R version 4.4.1 (2024-06-14 ucrt) -- "Race for Your Life"
Copyright (C) 2024 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing
Platform: x86_64-w64-mingw32/x64

R is free software and comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY.
You are welcome to redistribute it under certain conditions.
Type 'license()' or 'licence()' for distribution details.

R is a collaborative project with many contributors.
Type 'contributors()' for more information and
'citation()' on how to cite R or R packages in publications.

Type 'demo()' for some demos, 'help()' for on-line help, or
'help.start()' for an HTML browser interface to help.
Type 'q()' to quit R.

> ############################################################################
> #     MLwiN MCMC Manual
> #
> # 25  Hierarchical Centring . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .401
> #
> #     Browne, W.J. (2009) MCMC Estimation in MLwiN, v2.13. Centre for
> #     Multilevel Modelling, University of Bristol.
> ############################################################################
> #     R script to replicate all analyses using R2MLwiN
> #
> #     Zhang, Z., Charlton, C., Parker, R, Leckie, G., and Browne, W.J.
> #     Centre for Multilevel Modelling, 2012
> #     http://www.bristol.ac.uk/cmm/software/R2MLwiN/
> ############################################################################
> 
> # 25.1 What is hierarchical centering? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 401
> 
> # 25.2 Centring Normal models using WinBUGS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .403
> 
> library(R2MLwiN)

R2MLwiN: A package to run models implemented in MLwiN from R
Copyright 2013-2024 Zhengzheng Zhang, Christopher M. J. Charlton, Richard M. A. Parker, William J. Browne and George Leckie

Support provided by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC)
(Grants RES-149-25-1084, RES-576-25-0032 and ES/K007246/1)

To cite R2MLwiN in publications use:

  Zhengzheng Zhang, Richard M. A. Parker, Christopher M. J. Charlton,
  George Leckie, William J. Browne (2016). R2MLwiN: A Package to Run
  MLwiN from within R. Journal of Statistical Software, 72(10), 1-43.
  doi:10.18637/jss.v072.i10

A BibTeX entry for LaTeX users is

  @Article{,
    title = {{R2MLwiN}: A Package to Run {MLwiN} from within {R}},
    author = {Zhengzheng Zhang and Richard M. A. Parker and Christopher M. J. Charlton and George Leckie and William J. Browne},
    journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
    year = {2016},
    volume = {72},
    number = {10},
    pages = {1--43},
    doi = {10.18637/jss.v072.i10},
  }

The MLwiN_path option is currently set to C:/Program Files/MLwiN v3.11/
To change this use: options(MLwiN_path="<path to MLwiN>")
> # MLwiN folder
> mlwin <- getOption("MLwiN_path")
> while (!file.access(mlwin, mode = 1) == 0) {
+   cat("Please specify the root MLwiN folder or the full path to the MLwiN executable:\n")
+   mlwin <- scan(what = character(0), sep = "\n")
+   mlwin <- gsub("\\", "/", mlwin, fixed = TRUE)
+ }
> options(MLwiN_path = mlwin)
> 
> # Change contrasts if wish to avoid warning indicating that, by default,
> # specified contrasts for ordered predictors will be ignored by runMLwiN
> # (they will be fitted as "contr.treatment" regardless of this setting). To
> # enable specified contrasts, set allowcontrast to TRUE (this will be the
> # default in future package releases). NB at the end of this script, the
> # specification for contrasts is changed back.
> my_contrasts <- options("contrasts")$contrasts
> options(contrasts = c(unordered = "contr.treatment",
+                       ordered = "contr.treatment"))
> 
> # As an alternative to changing contrasts, can instead use C() to specify
> # contrasts for ordered predictors in formula object, e.g.:
> 
> # (mymodel <- runMLwiN(logit(use) ~ 1 + age + C(lc, "contr.treatment") + urban +
> #                        (1 + urban | district),
> #                      D = "Binomial",
> #                      estoptions = list(EstM = 1,
> #                                        mcmcOptions = list(hcen = 2)),
> #                      data = bang1,
> #                      allowcontrast = TRUE))
> 
> # User's input if necessary
> 
> ## Read tutorial data
> data(tutorial, package = "R2MLwiN")
> 
> ## Hierarchical centring at level 2 (DO NOT USE VERSION 2.25; the bug has been fixed for VERSION 2.26)
> 
> mymodel <- runMLwiN(normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student), estoptions = list(EstM = 1, mcmcOptions = list(hcen = 2), 
+   show.file = TRUE), BUGO = c(version = 4, n.chains = 1, debug = FALSE, seed = 1, OpenBugs = TRUE), 
+   data = tutorial)
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0
Execution completed

Loading required namespace: R2OpenBUGS
> 
> summary(mymodel)

Iterations = 501:5500
Thinning interval = 1 
Number of chains = 1 
Sample size per chain = 5000 

1. Empirical mean and standard deviation for each variable,
   plus standard error of the mean:

                Mean       SD  Naive SE Time-series SE
beta[1]    2.409e-03  0.04012 0.0005674      0.0005882
beta[2]    5.632e-01  0.01229 0.0001738      0.0001830
deviance   9.209e+03 12.11519 0.1713347      0.1813012
sigma2     5.662e-01  0.01283 0.0001815      0.0001562
sigma2.u2  9.691e-02  0.01955 0.0002765      0.0003464
u2[1]      3.764e-01  0.08499 0.0012020      0.0012020
u2[10]    -3.349e-01  0.10013 0.0014161      0.0014161
u2[11]     1.816e-01  0.09184 0.0012988      0.0013643
u2[12]    -5.881e-02  0.10520 0.0014877      0.0014485
u2[13]    -1.477e-01  0.09227 0.0013050      0.0013050
u2[14]    -1.634e-01  0.05267 0.0007448      0.0007284
u2[15]    -1.821e-01  0.07672 0.0010850      0.0010850
u2[16]    -4.081e-01  0.07808 0.0011043      0.0010574
u2[17]    -1.723e-01  0.06571 0.0009293      0.0009293
u2[18]    -8.119e-02  0.06611 0.0009349      0.0009773
u2[19]    -1.143e-02  0.09546 0.0013500      0.0014004
u2[2]      5.047e-01  0.09902 0.0014004      0.0014004
u2[20]     2.143e-01  0.11076 0.0015663      0.0015617
u2[21]     2.468e-01  0.08493 0.0012011      0.0012052
u2[22]    -4.317e-01  0.07692 0.0010877      0.0010877
u2[23]    -4.894e-01  0.13106 0.0018535      0.0018726
u2[24]     2.092e-01  0.11433 0.0016169      0.0016169
u2[25]    -2.275e-01  0.08621 0.0012192      0.0012192
u2[26]    -2.332e-02  0.08247 0.0011664      0.0011664
u2[27]     2.488e-02  0.11204 0.0015845      0.0015845
u2[28]    -6.074e-01  0.09633 0.0013623      0.0013901
u2[29]     2.431e-01  0.08202 0.0011599      0.0011884
u2[3]      5.058e-01  0.09829 0.0013900      0.0013883
u2[30]     1.620e-01  0.10792 0.0015262      0.0015262
u2[31]     3.377e-02  0.10004 0.0014147      0.0013792
u2[32]    -5.933e-03  0.11036 0.0015607      0.0016031
u2[33]     3.094e-02  0.08284 0.0011716      0.0011716
u2[34]    -1.398e-01  0.13480 0.0019064      0.0019064
u2[35]     1.292e-01  0.11282 0.0015955      0.0015955
u2[36]    -1.791e-01  0.08782 0.0012419      0.0012419
u2[37]    -1.848e-01  0.14151 0.0020013      0.0020013
u2[38]    -1.494e-01  0.09700 0.0013718      0.0013315
u2[39]     1.334e-01  0.10168 0.0014380      0.0014380
u2[4]      1.989e-02  0.08015 0.0011335      0.0011335
u2[40]    -2.343e-01  0.08668 0.0012258      0.0012258
u2[41]     2.145e-01  0.09300 0.0013152      0.0013152
u2[42]     9.601e-02  0.09574 0.0013540      0.0013540
u2[43]    -8.772e-02  0.09138 0.0012923      0.0012928
u2[44]    -2.468e-01  0.12554 0.0017753      0.0017753
u2[45]    -1.079e-01  0.09969 0.0014098      0.0014098
u2[46]    -3.515e-01  0.08046 0.0011378      0.0011378
u2[47]    -4.023e-02  0.07993 0.0011304      0.0011304
u2[48]    -4.375e-02  0.27017 0.0038208      0.0034446
u2[49]     4.534e-02  0.06962 0.0009845      0.0009845
u2[5]      2.448e-01  0.11974 0.0016933      0.0016933
u2[50]    -3.006e-01  0.08561 0.0012107      0.0012107
u2[51]    -5.001e-02  0.09477 0.0013403      0.0013403
u2[52]     3.863e-01  0.09176 0.0012977      0.0012977
u2[53]     7.279e-01  0.08780 0.0012417      0.0012731
u2[54]    -5.525e-01  0.20693 0.0029264      0.0030939
u2[55]     5.075e-01  0.10066 0.0014236      0.0014534
u2[56]     1.400e-02  0.11368 0.0016077      0.0018033
u2[57]     3.406e-02  0.09091 0.0012857      0.0012857
u2[58]     1.399e-01  0.11561 0.0016349      0.0016349
u2[59]    -6.584e-01  0.10524 0.0014883      0.0015636
u2[6]      5.465e-01  0.08247 0.0011662      0.0011662
u2[60]     2.274e-01  0.08225 0.0011632      0.0012008
u2[61]    -3.848e-02  0.09041 0.0012786      0.0012963
u2[62]    -5.156e-02  0.08483 0.0011997      0.0011997
u2[63]     5.397e-01  0.12704 0.0017967      0.0017061
u2[64]     8.922e-02  0.09437 0.0013346      0.0013346
u2[65]    -1.643e-01  0.08115 0.0011476      0.0011476
u2[7]      3.830e-01  0.07814 0.0011050      0.0011381
u2[8]     -2.266e-02  0.07346 0.0010389      0.0010389
u2[9]     -1.330e-01  0.12049 0.0017040      0.0018576

2. Quantiles for each variable:

                2.5%        25%        50%        75%      97.5%
beta[1]   -7.747e-02 -2.394e-02  3.098e-03  2.955e-02  8.081e-02
beta[2]    5.393e-01  5.549e-01  5.633e-01  5.716e-01  5.870e-01
deviance   9.188e+03  9.200e+03  9.208e+03  9.217e+03  9.235e+03
sigma2     5.416e-01  5.576e-01  5.663e-01  5.748e-01  5.920e-01
sigma2.u2  6.516e-02  8.286e-02  9.503e-02  1.084e-01  1.412e-01
u2[1]      2.137e-01  3.182e-01  3.754e-01  4.335e-01  5.421e-01
u2[10]    -5.236e-01 -4.051e-01 -3.353e-01 -2.664e-01 -1.385e-01
u2[11]    -5.725e-04  1.209e-01  1.823e-01  2.439e-01  3.614e-01
u2[12]    -2.684e-01 -1.278e-01 -5.802e-02  1.164e-02  1.475e-01
u2[13]    -3.256e-01 -2.104e-01 -1.470e-01 -8.570e-02  3.059e-02
u2[14]    -2.642e-01 -1.995e-01 -1.634e-01 -1.271e-01 -5.935e-02
u2[15]    -3.360e-01 -2.328e-01 -1.807e-01 -1.303e-01 -2.875e-02
u2[16]    -5.588e-01 -4.599e-01 -4.088e-01 -3.569e-01 -2.514e-01
u2[17]    -3.041e-01 -2.162e-01 -1.713e-01 -1.267e-01 -4.513e-02
u2[18]    -2.127e-01 -1.255e-01 -8.156e-02 -3.773e-02  5.099e-02
u2[19]    -2.021e-01 -7.636e-02 -9.920e-03  5.438e-02  1.701e-01
u2[2]      3.084e-01  4.375e-01  5.055e-01  5.706e-01  7.019e-01
u2[20]    -2.701e-03  1.406e-01  2.156e-01  2.878e-01  4.280e-01
u2[21]     8.209e-02  1.870e-01  2.465e-01  3.055e-01  4.099e-01
u2[22]    -5.821e-01 -4.835e-01 -4.317e-01 -3.798e-01 -2.820e-01
u2[23]    -7.414e-01 -5.787e-01 -4.876e-01 -4.024e-01 -2.286e-01
u2[24]    -1.944e-02  1.337e-01  2.080e-01  2.846e-01  4.314e-01
u2[25]    -3.967e-01 -2.861e-01 -2.273e-01 -1.684e-01 -6.023e-02
u2[26]    -1.868e-01 -7.761e-02 -2.320e-02  3.127e-02  1.398e-01
u2[27]    -1.947e-01 -5.004e-02  2.425e-02  1.001e-01  2.427e-01
u2[28]    -7.958e-01 -6.735e-01 -6.059e-01 -5.423e-01 -4.181e-01
u2[29]     8.218e-02  1.888e-01  2.440e-01  2.983e-01  4.016e-01
u2[3]      3.092e-01  4.407e-01  5.068e-01  5.721e-01  6.949e-01
u2[30]    -4.754e-02  9.095e-02  1.628e-01  2.348e-01  3.743e-01
u2[31]    -1.620e-01 -3.258e-02  3.524e-02  1.005e-01  2.281e-01
u2[32]    -2.184e-01 -8.095e-02 -7.655e-03  6.780e-02  2.138e-01
u2[33]    -1.311e-01 -2.376e-02  3.103e-02  8.600e-02  1.930e-01
u2[34]    -4.086e-01 -2.325e-01 -1.395e-01 -4.422e-02  1.202e-01
u2[35]    -8.934e-02  5.238e-02  1.272e-01  2.059e-01  3.523e-01
u2[36]    -3.469e-01 -2.383e-01 -1.790e-01 -1.190e-01 -6.890e-03
u2[37]    -4.552e-01 -2.831e-01 -1.844e-01 -8.676e-02  9.278e-02
u2[38]    -3.371e-01 -2.162e-01 -1.486e-01 -8.362e-02  4.272e-02
u2[39]    -6.533e-02  6.461e-02  1.323e-01  2.011e-01  3.323e-01
u2[4]     -1.344e-01 -3.491e-02  1.985e-02  7.477e-02  1.753e-01
u2[40]    -4.072e-01 -2.922e-01 -2.312e-01 -1.782e-01 -6.697e-02
u2[41]     3.462e-02  1.530e-01  2.140e-01  2.777e-01  3.975e-01
u2[42]    -9.200e-02  3.265e-02  9.579e-02  1.585e-01  2.832e-01
u2[43]    -2.698e-01 -1.486e-01 -9.013e-02 -2.538e-02  9.367e-02
u2[44]    -4.898e-01 -3.322e-01 -2.462e-01 -1.623e-01 -1.844e-03
u2[45]    -2.994e-01 -1.758e-01 -1.103e-01 -4.031e-02  9.050e-02
u2[46]    -5.044e-01 -4.063e-01 -3.507e-01 -2.987e-01 -1.917e-01
u2[47]    -1.979e-01 -9.323e-02 -4.049e-02  1.330e-02  1.161e-01
u2[48]    -5.702e-01 -2.251e-01 -4.559e-02  1.385e-01  4.959e-01
u2[49]    -9.310e-02 -1.063e-03  4.578e-02  9.129e-02  1.830e-01
u2[5]      8.413e-03  1.652e-01  2.429e-01  3.274e-01  4.771e-01
u2[50]    -4.688e-01 -3.584e-01 -3.008e-01 -2.426e-01 -1.330e-01
u2[51]    -2.383e-01 -1.136e-01 -5.074e-02  1.458e-02  1.362e-01
u2[52]     2.084e-01  3.232e-01  3.863e-01  4.477e-01  5.680e-01
u2[53]     5.581e-01  6.682e-01  7.264e-01  7.861e-01  8.980e-01
u2[54]    -9.750e-01 -6.891e-01 -5.518e-01 -4.132e-01 -1.578e-01
u2[55]     3.136e-01  4.395e-01  5.062e-01  5.760e-01  7.054e-01
u2[56]    -2.113e-01 -6.369e-02  1.251e-02  9.051e-02  2.376e-01
u2[57]    -1.443e-01 -2.635e-02  3.363e-02  9.702e-02  2.114e-01
u2[58]    -9.031e-02  6.196e-02  1.386e-01  2.185e-01  3.681e-01
u2[59]    -8.645e-01 -7.293e-01 -6.583e-01 -5.866e-01 -4.532e-01
u2[6]      3.850e-01  4.894e-01  5.456e-01  6.032e-01  7.119e-01
u2[60]     6.317e-02  1.724e-01  2.274e-01  2.833e-01  3.868e-01
u2[61]    -2.171e-01 -9.953e-02 -3.800e-02  2.214e-02  1.348e-01
u2[62]    -2.156e-01 -1.098e-01 -5.309e-02  5.658e-03  1.137e-01
u2[63]     2.854e-01  4.544e-01  5.408e-01  6.231e-01  7.859e-01
u2[64]    -9.261e-02  2.479e-02  8.890e-02  1.538e-01  2.746e-01
u2[65]    -3.206e-01 -2.190e-01 -1.656e-01 -1.092e-01 -3.608e-03
u2[7]      2.264e-01  3.302e-01  3.834e-01  4.354e-01  5.336e-01
u2[8]     -1.669e-01 -7.151e-02 -2.260e-02  2.773e-02  1.187e-01
u2[9]     -3.642e-01 -2.172e-01 -1.326e-01 -5.250e-02  1.029e-01

> sixway(mymodel[, "beta[1]", drop = FALSE])
> 
> # 25.3 Binomial hierarchical centering algorithm . . . . . . . . . . . . 408
> 
> # 25.4 Binomial example in practice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .410
> 
> ## Read bang1 data
> data(bang1, package = "R2MLwiN")
> 
> ## Define the model
> 
> 
> ## Hierarchical centring at level 2
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(logit(use) ~ 1 + age + lc + urban + (1 + urban | district), D = "Binomial", estoptions = list(EstM = 1, 
+   mcmcOptions = list(hcen = 2)), data = bang1))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3
iteration 4
iteration 5

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 2 1 1 2
RUNNING ADAPTIVE PROCEDURE AND BURNING IN...
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2314.127814
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2352.590359
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2325.740466
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2338.516369
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2327.594616
Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2321.903225
Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2333.654889
Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2330.068352
Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2334.301819
Adapting for 1000 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2320.297681
Adapting for 1100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2327.588245
Adapting for 1200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2349.451104
Adapting for 1300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2327.422487
Adapting for 1400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2315.284464
Adapting finished and took 1500 iterations
Adapting took 1500 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2321.660042
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2321.900522
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2349.090667
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2354.230055
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2310.614175
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2321.473823
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2321.263747
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2297.416289
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2343.749888
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2322.089100

