-05      1.00000     1.00000   5000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> trajectories(mymodel)
dev.new(): using pdf(file="Rplots4.pdf")
> 
> ## Orthogonal update
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(logit(a_point, cons, 6) ~ 1 + gcseav[1:5] + I(gcseav^2)[1:5] + gender[1:5] + (1[1:5] | school),
+   D = "Ordered Multinomial", estoptions = list(EstM = 1, mcmcOptions = list(orth = 1)), data = alevchem))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3
iteration 4
iteration 5
iteration 6

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 2 1 1 7
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5836.587216
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5788.828013
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5814.774332
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5808.843288
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5799.055078
Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5800.432599
Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5804.148552
Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 5837.776516
Adapting finished and took 900 iterations
Adapting took 900 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5817.089996
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5837.185339
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5826.879975
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5810.923592
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5814.929137
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5777.445029
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5816.389447
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5815.671099
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5793.539187
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 5779.092678

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 7
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5798.035279
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5816.518325
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5793.375928
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5836.752142
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5819.893029
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5834.260208
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5815.998259
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5819.658998
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5866.086625
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5869.057996
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5798.630741
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5796.350846
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5861.981205
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5834.451238
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5808.949114
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5838.842213
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5810.997165
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5804.052706
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5823.744262
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5797.542324
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5835.945486
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5800.808405
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5830.299693
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5830.303917
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5784.638234
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5763.231794
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5803.892194
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5839.788331
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5835.975201
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5840.822081
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5816.029237
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5830.462862
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5803.791074
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5789.464259
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5839.581616
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5836.429248
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5819.797046
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5802.267487
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5782.803326
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5784.566431
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5830.572465
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5853.431458
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5835.035385
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5809.825911
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5803.461334
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5832.284182
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5791.578508
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5806.316146
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5845.637226
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5824.723594
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5822.191974
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5868.979742
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5822.579472
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5800.366331
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5793.835263
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5804.944735
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5853.461317
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5799.446113
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5802.588435
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5835.132516
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5821.311753
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5783.378148
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5801.463383
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5799.405012
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5822.839427
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5821.214683
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5774.403212
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5802.599161
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5817.093856
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5838.172353
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5847.969931
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5847.568807
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5821.901325
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5796.533102
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5817.935925
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5830.839271
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5784.323713
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5814.672947
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5821.458862
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5807.854232
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5853.001475
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5757.650578
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5802.125566
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5800.427440
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5817.851986
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5818.491038
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5815.496898
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5770.339745
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5809.676589
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5783.296564
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5799.154248
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5836.628538
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5798.541675
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5785.214544
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5819.983470
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5788.286829
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5836.869095
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5801.480994
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5775.176888
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 5825.014242
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          5814.2
S.D.    =          22.997
S.E.M.  =         0.32523

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Multinomial) 
         N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
school 220   1 9.845455  94        220            1      9.845455           94
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 12.06s 
Number of obs:  2166 (from total 2166)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
5814.176   5692.966   121.210    5935.386   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
logit(a_point, cons, 6) ~ 1 + gcseav[1:5] + I(gcseav^2)[1:5] + 
    gender[1:5] + (1[1:5] | school)
Level 2: school     Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
                        Coef.   Std. Err.       z     Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
Intercept_F          -1.91621     0.10858  -17.65    1.059e-69  ***    -2.13989    -1.71018   274 
Intercept_E          -0.75823     0.09767   -7.76    8.297e-15  ***    -0.95531    -0.56917   197 
Intercept_D           0.30837     0.09787    3.15     0.001629  **      0.11017     0.50395   148 
Intercept_C           1.57217     0.10194   15.42    1.146e-53  ***     1.37769     1.77769   207 
Intercept_B           3.37416     0.12778   26.41     1.2e-153  ***     3.13491     3.63448   285 
gcseav_12345         -2.26449     0.07281  -31.10   2.338e-212  ***    -2.40763    -2.12276   354 
I(gcseav^2)_12345    -0.45689     0.04508  -10.13    3.894e-24  ***    -0.54387    -0.36692   858 
genderfemale_12345    0.74172     0.09471    7.83    4.811e-15  ***     0.55680     0.92907   704 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the school level: 
                        Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
var_Intercept_12345   0.63812     0.13295      0.41353     0.92288   197 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
             Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
bcons_1    1.00000       1e-05      1.00000     1.00000   5000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> trajectories(mymodel)
dev.new(): using pdf(file="Rplots5.pdf")
> 
> # 23.6 The WinBUGS interface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 372
> 
> ## Read bang1 data
> data(bang1, package = "R2MLwiN")
> 
> ## Orthogonal update (WinBUGS)
> 
> mymodel <- runMLwiN(logit(use) ~ 1 + age + lc + urban + (1 + urban | district), D = "Binomial", estoptions = list(EstM = 1,
+   mcmcOptions = list(orth = 1), show.file = TRUE), BUGO = c(version = 4, n.chains = 1, debug = FALSE, seed = 1,
+   OpenBugs = TRUE), data = bang1)
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3
iteration 4
iteration 5

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0
Execution completed

Loading required namespace: BRugs
Welcome to BRugs connected to OpenBUGS version 3.2.3
model is syntactically correct
data loaded
model compiled
Initializing chain 1: 
model is initialized
model is already initialized
Sampling has been started ...
