R version 3.6.3 (2020-02-29) -- "Holding the Windsock"
Copyright (C) 2020 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing
Platform: x86_64-w64-mingw32/x64 (64-bit)

R is free software and comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY.
You are welcome to redistribute it under certain conditions.
Type 'license()' or 'licence()' for distribution details.

  Natural language support but running in an English locale

R is a collaborative project with many contributors.
Type 'contributors()' for more information and
'citation()' on how to cite R or R packages in publications.

Type 'demo()' for some demos, 'help()' for on-line help, or
'help.start()' for an HTML browser interface to help.
Type 'q()' to quit R.

> ############################################################################
> #     MLwiN MCMC Manual
> #
> # 14  Adjusting for Measurement Errors in Predictor Variables . . . . . .199
> #
> #     Browne, W.J. (2009) MCMC Estimation in MLwiN, v2.13. Centre for
> #     Multilevel Modelling, University of Bristol.
> ############################################################################
> #     R script to replicate all analyses using R2MLwiN
> #
> #     Zhang, Z., Charlton, C., Parker, R, Leckie, G., and Browne, W.J.
> #     Centre for Multilevel Modelling, 2012
> #     http://www.bristol.ac.uk/cmm/software/R2MLwiN/
> ############################################################################
> 
> library(R2MLwiN)

R2MLwiN: A package to run models implemented in MLwiN from R
Copyright 2013-2017 Zhengzheng Zhang, Christopher M. J. Charlton, Richard M. A. Parker, William J. Browne and George Leckie

Support provided by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC)
(Grants RES-149-25-1084, RES-576-25-0032 and ES/K007246/1)

To cite R2MLwiN in publications use:

  Zhengzheng Zhang, Richard M. A. Parker, Christopher M. J. Charlton,
  George Leckie, William J. Browne (2016). R2MLwiN: A Package to Run
  MLwiN from within R. Journal of Statistical Software, 72(10), 1-43.
  doi:10.18637/jss.v072.i10

A BibTeX entry for LaTeX users is

  @Article{,
    title = {{R2MLwiN}: A Package to Run {MLwiN} from within {R}},
    author = {Zhengzheng Zhang and Richard M. A. Parker and Christopher M. J. Charlton and George Leckie and William J. Browne},
    journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
    year = {2016},
    volume = {72},
    number = {10},
    pages = {1--43},
    doi = {10.18637/jss.v072.i10},
  }

The MLwiN_path option is currently set to C:/Program Files/MLwiN v3.05/
To change this use: options(MLwiN_path="<path to MLwiN>")
> # MLwiN folder
> mlwin <- getOption("MLwiN_path")
> while (!file.access(mlwin, mode = 1) == 0) {
+   cat("Please specify the root MLwiN folder or the full path to the MLwiN executable:\n")
+   mlwin <- scan(what = character(0), sep = "\n")
+   mlwin <- gsub("\\", "/", mlwin, fixed = TRUE)
+ }
> options(MLwiN_path = mlwin)
> 
> ## Read tutorial data
> data(tutorial, package = "R2MLwiN")
> 
> # 14.1 Effects of measurement error on predictors . . . . . . . . . . . .200
> set.seed(1)
> error <- rnorm(length(tutorial$standlrt), 0, sqrt(0.2))
> obslrt <- tutorial$standlrt + error
> tutorial <- cbind(tutorial, error, obslrt)
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | student), data = tutorial))
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
NEXT
iteration 2

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Normal) 
Estimation algorithm:  IGLS        Elapsed time : 0.06s 
Number of obs:  4059 (from total 4059)        The model converged after 3 iterations.
Log likelihood:      -4880.3 
Deviance statistic:  9760.5 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | student)
Level 1: student      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
               Coef.   Std. Err.       z   Pr(>|z|)         [95% Conf.   Interval] 
Intercept   -0.00119     0.01264   -0.09     0.9249           -0.02596     0.02358 
standlrt     0.59506     0.01273   46.76          0   ***      0.57011     0.62000 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the student level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err. 
var_Intercept   0.64842     0.01439 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(normexam ~ 1 + error + (1 | student), data = tutorial))
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
NEXT
iteration 2