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 2
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2319.439795
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.142277
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.616540
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.952866
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2357.755472
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.411334
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.455926
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.398195
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2331.632187
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2309.129213
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.773605
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2340.554599
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.197837
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.971643
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.863855
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2319.168652
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.339124
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2334.184041
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2316.154120
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2335.020722
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2311.616169
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.747272
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2324.299179
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2311.808121
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2325.844049
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.199013
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.870627
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2348.407910
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2337.706535
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2331.334610
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.770760
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.636766
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2325.612938
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.130258
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2288.190002
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.491221
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2335.324090
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.162461
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.191035
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2323.036925
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.079495
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2353.739202
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.749945
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.625123
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2353.678257
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2331.089233
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.833692
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2334.695653
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.216146
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2320.336154
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.712722
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.525123
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2323.544243
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2340.174466
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.808241
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2324.933117
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.758845
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.652998
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2344.015983
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2343.750630
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.086059
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.084748
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2308.505127
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2348.224051
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.284250
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.390159
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2314.443403
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2318.068758
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.502600
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.815485
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2356.315611
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.226257
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2324.152736
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.891181
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.139436
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.917833
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.051489
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2350.711223
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2345.027991
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2298.648957
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2340.062742
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.017643
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2319.345915
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.925549
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.390458
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2331.418633
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2345.773686
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2324.531450
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.787396
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2352.577495
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.919337
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.217425
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2309.633692
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.129625
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.241573
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.123824
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.269194
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2344.363637
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.470549
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2309.010898
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          2330.7
S.D.    =          13.854
S.E.M.  =         0.19592

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.11)  multilevel model (Binomial) 
          N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
district 60   2 32.23333 118         60            2      32.23333          118
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 7.35s 
Number of obs:  1934 (from total 1934)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
2330.668   2275.199   55.469     2386.137   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
logit(use) ~ 1 + age + lc + urban + (1 + urban | district)
Level 2: district     Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
                    Coef.   Std. Err.       z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
Intercept        -1.68377     0.14496  -11.62   3.444e-31  ***    -1.95289    -1.38328    82 
age              -0.02562     0.00751   -3.41    0.000651  ***    -0.04044    -0.01111   195 
lcOne_child       1.11909     0.15685    7.13   9.708e-13  ***     0.83976     1.43334   264 
lcTwo_children    1.34129     0.16866    7.95   1.829e-15  ***     0.98953     1.65697   129 
lcThree_plus      1.32658     0.16990    7.81   5.813e-15  ***     0.98216     1.64225    76 
urbanUrban        0.79524     0.16916    4.70   2.587e-06  ***     0.46641     1.13508   322 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the district level: 
                              Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
var_Intercept               0.40394     0.12824      0.21029     0.70237   228 
cov_Intercept_urbanUrban   -0.41194     0.17555     -0.83747    -0.15305   119 
var_urbanUrban              0.69366     0.32899      0.26363     1.54801    84 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
                Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_bcons_1   1.00000       1e-05      1.00000     1.00000   5000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> trajectories(mymodel)
dev.new(): using pdf(file="Rplots6.pdf")
> 
> ## Hierarchical centring at level 2 + Orthogonal updates
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(logit(use) ~ 1 + age + lc + urban + (1 + urban | district), D = "Binomial", estoptions = list(EstM = 1, 
+   mcmcOptions = list(hcen = 2, orth = 1)), data = bang1))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3
iteration 4
iteration 5

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 2 1 1 2
RUNNING ADAPTIVE PROCEDURE AND BURNING IN...
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2308.721422
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2336.874316
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2325.480043
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2334.554574
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2363.757482
Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2342.068702
Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2328.148115
Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2324.767405
Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2342.674356
Adapting for 1000 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2334.206929
Adapting for 1100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2333.248901
Adapting finished and took 1200 iterations
Adapting took 1200 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2343.444526
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2332.273840
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2312.193210
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2341.990966
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2347.931881
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2309.445406
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2320.641457
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2339.306158
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2331.413964
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2341.142032

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 2
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.375666
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.037908
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2342.738050
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2315.319670
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.698566
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2309.237246
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.196161
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2350.646607
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2340.523375
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2344.961265
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.124251
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.780443
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2325.791956
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2318.344078
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.179271
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.988700
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2297.878714
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.295991
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.952961
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2308.709815
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2337.038883
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.967539
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.726219
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.066759
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.393603
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.285874
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2345.981343
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.082488
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2331.186210
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.268998
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2343.160697
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2302.405753
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2311.746193
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.841164
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2343.818510
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.861423
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2351.201664
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2335.974408
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.362310
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.728514
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2325.061475
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2344.526622
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2347.455825
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.734158
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.744298
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.578771
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.154588
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.413023
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.173148
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2339.524758
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.926617
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2308.283974
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2358.302951
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.866386
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.607411
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2306.678562
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.259704
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.212829
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2334.992363
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.716958
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2337.727088
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2323.283233
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2339.504611
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.824013
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.444132
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2335.252015
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.387850
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.648424
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2344.912598
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2308.170707
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2335.843524
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.650023
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.579329
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2331.762698
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2316.796308
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.051283
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2369.325114
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2310.403739
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.227278
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.283093
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.537062
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2310.616224
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.136684
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.004325
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.596875
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.530907
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.729517
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.585916
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.791486
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.503473
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.432802
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2343.540505
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.426845
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2356.990440
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.023573
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2316.119634
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2309.684994
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.322072
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2309.400785
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2311.261947
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          2329.7
S.D.    =          13.637
S.E.M.  =         0.19286

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.11)  multilevel model (Binomial) 
          N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
district 60   2 32.23333 118         60            2      32.23333          118
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 7.72s 
Number of obs:  1934 (from total 1934)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
2329.693   2274.093   55.601     2385.294   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
logit(use) ~ 1 + age + lc + urban + (1 + urban | district)
Level 2: district     Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
                    Coef.   Std. Err.       z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
Intercept        -1.72031     0.15984  -10.76   5.173e-27  ***    -2.02722    -1.40997    483 
age              -0.02651     0.00792   -3.35   0.0008162  ***    -0.04261    -0.01147   1136 
lcOne_child       1.14197     0.15836    7.21   5.543e-13  ***     0.83660     1.44117   1035 
lcTwo_children    1.36558     0.17477    7.81   5.559e-15  ***     1.02770     1.71322   1078 
lcThree_plus      1.36530     0.18173    7.51   5.789e-14  ***     1.01207     1.71235    911 
urbanUrban        0.81124     0.17151    4.73   2.245e-06  ***     0.46726     1.15415    214 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the district level: 
                              Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
var_Intercept               0.41132     0.13099      0.19730     0.70484   238 
cov_Intercept_urbanUrban   -0.40136     0.16606     -0.77090    -0.13197   122 
var_urbanUrban              0.66298     0.29277      0.25760     1.37158    85 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
                Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_bcons_1   1.00000       1e-05      1.00000     1.00000   5000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> trajectories(mymodel)
dev.new(): using pdf(file="Rplots7.pdf")
> 
> # 25.5 The Melanoma example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .414
> 
> ## Read mmmec data
> data(mmmec, package = "R2MLwiN")
> 
> ## Define the model Hierarchical centring at level 2
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(log(obs) ~ 0 + nation + nation:uvbi + offset(log(exp)) + (1 | region), D = "Poisson", estoptions = list(EstM = 1, 
+   mcmcMeth = list(iterations = 50000), mcmcOptions = list(hcen = 2)), data = mmmec))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3
iteration 4

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 2 1 1 3
RUNNING ADAPTIVE PROCEDURE AND BURNING IN...
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2031.987534
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2032.844250
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2016.322951
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2011.985280
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2039.563306
Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2046.714044
Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2023.520060
Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2017.636548
Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2019.929023
Adapting for 1000 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2042.248975
Adapting finished and took 1100 iterations
Adapting took 1100 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2028.450051
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2017.691646
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2017.959743
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2035.357063
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2029.765501
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2009.340326
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2023.342776
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2026.279342
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2030.557917
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2020.883554