500 updates took 6 s
deviance set
monitor set for variable 'beta'
monitor set for variable 'u2'
monitor set for variable 'sigma2.u2'
monitor set for variable 'deviance'
5000 updates took 50 s
> 
> summary(mymodel)

Iterations = 501:5500
Thinning interval = 1 
Number of chains = 1 
Sample size per chain = 5000 

1. Empirical mean and standard deviation for each variable,
   plus standard error of the mean:

                     Mean        SD  Naive SE Time-series SE
beta[1]        -1.715e+00  0.161737 0.0022873      0.0044932
beta[2]        -2.649e-02  0.008121 0.0001149      0.0001302
beta[3]         1.127e+00  0.158398 0.0022401      0.0024429
beta[4]         1.362e+00  0.179062 0.0025323      0.0028315
beta[5]         1.354e+00  0.184455 0.0026086      0.0029477
beta[6]         8.217e-01  0.174342 0.0024656      0.0055565
deviance        2.329e+03 14.061589 0.1988609      0.3623979
sigma2.u2[1,1]  4.270e-01  0.142976 0.0020220      0.0051808
sigma2.u2[1,2] -4.376e-01  0.186866 0.0026427      0.0074331
sigma2.u2[2,1] -4.376e-01  0.186866 0.0026427      0.0074331
sigma2.u2[2,2]  7.242e-01  0.335500 0.0047447      0.0158835
u2[1,1]        -9.437e-01  0.340535 0.0048159      0.0081556
u2[1,2]         3.881e-01  0.425882 0.0060229      0.0100550
u2[10,1]       -5.652e-01  0.500595 0.0070795      0.0101461
u2[10,2]        5.771e-01  0.739999 0.0104652      0.0156596
u2[11,1]       -1.052e+00  0.512090 0.0072420      0.0130452
u2[11,2]        1.077e+00  0.783403 0.0110790      0.0223467
u2[12,1]        6.429e-03  0.385035 0.0054452      0.0071094
u2[12,2]       -2.027e-01  0.585753 0.0082838      0.0105258
u2[13,1]        2.988e-01  0.422823 0.0059796      0.0067662
u2[13,2]       -4.200e-01  0.605491 0.0085629      0.0112670
u2[14,1]        1.217e-02  0.411010 0.0058126      0.0093144
u2[14,2]        6.322e-01  0.473307 0.0066936      0.0108839
u2[15,1]        1.063e-01  0.435289 0.0061559      0.0071481
u2[15,2]       -2.833e-01  0.605923 0.0085690      0.0098839
u2[16,1]        6.103e-01  0.411164 0.0058147      0.0078694
u2[16,2]       -3.962e-01  0.648364 0.0091693      0.0117482
u2[17,1]       -1.824e-01  0.376445 0.0053237      0.0072357
u2[17,2]        1.760e-01  0.648104 0.0091656      0.0117183
u2[18,1]       -1.986e-01  0.345470 0.0048857      0.0065270
u2[18,2]        2.684e-01  0.501480 0.0070920      0.0086584
u2[19,1]       -1.313e-02  0.387739 0.0054835      0.0070157
u2[19,2]        2.256e-01  0.603561 0.0085356      0.0106861
u2[2,1]        -4.015e-02  0.391164 0.0055319      0.0065735
u2[2,2]         4.961e-02  0.637372 0.0090138      0.0093664
u2[20,1]        2.748e-01  0.443490 0.0062719      0.0071472
u2[20,2]       -2.675e-01  0.691048 0.0097729      0.0112429
u2[21,1]        6.314e-01  0.492240 0.0069613      0.0100450
u2[21,2]       -1.145e+00  0.716700 0.0101357      0.0206954
u2[22,1]       -4.994e-01  0.406935 0.0057549      0.0076907
u2[22,2]        4.906e-01  0.684362 0.0096783      0.0133105
u2[23,1]       -2.163e-01  0.435868 0.0061641      0.0073150
u2[23,2]        2.085e-01  0.676374 0.0095654      0.0108249
u2[24,1]       -7.062e-01  0.506294 0.0071601      0.0102616