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Normal) 
Estimation algorithm:  IGLS        Elapsed time : 0.05s 
Number of obs:  4059 (from total 4059)        The model converged after 3 iterations.
Log likelihood:      -5754.2 
Deviance statistic:  11508.4 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
normexam ~ 1 + error + (1 | student)
Level 1: student      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
               Coef.   Std. Err.       z   Pr(>|z|)         [95% Conf.   Interval] 
Intercept   -0.00010     0.01568   -0.01     0.9948           -0.03083     0.03062 
error       -0.03305     0.03382   -0.98     0.3285           -0.09935     0.03324 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the student level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err. 
var_Intercept   0.99741     0.02214 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(normexam ~ 1 + obslrt + (1 | student), data = tutorial))
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
NEXT
iteration 2

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Normal) 
Estimation algorithm:  IGLS        Elapsed time : 0.05s 
Number of obs:  4059 (from total 4059)        The model converged after 3 iterations.
Log likelihood:      -5082.9 
Deviance statistic:  10165.9 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
normexam ~ 1 + obslrt + (1 | student)
Level 1: student      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
               Coef.   Std. Err.       z   Pr(>|z|)         [95% Conf.   Interval] 
Intercept   -0.00117     0.01329   -0.09     0.9296           -0.02721     0.02487 
obslrt       0.48489     0.01215   39.91          0   ***      0.46107     0.50870 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the student level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err. 
var_Intercept   0.71652     0.01590 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(normexam ~ 1 + obslrt + (1 | student), estoptions = list(EstM = 1, merr = c(N = 1, "obslrt",
+   0.2)), data = tutorial))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10   1 1 1 1 1 1
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9973.123915
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9773.645338
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9836.680390
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9902.678258
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9882.388699
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9810.770999
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9867.724807
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9818.774370
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9818.068350
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9799.382025

ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9781.244691
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9752.228870
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9814.378974
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9752.635050
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9785.182159
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9850.599135
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9833.927048
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9810.716117
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9854.570985
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9870.894503
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9857.733413
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9798.816474
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9791.906287
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9870.674753
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9826.987486
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9784.336287
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9796.037524
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9803.527817
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9825.219009
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9882.614832
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9762.567739
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9851.999867
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9816.027586
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9819.890513
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9794.445332
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9832.736911
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9823.976816
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9803.015078
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9889.513035
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9811.139520
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9772.377675
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9864.801490
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9810.611717
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9850.534842
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9808.494448
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9879.278502
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9838.799561
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9873.424801
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9827.016801
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9855.329727
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9814.788326
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9823.390745
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9847.456335
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9865.245926
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9816.840221
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9833.022073
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9793.182547
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9916.821790
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9812.998741
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9882.033478
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9881.986822
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9898.947755
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9904.201909
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9791.212674
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9898.290017
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9776.170938
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9823.732559
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9832.787440
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9831.074783
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9885.489347
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9830.228442
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9914.820803
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9839.744360
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9929.118328
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9898.284711
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9829.582693
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9898.523978
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9764.458796
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9877.961912
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9800.133825
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9820.204186
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9807.172311
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9836.474018
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9892.254142
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9864.372643
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9858.586871
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9897.579628
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9834.419321
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9876.760126
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9857.945675
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9908.496879
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9857.243708
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9919.866119
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9776.363477
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9804.700535
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9856.272757
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9811.202091
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9857.958731
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9802.562444
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9822.545879
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9805.894682
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9881.076264
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9906.104797
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9770.269127
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9881.345269
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9797.872894
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9842.065541
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9801.744945
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9893.289343
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9820.367283
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          9835.7
S.D.    =          41.602
S.E.M.  =         0.58835

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Normal) 
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 4.65s 
Number of obs:  4059 (from total 4059)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Deviance statistic:  10165.9 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
normexam ~ 1 + obslrt + (1 | student)
Level 1: student      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
               Coef.   Std. Err.      z   Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
Intercept   -0.00078     0.01345  -0.06     0.9539         -0.02667     0.02567   4113 
obslrt       0.58239     0.01485  39.22          0  ***     0.55423     0.61137   2826 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the student level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.66097     0.01615      0.62976     0.69297   3397 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> # 14.2 Measurement error modelling in multilevel models . . . . . . . . .205
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 + standlrt | school) + (1 | student), estoptions = list(EstM = 1),
+   data = tutorial))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  1 1 1 1 1 1
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9145.871584
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9132.292720
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9116.964735
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9109.819138
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9142.444254
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9126.443022
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9158.382599
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9130.050027
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9132.164613
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9095.782185