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 50000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 3
Actual update 50 of 50000, Stored update 50 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.975932
Actual update 100 of 50000, Stored update 100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.989840
Actual update 150 of 50000, Stored update 150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.826905
Actual update 200 of 50000, Stored update 200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.751490
Actual update 250 of 50000, Stored update 250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.128706
Actual update 300 of 50000, Stored update 300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.340979
Actual update 350 of 50000, Stored update 350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.868845
Actual update 400 of 50000, Stored update 400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.520280
Actual update 450 of 50000, Stored update 450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.374130
Actual update 500 of 50000, Stored update 500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.250517
Actual update 550 of 50000, Stored update 550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.603000
Actual update 600 of 50000, Stored update 600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.428369
Actual update 650 of 50000, Stored update 650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.008858
Actual update 700 of 50000, Stored update 700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.555945
Actual update 750 of 50000, Stored update 750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.207422
Actual update 800 of 50000, Stored update 800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.437081
Actual update 850 of 50000, Stored update 850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.994256
Actual update 900 of 50000, Stored update 900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.220041
Actual update 950 of 50000, Stored update 950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.647525
Actual update 1000 of 50000, Stored update 1000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.700096
Actual update 1050 of 50000, Stored update 1050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.126895
Actual update 1100 of 50000, Stored update 1100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.246898
Actual update 1150 of 50000, Stored update 1150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.979352
Actual update 1200 of 50000, Stored update 1200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.155617
Actual update 1250 of 50000, Stored update 1250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.243253
Actual update 1300 of 50000, Stored update 1300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.465668
Actual update 1350 of 50000, Stored update 1350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.958762
Actual update 1400 of 50000, Stored update 1400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.492654
Actual update 1450 of 50000, Stored update 1450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.750697
Actual update 1500 of 50000, Stored update 1500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.377536
Actual update 1550 of 50000, Stored update 1550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.032293
Actual update 1600 of 50000, Stored update 1600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.214998
Actual update 1650 of 50000, Stored update 1650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.692068
Actual update 1700 of 50000, Stored update 1700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.105310
Actual update 1750 of 50000, Stored update 1750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.593575
Actual update 1800 of 50000, Stored update 1800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.241574
Actual update 1850 of 50000, Stored update 1850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.911370
Actual update 1900 of 50000, Stored update 1900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.734920
Actual update 1950 of 50000, Stored update 1950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.373527
Actual update 2000 of 50000, Stored update 2000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.763361
Actual update 2050 of 50000, Stored update 2050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.601545
Actual update 2100 of 50000, Stored update 2100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.993759
Actual update 2150 of 50000, Stored update 2150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.487595
Actual update 2200 of 50000, Stored update 2200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.136053
Actual update 2250 of 50000, Stored update 2250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.224520
Actual update 2300 of 50000, Stored update 2300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.214875
Actual update 2350 of 50000, Stored update 2350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.678732
Actual update 2400 of 50000, Stored update 2400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.681751
Actual update 2450 of 50000, Stored update 2450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.794453
Actual update 2500 of 50000, Stored update 2500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.303788
Actual update 2550 of 50000, Stored update 2550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.243127
Actual update 2600 of 50000, Stored update 2600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.730685
Actual update 2650 of 50000, Stored update 2650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.086486
Actual update 2700 of 50000, Stored update 2700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.175676
Actual update 2750 of 50000, Stored update 2750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.242378
Actual update 2800 of 50000, Stored update 2800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.458469
Actual update 2850 of 50000, Stored update 2850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.979302
Actual update 2900 of 50000, Stored update 2900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.801701
Actual update 2950 of 50000, Stored update 2950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.372756
Actual update 3000 of 50000, Stored update 3000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.735372
Actual update 3050 of 50000, Stored update 3050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.360229
Actual update 3100 of 50000, Stored update 3100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.849092
Actual update 3150 of 50000, Stored update 3150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.200220
Actual update 3200 of 50000, Stored update 3200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.596083
Actual update 3250 of 50000, Stored update 3250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1994.987096
Actual update 3300 of 50000, Stored update 3300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.416231
Actual update 3350 of 50000, Stored update 3350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.292356
Actual update 3400 of 50000, Stored update 3400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.242811
Actual update 3450 of 50000, Stored update 3450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.151670
Actual update 3500 of 50000, Stored update 3500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.783886
Actual update 3550 of 50000, Stored update 3550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.701857
Actual update 3600 of 50000, Stored update 3600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.858805
Actual update 3650 of 50000, Stored update 3650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.902282
Actual update 3700 of 50000, Stored update 3700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.716780
Actual update 3750 of 50000, Stored update 3750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.528075
Actual update 3800 of 50000, Stored update 3800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.199783
Actual update 3850 of 50000, Stored update 3850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.199582
Actual update 3900 of 50000, Stored update 3900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.255062
Actual update 3950 of 50000, Stored update 3950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.252715
Actual update 4000 of 50000, Stored update 4000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.917472
Actual update 4050 of 50000, Stored update 4050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.737948
Actual update 4100 of 50000, Stored update 4100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.150085
Actual update 4150 of 50000, Stored update 4150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.284285
Actual update 4200 of 50000, Stored update 4200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.726288
Actual update 4250 of 50000, Stored update 4250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.639819
Actual update 4300 of 50000, Stored update 4300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.913083
Actual update 4350 of 50000, Stored update 4350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.837136
Actual update 4400 of 50000, Stored update 4400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.669435
Actual update 4450 of 50000, Stored update 4450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.975631
Actual update 4500 of 50000, Stored update 4500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.553634
Actual update 4550 of 50000, Stored update 4550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.910693
Actual update 4600 of 50000, Stored update 4600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.334911
Actual update 4650 of 50000, Stored update 4650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.029661
Actual update 4700 of 50000, Stored update 4700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.241683
Actual update 4750 of 50000, Stored update 4750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.719809
Actual update 4800 of 50000, Stored update 4800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.409514
Actual update 4850 of 50000, Stored update 4850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.684006
Actual update 4900 of 50000, Stored update 4900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.569997
Actual update 4950 of 50000, Stored update 4950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.057779
Actual update 5000 of 50000, Stored update 5000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.174963
Actual update 5050 of 50000, Stored update 5050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.707650
Actual update 5100 of 50000, Stored update 5100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.596081
Actual update 5150 of 50000, Stored update 5150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.608626
Actual update 5200 of 50000, Stored update 5200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.852054
Actual update 5250 of 50000, Stored update 5250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.541173
Actual update 5300 of 50000, Stored update 5300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.796702
Actual update 5350 of 50000, Stored update 5350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.750734
Actual update 5400 of 50000, Stored update 5400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.047933
Actual update 5450 of 50000, Stored update 5450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.544695
Actual update 5500 of 50000, Stored update 5500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.533077
Actual update 5550 of 50000, Stored update 5550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.619537
Actual update 5600 of 50000, Stored update 5600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.267098
Actual update 5650 of 50000, Stored update 5650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.080095
Actual update 5700 of 50000, Stored update 5700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.666401
Actual update 5750 of 50000, Stored update 5750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.266001
Actual update 5800 of 50000, Stored update 5800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.834928
Actual update 5850 of 50000, Stored update 5850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.425232
Actual update 5900 of 50000, Stored update 5900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.614759
Actual update 5950 of 50000, Stored update 5950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.610243
Actual update 6000 of 50000, Stored update 6000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.513792
Actual update 6050 of 50000, Stored update 6050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.290496
Actual update 6100 of 50000, Stored update 6100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.574664
Actual update 6150 of 50000, Stored update 6150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.936823
Actual update 6200 of 50000, Stored update 6200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.636179
Actual update 6250 of 50000, Stored update 6250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.885053
Actual update 6300 of 50000, Stored update 6300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.508609
Actual update 6350 of 50000, Stored update 6350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.481966
Actual update 6400 of 50000, Stored update 6400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.189737
Actual update 6450 of 50000, Stored update 6450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.257504
Actual update 6500 of 50000, Stored update 6500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.612349
Actual update 6550 of 50000, Stored update 6550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.961356
Actual update 6600 of 50000, Stored update 6600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.614300
Actual update 6650 of 50000, Stored update 6650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.534776
Actual update 6700 of 50000, Stored update 6700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.619567
Actual update 6750 of 50000, Stored update 6750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.494665
Actual update 6800 of 50000, Stored update 6800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.023806
Actual update 6850 of 50000, Stored update 6850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.234925
Actual update 6900 of 50000, Stored update 6900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.661197
Actual update 6950 of 50000, Stored update 6950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.019524
Actual update 7000 of 50000, Stored update 7000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.357740
Actual update 7050 of 50000, Stored update 7050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.299312
Actual update 7100 of 50000, Stored update 7100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.569992
Actual update 7150 of 50000, Stored update 7150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.580654
Actual update 7200 of 50000, Stored update 7200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.112260
Actual update 7250 of 50000, Stored update 7250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.068508
Actual update 7300 of 50000, Stored update 7300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.859385
Actual update 7350 of 50000, Stored update 7350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.894907
Actual update 7400 of 50000, Stored update 7400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.501485
Actual update 7450 of 50000, Stored update 7450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.217558
Actual update 7500 of 50000, Stored update 7500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.236229
Actual update 7550 of 50000, Stored update 7550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.555142
Actual update 7600 of 50000, Stored update 7600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.976449
Actual update 7650 of 50000, Stored update 7650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.441639
Actual update 7700 of 50000, Stored update 7700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.389604
Actual update 7750 of 50000, Stored update 7750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.936904
Actual update 7800 of 50000, Stored update 7800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.838448
Actual update 7850 of 50000, Stored update 7850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.824228
Actual update 7900 of 50000, Stored update 7900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.739171
Actual update 7950 of 50000, Stored update 7950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.413581
Actual update 8000 of 50000, Stored update 8000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2060.023061
Actual update 8050 of 50000, Stored update 8050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.161643
Actual update 8100 of 50000, Stored update 8100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.284900
Actual update 8150 of 50000, Stored update 8150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.213246
Actual update 8200 of 50000, Stored update 8200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.327323
Actual update 8250 of 50000, Stored update 8250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.867623
Actual update 8300 of 50000, Stored update 8300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.963670
Actual update 8350 of 50000, Stored update 8350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.208052
Actual update 8400 of 50000, Stored update 8400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.204980
Actual update 8450 of 50000, Stored update 8450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.237154
Actual update 8500 of 50000, Stored update 8500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.423579
Actual update 8550 of 50000, Stored update 8550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1999.343246
Actual update 8600 of 50000, Stored update 8600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.892127
Actual update 8650 of 50000, Stored update 8650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.865372
Actual update 8700 of 50000, Stored update 8700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.849279
Actual update 8750 of 50000, Stored update 8750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.045213
Actual update 8800 of 50000, Stored update 8800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.289801
Actual update 8850 of 50000, Stored update 8850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.937911
Actual update 8900 of 50000, Stored update 8900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.865580
Actual update 8950 of 50000, Stored update 8950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.869696
Actual update 9000 of 50000, Stored update 9000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.556432
Actual update 9050 of 50000, Stored update 9050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.990930
Actual update 9100 of 50000, Stored update 9100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.501294
Actual update 9150 of 50000, Stored update 9150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.933331
Actual update 9200 of 50000, Stored update 9200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.583625
Actual update 9250 of 50000, Stored update 9250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.942515
Actual update 9300 of 50000, Stored update 9300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.203156
Actual update 9350 of 50000, Stored update 9350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.608144
Actual update 9400 of 50000, Stored update 9400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.707791
Actual update 9450 of 50000, Stored update 9450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.058252
Actual update 9500 of 50000, Stored update 9500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.514273
Actual update 9550 of 50000, Stored update 9550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.079675
Actual update 9600 of 50000, Stored update 9600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.705981
Actual update 9650 of 50000, Stored update 9650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.788434
Actual update 9700 of 50000, Stored update 9700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.612933
Actual update 9750 of 50000, Stored update 9750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.851210
Actual update 9800 of 50000, Stored update 9800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.692355
Actual update 9850 of 50000, Stored update 9850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.052186
Actual update 9900 of 50000, Stored update 9900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.222476
Actual update 9950 of 50000, Stored update 9950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.270716
Actual update 10000 of 50000, Stored update 10000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.479445
Actual update 10050 of 50000, Stored update 10050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.603328
Actual update 10100 of 50000, Stored update 10100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.545493
Actual update 10150 of 50000, Stored update 10150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.466743
Actual update 10200 of 50000, Stored update 10200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.769189
Actual update 10250 of 50000, Stored update 10250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.956752
Actual update 10300 of 50000, Stored update 10300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.459034
Actual update 10350 of 50000, Stored update 10350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.632989
Actual update 10400 of 50000, Stored update 10400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.369008
Actual update 10450 of 50000, Stored update 10450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.704388
Actual update 10500 of 50000, Stored update 10500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.263381
Actual update 10550 of 50000, Stored update 10550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.616042
Actual update 10600 of 50000, Stored update 10600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.032326
Actual update 10650 of 50000, Stored update 10650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.068538
Actual update 10700 of 50000, Stored update 10700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.602154
Actual update 10750 of 50000, Stored update 10750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.379864
Actual update 10800 of 50000, Stored update 10800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.488828
Actual update 10850 of 50000, Stored update 10850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.495870
Actual update 10900 of 50000, Stored update 10900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.698108
Actual update 10950 of 50000, Stored update 10950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.065854
Actual update 11000 of 50000, Stored update 11000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.677557
Actual update 11050 of 50000, Stored update 11050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.579621
Actual update 11100 of 50000, Stored update 11100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.294675
Actual update 11150 of 50000, Stored update 11150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.942273
Actual update 11200 of 50000, Stored update 11200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.789593
Actual update 11250 of 50000, Stored update 11250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.733223
Actual update 11300 of 50000, Stored update 11300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.603384
Actual update 11350 of 50000, Stored update 11350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.746455
Actual update 11400 of 50000, Stored update 11400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.867715
Actual update 11450 of 50000, Stored update 11450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.680521
Actual update 11500 of 50000, Stored update 11500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.130041
Actual update 11550 of 50000, Stored update 11550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.326572
Actual update 11600 of 50000, Stored update 11600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.558511
Actual update 11650 of 50000, Stored update 11650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.924869
Actual update 11700 of 50000, Stored update 11700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2059.096630
Actual update 11750 of 50000, Stored update 11750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.748359
Actual update 11800 of 50000, Stored update 11800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.471414
Actual update 11850 of 50000, Stored update 11850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.793058
Actual update 11900 of 50000, Stored update 11900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.640354
Actual update 11950 of 50000, Stored update 11950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.091972
Actual update 12000 of 50000, Stored update 12000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.935879
Actual update 12050 of 50000, Stored update 12050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.231474
Actual update 12100 of 50000, Stored update 12100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.367273
Actual update 12150 of 50000, Stored update 12150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.156361
Actual update 12200 of 50000, Stored update 12200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.398886
Actual update 12250 of 50000, Stored update 12250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.515733
Actual update 12300 of 50000, Stored update 12300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.164455
Actual update 12350 of 50000, Stored update 12350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.446031
Actual update 12400 of 50000, Stored update 12400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.331341
Actual update 12450 of 50000, Stored update 12450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.896052
Actual update 12500 of 50000, Stored update 12500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.303738
Actual update 12550 of 50000, Stored update 12550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.714647
Actual update 12600 of 50000, Stored update 12600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.124650
Actual update 12650 of 50000, Stored update 12650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.074512
Actual update 12700 of 50000, Stored update 12700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.767681
Actual update 12750 of 50000, Stored update 12750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.140554
Actual update 12800 of 50000, Stored update 12800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.252120
Actual update 12850 of 50000, Stored update 12850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.525061
Actual update 12900 of 50000, Stored update 12900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.078305
Actual update 12950 of 50000, Stored update 12950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.561923
Actual update 13000 of 50000, Stored update 13000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.606458
Actual update 13050 of 50000, Stored update 13050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.880887
Actual update 13100 of 50000, Stored update 13100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.526367
Actual update 13150 of 50000, Stored update 13150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.179062
Actual update 13200 of 50000, Stored update 13200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.135475
Actual update 13250 of 50000, Stored update 13250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.571460
Actual update 13300 of 50000, Stored update 13300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.161728
Actual update 13350 of 50000, Stored update 13350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.086002
Actual update 13400 of 50000, Stored update 13400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.059920
Actual update 13450 of 50000, Stored update 13450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.749048
Actual update 13500 of 50000, Stored update 13500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.120426
Actual update 13550 of 50000, Stored update 13550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.467306
Actual update 13600 of 50000, Stored update 13600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.275340
Actual update 13650 of 50000, Stored update 13650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.671087
Actual update 13700 of 50000, Stored update 13700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.173968
Actual update 13750 of 50000, Stored update 13750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2063.390485
Actual update 13800 of 50000, Stored update 13800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.624601
Actual update 13850 of 50000, Stored update 13850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.345548
Actual update 13900 of 50000, Stored update 13900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.714529
Actual update 13950 of 50000, Stored update 13950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.264555
Actual update 14000 of 50000, Stored update 14000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.843230
Actual update 14050 of 50000, Stored update 14050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.821897
Actual update 14100 of 50000, Stored update 14100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.458019
Actual update 14150 of 50000, Stored update 14150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.989624
Actual update 14200 of 50000, Stored update 14200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.909731
Actual update 14250 of 50000, Stored update 14250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.892520
Actual update 14300 of 50000, Stored update 14300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.907806
Actual update 14350 of 50000, Stored update 14350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.453681
Actual update 14400 of 50000, Stored update 14400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.877313
Actual update 14450 of 50000, Stored update 14450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.044935
Actual update 14500 of 50000, Stored update 14500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.133224
Actual update 14550 of 50000, Stored update 14550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.550187
Actual update 14600 of 50000, Stored update 14600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.194961
Actual update 14650 of 50000, Stored update 14650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1998.190854
Actual update 14700 of 50000, Stored update 14700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.239325
Actual update 14750 of 50000, Stored update 14750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.297938
Actual update 14800 of 50000, Stored update 14800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.642992
Actual update 14850 of 50000, Stored update 14850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.931228
Actual update 14900 of 50000, Stored update 14900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1994.202078
Actual update 14950 of 50000, Stored update 14950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.838674
Actual update 15000 of 50000, Stored update 15000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.149466
Actual update 15050 of 50000, Stored update 15050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.955403
Actual update 15100 of 50000, Stored update 15100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.805086
Actual update 15150 of 50000, Stored update 15150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.001042
Actual update 15200 of 50000, Stored update 15200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.722002
Actual update 15250 of 50000, Stored update 15250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.075447
Actual update 15300 of 50000, Stored update 15300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.356511
Actual update 15350 of 50000, Stored update 15350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.714483
Actual update 15400 of 50000, Stored update 15400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.525307
Actual update 15450 of 50000, Stored update 15450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.659540
Actual update 15500 of 50000, Stored update 15500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.805846
Actual update 15550 of 50000, Stored update 15550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.559045
Actual update 15600 of 50000, Stored update 15600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.295344
Actual update 15650 of 50000, Stored update 15650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.806294
Actual update 15700 of 50000, Stored update 15700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.164257
Actual update 15750 of 50000, Stored update 15750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.631712
Actual update 15800 of 50000, Stored update 15800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.485827
Actual update 15850 of 50000, Stored update 15850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.107975
Actual update 15900 of 50000, Stored update 15900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.197504
Actual update 15950 of 50000, Stored update 15950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.658180
Actual update 16000 of 50000, Stored update 16000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.557007
Actual update 16050 of 50000, Stored update 16050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.730393
Actual update 16100 of 50000, Stored update 16100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.135873
Actual update 16150 of 50000, Stored update 16150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.984520
Actual update 16200 of 50000, Stored update 16200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.437856
Actual update 16250 of 50000, Stored update 16250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.550096
Actual update 16300 of 50000, Stored update 16300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.354692
Actual update 16350 of 50000, Stored update 16350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.520562
Actual update 16400 of 50000, Stored update 16400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.210563
Actual update 16450 of 50000, Stored update 16450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.140667
Actual update 16500 of 50000, Stored update 16500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.060370
Actual update 16550 of 50000, Stored update 16550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.950199
Actual update 16600 of 50000, Stored update 16600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.229606
Actual update 16650 of 50000, Stored update 16650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.925753
Actual update 16700 of 50000, Stored update 16700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.920903
Actual update 16750 of 50000, Stored update 16750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.838082
Actual update 16800 of 50000, Stored update 16800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.948087
Actual update 16850 of 50000, Stored update 16850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.850743
Actual update 16900 of 50000, Stored update 16900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.996073
Actual update 16950 of 50000, Stored update 16950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.585035
Actual update 17000 of 50000, Stored update 17000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.412087
Actual update 17050 of 50000, Stored update 17050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.049898
Actual update 17100 of 50000, Stored update 17100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.938453
Actual update 17150 of 50000, Stored update 17150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.808681
Actual update 17200 of 50000, Stored update 17200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.060339
Actual update 17250 of 50000, Stored update 17250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.683869
Actual update 17300 of 50000, Stored update 17300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.326278
Actual update 17350 of 50000, Stored update 17350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.083307
Actual update 17400 of 50000, Stored update 17400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.420640
Actual update 17450 of 50000, Stored update 17450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.095849
Actual update 17500 of 50000, Stored update 17500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.751905
Actual update 17550 of 50000, Stored update 17550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.865493
Actual update 17600 of 50000, Stored update 17600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.750257
Actual update 17650 of 50000, Stored update 17650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.622938
Actual update 17700 of 50000, Stored update 17700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.563096
Actual update 17750 of 50000, Stored update 17750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.568528
Actual update 17800 of 50000, Stored update 17800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.344145
Actual update 17850 of 50000, Stored update 17850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.977848
Actual update 17900 of 50000, Stored update 17900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.947604
Actual update 17950 of 50000, Stored update 17950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.857651
Actual update 18000 of 50000, Stored update 18000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.108255
Actual update 18050 of 50000, Stored update 18050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.982940
Actual update 18100 of 50000, Stored update 18100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.389563
Actual update 18150 of 50000, Stored update 18150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.177657
Actual update 18200 of 50000, Stored update 18200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.702669
Actual update 18250 of 50000, Stored update 18250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.642264
Actual update 18300 of 50000, Stored update 18300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.295830
Actual update 18350 of 50000, Stored update 18350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.163793
Actual update 18400 of 50000, Stored update 18400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.290392
Actual update 18450 of 50000, Stored update 18450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.926110
Actual update 18500 of 50000, Stored update 18500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.143697
Actual update 18550 of 50000, Stored update 18550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.649734
Actual update 18600 of 50000, Stored update 18600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.710186
Actual update 18650 of 50000, Stored update 18650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.005355
Actual update 18700 of 50000, Stored update 18700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.733747
Actual update 18750 of 50000, Stored update 18750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.137441
Actual update 18800 of 50000, Stored update 18800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.264843
Actual update 18850 of 50000, Stored update 18850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.679087
Actual update 18900 of 50000, Stored update 18900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.207321
Actual update 18950 of 50000, Stored update 18950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.060979
Actual update 19000 of 50000, Stored update 19000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.247995
Actual update 19050 of 50000, Stored update 19050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.957305
Actual update 19100 of 50000, Stored update 19100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.510089
Actual update 19150 of 50000, Stored update 19150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.739923
Actual update 19200 of 50000, Stored update 19200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.289143
Actual update 19250 of 50000, Stored update 19250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.965479
Actual update 19300 of 50000, Stored update 19300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.926409
Actual update 19350 of 50000, Stored update 19350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.731872
Actual update 19400 of 50000, Stored update 19400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.033855
Actual update 19450 of 50000, Stored update 19450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.020736
Actual update 19500 of 50000, Stored update 19500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.302064
Actual update 19550 of 50000, Stored update 19550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.209528
Actual update 19600 of 50000, Stored update 19600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1997.507736
Actual update 19650 of 50000, Stored update 19650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.426108
Actual update 19700 of 50000, Stored update 19700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.917933
Actual update 19750 of 50000, Stored update 19750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.416503
Actual update 19800 of 50000, Stored update 19800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.769477
Actual update 19850 of 50000, Stored update 19850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.756436
Actual update 19900 of 50000, Stored update 19900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.827582
Actual update 19950 of 50000, Stored update 19950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.080373
Actual update 20000 of 50000, Stored update 20000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.485665
Actual update 20050 of 50000, Stored update 20050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.231300
Actual update 20100 of 50000, Stored update 20100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.507858
Actual update 20150 of 50000, Stored update 20150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.215663
Actual update 20200 of 50000, Stored update 20200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.809828
Actual update 20250 of 50000, Stored update 20250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.297791
Actual update 20300 of 50000, Stored update 20300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2063.629027
Actual update 20350 of 50000, Stored update 20350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.013628
Actual update 20400 of 50000, Stored update 20400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.266319
Actual update 20450 of 50000, Stored update 20450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.316515
Actual update 20500 of 50000, Stored update 20500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.428376
Actual update 20550 of 50000, Stored update 20550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.759185
Actual update 20600 of 50000, Stored update 20600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.161036
Actual update 20650 of 50000, Stored update 20650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.037977
Actual update 20700 of 50000, Stored update 20700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.431600
Actual update 20750 of 50000, Stored update 20750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.907958
Actual update 20800 of 50000, Stored update 20800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.239008
Actual update 20850 of 50000, Stored update 20850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.724576
Actual update 20900 of 50000, Stored update 20900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.819459
Actual update 20950 of 50000, Stored update 20950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.026385
Actual update 21000 of 50000, Stored update 21000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.736669
Actual update 21050 of 50000, Stored update 21050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2061.581706
Actual update 21100 of 50000, Stored update 21100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.440256
Actual update 21150 of 50000, Stored update 21150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.097781
Actual update 21200 of 50000, Stored update 21200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.172996
Actual update 21250 of 50000, Stored update 21250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.450720
Actual update 21300 of 50000, Stored update 21300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.227003
Actual update 21350 of 50000, Stored update 21350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.374380
Actual update 21400 of 50000, Stored update 21400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.706522
Actual update 21450 of 50000, Stored update 21450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.268455
Actual update 21500 of 50000, Stored update 21500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.130615
Actual update 21550 of 50000, Stored update 21550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.467468
Actual update 21600 of 50000, Stored update 21600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.814764
Actual update 21650 of 50000, Stored update 21650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.964977
Actual update 21700 of 50000, Stored update 21700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.785906
Actual update 21750 of 50000, Stored update 21750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.849757
Actual update 21800 of 50000, Stored update 21800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.918580
Actual update 21850 of 50000, Stored update 21850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.579799
Actual update 21900 of 50000, Stored update 21900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.896578
Actual update 21950 of 50000, Stored update 21950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.169157
Actual update 22000 of 50000, Stored update 22000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.305604
Actual update 22050 of 50000, Stored update 22050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.880568
Actual update 22100 of 50000, Stored update 22100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.921778
Actual update 22150 of 50000, Stored update 22150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.161936
Actual update 22200 of 50000, Stored update 22200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.426634
Actual update 22250 of 50000, Stored update 22250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.338774
Actual update 22300 of 50000, Stored update 22300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.225327
Actual update 22350 of 50000, Stored update 22350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.999739
Actual update 22400 of 50000, Stored update 22400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.274725
Actual update 22450 of 50000, Stored update 22450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.091708
Actual update 22500 of 50000, Stored update 22500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.087093
Actual update 22550 of 50000, Stored update 22550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.389468
Actual update 22600 of 50000, Stored update 22600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.259783
Actual update 22650 of 50000, Stored update 22650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.311565
Actual update 22700 of 50000, Stored update 22700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.120219
Actual update 22750 of 50000, Stored update 22750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.624333
Actual update 22800 of 50000, Stored update 22800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.717217
Actual update 22850 of 50000, Stored update 22850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.860936
Actual update 22900 of 50000, Stored update 22900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.145605
Actual update 22950 of 50000, Stored update 22950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.335721
Actual update 23000 of 50000, Stored update 23000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.721862
Actual update 23050 of 50000, Stored update 23050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.924086
Actual update 23100 of 50000, Stored update 23100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.178230
Actual update 23150 of 50000, Stored update 23150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.986037
Actual update 23200 of 50000, Stored update 23200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.425867
Actual update 23250 of 50000, Stored update 23250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.766341
Actual update 23300 of 50000, Stored update 23300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.702174
Actual update 23350 of 50000, Stored update 23350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.455241
Actual update 23400 of 50000, Stored update 23400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.972995
Actual update 23450 of 50000, Stored update 23450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.737229
Actual update 23500 of 50000, Stored update 23500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.970900
Actual update 23550 of 50000, Stored update 23550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.698800
Actual update 23600 of 50000, Stored update 23600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.586066
Actual update 23650 of 50000, Stored update 23650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.779823
Actual update 23700 of 50000, Stored update 23700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.220316
Actual update 23750 of 50000, Stored update 23750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.029742
Actual update 23800 of 50000, Stored update 23800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.338039
Actual update 23850 of 50000, Stored update 23850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.655287
Actual update 23900 of 50000, Stored update 23900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.250199
Actual update 23950 of 50000, Stored update 23950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.761659
Actual update 24000 of 50000, Stored update 24000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.177328
Actual update 24050 of 50000, Stored update 24050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.167342
Actual update 24100 of 50000, Stored update 24100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.477316
Actual update 24150 of 50000, Stored update 24150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.834196
Actual update 24200 of 50000, Stored update 24200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.415561
Actual update 24250 of 50000, Stored update 24250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.868750
Actual update 24300 of 50000, Stored update 24300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.373398
Actual update 24350 of 50000, Stored update 24350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.469833
Actual update 24400 of 50000, Stored update 24400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.931372
Actual update 24450 of 50000, Stored update 24450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.387195
Actual update 24500 of 50000, Stored update 24500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1997.997457
Actual update 24550 of 50000, Stored update 24550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.576670
Actual update 24600 of 50000, Stored update 24600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.407376
Actual update 24650 of 50000, Stored update 24650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.148395
Actual update 24700 of 50000, Stored update 24700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.645954
Actual update 24750 of 50000, Stored update 24750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.589519
Actual update 24800 of 50000, Stored update 24800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.788914
Actual update 24850 of 50000, Stored update 24850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.552050
Actual update 24900 of 50000, Stored update 24900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.496103
Actual update 24950 of 50000, Stored update 24950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.842498
Actual update 25000 of 50000, Stored update 25000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.746526
Actual update 25050 of 50000, Stored update 25050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.131254
Actual update 25100 of 50000, Stored update 25100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.530226