u2[24,2]        7.339e-01  0.748781 0.0105894      0.0172115
u2[25,1]        3.136e-01  0.285330 0.0040352      0.0055322
u2[25,2]       -3.750e-01  0.452588 0.0064006      0.0083737
u2[26,1]        2.325e-02  0.441454 0.0062431      0.0075691
u2[26,2]       -3.476e-02  0.683644 0.0096682      0.0120217
u2[27,1]       -6.186e-01  0.377000 0.0053316      0.0096158
u2[27,2]        5.636e-01  0.603085 0.0085289      0.0134791
u2[28,1]       -3.284e-01  0.318236 0.0045005      0.0063268
u2[28,2]        6.427e-02  0.559452 0.0079118      0.0105248
u2[29,1]       -3.304e-01  0.397029 0.0056148      0.0091531
u2[29,2]        4.845e-01  0.591055 0.0083588      0.0124973
u2[3,1]        -2.004e-02  0.658875 0.0093179      0.0099826
u2[3,2]         2.587e-01  0.845488 0.0119570      0.0152638
u2[30,1]        3.439e-01  0.300293 0.0042468      0.0062545
u2[30,2]        7.712e-02  0.486518 0.0068804      0.0106356
u2[31,1]        3.862e-01  0.339470 0.0048008      0.0061744
u2[31,2]       -3.826e-01  0.555621 0.0078577      0.0087413
u2[32,1]       -5.122e-01  0.394200 0.0055748      0.0075414
u2[32,2]        5.050e-01  0.665444 0.0094108      0.0117421
u2[33,1]       -4.320e-01  0.518119 0.0073273      0.0093640
u2[33,2]        5.953e-01  0.680758 0.0096274      0.0124427
u2[34,1]        1.241e+00  0.392184 0.0055463      0.0095926
u2[34,2]       -1.439e+00  0.615026 0.0086978      0.0182104
u2[35,1]        2.992e-01  0.344245 0.0048684      0.0066649
u2[35,2]       -2.178e-01  0.489222 0.0069186      0.0079296
u2[36,1]       -4.661e-02  0.426563 0.0060325      0.0071181
u2[36,2]       -6.474e-02  0.633614 0.0089607      0.0098741
u2[37,1]        4.537e-01  0.438918 0.0062072      0.0071112
u2[37,2]       -4.649e-01  0.686431 0.0097076      0.0115893
u2[38,1]       -5.669e-01  0.554312 0.0078392      0.0114218
u2[38,2]        6.545e-01  0.714028 0.0100979      0.0155651
u2[39,1]        6.318e-01  0.372457 0.0052673      0.0068496
u2[39,2]       -6.846e-01  0.636288 0.0089985      0.0126866
u2[4,1]        -2.637e-01  0.412926 0.0058397      0.0086124
u2[4,2]         8.268e-01  0.616134 0.0087134      0.0166905
u2[40,1]        1.908e-01  0.446993 0.0063214      0.0074591
u2[40,2]       -1.540e-01  0.548972 0.0077636      0.0102115
u2[41,1]        6.025e-01  0.368201 0.0052072      0.0062776
u2[41,2]       -9.075e-01  0.641155 0.0090673      0.0155520
u2[42,1]        8.013e-01  0.558128 0.0078931      0.0111668
u2[42,2]       -1.136e+00  0.777807 0.0109999      0.0190304
u2[43,1]        6.314e-01  0.348928 0.0049346      0.0066174
u2[43,2]       -4.574e-01  0.501391 0.0070907      0.0090960
u2[44,1]       -3.581e-01  0.379834 0.0053717      0.0072485
u2[44,2]        3.634e-01  0.642750 0.0090899      0.0110409
u2[45,1]       -3.445e-01  0.338934 0.0047932      0.0072423
u2[45,2]        6.007e-01  0.570567 0.0080690      0.0120635
u2[46,1]        6.252e-01  0.244172 0.0034531      0.0054833
u2[46,2]       -4.067e-01  0.469654 0.0066419      0.0095306
u2[47,1]        2.761e-01  0.473954 0.0067027      0.0077334
u2[47,2]       -2.095e-01  0.647603 0.0091585      0.0099942
u2[48,1]        5.852e-01  0.359165 0.0050794      0.0069376