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9141.251505
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9092.112338
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9114.453660
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9130.042851
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9112.630195
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9127.189612
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9121.760133
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9095.484118
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9119.696741
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9097.278119
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9091.835441
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9147.067486
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9115.848152
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9136.364432
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9122.999236
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9125.626814
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9124.942111
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9123.715072
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9139.162535
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9093.087478
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9103.780217
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9125.714840
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9117.856745
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9104.224610
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9136.726333
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9115.553162
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9135.082659
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9106.260473
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9113.023248
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9128.720286
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9128.243265
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9112.524919
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9116.163849
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9100.141526
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9112.566069
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9129.956343
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9131.034399
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9121.937589
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9094.252149
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9117.545274
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9099.416940
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9132.162100
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9135.159139
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9110.982424
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9112.731006
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9129.335122
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9135.832789
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9115.598454
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9119.806787
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9106.961083
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9094.496029
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9114.022952
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9122.506561
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9108.681836
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9110.341205
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9131.645275
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9143.193063
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9096.461754
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9142.098601
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9090.543006
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9123.431925
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9100.574500
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9135.650108
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9131.254028
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9130.803281
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9137.320115
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9151.055699
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9113.381797
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9136.395805
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9119.182591
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9099.498807
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9094.669026
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9124.954760
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9113.843599
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9122.879346
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9138.609563
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9106.548693
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9104.254128
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9117.331443
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9094.789350
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9135.693654
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9101.392385
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9114.650394
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9113.173542
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9126.374967
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9142.771045
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9133.755790
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9146.895681
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9130.279064
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9126.639139
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9112.546091
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9130.121874
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9102.731900
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9101.131722
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9081.592796
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9107.770592
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9129.044185
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9118.474018
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9118.583370
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9132.471942
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          9122.7
S.D.    =          16.894
S.E.M.  =         0.23892

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Normal) 
        N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
school 65   2 62.44615 198         65            2      62.44615          198
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 1.96s 
Number of obs:  4059 (from total 4059)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
9122.672   9031.177   91.496     9214.168   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 + standlrt | school) + (1 | student)
Level 2: school     Level 1: student      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
               Coef.   Std. Err.      z     Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
Intercept   -0.01325     0.03984  -0.33       0.7395         -0.08901     0.07336   225 
standlrt     0.55687     0.02033  27.39   4.031e-165  ***     0.51599     0.59630   563 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the school level: 
                           Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept            0.09706     0.02004      0.06544     0.14260   3136 
cov_Intercept_standlrt   0.01955     0.00737      0.00647     0.03595   1644 
var_standlrt             0.01549     0.00484      0.00804     0.02681    930 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the student level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.55432     0.01247      0.53027     0.57958   4575 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(normexam ~ 1 + obslrt + (1 + obslrt | school) + (1 | student), estoptions = list(EstM = 1), data = tutorial))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  1 1 1 1 1 1
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9563.551994
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9551.869706
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9540.142431
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9529.532910
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9565.554519
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9547.181186
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9581.360863
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9556.335165
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9553.004192
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9519.383411

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9567.138560
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9510.322185
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9540.128711
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9556.863836
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9533.140188
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9548.930489
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9540.267426
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9511.213504
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9539.121927
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9511.377877
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9513.618935
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9565.434894
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9536.710660
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9553.272149
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9539.491449
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9541.214855
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9546.394392
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9541.206324
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9558.995171
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9510.058732
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9522.336055
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9552.663122
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9543.151269
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9528.914709
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9549.666090
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9533.860812
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9552.501978
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9529.248909
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9539.545067
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9552.254348
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9556.977622
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9540.656971
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9533.443215
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9527.842694
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9536.620302
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9548.861469
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9556.116918
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9540.985751
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9519.432812
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9527.122047
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9521.620350
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9553.034826
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9557.490654
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9529.135733
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9532.092805
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9544.196905
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9557.878075
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9533.469696
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9535.903317
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9531.140925
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9517.062521
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9538.034397
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9543.757858
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9525.729624
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9530.017209
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9549.205874
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9565.466221
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9516.686220
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9568.974273
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9510.431241
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9547.673224
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9519.123479
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9550.481660
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9549.280389
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9547.539287
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9559.387211
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9565.804720
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9529.451395
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9565.709388
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9537.295629
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9521.661811
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9519.091064
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9551.781795
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9531.282340
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9546.119340
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9562.439026
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9525.432763
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9522.752703
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9538.576919
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9515.999066
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9556.598016
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9522.649596
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9532.958609
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9533.789928
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9544.539244
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9562.923948
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9552.283234
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9560.913974
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9551.833434
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9543.183140
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9534.137845
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9549.803868
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9524.314743
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9519.928389
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9505.597018
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9526.670073
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9552.302909
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9544.637780
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9545.238917
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9547.621105
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          9543.1
S.D.    =          17.079
S.E.M.  =         0.24154