Actual update 25150 of 50000, Stored update 25150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.985859
Actual update 25200 of 50000, Stored update 25200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.434413
Actual update 25250 of 50000, Stored update 25250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.828968
Actual update 25300 of 50000, Stored update 25300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.432625
Actual update 25350 of 50000, Stored update 25350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.464052
Actual update 25400 of 50000, Stored update 25400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.001286
Actual update 25450 of 50000, Stored update 25450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.083015
Actual update 25500 of 50000, Stored update 25500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.060398
Actual update 25550 of 50000, Stored update 25550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.180389
Actual update 25600 of 50000, Stored update 25600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.404479
Actual update 25650 of 50000, Stored update 25650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.403357
Actual update 25700 of 50000, Stored update 25700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.143152
Actual update 25750 of 50000, Stored update 25750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.803135
Actual update 25800 of 50000, Stored update 25800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1995.560029
Actual update 25850 of 50000, Stored update 25850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.801374
Actual update 25900 of 50000, Stored update 25900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.541483
Actual update 25950 of 50000, Stored update 25950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.333403
Actual update 26000 of 50000, Stored update 26000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.775729
Actual update 26050 of 50000, Stored update 26050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.828798
Actual update 26100 of 50000, Stored update 26100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.568102
Actual update 26150 of 50000, Stored update 26150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.438678
Actual update 26200 of 50000, Stored update 26200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.889114
Actual update 26250 of 50000, Stored update 26250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.295095
Actual update 26300 of 50000, Stored update 26300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.216395
Actual update 26350 of 50000, Stored update 26350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.709303
Actual update 26400 of 50000, Stored update 26400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.828443
Actual update 26450 of 50000, Stored update 26450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.053724
Actual update 26500 of 50000, Stored update 26500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.913096
Actual update 26550 of 50000, Stored update 26550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.498878
Actual update 26600 of 50000, Stored update 26600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.117734
Actual update 26650 of 50000, Stored update 26650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.652875
Actual update 26700 of 50000, Stored update 26700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.250438
Actual update 26750 of 50000, Stored update 26750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.537696
Actual update 26800 of 50000, Stored update 26800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.681017
Actual update 26850 of 50000, Stored update 26850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.628295
Actual update 26900 of 50000, Stored update 26900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.449240
Actual update 26950 of 50000, Stored update 26950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.919273
Actual update 27000 of 50000, Stored update 27000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.699499
Actual update 27050 of 50000, Stored update 27050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.853902
Actual update 27100 of 50000, Stored update 27100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.156568
Actual update 27150 of 50000, Stored update 27150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.521311
Actual update 27200 of 50000, Stored update 27200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.888437
Actual update 27250 of 50000, Stored update 27250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.680184
Actual update 27300 of 50000, Stored update 27300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.355459
Actual update 27350 of 50000, Stored update 27350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.836969
Actual update 27400 of 50000, Stored update 27400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.036894
Actual update 27450 of 50000, Stored update 27450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.432653
Actual update 27500 of 50000, Stored update 27500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.483453
Actual update 27550 of 50000, Stored update 27550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.529430
Actual update 27600 of 50000, Stored update 27600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.482078
Actual update 27650 of 50000, Stored update 27650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.129086
Actual update 27700 of 50000, Stored update 27700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.618516
Actual update 27750 of 50000, Stored update 27750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.431790
Actual update 27800 of 50000, Stored update 27800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.279476
Actual update 27850 of 50000, Stored update 27850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.049398
Actual update 27900 of 50000, Stored update 27900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.495460
Actual update 27950 of 50000, Stored update 27950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.507441
Actual update 28000 of 50000, Stored update 28000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.545002
Actual update 28050 of 50000, Stored update 28050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.042248
Actual update 28100 of 50000, Stored update 28100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.950052
Actual update 28150 of 50000, Stored update 28150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.836096
Actual update 28200 of 50000, Stored update 28200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.548441
Actual update 28250 of 50000, Stored update 28250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.994472
Actual update 28300 of 50000, Stored update 28300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.366092
Actual update 28350 of 50000, Stored update 28350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.236287
Actual update 28400 of 50000, Stored update 28400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.998178
Actual update 28450 of 50000, Stored update 28450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.041555
Actual update 28500 of 50000, Stored update 28500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.650538
Actual update 28550 of 50000, Stored update 28550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.112880
Actual update 28600 of 50000, Stored update 28600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.616383
Actual update 28650 of 50000, Stored update 28650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.453184
Actual update 28700 of 50000, Stored update 28700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.957782
Actual update 28750 of 50000, Stored update 28750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.580062
Actual update 28800 of 50000, Stored update 28800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.787618
Actual update 28850 of 50000, Stored update 28850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.868603
Actual update 28900 of 50000, Stored update 28900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.982989
Actual update 28950 of 50000, Stored update 28950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.624733
Actual update 29000 of 50000, Stored update 29000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.153925
Actual update 29050 of 50000, Stored update 29050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.262692
Actual update 29100 of 50000, Stored update 29100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.908176
Actual update 29150 of 50000, Stored update 29150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.449346
Actual update 29200 of 50000, Stored update 29200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.853581
Actual update 29250 of 50000, Stored update 29250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.398209
Actual update 29300 of 50000, Stored update 29300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.434891
Actual update 29350 of 50000, Stored update 29350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.527021
Actual update 29400 of 50000, Stored update 29400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.887477
Actual update 29450 of 50000, Stored update 29450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.253859
Actual update 29500 of 50000, Stored update 29500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.793515
Actual update 29550 of 50000, Stored update 29550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.760208
Actual update 29600 of 50000, Stored update 29600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.941775
Actual update 29650 of 50000, Stored update 29650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.064459
Actual update 29700 of 50000, Stored update 29700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.757429
Actual update 29750 of 50000, Stored update 29750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.786960
Actual update 29800 of 50000, Stored update 29800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.709445
Actual update 29850 of 50000, Stored update 29850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.768524
Actual update 29900 of 50000, Stored update 29900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.142204
Actual update 29950 of 50000, Stored update 29950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.283464
Actual update 30000 of 50000, Stored update 30000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.194483
Actual update 30050 of 50000, Stored update 30050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.918730
Actual update 30100 of 50000, Stored update 30100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.175290
Actual update 30150 of 50000, Stored update 30150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.349564
Actual update 30200 of 50000, Stored update 30200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.786661
Actual update 30250 of 50000, Stored update 30250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.220060
Actual update 30300 of 50000, Stored update 30300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.235278
Actual update 30350 of 50000, Stored update 30350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.781753
Actual update 30400 of 50000, Stored update 30400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.466051
Actual update 30450 of 50000, Stored update 30450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.091490
Actual update 30500 of 50000, Stored update 30500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.676598
Actual update 30550 of 50000, Stored update 30550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.295024
Actual update 30600 of 50000, Stored update 30600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.209612
Actual update 30650 of 50000, Stored update 30650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.363358
Actual update 30700 of 50000, Stored update 30700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.178170
Actual update 30750 of 50000, Stored update 30750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.430832
Actual update 30800 of 50000, Stored update 30800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2062.362863
Actual update 30850 of 50000, Stored update 30850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.926067
Actual update 30900 of 50000, Stored update 30900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.373849
Actual update 30950 of 50000, Stored update 30950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.218591
Actual update 31000 of 50000, Stored update 31000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.403894
Actual update 31050 of 50000, Stored update 31050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.498461
Actual update 31100 of 50000, Stored update 31100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.086686
Actual update 31150 of 50000, Stored update 31150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.040774
Actual update 31200 of 50000, Stored update 31200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.017794
Actual update 31250 of 50000, Stored update 31250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.033086
Actual update 31300 of 50000, Stored update 31300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.890985
Actual update 31350 of 50000, Stored update 31350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.074527
Actual update 31400 of 50000, Stored update 31400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.846272
Actual update 31450 of 50000, Stored update 31450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.909242
Actual update 31500 of 50000, Stored update 31500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.843382
Actual update 31550 of 50000, Stored update 31550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.004248
Actual update 31600 of 50000, Stored update 31600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.784515
Actual update 31650 of 50000, Stored update 31650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.700461
Actual update 31700 of 50000, Stored update 31700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.708257
Actual update 31750 of 50000, Stored update 31750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.145664
Actual update 31800 of 50000, Stored update 31800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.367306
Actual update 31850 of 50000, Stored update 31850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.000357
Actual update 31900 of 50000, Stored update 31900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.975521
Actual update 31950 of 50000, Stored update 31950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.971169
Actual update 32000 of 50000, Stored update 32000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.669302
Actual update 32050 of 50000, Stored update 32050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.286632
Actual update 32100 of 50000, Stored update 32100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.696186
Actual update 32150 of 50000, Stored update 32150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.601449
Actual update 32200 of 50000, Stored update 32200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.975421
Actual update 32250 of 50000, Stored update 32250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.578740
Actual update 32300 of 50000, Stored update 32300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.560504
Actual update 32350 of 50000, Stored update 32350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.170341
Actual update 32400 of 50000, Stored update 32400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.410594
Actual update 32450 of 50000, Stored update 32450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.130137
Actual update 32500 of 50000, Stored update 32500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.568860
Actual update 32550 of 50000, Stored update 32550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.389305
Actual update 32600 of 50000, Stored update 32600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.454846
Actual update 32650 of 50000, Stored update 32650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.796915
Actual update 32700 of 50000, Stored update 32700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.849949
Actual update 32750 of 50000, Stored update 32750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.665005
Actual update 32800 of 50000, Stored update 32800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.341256
Actual update 32850 of 50000, Stored update 32850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.716348
Actual update 32900 of 50000, Stored update 32900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.284843
Actual update 32950 of 50000, Stored update 32950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.926804
Actual update 33000 of 50000, Stored update 33000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.885652
Actual update 33050 of 50000, Stored update 33050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.856118
Actual update 33100 of 50000, Stored update 33100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.038895
Actual update 33150 of 50000, Stored update 33150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.759982
Actual update 33200 of 50000, Stored update 33200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2060.119051
Actual update 33250 of 50000, Stored update 33250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.418071
Actual update 33300 of 50000, Stored update 33300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.920278
Actual update 33350 of 50000, Stored update 33350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.606005
Actual update 33400 of 50000, Stored update 33400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.198462
Actual update 33450 of 50000, Stored update 33450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.588026
Actual update 33500 of 50000, Stored update 33500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.880181
Actual update 33550 of 50000, Stored update 33550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.131565
Actual update 33600 of 50000, Stored update 33600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.682363
Actual update 33650 of 50000, Stored update 33650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.306811
Actual update 33700 of 50000, Stored update 33700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.820118
Actual update 33750 of 50000, Stored update 33750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.511350
Actual update 33800 of 50000, Stored update 33800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.445685
Actual update 33850 of 50000, Stored update 33850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.200240
Actual update 33900 of 50000, Stored update 33900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.469571
Actual update 33950 of 50000, Stored update 33950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.122411
Actual update 34000 of 50000, Stored update 34000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.220963
Actual update 34050 of 50000, Stored update 34050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.501417
Actual update 34100 of 50000, Stored update 34100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.067574
Actual update 34150 of 50000, Stored update 34150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.873975
Actual update 34200 of 50000, Stored update 34200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.645718
Actual update 34250 of 50000, Stored update 34250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.963287
Actual update 34300 of 50000, Stored update 34300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.925841
Actual update 34350 of 50000, Stored update 34350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.784967
Actual update 34400 of 50000, Stored update 34400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.794534
Actual update 34450 of 50000, Stored update 34450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.418609
Actual update 34500 of 50000, Stored update 34500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.533548
Actual update 34550 of 50000, Stored update 34550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.484604
Actual update 34600 of 50000, Stored update 34600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.221668
Actual update 34650 of 50000, Stored update 34650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.559560
Actual update 34700 of 50000, Stored update 34700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.373269
Actual update 34750 of 50000, Stored update 34750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.399276
Actual update 34800 of 50000, Stored update 34800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.065483
Actual update 34850 of 50000, Stored update 34850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.468733
Actual update 34900 of 50000, Stored update 34900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.490501
Actual update 34950 of 50000, Stored update 34950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.450470
Actual update 35000 of 50000, Stored update 35000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.849420
Actual update 35050 of 50000, Stored update 35050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.430037
Actual update 35100 of 50000, Stored update 35100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.646612
Actual update 35150 of 50000, Stored update 35150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.763701
Actual update 35200 of 50000, Stored update 35200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.012113
Actual update 35250 of 50000, Stored update 35250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.804106
Actual update 35300 of 50000, Stored update 35300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.571791
Actual update 35350 of 50000, Stored update 35350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.994141
Actual update 35400 of 50000, Stored update 35400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.246564
Actual update 35450 of 50000, Stored update 35450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.099157
Actual update 35500 of 50000, Stored update 35500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.823378
Actual update 35550 of 50000, Stored update 35550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.238714
Actual update 35600 of 50000, Stored update 35600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.730931
Actual update 35650 of 50000, Stored update 35650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.066142
Actual update 35700 of 50000, Stored update 35700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.234569
Actual update 35750 of 50000, Stored update 35750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.089519
Actual update 35800 of 50000, Stored update 35800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.390942
Actual update 35850 of 50000, Stored update 35850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.212495
Actual update 35900 of 50000, Stored update 35900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.600925
Actual update 35950 of 50000, Stored update 35950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.715199
Actual update 36000 of 50000, Stored update 36000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.415352
Actual update 36050 of 50000, Stored update 36050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.188322
Actual update 36100 of 50000, Stored update 36100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.708327
Actual update 36150 of 50000, Stored update 36150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.238496
Actual update 36200 of 50000, Stored update 36200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.480716
Actual update 36250 of 50000, Stored update 36250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.810972
Actual update 36300 of 50000, Stored update 36300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.161507
Actual update 36350 of 50000, Stored update 36350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.856373
Actual update 36400 of 50000, Stored update 36400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.720574
Actual update 36450 of 50000, Stored update 36450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.902070
Actual update 36500 of 50000, Stored update 36500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.373510
Actual update 36550 of 50000, Stored update 36550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.282177
Actual update 36600 of 50000, Stored update 36600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.738854
Actual update 36650 of 50000, Stored update 36650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.553596
Actual update 36700 of 50000, Stored update 36700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.800653
Actual update 36750 of 50000, Stored update 36750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.372053
Actual update 36800 of 50000, Stored update 36800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.801046
Actual update 36850 of 50000, Stored update 36850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.300246
Actual update 36900 of 50000, Stored update 36900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.992251
Actual update 36950 of 50000, Stored update 36950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.872871
Actual update 37000 of 50000, Stored update 37000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.182616
Actual update 37050 of 50000, Stored update 37050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.489311
Actual update 37100 of 50000, Stored update 37100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.939142
Actual update 37150 of 50000, Stored update 37150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.124884
Actual update 37200 of 50000, Stored update 37200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.724735
Actual update 37250 of 50000, Stored update 37250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2054.090377
Actual update 37300 of 50000, Stored update 37300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.227718
Actual update 37350 of 50000, Stored update 37350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.430728
Actual update 37400 of 50000, Stored update 37400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.589623
Actual update 37450 of 50000, Stored update 37450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.812123
Actual update 37500 of 50000, Stored update 37500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.423476
Actual update 37550 of 50000, Stored update 37550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.337103
Actual update 37600 of 50000, Stored update 37600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.059498
Actual update 37650 of 50000, Stored update 37650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.345683
Actual update 37700 of 50000, Stored update 37700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.323461
Actual update 37750 of 50000, Stored update 37750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.532417
Actual update 37800 of 50000, Stored update 37800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.603698
Actual update 37850 of 50000, Stored update 37850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.302857
Actual update 37900 of 50000, Stored update 37900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.808247
Actual update 37950 of 50000, Stored update 37950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.610410
Actual update 38000 of 50000, Stored update 38000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.371359
Actual update 38050 of 50000, Stored update 38050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.492574
Actual update 38100 of 50000, Stored update 38100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.136641
Actual update 38150 of 50000, Stored update 38150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.342050
Actual update 38200 of 50000, Stored update 38200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.227395
Actual update 38250 of 50000, Stored update 38250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.947951
Actual update 38300 of 50000, Stored update 38300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.404031
Actual update 38350 of 50000, Stored update 38350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.329632
Actual update 38400 of 50000, Stored update 38400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.456045
Actual update 38450 of 50000, Stored update 38450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.367932
Actual update 38500 of 50000, Stored update 38500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.884912
Actual update 38550 of 50000, Stored update 38550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.773494
Actual update 38600 of 50000, Stored update 38600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.012775
Actual update 38650 of 50000, Stored update 38650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.998145
Actual update 38700 of 50000, Stored update 38700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.361386
Actual update 38750 of 50000, Stored update 38750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.123411
Actual update 38800 of 50000, Stored update 38800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.752596
Actual update 38850 of 50000, Stored update 38850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.295624
Actual update 38900 of 50000, Stored update 38900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.815507
Actual update 38950 of 50000, Stored update 38950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.457697
Actual update 39000 of 50000, Stored update 39000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.048711
Actual update 39050 of 50000, Stored update 39050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.408290
Actual update 39100 of 50000, Stored update 39100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.337389
Actual update 39150 of 50000, Stored update 39150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.367751
Actual update 39200 of 50000, Stored update 39200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.711908
Actual update 39250 of 50000, Stored update 39250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.370854
Actual update 39300 of 50000, Stored update 39300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.967386
Actual update 39350 of 50000, Stored update 39350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.529225
Actual update 39400 of 50000, Stored update 39400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.982271
Actual update 39450 of 50000, Stored update 39450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.681137
Actual update 39500 of 50000, Stored update 39500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.522879
Actual update 39550 of 50000, Stored update 39550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.886249
Actual update 39600 of 50000, Stored update 39600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.546985
Actual update 39650 of 50000, Stored update 39650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.190470
Actual update 39700 of 50000, Stored update 39700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.978074
Actual update 39750 of 50000, Stored update 39750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.214291
Actual update 39800 of 50000, Stored update 39800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.867439
Actual update 39850 of 50000, Stored update 39850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.082964
Actual update 39900 of 50000, Stored update 39900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.311203
Actual update 39950 of 50000, Stored update 39950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.418893
Actual update 40000 of 50000, Stored update 40000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.832154
Actual update 40050 of 50000, Stored update 40050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.323240
Actual update 40100 of 50000, Stored update 40100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.174285
Actual update 40150 of 50000, Stored update 40150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.339985
Actual update 40200 of 50000, Stored update 40200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.584889
Actual update 40250 of 50000, Stored update 40250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.362504
Actual update 40300 of 50000, Stored update 40300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.767944
Actual update 40350 of 50000, Stored update 40350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.672946
Actual update 40400 of 50000, Stored update 40400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.319449
Actual update 40450 of 50000, Stored update 40450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.438496
Actual update 40500 of 50000, Stored update 40500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.872859
Actual update 40550 of 50000, Stored update 40550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.648475
Actual update 40600 of 50000, Stored update 40600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.587819
Actual update 40650 of 50000, Stored update 40650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.817494
Actual update 40700 of 50000, Stored update 40700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.720765
Actual update 40750 of 50000, Stored update 40750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1997.684854
Actual update 40800 of 50000, Stored update 40800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.070820
Actual update 40850 of 50000, Stored update 40850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.321605
Actual update 40900 of 50000, Stored update 40900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.978520
Actual update 40950 of 50000, Stored update 40950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.970463
Actual update 41000 of 50000, Stored update 41000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.283633
Actual update 41050 of 50000, Stored update 41050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.418154
Actual update 41100 of 50000, Stored update 41100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.172451
Actual update 41150 of 50000, Stored update 41150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.661815
Actual update 41200 of 50000, Stored update 41200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.941819
Actual update 41250 of 50000, Stored update 41250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.200378
Actual update 41300 of 50000, Stored update 41300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.607880
Actual update 41350 of 50000, Stored update 41350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.579228
Actual update 41400 of 50000, Stored update 41400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.882691
Actual update 41450 of 50000, Stored update 41450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.940418
Actual update 41500 of 50000, Stored update 41500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.331596
Actual update 41550 of 50000, Stored update 41550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2061.051557
Actual update 41600 of 50000, Stored update 41600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.919663
Actual update 41650 of 50000, Stored update 41650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.485450
Actual update 41700 of 50000, Stored update 41700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.717558
Actual update 41750 of 50000, Stored update 41750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.405688
Actual update 41800 of 50000, Stored update 41800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.311835
Actual update 41850 of 50000, Stored update 41850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.981524
Actual update 41900 of 50000, Stored update 41900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.098250
Actual update 41950 of 50000, Stored update 41950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.132340
Actual update 42000 of 50000, Stored update 42000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.386480
Actual update 42050 of 50000, Stored update 42050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.350539
Actual update 42100 of 50000, Stored update 42100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.885458
Actual update 42150 of 50000, Stored update 42150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.151395
Actual update 42200 of 50000, Stored update 42200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.904533
Actual update 42250 of 50000, Stored update 42250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.203827
Actual update 42300 of 50000, Stored update 42300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.045416
Actual update 42350 of 50000, Stored update 42350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.657964
Actual update 42400 of 50000, Stored update 42400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.000470
Actual update 42450 of 50000, Stored update 42450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.487168
Actual update 42500 of 50000, Stored update 42500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.194538
Actual update 42550 of 50000, Stored update 42550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.841508
Actual update 42600 of 50000, Stored update 42600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.139895
Actual update 42650 of 50000, Stored update 42650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2062.693729
Actual update 42700 of 50000, Stored update 42700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.515990
Actual update 42750 of 50000, Stored update 42750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.046181
Actual update 42800 of 50000, Stored update 42800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.690734
Actual update 42850 of 50000, Stored update 42850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.855152
Actual update 42900 of 50000, Stored update 42900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.957931
Actual update 42950 of 50000, Stored update 42950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.849299
Actual update 43000 of 50000, Stored update 43000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2061.726023
Actual update 43050 of 50000, Stored update 43050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.188168
Actual update 43100 of 50000, Stored update 43100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.915901
Actual update 43150 of 50000, Stored update 43150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1994.833899
Actual update 43200 of 50000, Stored update 43200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.552650
Actual update 43250 of 50000, Stored update 43250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.120614
Actual update 43300 of 50000, Stored update 43300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.801355
Actual update 43350 of 50000, Stored update 43350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.645859
Actual update 43400 of 50000, Stored update 43400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.678524
Actual update 43450 of 50000, Stored update 43450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.667681
Actual update 43500 of 50000, Stored update 43500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.287727
Actual update 43550 of 50000, Stored update 43550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.613209
Actual update 43600 of 50000, Stored update 43600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.463539
Actual update 43650 of 50000, Stored update 43650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.943490
Actual update 43700 of 50000, Stored update 43700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.520205
Actual update 43750 of 50000, Stored update 43750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.120512
Actual update 43800 of 50000, Stored update 43800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.604231
Actual update 43850 of 50000, Stored update 43850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.888869
Actual update 43900 of 50000, Stored update 43900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.828985
Actual update 43950 of 50000, Stored update 43950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.426059
Actual update 44000 of 50000, Stored update 44000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.047078
Actual update 44050 of 50000, Stored update 44050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.145881
Actual update 44100 of 50000, Stored update 44100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.227148
Actual update 44150 of 50000, Stored update 44150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.997250
Actual update 44200 of 50000, Stored update 44200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.026111
Actual update 44250 of 50000, Stored update 44250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.689387
Actual update 44300 of 50000, Stored update 44300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.770960
Actual update 44350 of 50000, Stored update 44350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.925159
Actual update 44400 of 50000, Stored update 44400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.871879
Actual update 44450 of 50000, Stored update 44450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.248881
Actual update 44500 of 50000, Stored update 44500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.242875
Actual update 44550 of 50000, Stored update 44550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.002607
Actual update 44600 of 50000, Stored update 44600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.154279
Actual update 44650 of 50000, Stored update 44650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.997882
Actual update 44700 of 50000, Stored update 44700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.247878
Actual update 44750 of 50000, Stored update 44750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.309314
Actual update 44800 of 50000, Stored update 44800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.018026
Actual update 44850 of 50000, Stored update 44850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.640745
Actual update 44900 of 50000, Stored update 44900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.244967
Actual update 44950 of 50000, Stored update 44950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.025872
Actual update 45000 of 50000, Stored update 45000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.691866
Actual update 45050 of 50000, Stored update 45050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.472317
Actual update 45100 of 50000, Stored update 45100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.035153
Actual update 45150 of 50000, Stored update 45150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.815588
Actual update 45200 of 50000, Stored update 45200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.181519
Actual update 45250 of 50000, Stored update 45250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.449541
Actual update 45300 of 50000, Stored update 45300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.044918
Actual update 45350 of 50000, Stored update 45350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.391236
Actual update 45400 of 50000, Stored update 45400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.532420
Actual update 45450 of 50000, Stored update 45450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.233534
Actual update 45500 of 50000, Stored update 45500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.383479
Actual update 45550 of 50000, Stored update 45550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.305763
Actual update 45600 of 50000, Stored update 45600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.593606
Actual update 45650 of 50000, Stored update 45650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.578949
Actual update 45700 of 50000, Stored update 45700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.903378
Actual update 45750 of 50000, Stored update 45750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1999.167445
Actual update 45800 of 50000, Stored update 45800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.085792
Actual update 45850 of 50000, Stored update 45850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.996353
Actual update 45900 of 50000, Stored update 45900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.889199
Actual update 45950 of 50000, Stored update 45950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.868253
Actual update 46000 of 50000, Stored update 46000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.668234
Actual update 46050 of 50000, Stored update 46050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2054.441654
Actual update 46100 of 50000, Stored update 46100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.278323
Actual update 46150 of 50000, Stored update 46150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.100658
Actual update 46200 of 50000, Stored update 46200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.587019
Actual update 46250 of 50000, Stored update 46250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.829808
Actual update 46300 of 50000, Stored update 46300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.516209
Actual update 46350 of 50000, Stored update 46350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.820284
Actual update 46400 of 50000, Stored update 46400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.039745
Actual update 46450 of 50000, Stored update 46450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.264782
Actual update 46500 of 50000, Stored update 46500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.993107
Actual update 46550 of 50000, Stored update 46550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.643004
Actual update 46600 of 50000, Stored update 46600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.721930
Actual update 46650 of 50000, Stored update 46650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.004717
Actual update 46700 of 50000, Stored update 46700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.523914
Actual update 46750 of 50000, Stored update 46750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.970445
Actual update 46800 of 50000, Stored update 46800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.405109
Actual update 46850 of 50000, Stored update 46850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.455452
Actual update 46900 of 50000, Stored update 46900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.650737
Actual update 46950 of 50000, Stored update 46950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.135788
Actual update 47000 of 50000, Stored update 47000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.561192
Actual update 47050 of 50000, Stored update 47050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.511255
Actual update 47100 of 50000, Stored update 47100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.677469
Actual update 47150 of 50000, Stored update 47150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.481167
Actual update 47200 of 50000, Stored update 47200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.682388
Actual update 47250 of 50000, Stored update 47250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.438379
Actual update 47300 of 50000, Stored update 47300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.576773
Actual update 47350 of 50000, Stored update 47350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.040627
Actual update 47400 of 50000, Stored update 47400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.118546
Actual update 47450 of 50000, Stored update 47450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.526638
Actual update 47500 of 50000, Stored update 47500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.108911
Actual update 47550 of 50000, Stored update 47550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.343611
Actual update 47600 of 50000, Stored update 47600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.167074
Actual update 47650 of 50000, Stored update 47650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.673342
Actual update 47700 of 50000, Stored update 47700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.470911
Actual update 47750 of 50000, Stored update 47750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.057577
Actual update 47800 of 50000, Stored update 47800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.935886
Actual update 47850 of 50000, Stored update 47850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.984999
Actual update 47900 of 50000, Stored update 47900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.874991
Actual update 47950 of 50000, Stored update 47950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.731281
Actual update 48000 of 50000, Stored update 48000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.389971
Actual update 48050 of 50000, Stored update 48050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.583846
Actual update 48100 of 50000, Stored update 48100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.484891
Actual update 48150 of 50000, Stored update 48150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.081591
Actual update 48200 of 50000, Stored update 48200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.285693
Actual update 48250 of 50000, Stored update 48250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.723061
Actual update 48300 of 50000, Stored update 48300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.786729
Actual update 48350 of 50000, Stored update 48350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.452288
Actual update 48400 of 50000, Stored update 48400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.347576
Actual update 48450 of 50000, Stored update 48450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.339423
Actual update 48500 of 50000, Stored update 48500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.732430
Actual update 48550 of 50000, Stored update 48550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.773686
Actual update 48600 of 50000, Stored update 48600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.142813
Actual update 48650 of 50000, Stored update 48650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.383473
Actual update 48700 of 50000, Stored update 48700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.519928
Actual update 48750 of 50000, Stored update 48750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2069.709251
Actual update 48800 of 50000, Stored update 48800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.515609
Actual update 48850 of 50000, Stored update 48850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.457432
Actual update 48900 of 50000, Stored update 48900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2061.322024
Actual update 48950 of 50000, Stored update 48950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.257988
Actual update 49000 of 50000, Stored update 49000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.673744
Actual update 49050 of 50000, Stored update 49050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.392787
Actual update 49100 of 50000, Stored update 49100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.379449
Actual update 49150 of 50000, Stored update 49150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.921906
Actual update 49200 of 50000, Stored update 49200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.362818
Actual update 49250 of 50000, Stored update 49250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.493135
Actual update 49300 of 50000, Stored update 49300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.500408
Actual update 49350 of 50000, Stored update 49350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.998273
Actual update 49400 of 50000, Stored update 49400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.152681
Actual update 49450 of 50000, Stored update 49450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.261967
Actual update 49500 of 50000, Stored update 49500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.165020
Actual update 49550 of 50000, Stored update 49550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.683384
Actual update 49600 of 50000, Stored update 49600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.885086
Actual update 49650 of 50000, Stored update 49650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.044727
Actual update 49700 of 50000, Stored update 49700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.220427
Actual update 49750 of 50000, Stored update 49750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.337002
Actual update 49800 of 50000, Stored update 49800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.325109
Actual update 49850 of 50000, Stored update 49850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.023941
Actual update 49900 of 50000, Stored update 49900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.532625
Actual update 49950 of 50000, Stored update 49950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.213931
Actual update 50000 of 50000, Stored update 50000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.178662
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =          50000
Average =          2027.0
S.D.    =          12.384
S.E.M.  =        0.055385