u2[48,2]       -4.714e-01  0.505375 0.0071471      0.0096472
u2[49,1]       -3.275e-01  0.588662 0.0083249      0.0101351
u2[49,2]        3.411e-01  0.792892 0.0112132      0.0137595
u2[5,1]         6.696e-02  0.318747 0.0045078      0.0060700
u2[5,2]        -6.769e-02  0.574857 0.0081297      0.0097852
u2[50,1]        1.112e-01  0.443569 0.0062730      0.0081181
u2[50,2]        2.809e-01  0.664186 0.0093930      0.0130540
u2[51,1]       -3.530e-02  0.386186 0.0054615      0.0068938
u2[51,2]        1.170e-01  0.528175 0.0074695      0.0091232
u2[52,1]        6.454e-01  0.304766 0.0043100      0.0067919
u2[52,2]       -1.164e+00  0.505919 0.0071548      0.0143229
u2[53,1]        2.072e-02  0.641517 0.0090724      0.0104290
u2[53,2]       -1.846e-01  0.748951 0.0105918      0.0129187
u2[54,1]       -4.340e-03  0.653349 0.0092397      0.0120085
u2[54,2]       -3.788e-01  0.817466 0.0115607      0.0161688
u2[55,1]        7.083e-01  0.368331 0.0052090      0.0075429
u2[55,2]       -4.212e-01  0.512147 0.0072429      0.0104526
u2[56,1]       -4.553e-01  0.412563 0.0058345      0.0079540
u2[56,2]        2.250e-01  0.628377 0.0088866      0.0131094
u2[57,1]        7.240e-01  0.391789 0.0055407      0.0076431
u2[57,2]       -1.067e+00  0.577104 0.0081615      0.0149211
u2[58,1]       -6.096e-01  0.498230 0.0070460      0.0094203
u2[58,2]        6.264e-01  0.746239 0.0105534      0.0157014
u2[59,1]       -4.347e-01  0.413633 0.0058496      0.0082197
u2[59,2]        1.881e-01  0.582922 0.0082438      0.0111607
u2[6,1]        -3.907e-01  0.294433 0.0041639      0.0063453
u2[6,2]         6.522e-01  0.529571 0.0074893      0.0112417
u2[60,1]       -5.717e-01  0.366009 0.0051762      0.0075211
u2[60,2]        2.046e-01  0.552511 0.0078137      0.0115860
u2[7,1]        -1.954e-01  0.412852 0.0058386      0.0070034
u2[7,2]         1.998e-01  0.674056 0.0095326      0.0108698
u2[8,1]         5.197e-02  0.333426 0.0047154      0.0061793
u2[8,2]         1.774e-01  0.595183 0.0084172      0.0118240
u2[9,1]        -3.842e-01  0.407444 0.0057621      0.0074358
u2[9,2]         4.562e-01  0.626642 0.0088621      0.0112593

2. Quantiles for each variable:

                     2.5%        25%        50%        75%      97.5%
beta[1]          -2.03094   -1.82610 -1.715e+00   -1.60515 -1.396e+00
beta[2]          -0.04252   -0.03189 -2.662e-02   -0.02086 -1.067e-02
beta[3]           0.81658    1.01981  1.127e+00    1.23350  1.438e+00
beta[4]           1.01803    1.24146  1.360e+00    1.48157  1.716e+00
beta[5]           0.99758    1.23010  1.352e+00    1.48049  1.721e+00
beta[6]           0.48935    0.70686  8.182e-01    0.93784  1.173e+00
deviance       2303.37364 2319.58856  2.329e+03 2338.86169  2.358e+03
sigma2.u2[1,1]    0.20769    0.32667  4.084e-01    0.50452  7.678e-01
sigma2.u2[1,2]   -0.88166   -0.53857 -4.090e-01   -0.30484 -1.592e-01
sigma2.u2[2,1]   -0.88166   -0.53857 -4.090e-01   -0.30484 -1.592e-01
sigma2.u2[2,2]    0.27334    0.48522  6.638e-01    0.89110  1.548e+00
u2[1,1]          -1.65821   -1.16126 -9.382e-01   -0.71802 -3.095e-01
u2[1,2]          -0.45314    0.10791  3.917e-01    0.67356  1.210e+00
u2[10,1]         -1.59149   -0.88306 -5.516e-01   -0.23069  3.724e-01