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Normal) 
        N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
school 65   2 62.44615 198         65            2      62.44615          198
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 1.97s 
Number of obs:  4059 (from total 4059)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
9543.105   9453.964   89.141     9632.246   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
normexam ~ 1 + obslrt + (1 + obslrt | school) + (1 | student)
Level 2: school     Level 1: student      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
               Coef.   Std. Err.      z     Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
Intercept   -0.01443     0.04222  -0.34       0.7325         -0.09475     0.07697   222 
obslrt       0.44706     0.01815  24.63   5.829e-134  ***     0.41024     0.48176   678 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the school level: 
                         Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept          0.11011     0.02258      0.07411     0.16072   3187 
cov_Intercept_obslrt   0.01686     0.00687      0.00462     0.03195   1458 
var_obslrt             0.01124     0.00390      0.00532     0.02044    743 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the student level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.61481     0.01383      0.58817     0.64291   4569 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(normexam ~ 1 + obslrt + (1 + obslrt | school) + (1 | student), estoptions = list(EstM = 1, merr = c(N = 1,
+   "obslrt", 0.2)), data = tutorial))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  1 1 1 1 1 1
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9304.594936
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9142.963882
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9223.639991
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9077.813808
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9126.651636
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9206.756947
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9140.663043
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9060.584955
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9185.922804
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9200.587822

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9114.646844
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9163.661841
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9161.941051
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9109.203855
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9112.079916
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9157.513451
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9127.602336
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9071.730703
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9179.602694
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9099.570732
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9157.243076
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9161.637534
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9110.876319
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9144.423149
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9135.893895
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9124.894502
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9129.942191
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9120.786838
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9093.433572
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9103.421697
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9105.698191
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9283.230257
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9162.351491
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9186.635968
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9145.152566
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9163.925509
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9177.123521
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9112.319794
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9109.167638
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9132.284819
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9146.217163
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9018.938462
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9167.716585
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9146.712835
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9165.320042
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9191.209884
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9039.447638
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9104.808624
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9135.413319
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9215.787723
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9101.081884
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9143.765793
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9171.958242
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9131.212001
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9098.579377
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9070.268990
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9019.692183
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9155.669370
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9115.650391
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9134.096415
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9055.297621
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9161.189830
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9143.521445
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9191.333757
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9147.813086
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9102.893528
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9063.826064
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9180.618616
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9148.251794
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9169.093911
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9083.307666
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9181.544045
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9138.599441
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9131.672831
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9243.618561
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9220.741287
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9149.695346
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9117.109333
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9148.993357
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9151.487883
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9136.152414
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9151.518971
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9154.099566
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9237.968724
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9116.878881
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9220.455956
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9110.498814
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9244.481229
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9153.048657
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9110.848027
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9168.632670
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9196.249179
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9117.137655
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9153.306973
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9029.657950
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9137.165515
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9223.198738
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9113.596257
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9129.847243
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9211.235763
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9157.244759
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9160.408190
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9143.180550
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9107.878221
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9212.615510
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9109.064464
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9179.576662
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9173.206628
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9102.269183
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9158.071413
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          9142.4
S.D.    =          49.264
S.E.M.  =         0.69669