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.11)  multilevel model (Poisson) 
        N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
region 78   1 4.538462  13         78            1      4.538462           13
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 7.18s 
Number of obs:  354 (from total 354)          Number of iter.: 50000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
2026.962   1964.438   62.524     2089.487   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
log(obs) ~ 0 + nation + nation:uvbi + offset(log(exp)) + (1 | 
    region)
Level 2: region     Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
                            Coef.   Std. Err.       z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
nationBelgium             0.73557     0.60946    1.21      0.2275         -0.47109     1.98334     29 
nationW_Germany           0.50291     0.11941    4.21   2.534e-05  ***     0.27283     0.74000    268 
nationDenmark             0.60846     0.81368    0.75      0.4546         -0.72448     2.41924     12 
nationFrance             -0.59486     0.05555  -10.71   9.354e-27  ***    -0.70475    -0.48580   5427 
nationUK                  0.64933     0.22571    2.88    0.004017  **      0.17178     1.08933     61 
nationItaly               0.27855     0.11213    2.48     0.01298  *       0.05696     0.49803    373 
nationIreland            -0.21999     1.10435   -0.20      0.8421         -2.35107     1.91035     36 
nationLuxembourg          7.66678    10.71260    0.72      0.4742         -5.36598    32.43445      3 
nationNetherlands        -1.00226     1.03500   -0.97      0.3329         -2.86860     1.19468     10 
nationBelgium:uvbi        0.27603     0.20432    1.35      0.1767         -0.12999     0.69514     30 
nationW_Germany:uvbi     -0.00610     0.03170   -0.19      0.8474         -0.06720     0.05584    192 
nationDenmark:uvbi       -0.03089     0.14340   -0.22      0.8295         -0.26190     0.29229     11 
nationFrance:uvbi         0.01395     0.01813    0.77      0.4415         -0.02135     0.05045   1477 
nationUK:uvbi             0.14951     0.04675    3.20    0.001384  **      0.04772     0.23954     56 
nationItaly:uvbi         -0.08678     0.01705   -5.09   3.576e-07  ***    -0.12021    -0.05267    299 
nationIreland:uvbi        0.06317     0.22310    0.28      0.7771         -0.36282     0.49835     37 
nationLuxembourg:uvbi     3.34223     4.67218    0.72      0.4744         -2.33656    14.15877      3 
nationNetherlands:uvbi   -0.27079     0.24853   -1.09      0.2759         -0.72133     0.25630      9 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the region level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.03795     0.00945      0.02280     0.05960   2739 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
                Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]     ESS 
var_bcons_1   1.00000     0.00000      1.00000     1.00000   50000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> sixway(mymodel@chains[, "FP_nationBelgium", drop = FALSE], acf.maxlag = 100, "beta_1")
> 
> ## Hierarchical centring at level 2 + Orthogonal updates
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(log(obs) ~ 0 + nation + nation:uvbi + offset(log(exp)) + (1 | region), D = "Poisson", estoptions = list(EstM = 1, 
+   mcmcMeth = list(iterations = 50000), mcmcOptions = list(orth = 1, hcen = 2)), data = mmmec))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3
iteration 4