u2[10,2]         -0.81075    0.08316  5.418e-01    1.03183  2.112e+00
u2[11,1]         -2.12471   -1.37161 -1.016e+00   -0.69455 -1.425e-01
u2[11,2]         -0.32318    0.55355  1.024e+00    1.55711  2.815e+00
u2[12,1]         -0.76535   -0.25476  1.049e-02    0.26488  7.608e-01
u2[12,2]         -1.39715   -0.57322 -1.955e-01    0.18077  9.364e-01
u2[13,1]         -0.52499    0.01396  2.908e-01    0.58193  1.129e+00
u2[13,2]         -1.65772   -0.81256 -4.005e-01   -0.01256  7.373e-01
u2[14,1]         -0.77179   -0.26464  1.547e-02    0.28933  8.323e-01
u2[14,2]         -0.25812    0.30958  6.321e-01    0.94167  1.600e+00
u2[15,1]         -0.73958   -0.18719  1.111e-01    0.39821  9.639e-01
u2[15,2]         -1.49594   -0.68189 -2.760e-01    0.12405  8.946e-01
u2[16,1]         -0.19501    0.33189  6.089e-01    0.88566  1.429e+00
u2[16,2]         -1.67807   -0.81710 -3.880e-01    0.02370  8.624e-01
u2[17,1]         -0.94222   -0.43162 -1.760e-01    0.06807  5.461e-01
u2[17,2]         -1.12045   -0.22673  1.772e-01    0.58511  1.474e+00
u2[18,1]         -0.87574   -0.43097 -1.908e-01    0.02989  4.750e-01
u2[18,2]         -0.69915   -0.06855  2.640e-01    0.59281  1.295e+00
u2[19,1]         -0.75643   -0.27822 -1.298e-02    0.24973  7.365e-01
u2[19,2]         -0.92675   -0.17594  2.123e-01    0.60871  1.494e+00
u2[2,1]          -0.81260   -0.30380 -3.060e-02    0.22628  7.175e-01
u2[2,2]          -1.24479   -0.36179  5.165e-02    0.45932  1.306e+00
u2[20,1]         -0.60380   -0.01819  2.799e-01    0.58373  1.123e+00
u2[20,2]         -1.62358   -0.69973 -2.686e-01    0.17600  1.113e+00
u2[21,1]         -0.29821    0.29749  6.222e-01    0.95558  1.610e+00
u2[21,2]         -2.67317   -1.58661 -1.099e+00   -0.66156  1.382e-01
u2[22,1]         -1.30895   -0.76766 -4.877e-01   -0.22469  2.753e-01
u2[22,2]         -0.82310    0.04629  4.727e-01    0.91910  1.934e+00
u2[23,1]         -1.11077   -0.50538 -1.973e-01    0.07984  6.101e-01
u2[23,2]         -1.13620   -0.23101  2.068e-01    0.64038  1.592e+00
u2[24,1]         -1.79506   -1.02501 -6.763e-01   -0.35587  2.058e-01
u2[24,2]         -0.69157    0.23584  7.018e-01    1.17982  2.340e+00
u2[25,1]         -0.23819    0.11706  3.113e-01    0.50674  8.663e-01
u2[25,2]         -1.29695   -0.66859 -3.698e-01   -0.07126  5.040e-01
u2[26,1]         -0.84057   -0.26684  3.000e-02    0.31541  8.764e-01
u2[26,2]         -1.38516   -0.47072 -4.430e-02    0.41485  1.306e+00
u2[27,1]         -1.41558   -0.84520 -6.154e-01   -0.36236  8.787e-02
u2[27,2]         -0.59915    0.17586  5.507e-01    0.94636  1.838e+00
u2[28,1]         -0.97236   -0.54139 -3.257e-01   -0.11191  2.864e-01
u2[28,2]         -1.07074   -0.28919  7.827e-02    0.43836  1.143e+00
u2[29,1]         -1.13251   -0.59096 -3.242e-01   -0.06524  4.290e-01
u2[29,2]         -0.64357    0.08669  4.685e-01    0.86032  1.714e+00
u2[3,1]          -1.37193   -0.44613 -2.352e-02    0.42197  1.251e+00
u2[3,2]          -1.33264   -0.28746  2.401e-01    0.76465  2.048e+00
u2[30,1]         -0.25148    0.14826  3.429e-01    0.54337  9.411e-01
u2[30,2]         -0.86042   -0.25863  7.370e-02    0.39593  1.043e+00