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Normal) 
        N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
school 65   2 62.44615 198         65            2      62.44615          198
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 7s 
Number of obs:  4059 (from total 4059)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Deviance statistic:  9732.6 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
normexam ~ 1 + obslrt + (1 + obslrt | school) + (1 | student)
Level 2: school     Level 1: student      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
               Coef.   Std. Err.      z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
Intercept   -0.01761     0.04418  -0.40      0.6902         -0.10123     0.07178   179 
obslrt       0.53636     0.02463  21.77   4.07e-105  ***     0.48947     0.58733   388 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the school level: 
                         Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept          0.10981     0.02321      0.07246     0.16314   3227 
cov_Intercept_obslrt   0.02276     0.00915      0.00695     0.04337   1747 
var_obslrt             0.02149     0.00677      0.01072     0.03680    868 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the student level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.55711     0.01437      0.52966     0.58476   3093 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> # 14.3 Measurement errors in binomial models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 208
> 
> 
> ## Read bang1 data
> data(bang1, package = "R2MLwiN")
> 
> set.seed(1)
> bang1$obsage <- bang1$age + rnorm(length(bang1$age), 0, 5)
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(logit(use) ~ 1 + age, D = "Binomial", estoptions = list(EstM = 1), data = bang1))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10   2 2 2 1 1 2
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2589.951603
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2590.870573
Adapting finished and took 300 iterations
Adapting took 300 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2591.646899
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2589.408544
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2591.703242
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2589.578707
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2591.143776
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2589.497722
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2589.866468
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2591.366495
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2601.081625
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2590.826384

ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 2
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2593.768209
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2594.974846
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.681292
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2595.029755
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.956166
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.700843
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.249050
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2595.764631
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2594.215259
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2593.583255
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.738290
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2599.665863
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.851598
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2594.064439
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.602086
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.016924
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.673363
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.401756
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.806336
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.859640
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.674262
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.332550
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.929091
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.027123
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.651481
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2593.305020
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.219008
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.793939
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.448211
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.191911
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.086373
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2594.539469
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.927492
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.508995
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.905070
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.755927
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.259256
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.056615
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.229959
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.161462
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.898548
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.782298
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.749425
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.438829
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.692805
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.387252
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.241413
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.300298
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2594.469366
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2594.291484
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.115828
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.134031
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.254941
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2593.757296
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.491965
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.248874
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.171248
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.329180
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.887602
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.460348
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.804734
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.476827
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.524551
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.356007
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.321576
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.285680
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.197588
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2595.992028
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.900265
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.613041
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.566051
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.248283
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.675361
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.528497
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2593.472607
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.815054
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.423243
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.429422
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.500183
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.090979
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.064172
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.588351
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.532194
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2600.825764
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.877217
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.619297
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.853876
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2593.211902
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.607546
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.407865
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.268036
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.484512
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.891584
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.687159
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.627120
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.106576
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.048963
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.781838
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.584549
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.501194
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          2591.3
S.D.    =          1.9941
S.E.M.  =        0.028200

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Binomial) 
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 2.03s 
Number of obs:  1934 (from total 1934)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
2591.294   2589.293   2.001      2593.294   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
logit(use) ~ 1 + age
Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
               Coef.   Std. Err.      z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
Intercept   -0.43858     0.04731  -9.27   1.863e-20  ***    -0.53074    -0.34677   1100 
age          0.00681     0.00509   1.34      0.1803         -0.00333     0.01649   1145 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
                Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_bcons_1   1.00000       1e-05      1.00000     1.00000   5000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(logit(use) ~ 1 + obsage, D = "Binomial", estoptions = list(EstM = 1), data = bang1))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10   2 2 2 1 1 2
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2595.199073
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2589.902225
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2589.864198
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2589.867866
Adapting finished and took 500 iterations
Adapting took 500 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2591.696711
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2589.680114
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2592.340952
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2589.744447
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2592.048609
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2590.549333
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2589.886888
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2589.990956
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2590.173068
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2592.398467

ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 2
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.817573
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.623709
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2594.023814
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2593.019489
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.433573
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.196465
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.624468
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.679076
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.581293
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.826219
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.729285
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.411348
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.485122
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.950383
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.657924
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.648427
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.723986
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.801623
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.923736
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2597.092208
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.668731
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.903505
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.721020
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.208793
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.656182
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.717453
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.016605
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.492345
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.918941
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.742885
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.586752
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.857299
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.341719
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.702930
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.933571
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.929880
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.597299
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.533599
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.202207
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.445180
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.996578
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.419777
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.436971
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.467230
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.675127
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2596.279303
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.571497
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.423897
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.213799
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.297146
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.591340
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.205876
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.674572
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.545471
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.538674
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2594.789342
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.733650
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2593.186276
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.251757
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.329570
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.566061
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2597.085175
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2595.773919
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.998117
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.815930
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.496575
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.334875
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2595.209172
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.518678
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.211781
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.951866
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.897413
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.477940
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.951612
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.679531
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.851501
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.412308
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.985272
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2596.651283
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.312295
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.998750
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.372354
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.705697
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.894771
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.051769
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.574243
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.654868
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.490101
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.570147
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.357774
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.596151
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.629862
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.503448
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.528930
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.032511
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.244396
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.769054
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.714765
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.781194
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.713482
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          2591.5
S.D.    =          1.9662
S.E.M.  =        0.027806