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 2 1 1 3
RUNNING ADAPTIVE PROCEDURE AND BURNING IN...
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2014.716526
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2031.587025
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2040.803994
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2016.295962
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2017.165195
Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2028.427412
Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2018.677212
Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2041.926055
Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2028.878376
Adapting finished and took 1000 iterations
Adapting took 1000 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2015.480916
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2013.469903
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2021.200783
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2021.797400
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2014.305854
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2027.231145
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2030.152523
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2022.482766
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2014.737060
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2017.129376

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 50000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 3
Actual update 50 of 50000, Stored update 50 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.613481
Actual update 100 of 50000, Stored update 100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.163117
Actual update 150 of 50000, Stored update 150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.525956
Actual update 200 of 50000, Stored update 200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.392327
Actual update 250 of 50000, Stored update 250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.303102
Actual update 300 of 50000, Stored update 300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.509737
Actual update 350 of 50000, Stored update 350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.155479
Actual update 400 of 50000, Stored update 400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.565292
Actual update 450 of 50000, Stored update 450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.314598
Actual update 500 of 50000, Stored update 500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.878230
Actual update 550 of 50000, Stored update 550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.343442
Actual update 600 of 50000, Stored update 600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.719418
Actual update 650 of 50000, Stored update 650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.809371
Actual update 700 of 50000, Stored update 700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.215337
Actual update 750 of 50000, Stored update 750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.171458
Actual update 800 of 50000, Stored update 800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.303416
Actual update 850 of 50000, Stored update 850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.192118
Actual update 900 of 50000, Stored update 900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.732050
Actual update 950 of 50000, Stored update 950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.099413
Actual update 1000 of 50000, Stored update 1000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.213152
Actual update 1050 of 50000, Stored update 1050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.519927
Actual update 1100 of 50000, Stored update 1100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.175031
Actual update 1150 of 50000, Stored update 1150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.758682
Actual update 1200 of 50000, Stored update 1200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.381629
Actual update 1250 of 50000, Stored update 1250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.109828
Actual update 1300 of 50000, Stored update 1300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.078684
Actual update 1350 of 50000, Stored update 1350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.974504
Actual update 1400 of 50000, Stored update 1400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.090860
Actual update 1450 of 50000, Stored update 1450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.027941
Actual update 1500 of 50000, Stored update 1500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.893679
Actual update 1550 of 50000, Stored update 1550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.989823
Actual update 1600 of 50000, Stored update 1600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.660178
Actual update 1650 of 50000, Stored update 1650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.971005
Actual update 1700 of 50000, Stored update 1700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.372483
Actual update 1750 of 50000, Stored update 1750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.310544
Actual update 1800 of 50000, Stored update 1800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.197219
Actual update 1850 of 50000, Stored update 1850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.117802
Actual update 1900 of 50000, Stored update 1900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.260680
Actual update 1950 of 50000, Stored update 1950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.280437
Actual update 2000 of 50000, Stored update 2000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.087068
Actual update 2050 of 50000, Stored update 2050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.035129
Actual update 2100 of 50000, Stored update 2100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.418873
Actual update 2150 of 50000, Stored update 2150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.515331
Actual update 2200 of 50000, Stored update 2200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.642138
Actual update 2250 of 50000, Stored update 2250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.910778
Actual update 2300 of 50000, Stored update 2300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.077709
Actual update 2350 of 50000, Stored update 2350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.678647
Actual update 2400 of 50000, Stored update 2400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.287541
Actual update 2450 of 50000, Stored update 2450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.391528
Actual update 2500 of 50000, Stored update 2500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.015409
Actual update 2550 of 50000, Stored update 2550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1999.004864
Actual update 2600 of 50000, Stored update 2600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.666905
Actual update 2650 of 50000, Stored update 2650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.162071
Actual update 2700 of 50000, Stored update 2700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.151364
Actual update 2750 of 50000, Stored update 2750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.648514
Actual update 2800 of 50000, Stored update 2800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.515239
Actual update 2850 of 50000, Stored update 2850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.629285
Actual update 2900 of 50000, Stored update 2900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.288509
Actual update 2950 of 50000, Stored update 2950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.987172
Actual update 3000 of 50000, Stored update 3000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.964081
Actual update 3050 of 50000, Stored update 3050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.957228
Actual update 3100 of 50000, Stored update 3100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.334434
Actual update 3150 of 50000, Stored update 3150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.431896
Actual update 3200 of 50000, Stored update 3200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.474908
Actual update 3250 of 50000, Stored update 3250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.609586
Actual update 3300 of 50000, Stored update 3300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.099022
Actual update 3350 of 50000, Stored update 3350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.579463
Actual update 3400 of 50000, Stored update 3400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.453010
Actual update 3450 of 50000, Stored update 3450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.730089
Actual update 3500 of 50000, Stored update 3500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.715333
Actual update 3550 of 50000, Stored update 3550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.515313
Actual update 3600 of 50000, Stored update 3600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.739573
Actual update 3650 of 50000, Stored update 3650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.569639
Actual update 3700 of 50000, Stored update 3700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.668239
Actual update 3750 of 50000, Stored update 3750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.428881
Actual update 3800 of 50000, Stored update 3800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.205507
Actual update 3850 of 50000, Stored update 3850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.191532
Actual update 3900 of 50000, Stored update 3900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.238344
Actual update 3950 of 50000, Stored update 3950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.258457
Actual update 4000 of 50000, Stored update 4000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.913713
Actual update 4050 of 50000, Stored update 4050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.549849
Actual update 4100 of 50000, Stored update 4100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.546523
Actual update 4150 of 50000, Stored update 4150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.318439
Actual update 4200 of 50000, Stored update 4200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.332610
Actual update 4250 of 50000, Stored update 4250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.455373
Actual update 4300 of 50000, Stored update 4300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.135164
Actual update 4350 of 50000, Stored update 4350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.820085
Actual update 4400 of 50000, Stored update 4400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.721037
Actual update 4450 of 50000, Stored update 4450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.306382
Actual update 4500 of 50000, Stored update 4500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.023147
Actual update 4550 of 50000, Stored update 4550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.125664
Actual update 4600 of 50000, Stored update 4600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.271797
Actual update 4650 of 50000, Stored update 4650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.384076
Actual update 4700 of 50000, Stored update 4700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.521903
Actual update 4750 of 50000, Stored update 4750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.389614
Actual update 4800 of 50000, Stored update 4800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.271925
Actual update 4850 of 50000, Stored update 4850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.004540
Actual update 4900 of 50000, Stored update 4900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.670676
Actual update 4950 of 50000, Stored update 4950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.754593
Actual update 5000 of 50000, Stored update 5000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.333824
Actual update 5050 of 50000, Stored update 5050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.273311
Actual update 5100 of 50000, Stored update 5100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2067.536975
Actual update 5150 of 50000, Stored update 5150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.377905
Actual update 5200 of 50000, Stored update 5200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.307863
Actual update 5250 of 50000, Stored update 5250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.054735
Actual update 5300 of 50000, Stored update 5300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.521416
Actual update 5350 of 50000, Stored update 5350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.158748
Actual update 5400 of 50000, Stored update 5400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.414660
Actual update 5450 of 50000, Stored update 5450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.995318
Actual update 5500 of 50000, Stored update 5500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.223026
Actual update 5550 of 50000, Stored update 5550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.529641
Actual update 5600 of 50000, Stored update 5600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.849619
Actual update 5650 of 50000, Stored update 5650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.392181
Actual update 5700 of 50000, Stored update 5700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.222607
Actual update 5750 of 50000, Stored update 5750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.997337
Actual update 5800 of 50000, Stored update 5800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.655927
Actual update 5850 of 50000, Stored update 5850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.799893
Actual update 5900 of 50000, Stored update 5900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.284228
Actual update 5950 of 50000, Stored update 5950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.252585
Actual update 6000 of 50000, Stored update 6000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.355482
Actual update 6050 of 50000, Stored update 6050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.841864
Actual update 6100 of 50000, Stored update 6100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.287786
Actual update 6150 of 50000, Stored update 6150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.963779
Actual update 6200 of 50000, Stored update 6200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.781978
Actual update 6250 of 50000, Stored update 6250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.514633
Actual update 6300 of 50000, Stored update 6300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.761717
Actual update 6350 of 50000, Stored update 6350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.853612
Actual update 6400 of 50000, Stored update 6400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.517573
Actual update 6450 of 50000, Stored update 6450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.465408
Actual update 6500 of 50000, Stored update 6500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.242835
Actual update 6550 of 50000, Stored update 6550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.438286
Actual update 6600 of 50000, Stored update 6600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.448714
Actual update 6650 of 50000, Stored update 6650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.008967
Actual update 6700 of 50000, Stored update 6700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.979965
Actual update 6750 of 50000, Stored update 6750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.171211
Actual update 6800 of 50000, Stored update 6800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.225808
Actual update 6850 of 50000, Stored update 6850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.423605
Actual update 6900 of 50000, Stored update 6900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.414062
Actual update 6950 of 50000, Stored update 6950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.727569
Actual update 7000 of 50000, Stored update 7000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.891057
Actual update 7050 of 50000, Stored update 7050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.053235
Actual update 7100 of 50000, Stored update 7100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.966656
Actual update 7150 of 50000, Stored update 7150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.209310
Actual update 7200 of 50000, Stored update 7200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.361718
Actual update 7250 of 50000, Stored update 7250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.380458
Actual update 7300 of 50000, Stored update 7300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.385672
Actual update 7350 of 50000, Stored update 7350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.707048
Actual update 7400 of 50000, Stored update 7400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.356968
Actual update 7450 of 50000, Stored update 7450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.610923
Actual update 7500 of 50000, Stored update 7500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.978038
Actual update 7550 of 50000, Stored update 7550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.730689
Actual update 7600 of 50000, Stored update 7600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.961152
Actual update 7650 of 50000, Stored update 7650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.858328
Actual update 7700 of 50000, Stored update 7700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.075764
Actual update 7750 of 50000, Stored update 7750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.572987
Actual update 7800 of 50000, Stored update 7800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.032299
Actual update 7850 of 50000, Stored update 7850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.576957
Actual update 7900 of 50000, Stored update 7900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.322993
Actual update 7950 of 50000, Stored update 7950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.079050
Actual update 8000 of 50000, Stored update 8000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.362808
Actual update 8050 of 50000, Stored update 8050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.819672
Actual update 8100 of 50000, Stored update 8100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.318943
Actual update 8150 of 50000, Stored update 8150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.803258
Actual update 8200 of 50000, Stored update 8200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.145396
Actual update 8250 of 50000, Stored update 8250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.860784
Actual update 8300 of 50000, Stored update 8300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.742402
Actual update 8350 of 50000, Stored update 8350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.347026
Actual update 8400 of 50000, Stored update 8400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.388437
Actual update 8450 of 50000, Stored update 8450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.998313
Actual update 8500 of 50000, Stored update 8500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2062.603444
Actual update 8550 of 50000, Stored update 8550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.072844
Actual update 8600 of 50000, Stored update 8600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.748402
Actual update 8650 of 50000, Stored update 8650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.417708
Actual update 8700 of 50000, Stored update 8700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.645482
Actual update 8750 of 50000, Stored update 8750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.506709
Actual update 8800 of 50000, Stored update 8800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.305056
Actual update 8850 of 50000, Stored update 8850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.252098
Actual update 8900 of 50000, Stored update 8900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.449602
Actual update 8950 of 50000, Stored update 8950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.112102
Actual update 9000 of 50000, Stored update 9000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.368663
Actual update 9050 of 50000, Stored update 9050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.632861
Actual update 9100 of 50000, Stored update 9100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.740197
Actual update 9150 of 50000, Stored update 9150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.484611
Actual update 9200 of 50000, Stored update 9200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.812323
Actual update 9250 of 50000, Stored update 9250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.826624
Actual update 9300 of 50000, Stored update 9300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.374804
Actual update 9350 of 50000, Stored update 9350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.134602
Actual update 9400 of 50000, Stored update 9400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.878699
Actual update 9450 of 50000, Stored update 9450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2060.442541
Actual update 9500 of 50000, Stored update 9500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.095053
Actual update 9550 of 50000, Stored update 9550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.404173
Actual update 9600 of 50000, Stored update 9600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.044447
Actual update 9650 of 50000, Stored update 9650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.473086
Actual update 9700 of 50000, Stored update 9700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.667450
Actual update 9750 of 50000, Stored update 9750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.517407
Actual update 9800 of 50000, Stored update 9800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.310557
Actual update 9850 of 50000, Stored update 9850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.371819
Actual update 9900 of 50000, Stored update 9900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.718652
Actual update 9950 of 50000, Stored update 9950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.035091
Actual update 10000 of 50000, Stored update 10000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.108630
Actual update 10050 of 50000, Stored update 10050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.238825
Actual update 10100 of 50000, Stored update 10100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.815993
Actual update 10150 of 50000, Stored update 10150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.919023
Actual update 10200 of 50000, Stored update 10200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.959353
Actual update 10250 of 50000, Stored update 10250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.579132
Actual update 10300 of 50000, Stored update 10300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.683988
Actual update 10350 of 50000, Stored update 10350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.411588
Actual update 10400 of 50000, Stored update 10400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.072770
Actual update 10450 of 50000, Stored update 10450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.148265
Actual update 10500 of 50000, Stored update 10500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.868619
Actual update 10550 of 50000, Stored update 10550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.963698
Actual update 10600 of 50000, Stored update 10600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.033926
Actual update 10650 of 50000, Stored update 10650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.161326
Actual update 10700 of 50000, Stored update 10700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.337028
Actual update 10750 of 50000, Stored update 10750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.027151
Actual update 10800 of 50000, Stored update 10800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.007093
Actual update 10850 of 50000, Stored update 10850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.364821
Actual update 10900 of 50000, Stored update 10900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.585025
Actual update 10950 of 50000, Stored update 10950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.749208
Actual update 11000 of 50000, Stored update 11000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.056260
Actual update 11050 of 50000, Stored update 11050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.529275
Actual update 11100 of 50000, Stored update 11100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.095599
Actual update 11150 of 50000, Stored update 11150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.691590
Actual update 11200 of 50000, Stored update 11200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.759709
Actual update 11250 of 50000, Stored update 11250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.596085
Actual update 11300 of 50000, Stored update 11300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.458597
Actual update 11350 of 50000, Stored update 11350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2059.811221
Actual update 11400 of 50000, Stored update 11400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.240191
Actual update 11450 of 50000, Stored update 11450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.827176
Actual update 11500 of 50000, Stored update 11500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.293439
Actual update 11550 of 50000, Stored update 11550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.021319
Actual update 11600 of 50000, Stored update 11600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.708342
Actual update 11650 of 50000, Stored update 11650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.689987
Actual update 11700 of 50000, Stored update 11700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.357355
Actual update 11750 of 50000, Stored update 11750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.186667
Actual update 11800 of 50000, Stored update 11800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.720460
Actual update 11850 of 50000, Stored update 11850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.791223
Actual update 11900 of 50000, Stored update 11900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.733905
Actual update 11950 of 50000, Stored update 11950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.931739
Actual update 12000 of 50000, Stored update 12000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.073690
Actual update 12050 of 50000, Stored update 12050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.281757
Actual update 12100 of 50000, Stored update 12100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.855014
Actual update 12150 of 50000, Stored update 12150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.866118
Actual update 12200 of 50000, Stored update 12200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2054.522859
Actual update 12250 of 50000, Stored update 12250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.397275
Actual update 12300 of 50000, Stored update 12300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.853647
Actual update 12350 of 50000, Stored update 12350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.046406
Actual update 12400 of 50000, Stored update 12400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.019170
Actual update 12450 of 50000, Stored update 12450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.103750
Actual update 12500 of 50000, Stored update 12500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.653061
Actual update 12550 of 50000, Stored update 12550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.143478
Actual update 12600 of 50000, Stored update 12600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.290070
Actual update 12650 of 50000, Stored update 12650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.264273
Actual update 12700 of 50000, Stored update 12700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.781590
Actual update 12750 of 50000, Stored update 12750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.932696
Actual update 12800 of 50000, Stored update 12800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.458095
Actual update 12850 of 50000, Stored update 12850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.769663
Actual update 12900 of 50000, Stored update 12900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.846451
Actual update 12950 of 50000, Stored update 12950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.425329
Actual update 13000 of 50000, Stored update 13000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.526243
Actual update 13050 of 50000, Stored update 13050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.954265
Actual update 13100 of 50000, Stored update 13100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.754147
Actual update 13150 of 50000, Stored update 13150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.520170
Actual update 13200 of 50000, Stored update 13200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.161571
Actual update 13250 of 50000, Stored update 13250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.299148
Actual update 13300 of 50000, Stored update 13300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.034876
Actual update 13350 of 50000, Stored update 13350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.941124
Actual update 13400 of 50000, Stored update 13400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.677474
Actual update 13450 of 50000, Stored update 13450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.936514
Actual update 13500 of 50000, Stored update 13500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.686111
Actual update 13550 of 50000, Stored update 13550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.414323
Actual update 13600 of 50000, Stored update 13600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.214354
Actual update 13650 of 50000, Stored update 13650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.052746
Actual update 13700 of 50000, Stored update 13700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.125856
Actual update 13750 of 50000, Stored update 13750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.219680
Actual update 13800 of 50000, Stored update 13800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.514471
Actual update 13850 of 50000, Stored update 13850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.760300
Actual update 13900 of 50000, Stored update 13900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.525237
Actual update 13950 of 50000, Stored update 13950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.787805
Actual update 14000 of 50000, Stored update 14000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.398531
Actual update 14050 of 50000, Stored update 14050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.587976
Actual update 14100 of 50000, Stored update 14100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.381254
Actual update 14150 of 50000, Stored update 14150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.171433
Actual update 14200 of 50000, Stored update 14200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.779410
Actual update 14250 of 50000, Stored update 14250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.891794
Actual update 14300 of 50000, Stored update 14300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2060.737878
Actual update 14350 of 50000, Stored update 14350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.646344
Actual update 14400 of 50000, Stored update 14400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.515454
Actual update 14450 of 50000, Stored update 14450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.425710
Actual update 14500 of 50000, Stored update 14500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.979416
Actual update 14550 of 50000, Stored update 14550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.907812
Actual update 14600 of 50000, Stored update 14600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.513544
Actual update 14650 of 50000, Stored update 14650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.451530
Actual update 14700 of 50000, Stored update 14700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.805561
Actual update 14750 of 50000, Stored update 14750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.090892
Actual update 14800 of 50000, Stored update 14800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.134543
Actual update 14850 of 50000, Stored update 14850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.598101
Actual update 14900 of 50000, Stored update 14900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.648242
Actual update 14950 of 50000, Stored update 14950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.900660
Actual update 15000 of 50000, Stored update 15000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.131054
Actual update 15050 of 50000, Stored update 15050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.654955
Actual update 15100 of 50000, Stored update 15100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.675748
Actual update 15150 of 50000, Stored update 15150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.160848
Actual update 15200 of 50000, Stored update 15200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.994007
Actual update 15250 of 50000, Stored update 15250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.803547
Actual update 15300 of 50000, Stored update 15300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.167102
Actual update 15350 of 50000, Stored update 15350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.604350
Actual update 15400 of 50000, Stored update 15400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.255631
Actual update 15450 of 50000, Stored update 15450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.456820
Actual update 15500 of 50000, Stored update 15500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.606477
Actual update 15550 of 50000, Stored update 15550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.044294
Actual update 15600 of 50000, Stored update 15600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.924194
Actual update 15650 of 50000, Stored update 15650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.364978
Actual update 15700 of 50000, Stored update 15700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.766288
Actual update 15750 of 50000, Stored update 15750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.535045
Actual update 15800 of 50000, Stored update 15800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.545029
Actual update 15850 of 50000, Stored update 15850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.248282
Actual update 15900 of 50000, Stored update 15900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.060531
Actual update 15950 of 50000, Stored update 15950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.245647
Actual update 16000 of 50000, Stored update 16000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.589976
Actual update 16050 of 50000, Stored update 16050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.263983
Actual update 16100 of 50000, Stored update 16100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.937739
Actual update 16150 of 50000, Stored update 16150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.680220
Actual update 16200 of 50000, Stored update 16200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.389519
Actual update 16250 of 50000, Stored update 16250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.458104