u2[31,1]         -0.26655    0.15832  3.862e-01    0.61088  1.070e+00
u2[31,2]         -1.54062   -0.73902 -3.757e-01   -0.01971  6.728e-01
u2[32,1]         -1.32070   -0.77155 -4.987e-01   -0.25184  2.443e-01
u2[32,2]         -0.76105    0.05994  4.758e-01    0.94297  1.848e+00
u2[33,1]         -1.49809   -0.76471 -4.183e-01   -0.08284  5.539e-01
u2[33,2]         -0.66272    0.12352  5.838e-01    1.02657  2.044e+00
u2[34,1]          0.50199    0.97254  1.232e+00    1.49737  2.056e+00
u2[34,2]         -2.69478   -1.84794 -1.397e+00   -1.00480 -3.394e-01
u2[35,1]         -0.37300    0.05937  2.973e-01    0.53203  9.699e-01
u2[35,2]         -1.22163   -0.53770 -2.088e-01    0.10315  7.520e-01
u2[36,1]         -0.89998   -0.33434 -3.801e-02    0.24536  7.793e-01
u2[36,2]         -1.34363   -0.48354 -6.488e-02    0.35007  1.206e+00
u2[37,1]         -0.39605    0.16816  4.362e-01    0.74297  1.340e+00
u2[37,2]         -1.90296   -0.89567 -4.463e-01   -0.01675  8.129e-01
u2[38,1]         -1.72806   -0.91890 -5.408e-01   -0.19651  4.578e-01
u2[38,2]         -0.69640    0.18012  6.234e-01    1.10497  2.178e+00
u2[39,1]         -0.08571    0.37259  6.303e-01    0.89607  1.363e+00
u2[39,2]         -1.98431   -1.08906 -6.686e-01   -0.26557  5.151e-01
u2[4,1]          -1.11206   -0.53086 -2.494e-01    0.01563  5.209e-01
u2[4,2]          -0.29336    0.40999  7.955e-01    1.21206  2.111e+00
u2[40,1]         -0.67917   -0.10507  1.922e-01    0.48364  1.081e+00
u2[40,2]         -1.21518   -0.52128 -1.533e-01    0.20796  9.411e-01
u2[41,1]         -0.10858    0.35108  5.991e-01    0.85081  1.328e+00
u2[41,2]         -2.27822   -1.31296 -8.674e-01   -0.46351  2.594e-01
u2[42,1]         -0.22738    0.41420  7.822e-01    1.16373  1.935e+00
u2[42,2]         -2.80660   -1.61368 -1.089e+00   -0.60828  2.792e-01
u2[43,1]         -0.04657    0.39438  6.358e-01    0.85828  1.311e+00
u2[43,2]         -1.42340   -0.78774 -4.662e-01   -0.12104  5.340e-01
u2[44,1]         -1.13029   -0.61003 -3.517e-01   -0.09905  3.887e-01
u2[44,2]         -0.88717   -0.05207  3.432e-01    0.78510  1.676e+00
u2[45,1]         -1.01917   -0.56860 -3.394e-01   -0.12123  3.148e-01
u2[45,2]         -0.45538    0.21242  5.719e-01    0.95911  1.810e+00
u2[46,1]          0.14354    0.45781  6.248e-01    0.79280  1.114e+00
u2[46,2]         -1.33146   -0.72871 -4.072e-01   -0.10414  5.280e-01
u2[47,1]         -0.64778   -0.04547  2.809e-01    0.59127  1.220e+00
u2[47,2]         -1.48564   -0.64139 -2.066e-01    0.21371  1.055e+00
u2[48,1]         -0.09801    0.33825  5.825e-01    0.82483  1.307e+00
u2[48,2]         -1.47552   -0.81144 -4.628e-01   -0.12091  4.812e-01
u2[49,1]         -1.50915   -0.71666 -3.153e-01    0.06758  7.936e-01
u2[49,2]         -1.18273   -0.15408  3.090e-01    0.84241  1.950e+00
u2[5,1]          -0.54593   -0.14956  6.835e-02    0.28094  6.862e-01
u2[5,2]          -1.20767   -0.44974 -6.344e-02    0.31192  1.050e+00
u2[50,1]         -0.78910   -0.18164  1.165e-01    0.40815  9.924e-01
u2[50,2]         -0.97292   -0.16135  2.627e-01    0.69899  1.639e+00
u2[51,1]         -0.82201   -0.28880 -3.003e-02    0.22032  7.175e-01