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Binomial) 
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 2.05s 
Number of obs:  1934 (from total 1934)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
2591.522   2589.572   1.950      2593.472   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
logit(use) ~ 1 + obsage
Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
               Coef.   Std. Err.      z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
Intercept   -0.43710     0.04510  -9.69   3.281e-22  ***    -0.52199    -0.34799   1111 
obsage       0.00490     0.00450   1.09      0.2762         -0.00414     0.01355   1175 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
                Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_bcons_1   1.00000       1e-05      1.00000     1.00000   5000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> ## Adjust for the measurement errors
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(logit(use) ~ 1 + obsage, D = "Binomial", estoptions = list(EstM = 1, merr = c(N = 1,
+   "obsage", 25)), data = bang1))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10   2 2 2 1 1 2
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2587.296697
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2590.917904
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2589.351124
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2591.896449
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2591.706105
Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2591.515255
Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2591.949838
Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2594.326103
Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2588.150069
Adapting for 1000 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2589.923420
Adapting for 1100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2594.209432
Adapting for 1200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2589.788355
Adapting for 1300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2594.735322
Adapting for 1400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2589.281035
Adapting for 1500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2591.736834
Adapting for 1600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2586.839461
Adapting for 1700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2588.688721
Adapting finished and took 1800 iterations
Adapting took 1800 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2590.576466
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2591.915352
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2592.777747
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2590.017124
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2588.691006
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2590.087763
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2589.218394
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2591.784592
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2589.934634
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2591.717224

ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 2
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2593.801457
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2593.732311
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.501635
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.968686
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.932230
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2596.655870
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.127903
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.067537
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2588.771925
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.800016
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.154095
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.218438
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2587.029599
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2587.352441
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.050325
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.050677
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.606194
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.928948
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.498326
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2595.436023
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.268145
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2594.293472
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2593.869591
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.049693
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.859466
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.997995
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.253875
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2588.742808
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.575817
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.124739
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2588.054433
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.351245
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.128259
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.167754
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.132583
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.972674
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.087644
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.336572
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.243831
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.513777
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.682514
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.642406
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.280187
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2585.319839
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.336145
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.285905
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2593.065948
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.052767
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.235381
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.701800
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.319799
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.135881
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.089608
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2587.947954
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.939323
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.739719
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.722767
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.541238
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.168696
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.036347
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.307136
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.845229
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.013616
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2597.385478
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.345531
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2595.514683
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.426875
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.861416
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.858537
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2588.138266
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.571574
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.433225
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.601317
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.952170
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.395170
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.826861
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2588.102185
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.297300
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.796900
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.577441
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2593.019622
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2589.501620
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2588.790930
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2594.319619
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2585.809142
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.817792
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.989553
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.839469
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.779146
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2593.870488
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2587.615504
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2586.987066
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.021368
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2588.872930
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2590.412870
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2592.596384
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2591.742665
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2596.675991
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2588.900644
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2594.443487
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          2590.9
S.D.    =          2.5187
S.E.M.  =        0.035619

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.05)  multilevel model (Binomial) 
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 7.06s 
Number of obs:  1934 (from total 1934)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Deviance statistic:  NA 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
logit(use) ~ 1 + obsage
Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
               Coef.   Std. Err.      z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
Intercept   -0.43839     0.04655  -9.42   4.625e-21  ***    -0.53559    -0.35113   1084 
obsage       0.00674     0.00591   1.14      0.2542         -0.00467     0.01836    843 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
                Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_bcons_1   1.00000       1e-05      1.00000     1.00000   5000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> # 14.4 Measurement errors in more than one variable and
> #      misclassifications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .211
> 
> # Chapter learning outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .128
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> ############################################################################
> 
> proc.time()
   user  system elapsed 
   5.32    1.03   34.61