Actual update 16300 of 50000, Stored update 16300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.520659
Actual update 16350 of 50000, Stored update 16350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.641825
Actual update 16400 of 50000, Stored update 16400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.580013
Actual update 16450 of 50000, Stored update 16450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.411061
Actual update 16500 of 50000, Stored update 16500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1999.617373
Actual update 16550 of 50000, Stored update 16550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.929909
Actual update 16600 of 50000, Stored update 16600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.538651
Actual update 16650 of 50000, Stored update 16650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.472756
Actual update 16700 of 50000, Stored update 16700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.251771
Actual update 16750 of 50000, Stored update 16750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.333136
Actual update 16800 of 50000, Stored update 16800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.672928
Actual update 16850 of 50000, Stored update 16850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.698484
Actual update 16900 of 50000, Stored update 16900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.911057
Actual update 16950 of 50000, Stored update 16950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.093683
Actual update 17000 of 50000, Stored update 17000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.455232
Actual update 17050 of 50000, Stored update 17050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.874844
Actual update 17100 of 50000, Stored update 17100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.401671
Actual update 17150 of 50000, Stored update 17150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.931797
Actual update 17200 of 50000, Stored update 17200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.132246
Actual update 17250 of 50000, Stored update 17250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2059.153784
Actual update 17300 of 50000, Stored update 17300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.143335
Actual update 17350 of 50000, Stored update 17350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.103890
Actual update 17400 of 50000, Stored update 17400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.937102
Actual update 17450 of 50000, Stored update 17450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.869226
Actual update 17500 of 50000, Stored update 17500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.783136
Actual update 17550 of 50000, Stored update 17550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.883956
Actual update 17600 of 50000, Stored update 17600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.808314
Actual update 17650 of 50000, Stored update 17650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2062.541988
Actual update 17700 of 50000, Stored update 17700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.077489
Actual update 17750 of 50000, Stored update 17750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.690699
Actual update 17800 of 50000, Stored update 17800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.304262
Actual update 17850 of 50000, Stored update 17850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.652970
Actual update 17900 of 50000, Stored update 17900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.496926
Actual update 17950 of 50000, Stored update 17950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.190861
Actual update 18000 of 50000, Stored update 18000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2054.787885
Actual update 18050 of 50000, Stored update 18050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.605272
Actual update 18100 of 50000, Stored update 18100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.227193
Actual update 18150 of 50000, Stored update 18150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.302940
Actual update 18200 of 50000, Stored update 18200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.463236
Actual update 18250 of 50000, Stored update 18250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.549188
Actual update 18300 of 50000, Stored update 18300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.658676
Actual update 18350 of 50000, Stored update 18350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.630068
Actual update 18400 of 50000, Stored update 18400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.050061
Actual update 18450 of 50000, Stored update 18450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.372212
Actual update 18500 of 50000, Stored update 18500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.059433
Actual update 18550 of 50000, Stored update 18550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.013380
Actual update 18600 of 50000, Stored update 18600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.510593
Actual update 18650 of 50000, Stored update 18650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.895905
Actual update 18700 of 50000, Stored update 18700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.268329
Actual update 18750 of 50000, Stored update 18750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.051737
Actual update 18800 of 50000, Stored update 18800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.688544
Actual update 18850 of 50000, Stored update 18850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.235374
Actual update 18900 of 50000, Stored update 18900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.718726
Actual update 18950 of 50000, Stored update 18950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.669632
Actual update 19000 of 50000, Stored update 19000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.403395
Actual update 19050 of 50000, Stored update 19050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2070.853463
Actual update 19100 of 50000, Stored update 19100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.911036
Actual update 19150 of 50000, Stored update 19150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.628305
Actual update 19200 of 50000, Stored update 19200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.740553
Actual update 19250 of 50000, Stored update 19250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.017419
Actual update 19300 of 50000, Stored update 19300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.100444
Actual update 19350 of 50000, Stored update 19350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.695543
Actual update 19400 of 50000, Stored update 19400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.697286
Actual update 19450 of 50000, Stored update 19450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.416963
Actual update 19500 of 50000, Stored update 19500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.188516
Actual update 19550 of 50000, Stored update 19550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.995849
Actual update 19600 of 50000, Stored update 19600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.632335
Actual update 19650 of 50000, Stored update 19650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.388689
Actual update 19700 of 50000, Stored update 19700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.606567
Actual update 19750 of 50000, Stored update 19750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.773662
Actual update 19800 of 50000, Stored update 19800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.817496
Actual update 19850 of 50000, Stored update 19850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.312935
Actual update 19900 of 50000, Stored update 19900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.102604
Actual update 19950 of 50000, Stored update 19950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.313491
Actual update 20000 of 50000, Stored update 20000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.569789
Actual update 20050 of 50000, Stored update 20050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.833604
Actual update 20100 of 50000, Stored update 20100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.610014
Actual update 20150 of 50000, Stored update 20150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.977782
Actual update 20200 of 50000, Stored update 20200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.295870
Actual update 20250 of 50000, Stored update 20250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.555148
Actual update 20300 of 50000, Stored update 20300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.198547
Actual update 20350 of 50000, Stored update 20350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.939559
Actual update 20400 of 50000, Stored update 20400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.482457
Actual update 20450 of 50000, Stored update 20450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.879772
Actual update 20500 of 50000, Stored update 20500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.215079
Actual update 20550 of 50000, Stored update 20550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.588952
Actual update 20600 of 50000, Stored update 20600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.600721
Actual update 20650 of 50000, Stored update 20650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.486725
Actual update 20700 of 50000, Stored update 20700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.348357
Actual update 20750 of 50000, Stored update 20750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.733645
Actual update 20800 of 50000, Stored update 20800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.683728
Actual update 20850 of 50000, Stored update 20850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.477308
Actual update 20900 of 50000, Stored update 20900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.559138
Actual update 20950 of 50000, Stored update 20950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.009757
Actual update 21000 of 50000, Stored update 21000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.912321
Actual update 21050 of 50000, Stored update 21050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.211582
Actual update 21100 of 50000, Stored update 21100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.012646
Actual update 21150 of 50000, Stored update 21150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.173285
Actual update 21200 of 50000, Stored update 21200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.930362
Actual update 21250 of 50000, Stored update 21250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.950844
Actual update 21300 of 50000, Stored update 21300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.313010
Actual update 21350 of 50000, Stored update 21350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.864061
Actual update 21400 of 50000, Stored update 21400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.151163
Actual update 21450 of 50000, Stored update 21450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.319426
Actual update 21500 of 50000, Stored update 21500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.538334
Actual update 21550 of 50000, Stored update 21550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.220488
Actual update 21600 of 50000, Stored update 21600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2059.298544
Actual update 21650 of 50000, Stored update 21650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.758862
Actual update 21700 of 50000, Stored update 21700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.595761
Actual update 21750 of 50000, Stored update 21750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.343621
Actual update 21800 of 50000, Stored update 21800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.376413
Actual update 21850 of 50000, Stored update 21850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.566124
Actual update 21900 of 50000, Stored update 21900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.967342
Actual update 21950 of 50000, Stored update 21950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.475784
Actual update 22000 of 50000, Stored update 22000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.868919
Actual update 22050 of 50000, Stored update 22050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.126570
Actual update 22100 of 50000, Stored update 22100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.404657
Actual update 22150 of 50000, Stored update 22150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.714072
Actual update 22200 of 50000, Stored update 22200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.009488
Actual update 22250 of 50000, Stored update 22250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.439211
Actual update 22300 of 50000, Stored update 22300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.589181
Actual update 22350 of 50000, Stored update 22350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.269128
Actual update 22400 of 50000, Stored update 22400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.509836
Actual update 22450 of 50000, Stored update 22450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.899979
Actual update 22500 of 50000, Stored update 22500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.473997
Actual update 22550 of 50000, Stored update 22550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.584011
Actual update 22600 of 50000, Stored update 22600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.786306
Actual update 22650 of 50000, Stored update 22650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.963147
Actual update 22700 of 50000, Stored update 22700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.662950
Actual update 22750 of 50000, Stored update 22750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.138581
Actual update 22800 of 50000, Stored update 22800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.090322
Actual update 22850 of 50000, Stored update 22850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.016542
Actual update 22900 of 50000, Stored update 22900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.057188
Actual update 22950 of 50000, Stored update 22950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.219004
Actual update 23000 of 50000, Stored update 23000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.453744
Actual update 23050 of 50000, Stored update 23050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.687523
Actual update 23100 of 50000, Stored update 23100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.815320
Actual update 23150 of 50000, Stored update 23150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.209637
Actual update 23200 of 50000, Stored update 23200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.353001
Actual update 23250 of 50000, Stored update 23250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.151383
Actual update 23300 of 50000, Stored update 23300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.305773
Actual update 23350 of 50000, Stored update 23350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.398716
Actual update 23400 of 50000, Stored update 23400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.466397
Actual update 23450 of 50000, Stored update 23450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.322313
Actual update 23500 of 50000, Stored update 23500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.390740
Actual update 23550 of 50000, Stored update 23550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.340409
Actual update 23600 of 50000, Stored update 23600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.011046
Actual update 23650 of 50000, Stored update 23650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.600784
Actual update 23700 of 50000, Stored update 23700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.080109
Actual update 23750 of 50000, Stored update 23750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.624530
Actual update 23800 of 50000, Stored update 23800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.304535
Actual update 23850 of 50000, Stored update 23850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.884447
Actual update 23900 of 50000, Stored update 23900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.722433
Actual update 23950 of 50000, Stored update 23950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.936569
Actual update 24000 of 50000, Stored update 24000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.780229
Actual update 24050 of 50000, Stored update 24050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.871197
Actual update 24100 of 50000, Stored update 24100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.494503
Actual update 24150 of 50000, Stored update 24150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.027573
Actual update 24200 of 50000, Stored update 24200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.010697
Actual update 24250 of 50000, Stored update 24250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.867733
Actual update 24300 of 50000, Stored update 24300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.457782
Actual update 24350 of 50000, Stored update 24350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1994.509930
Actual update 24400 of 50000, Stored update 24400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.977529
Actual update 24450 of 50000, Stored update 24450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.617908
Actual update 24500 of 50000, Stored update 24500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.461922
Actual update 24550 of 50000, Stored update 24550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.808132
Actual update 24600 of 50000, Stored update 24600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.416804
Actual update 24650 of 50000, Stored update 24650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.193043
Actual update 24700 of 50000, Stored update 24700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.931766
Actual update 24750 of 50000, Stored update 24750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.236960
Actual update 24800 of 50000, Stored update 24800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.950583
Actual update 24850 of 50000, Stored update 24850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.193773
Actual update 24900 of 50000, Stored update 24900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.491544
Actual update 24950 of 50000, Stored update 24950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.328625
Actual update 25000 of 50000, Stored update 25000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.876962
Actual update 25050 of 50000, Stored update 25050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.348369
Actual update 25100 of 50000, Stored update 25100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.571567
Actual update 25150 of 50000, Stored update 25150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.072126
Actual update 25200 of 50000, Stored update 25200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.147651
Actual update 25250 of 50000, Stored update 25250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.388243
Actual update 25300 of 50000, Stored update 25300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.310827
Actual update 25350 of 50000, Stored update 25350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.989508
Actual update 25400 of 50000, Stored update 25400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.683911
Actual update 25450 of 50000, Stored update 25450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.655336
Actual update 25500 of 50000, Stored update 25500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.929352
Actual update 25550 of 50000, Stored update 25550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.180862
Actual update 25600 of 50000, Stored update 25600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.724948
Actual update 25650 of 50000, Stored update 25650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.863454
Actual update 25700 of 50000, Stored update 25700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.965550
Actual update 25750 of 50000, Stored update 25750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.860228
Actual update 25800 of 50000, Stored update 25800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.058143
Actual update 25850 of 50000, Stored update 25850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.995673
Actual update 25900 of 50000, Stored update 25900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.825579
Actual update 25950 of 50000, Stored update 25950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.874450
Actual update 26000 of 50000, Stored update 26000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.740323
Actual update 26050 of 50000, Stored update 26050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.837005
Actual update 26100 of 50000, Stored update 26100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.103049
Actual update 26150 of 50000, Stored update 26150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.293941
Actual update 26200 of 50000, Stored update 26200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.363773
Actual update 26250 of 50000, Stored update 26250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.479819
Actual update 26300 of 50000, Stored update 26300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2070.634490
Actual update 26350 of 50000, Stored update 26350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.477082
Actual update 26400 of 50000, Stored update 26400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.638218
Actual update 26450 of 50000, Stored update 26450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.798425
Actual update 26500 of 50000, Stored update 26500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.729539
Actual update 26550 of 50000, Stored update 26550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.843165
Actual update 26600 of 50000, Stored update 26600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.616828
Actual update 26650 of 50000, Stored update 26650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.477110
Actual update 26700 of 50000, Stored update 26700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.145023
Actual update 26750 of 50000, Stored update 26750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.424494
Actual update 26800 of 50000, Stored update 26800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.540217
Actual update 26850 of 50000, Stored update 26850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.910841
Actual update 26900 of 50000, Stored update 26900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.990806
Actual update 26950 of 50000, Stored update 26950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.718296
Actual update 27000 of 50000, Stored update 27000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.315952
Actual update 27050 of 50000, Stored update 27050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.591976
Actual update 27100 of 50000, Stored update 27100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.014665
Actual update 27150 of 50000, Stored update 27150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.316698
Actual update 27200 of 50000, Stored update 27200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.593341
Actual update 27250 of 50000, Stored update 27250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.919712
Actual update 27300 of 50000, Stored update 27300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.785233
Actual update 27350 of 50000, Stored update 27350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.894283
Actual update 27400 of 50000, Stored update 27400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.231256
Actual update 27450 of 50000, Stored update 27450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.076716
Actual update 27500 of 50000, Stored update 27500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.691209
Actual update 27550 of 50000, Stored update 27550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.754593
Actual update 27600 of 50000, Stored update 27600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.711690
Actual update 27650 of 50000, Stored update 27650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.151933
Actual update 27700 of 50000, Stored update 27700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.666380
Actual update 27750 of 50000, Stored update 27750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.106082
Actual update 27800 of 50000, Stored update 27800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.878501
Actual update 27850 of 50000, Stored update 27850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.664574
Actual update 27900 of 50000, Stored update 27900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.757927
Actual update 27950 of 50000, Stored update 27950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.236716
Actual update 28000 of 50000, Stored update 28000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.814245
Actual update 28050 of 50000, Stored update 28050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.140399
Actual update 28100 of 50000, Stored update 28100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.212026
Actual update 28150 of 50000, Stored update 28150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.638944
Actual update 28200 of 50000, Stored update 28200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.991924
Actual update 28250 of 50000, Stored update 28250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.183993
Actual update 28300 of 50000, Stored update 28300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.727768
Actual update 28350 of 50000, Stored update 28350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.647405
Actual update 28400 of 50000, Stored update 28400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.600839
Actual update 28450 of 50000, Stored update 28450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.568989
Actual update 28500 of 50000, Stored update 28500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.218246
Actual update 28550 of 50000, Stored update 28550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.489128
Actual update 28600 of 50000, Stored update 28600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.047853
Actual update 28650 of 50000, Stored update 28650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.672209
Actual update 28700 of 50000, Stored update 28700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.232429
Actual update 28750 of 50000, Stored update 28750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.780654
Actual update 28800 of 50000, Stored update 28800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.629818
Actual update 28850 of 50000, Stored update 28850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.777310
Actual update 28900 of 50000, Stored update 28900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.207928
Actual update 28950 of 50000, Stored update 28950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.562720
Actual update 29000 of 50000, Stored update 29000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.154616
Actual update 29050 of 50000, Stored update 29050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.404386
Actual update 29100 of 50000, Stored update 29100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.694491
Actual update 29150 of 50000, Stored update 29150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.829103
Actual update 29200 of 50000, Stored update 29200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.119516
Actual update 29250 of 50000, Stored update 29250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.594112
Actual update 29300 of 50000, Stored update 29300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.785146
Actual update 29350 of 50000, Stored update 29350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.945655
Actual update 29400 of 50000, Stored update 29400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.521310
Actual update 29450 of 50000, Stored update 29450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.463201
Actual update 29500 of 50000, Stored update 29500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.347628
Actual update 29550 of 50000, Stored update 29550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.297468
Actual update 29600 of 50000, Stored update 29600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.475867
Actual update 29650 of 50000, Stored update 29650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.112975
Actual update 29700 of 50000, Stored update 29700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.077122
Actual update 29750 of 50000, Stored update 29750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.646389
Actual update 29800 of 50000, Stored update 29800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.525062
Actual update 29850 of 50000, Stored update 29850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.715045
Actual update 29900 of 50000, Stored update 29900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.033653
Actual update 29950 of 50000, Stored update 29950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.481455
Actual update 30000 of 50000, Stored update 30000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.868684
Actual update 30050 of 50000, Stored update 30050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.515579
Actual update 30100 of 50000, Stored update 30100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.124197
Actual update 30150 of 50000, Stored update 30150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.368066
Actual update 30200 of 50000, Stored update 30200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.484450
Actual update 30250 of 50000, Stored update 30250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.261206
Actual update 30300 of 50000, Stored update 30300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.532134
Actual update 30350 of 50000, Stored update 30350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.329582
Actual update 30400 of 50000, Stored update 30400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.333358
Actual update 30450 of 50000, Stored update 30450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.674427
Actual update 30500 of 50000, Stored update 30500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.503343
Actual update 30550 of 50000, Stored update 30550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.814669
Actual update 30600 of 50000, Stored update 30600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.082685
Actual update 30650 of 50000, Stored update 30650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.897828
Actual update 30700 of 50000, Stored update 30700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.921011
Actual update 30750 of 50000, Stored update 30750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2058.730681
Actual update 30800 of 50000, Stored update 30800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.526581
Actual update 30850 of 50000, Stored update 30850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.820549
Actual update 30900 of 50000, Stored update 30900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.057826
Actual update 30950 of 50000, Stored update 30950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.627231
Actual update 31000 of 50000, Stored update 31000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.751991
Actual update 31050 of 50000, Stored update 31050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.577273
Actual update 31100 of 50000, Stored update 31100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.992259
Actual update 31150 of 50000, Stored update 31150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.755866
Actual update 31200 of 50000, Stored update 31200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.383425
Actual update 31250 of 50000, Stored update 31250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.804272
Actual update 31300 of 50000, Stored update 31300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.108061
Actual update 31350 of 50000, Stored update 31350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.962579
Actual update 31400 of 50000, Stored update 31400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.961092
Actual update 31450 of 50000, Stored update 31450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.168610
Actual update 31500 of 50000, Stored update 31500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.984211
Actual update 31550 of 50000, Stored update 31550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.380139
Actual update 31600 of 50000, Stored update 31600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.933028
Actual update 31650 of 50000, Stored update 31650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.702144
Actual update 31700 of 50000, Stored update 31700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.716864
Actual update 31750 of 50000, Stored update 31750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.242096
Actual update 31800 of 50000, Stored update 31800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.873862
Actual update 31850 of 50000, Stored update 31850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.935394
Actual update 31900 of 50000, Stored update 31900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.075267
Actual update 31950 of 50000, Stored update 31950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.720691
Actual update 32000 of 50000, Stored update 32000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.864242
Actual update 32050 of 50000, Stored update 32050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.041316
Actual update 32100 of 50000, Stored update 32100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.555466
Actual update 32150 of 50000, Stored update 32150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.460635
Actual update 32200 of 50000, Stored update 32200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2059.044538
Actual update 32250 of 50000, Stored update 32250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.056355
Actual update 32300 of 50000, Stored update 32300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.730788
Actual update 32350 of 50000, Stored update 32350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.361418
Actual update 32400 of 50000, Stored update 32400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.622549
Actual update 32450 of 50000, Stored update 32450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.114472
Actual update 32500 of 50000, Stored update 32500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.535128
Actual update 32550 of 50000, Stored update 32550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.274912
Actual update 32600 of 50000, Stored update 32600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.496527
Actual update 32650 of 50000, Stored update 32650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.725780
Actual update 32700 of 50000, Stored update 32700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.678788
Actual update 32750 of 50000, Stored update 32750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.074808
Actual update 32800 of 50000, Stored update 32800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.736834
Actual update 32850 of 50000, Stored update 32850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.418938
Actual update 32900 of 50000, Stored update 32900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.034869
Actual update 32950 of 50000, Stored update 32950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.722394
Actual update 33000 of 50000, Stored update 33000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.373063
Actual update 33050 of 50000, Stored update 33050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.634353