u2[51,2]         -0.89252   -0.23170  1.097e-01    0.45975  1.163e+00
u2[52,1]          0.04587    0.44266  6.460e-01    0.84579  1.231e+00
u2[52,2]         -2.20953   -1.49127 -1.148e+00   -0.82530 -1.907e-01
u2[53,1]         -1.24880   -0.39989  1.198e-02    0.43648  1.309e+00
u2[53,2]         -1.76131   -0.65252 -1.656e-01    0.31723  1.274e+00
u2[54,1]         -1.27466   -0.42514  2.802e-03    0.41188  1.290e+00
u2[54,2]         -2.05362   -0.89730 -3.556e-01    0.16525  1.150e+00
u2[55,1]         -0.01672    0.45462  7.117e-01    0.95423  1.401e+00
u2[55,2]         -1.43292   -0.76129 -4.301e-01   -0.07834  5.735e-01
u2[56,1]         -1.28485   -0.73435 -4.406e-01   -0.16531  3.285e-01
u2[56,2]         -1.01856   -0.19075  2.150e-01    0.63273  1.480e+00
u2[57,1]         -0.02128    0.45423  7.234e-01    0.98023  1.508e+00
u2[57,2]         -2.27095   -1.44461 -1.043e+00   -0.66146 -8.451e-03
u2[58,1]         -1.61842   -0.93809 -5.910e-01   -0.26251  3.136e-01
u2[58,2]         -0.79044    0.12549  6.139e-01    1.08786  2.153e+00
u2[59,1]         -1.31869   -0.70575 -4.154e-01   -0.15301  3.548e-01
u2[59,2]         -0.96221   -0.18872  1.906e-01    0.56762  1.318e+00
u2[6,1]          -1.01642   -0.58519 -3.801e-01   -0.19066  1.703e-01
u2[6,2]          -0.32214    0.28545  6.327e-01    0.99755  1.752e+00
u2[60,1]         -1.31484   -0.80839 -5.604e-01   -0.32197  1.091e-01
u2[60,2]         -0.86553   -0.16998  2.041e-01    0.56661  1.281e+00
u2[7,1]          -1.03143   -0.46265 -1.914e-01    0.07386  6.039e-01
u2[7,2]          -1.07673   -0.22485  1.948e-01    0.62758  1.566e+00
u2[8,1]          -0.59835   -0.17601  4.737e-02    0.27728  7.075e-01
u2[8,2]          -0.96380   -0.20673  1.632e-01    0.55624  1.395e+00
u2[9,1]          -1.23011   -0.64954 -3.674e-01   -0.11112  3.944e-01
u2[9,2]          -0.69989    0.04094  4.235e-01    0.85063  1.777e+00

> if (!require(coda)) {
+   warning("package coda required to run this example")
+ } else {
+   effectiveSize(mymodel)
+ }
Loading required package: coda
       beta[1]        beta[2]        beta[3]        beta[4]        beta[5] 
     1295.7273      3892.8223      4204.2883      3999.0889      3915.7509 
       beta[6]       deviance sigma2.u2[1,1] sigma2.u2[1,2] sigma2.u2[2,1] 
      984.4549      1505.5584       761.6231       631.9972       631.9972 
sigma2.u2[2,2]        u2[1,1]        u2[1,2]       u2[10,1]       u2[10,2] 
      446.1637      1743.4399      1793.9634      2434.2839      2233.0655 
      u2[11,1]       u2[11,2]       u2[12,1]       u2[12,2]       u2[13,1] 
     1540.9501      1228.9766      2933.1819      3096.8256      3905.0362 
      u2[13,2]       u2[14,1]       u2[14,2]       u2[15,1]       u2[15,2] 
     2887.9959      1947.1476      1891.1143      3708.3256      3758.1823 
      u2[16,1]       u2[16,2]       u2[17,1]       u2[17,2]       u2[18,1] 
     2729.9252      3045.7718      2706.6840      3058.8625      2801.5200 
      u2[18,2]       u2[19,1]       u2[19,2]        u2[2,1]        u2[2,2] 
     3354.5547      3054.4317      3190.0661      3540.9863      4630.6002 
      u2[20,1]       u2[20,2]       u2[21,1]       u2[21,2]       u2[22,1] 
     3850.2705      3778.0002      2401.3214      1199.2963      2799.7084 
      u2[22,2]       u2[23,1]       u2[23,2]       u2[24,1]       u2[24,2] 
     2643.5136      3550.4463      3904.1376      2434.3108      1892.6496 
      u2[25,1]       u2[25,2]       u2[26,1]       u2[26,2]       u2[27,1] 
     2660.1369      2921.2496      3401.6142      3233.9037      1537.1232 
      u2[27,2]       u2[28,1]       u2[28,2]       u2[29,1]       u2[29,2] 
     2001.8776      2530.0753      2825.5390      1881.5374      2236.7646 
       u2[3,1]        u2[3,2]       u2[30,1]       u2[30,2]       u2[31,1] 
     4356.3456      3068.2421      2305.1973      2092.5475      3022.8523 
      u2[31,2]       u2[32,1]       u2[32,2]       u2[33,1]       u2[33,2] 
     4040.2300      2732.3064      3211.6930      3061.5108      2993.3461 
      u2[34,1]       u2[34,2]       u2[35,1]       u2[35,2]       u2[36,1] 
     1671.5123      1140.6337      2667.7501      3806.3859      3591.1452 
      u2[36,2]       u2[37,1]       u2[37,2]       u2[38,1]       u2[38,2] 
     4117.7114      3809.6634      3508.1943      2355.2832      2104.3813 
      u2[39,1]       u2[39,2]        u2[4,1]        u2[4,2]       u2[40,1] 
     2956.7758      2515.4734      2298.7562      1362.7301      3591.1176 
      u2[40,2]       u2[41,1]       u2[41,2]       u2[42,1]       u2[42,2] 
     2890.1326      3440.1509      1699.6367      2498.1241      1670.5065 
      u2[43,1]       u2[43,2]       u2[44,1]       u2[44,2]       u2[45,1] 
     2780.3316      3038.4210      2745.9674      3389.0316      2190.1926 
      u2[45,2]       u2[46,1]       u2[46,2]       u2[47,1]       u2[47,2] 
     2237.0157      1982.9193      2428.3564      3756.0742      4198.7783 
      u2[48,1]       u2[48,2]       u2[49,1]       u2[49,2]        u2[5,1] 
     2680.2222      2744.2509      3373.4442      3320.6531      2757.5103 
       u2[5,2]       u2[50,1]       u2[50,2]       u2[51,1]       u2[51,2] 
     3451.2717      2985.4973      2588.7625      3138.1856      3351.7071 
      u2[52,1]       u2[52,2]       u2[53,1]       u2[53,2]       u2[54,1] 
     2013.4798      1247.6621      3783.8307      3361.0120      2960.1322 
      u2[54,2]       u2[55,1]       u2[55,2]       u2[56,1]       u2[56,2] 
     2556.1503      2384.5177      2400.7234      2690.3868      2297.5974 
      u2[57,1]       u2[57,2]       u2[58,1]       u2[58,2]       u2[59,1] 
     2627.6317      1495.9107      2797.2664      2258.7922      2532.3094 
      u2[59,2]        u2[6,1]        u2[6,2]       u2[60,1]       u2[60,2] 
     2727.9765      2153.1256      2219.1406      2368.2179      2274.1324 
       u2[7,1]        u2[7,2]        u2[8,1]        u2[8,2]        u2[9,1] 
     3475.1172      3845.4816      2911.5310      2533.8167      3002.5151 
       u2[9,2] 
     3097.5284 
> sixway(mymodel[, "beta[1]", drop = FALSE])
> 
> # Chapter learning outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .379
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> ############################################################################
> 
> proc.time()
   user  system elapsed 
  22.79   12.92  753.26