Actual update 33100 of 50000, Stored update 33100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.615617
Actual update 33150 of 50000, Stored update 33150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.555921
Actual update 33200 of 50000, Stored update 33200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.295426
Actual update 33250 of 50000, Stored update 33250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.712370
Actual update 33300 of 50000, Stored update 33300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.228967
Actual update 33350 of 50000, Stored update 33350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.507339
Actual update 33400 of 50000, Stored update 33400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.223859
Actual update 33450 of 50000, Stored update 33450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.613155
Actual update 33500 of 50000, Stored update 33500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.806036
Actual update 33550 of 50000, Stored update 33550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.868433
Actual update 33600 of 50000, Stored update 33600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.419776
Actual update 33650 of 50000, Stored update 33650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.993165
Actual update 33700 of 50000, Stored update 33700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.769823
Actual update 33750 of 50000, Stored update 33750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.926027
Actual update 33800 of 50000, Stored update 33800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.891967
Actual update 33850 of 50000, Stored update 33850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.313459
Actual update 33900 of 50000, Stored update 33900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.926565
Actual update 33950 of 50000, Stored update 33950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.104203
Actual update 34000 of 50000, Stored update 34000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.382924
Actual update 34050 of 50000, Stored update 34050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.540816
Actual update 34100 of 50000, Stored update 34100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.231187
Actual update 34150 of 50000, Stored update 34150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.278535
Actual update 34200 of 50000, Stored update 34200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.422747
Actual update 34250 of 50000, Stored update 34250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.009175
Actual update 34300 of 50000, Stored update 34300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.584622
Actual update 34350 of 50000, Stored update 34350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2063.352717
Actual update 34400 of 50000, Stored update 34400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.971246
Actual update 34450 of 50000, Stored update 34450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.523493
Actual update 34500 of 50000, Stored update 34500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.296657
Actual update 34550 of 50000, Stored update 34550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.326759
Actual update 34600 of 50000, Stored update 34600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.530182
Actual update 34650 of 50000, Stored update 34650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.169481
Actual update 34700 of 50000, Stored update 34700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.927189
Actual update 34750 of 50000, Stored update 34750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.946736
Actual update 34800 of 50000, Stored update 34800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.194063
Actual update 34850 of 50000, Stored update 34850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.733695
Actual update 34900 of 50000, Stored update 34900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.497045
Actual update 34950 of 50000, Stored update 34950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.474711
Actual update 35000 of 50000, Stored update 35000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.158307
Actual update 35050 of 50000, Stored update 35050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.201525
Actual update 35100 of 50000, Stored update 35100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.671214
Actual update 35150 of 50000, Stored update 35150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.690481
Actual update 35200 of 50000, Stored update 35200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.290287
Actual update 35250 of 50000, Stored update 35250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.762109
Actual update 35300 of 50000, Stored update 35300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.752649
Actual update 35350 of 50000, Stored update 35350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.924725
Actual update 35400 of 50000, Stored update 35400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.890164
Actual update 35450 of 50000, Stored update 35450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.040709
Actual update 35500 of 50000, Stored update 35500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.376902
Actual update 35550 of 50000, Stored update 35550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.643685
Actual update 35600 of 50000, Stored update 35600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.806104
Actual update 35650 of 50000, Stored update 35650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.443654
Actual update 35700 of 50000, Stored update 35700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.974467
Actual update 35750 of 50000, Stored update 35750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.388767
Actual update 35800 of 50000, Stored update 35800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.299934
Actual update 35850 of 50000, Stored update 35850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.793355
Actual update 35900 of 50000, Stored update 35900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.183868
Actual update 35950 of 50000, Stored update 35950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.274483
Actual update 36000 of 50000, Stored update 36000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.832513
Actual update 36050 of 50000, Stored update 36050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.416166
Actual update 36100 of 50000, Stored update 36100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.715547
Actual update 36150 of 50000, Stored update 36150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.729406
Actual update 36200 of 50000, Stored update 36200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.528939
Actual update 36250 of 50000, Stored update 36250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.569710
Actual update 36300 of 50000, Stored update 36300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.878105
Actual update 36350 of 50000, Stored update 36350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.047506
Actual update 36400 of 50000, Stored update 36400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.696973
Actual update 36450 of 50000, Stored update 36450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.819854
Actual update 36500 of 50000, Stored update 36500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.983827
Actual update 36550 of 50000, Stored update 36550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.955354
Actual update 36600 of 50000, Stored update 36600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.043896
Actual update 36650 of 50000, Stored update 36650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.661016
Actual update 36700 of 50000, Stored update 36700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.326973
Actual update 36750 of 50000, Stored update 36750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.394699
Actual update 36800 of 50000, Stored update 36800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.237967
Actual update 36850 of 50000, Stored update 36850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.384216
Actual update 36900 of 50000, Stored update 36900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.989685
Actual update 36950 of 50000, Stored update 36950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.844080
Actual update 37000 of 50000, Stored update 37000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.967108
Actual update 37050 of 50000, Stored update 37050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.190416
Actual update 37100 of 50000, Stored update 37100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.386666
Actual update 37150 of 50000, Stored update 37150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.816620
Actual update 37200 of 50000, Stored update 37200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.030444
Actual update 37250 of 50000, Stored update 37250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.521732
Actual update 37300 of 50000, Stored update 37300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.479950
Actual update 37350 of 50000, Stored update 37350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.946976
Actual update 37400 of 50000, Stored update 37400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.646021
Actual update 37450 of 50000, Stored update 37450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.492760
Actual update 37500 of 50000, Stored update 37500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.385140
Actual update 37550 of 50000, Stored update 37550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.983444
Actual update 37600 of 50000, Stored update 37600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.009812
Actual update 37650 of 50000, Stored update 37650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.296627
Actual update 37700 of 50000, Stored update 37700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.593127
Actual update 37750 of 50000, Stored update 37750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.684301
Actual update 37800 of 50000, Stored update 37800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.895579
Actual update 37850 of 50000, Stored update 37850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.930673
Actual update 37900 of 50000, Stored update 37900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.892839
Actual update 37950 of 50000, Stored update 37950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.416995
Actual update 38000 of 50000, Stored update 38000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.559459
Actual update 38050 of 50000, Stored update 38050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.746237
Actual update 38100 of 50000, Stored update 38100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.616410
Actual update 38150 of 50000, Stored update 38150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.795290
Actual update 38200 of 50000, Stored update 38200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.677672
Actual update 38250 of 50000, Stored update 38250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.378872
Actual update 38300 of 50000, Stored update 38300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.856856
Actual update 38350 of 50000, Stored update 38350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.587487
Actual update 38400 of 50000, Stored update 38400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.884576
Actual update 38450 of 50000, Stored update 38450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.737310
Actual update 38500 of 50000, Stored update 38500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.566223
Actual update 38550 of 50000, Stored update 38550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1996.166605
Actual update 38600 of 50000, Stored update 38600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.649119
Actual update 38650 of 50000, Stored update 38650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.919476
Actual update 38700 of 50000, Stored update 38700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.254783
Actual update 38750 of 50000, Stored update 38750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.310994
Actual update 38800 of 50000, Stored update 38800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.673065
Actual update 38850 of 50000, Stored update 38850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.227130
Actual update 38900 of 50000, Stored update 38900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.182019
Actual update 38950 of 50000, Stored update 38950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.319634
Actual update 39000 of 50000, Stored update 39000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.391069
Actual update 39050 of 50000, Stored update 39050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.583321
Actual update 39100 of 50000, Stored update 39100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.542618
Actual update 39150 of 50000, Stored update 39150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.827348
Actual update 39200 of 50000, Stored update 39200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.139484
Actual update 39250 of 50000, Stored update 39250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.527268
Actual update 39300 of 50000, Stored update 39300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.401505
Actual update 39350 of 50000, Stored update 39350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.664430
Actual update 39400 of 50000, Stored update 39400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.262399
Actual update 39450 of 50000, Stored update 39450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.427603
Actual update 39500 of 50000, Stored update 39500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.016119
Actual update 39550 of 50000, Stored update 39550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.543441
Actual update 39600 of 50000, Stored update 39600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.184690
Actual update 39650 of 50000, Stored update 39650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.236665
Actual update 39700 of 50000, Stored update 39700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.519501
Actual update 39750 of 50000, Stored update 39750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.546142
Actual update 39800 of 50000, Stored update 39800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.795389
Actual update 39850 of 50000, Stored update 39850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.041619
Actual update 39900 of 50000, Stored update 39900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.170481
Actual update 39950 of 50000, Stored update 39950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.165626
Actual update 40000 of 50000, Stored update 40000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.939510
Actual update 40050 of 50000, Stored update 40050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.917691
Actual update 40100 of 50000, Stored update 40100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.419744
Actual update 40150 of 50000, Stored update 40150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.963290
Actual update 40200 of 50000, Stored update 40200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.676338
Actual update 40250 of 50000, Stored update 40250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.812491
Actual update 40300 of 50000, Stored update 40300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.476986
Actual update 40350 of 50000, Stored update 40350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.724131
Actual update 40400 of 50000, Stored update 40400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.464633
Actual update 40450 of 50000, Stored update 40450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.329199
Actual update 40500 of 50000, Stored update 40500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.881627
Actual update 40550 of 50000, Stored update 40550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.694108
Actual update 40600 of 50000, Stored update 40600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.651595
Actual update 40650 of 50000, Stored update 40650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.346218
Actual update 40700 of 50000, Stored update 40700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.441818
Actual update 40750 of 50000, Stored update 40750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.148564
Actual update 40800 of 50000, Stored update 40800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.166829
Actual update 40850 of 50000, Stored update 40850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.120217
Actual update 40900 of 50000, Stored update 40900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.242101
Actual update 40950 of 50000, Stored update 40950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.600892
Actual update 41000 of 50000, Stored update 41000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.496378
Actual update 41050 of 50000, Stored update 41050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2060.369940
Actual update 41100 of 50000, Stored update 41100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.637405
Actual update 41150 of 50000, Stored update 41150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.763687
Actual update 41200 of 50000, Stored update 41200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.744049
Actual update 41250 of 50000, Stored update 41250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.659822
Actual update 41300 of 50000, Stored update 41300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.578636
Actual update 41350 of 50000, Stored update 41350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.900335
Actual update 41400 of 50000, Stored update 41400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.330541
Actual update 41450 of 50000, Stored update 41450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.730192
Actual update 41500 of 50000, Stored update 41500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.614255
Actual update 41550 of 50000, Stored update 41550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.457758
Actual update 41600 of 50000, Stored update 41600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.424976
Actual update 41650 of 50000, Stored update 41650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.828459
Actual update 41700 of 50000, Stored update 41700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.353252
Actual update 41750 of 50000, Stored update 41750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.160773
Actual update 41800 of 50000, Stored update 41800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.402161
Actual update 41850 of 50000, Stored update 41850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.239680
Actual update 41900 of 50000, Stored update 41900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.169723
Actual update 41950 of 50000, Stored update 41950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.779976
Actual update 42000 of 50000, Stored update 42000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.104271
Actual update 42050 of 50000, Stored update 42050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.926129
Actual update 42100 of 50000, Stored update 42100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.026712
Actual update 42150 of 50000, Stored update 42150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.146783
Actual update 42200 of 50000, Stored update 42200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.513480
Actual update 42250 of 50000, Stored update 42250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.598898
Actual update 42300 of 50000, Stored update 42300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.835900
Actual update 42350 of 50000, Stored update 42350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.504578
Actual update 42400 of 50000, Stored update 42400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.758543
Actual update 42450 of 50000, Stored update 42450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.703685
Actual update 42500 of 50000, Stored update 42500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.762950
Actual update 42550 of 50000, Stored update 42550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.696155
Actual update 42600 of 50000, Stored update 42600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.333956
Actual update 42650 of 50000, Stored update 42650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.691572
Actual update 42700 of 50000, Stored update 42700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.868565
Actual update 42750 of 50000, Stored update 42750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.896086
Actual update 42800 of 50000, Stored update 42800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.642062
Actual update 42850 of 50000, Stored update 42850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.894461
Actual update 42900 of 50000, Stored update 42900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.360042
Actual update 42950 of 50000, Stored update 42950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.600651
Actual update 43000 of 50000, Stored update 43000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.125686
Actual update 43050 of 50000, Stored update 43050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.500061
Actual update 43100 of 50000, Stored update 43100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.605670
Actual update 43150 of 50000, Stored update 43150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.854655
Actual update 43200 of 50000, Stored update 43200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.024005
Actual update 43250 of 50000, Stored update 43250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.594878
Actual update 43300 of 50000, Stored update 43300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.003848
Actual update 43350 of 50000, Stored update 43350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.521076
Actual update 43400 of 50000, Stored update 43400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.447008
Actual update 43450 of 50000, Stored update 43450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.167845
Actual update 43500 of 50000, Stored update 43500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.342114
Actual update 43550 of 50000, Stored update 43550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.560641
Actual update 43600 of 50000, Stored update 43600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.100662
Actual update 43650 of 50000, Stored update 43650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.093257
Actual update 43700 of 50000, Stored update 43700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.852594
Actual update 43750 of 50000, Stored update 43750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.505296
Actual update 43800 of 50000, Stored update 43800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.396349
Actual update 43850 of 50000, Stored update 43850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.879046
Actual update 43900 of 50000, Stored update 43900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.849571
Actual update 43950 of 50000, Stored update 43950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.232786
Actual update 44000 of 50000, Stored update 44000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.543083
Actual update 44050 of 50000, Stored update 44050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.852601
Actual update 44100 of 50000, Stored update 44100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.850756
Actual update 44150 of 50000, Stored update 44150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.003779
Actual update 44200 of 50000, Stored update 44200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.605396
Actual update 44250 of 50000, Stored update 44250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.687237
Actual update 44300 of 50000, Stored update 44300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.184030
Actual update 44350 of 50000, Stored update 44350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.673652
Actual update 44400 of 50000, Stored update 44400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.103190
Actual update 44450 of 50000, Stored update 44450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.640715
Actual update 44500 of 50000, Stored update 44500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.269300
Actual update 44550 of 50000, Stored update 44550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.387761
Actual update 44600 of 50000, Stored update 44600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.207070
Actual update 44650 of 50000, Stored update 44650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.483397
Actual update 44700 of 50000, Stored update 44700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.839007
Actual update 44750 of 50000, Stored update 44750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.869470
Actual update 44800 of 50000, Stored update 44800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.455175
Actual update 44850 of 50000, Stored update 44850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.273832
Actual update 44900 of 50000, Stored update 44900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.094558
Actual update 44950 of 50000, Stored update 44950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.134441
Actual update 45000 of 50000, Stored update 45000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.049126
Actual update 45050 of 50000, Stored update 45050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.206141
Actual update 45100 of 50000, Stored update 45100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.601861
Actual update 45150 of 50000, Stored update 45150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.145276
Actual update 45200 of 50000, Stored update 45200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.172243
Actual update 45250 of 50000, Stored update 45250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.555253
Actual update 45300 of 50000, Stored update 45300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.202419
Actual update 45350 of 50000, Stored update 45350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.179450
Actual update 45400 of 50000, Stored update 45400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.594554
Actual update 45450 of 50000, Stored update 45450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.139414
Actual update 45500 of 50000, Stored update 45500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.305276
Actual update 45550 of 50000, Stored update 45550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.137148
Actual update 45600 of 50000, Stored update 45600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.311558
Actual update 45650 of 50000, Stored update 45650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.795896
Actual update 45700 of 50000, Stored update 45700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.918846
Actual update 45750 of 50000, Stored update 45750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.956290
Actual update 45800 of 50000, Stored update 45800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.494326
Actual update 45850 of 50000, Stored update 45850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.693569
Actual update 45900 of 50000, Stored update 45900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.893560
Actual update 45950 of 50000, Stored update 45950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.719240
Actual update 46000 of 50000, Stored update 46000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.537689
Actual update 46050 of 50000, Stored update 46050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.169167
Actual update 46100 of 50000, Stored update 46100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.998470
Actual update 46150 of 50000, Stored update 46150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.358283
Actual update 46200 of 50000, Stored update 46200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.314739
Actual update 46250 of 50000, Stored update 46250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.959256
Actual update 46300 of 50000, Stored update 46300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.187159
Actual update 46350 of 50000, Stored update 46350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.057354
Actual update 46400 of 50000, Stored update 46400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.363605
Actual update 46450 of 50000, Stored update 46450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.763101
Actual update 46500 of 50000, Stored update 46500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2067.925633
Actual update 46550 of 50000, Stored update 46550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.562287
Actual update 46600 of 50000, Stored update 46600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.945815
Actual update 46650 of 50000, Stored update 46650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.699114
Actual update 46700 of 50000, Stored update 46700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.872416
Actual update 46750 of 50000, Stored update 46750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.440304
Actual update 46800 of 50000, Stored update 46800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2064.222112
Actual update 46850 of 50000, Stored update 46850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.939467
Actual update 46900 of 50000, Stored update 46900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.932945
Actual update 46950 of 50000, Stored update 46950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.357027
Actual update 47000 of 50000, Stored update 47000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.941795
Actual update 47050 of 50000, Stored update 47050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.350950
Actual update 47100 of 50000, Stored update 47100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.655167
Actual update 47150 of 50000, Stored update 47150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.094782
Actual update 47200 of 50000, Stored update 47200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.142007
Actual update 47250 of 50000, Stored update 47250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.543262
Actual update 47300 of 50000, Stored update 47300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.596587
Actual update 47350 of 50000, Stored update 47350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.902216
Actual update 47400 of 50000, Stored update 47400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.562880
Actual update 47450 of 50000, Stored update 47450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.709649
Actual update 47500 of 50000, Stored update 47500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.625144
Actual update 47550 of 50000, Stored update 47550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.980115
Actual update 47600 of 50000, Stored update 47600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.302713
Actual update 47650 of 50000, Stored update 47650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.924768
Actual update 47700 of 50000, Stored update 47700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.523400
Actual update 47750 of 50000, Stored update 47750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.039735
Actual update 47800 of 50000, Stored update 47800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.133070
Actual update 47850 of 50000, Stored update 47850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.121782
Actual update 47900 of 50000, Stored update 47900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.738674
Actual update 47950 of 50000, Stored update 47950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.347224
Actual update 48000 of 50000, Stored update 48000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.517421
Actual update 48050 of 50000, Stored update 48050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.492845
Actual update 48100 of 50000, Stored update 48100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.616079
Actual update 48150 of 50000, Stored update 48150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.276854
Actual update 48200 of 50000, Stored update 48200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.635349
Actual update 48250 of 50000, Stored update 48250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.726827
Actual update 48300 of 50000, Stored update 48300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.998287
Actual update 48350 of 50000, Stored update 48350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.977217
Actual update 48400 of 50000, Stored update 48400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.141429
Actual update 48450 of 50000, Stored update 48450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.042432
Actual update 48500 of 50000, Stored update 48500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.121884
Actual update 48550 of 50000, Stored update 48550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.574335
Actual update 48600 of 50000, Stored update 48600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.817665
Actual update 48650 of 50000, Stored update 48650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.587281
Actual update 48700 of 50000, Stored update 48700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.568373
Actual update 48750 of 50000, Stored update 48750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.538396
Actual update 48800 of 50000, Stored update 48800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.802071
Actual update 48850 of 50000, Stored update 48850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.243641
Actual update 48900 of 50000, Stored update 48900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.881138
Actual update 48950 of 50000, Stored update 48950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.489805
Actual update 49000 of 50000, Stored update 49000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.570176
Actual update 49050 of 50000, Stored update 49050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.806002
Actual update 49100 of 50000, Stored update 49100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.883713
Actual update 49150 of 50000, Stored update 49150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.462813
Actual update 49200 of 50000, Stored update 49200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.693925
Actual update 49250 of 50000, Stored update 49250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.083699
Actual update 49300 of 50000, Stored update 49300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.652767
Actual update 49350 of 50000, Stored update 49350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.519285
Actual update 49400 of 50000, Stored update 49400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.735854
Actual update 49450 of 50000, Stored update 49450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.077908
Actual update 49500 of 50000, Stored update 49500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.479210
Actual update 49550 of 50000, Stored update 49550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.755731
Actual update 49600 of 50000, Stored update 49600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.971729
Actual update 49650 of 50000, Stored update 49650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.426642
Actual update 49700 of 50000, Stored update 49700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.624569
Actual update 49750 of 50000, Stored update 49750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.313794
Actual update 49800 of 50000, Stored update 49800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.710737
Actual update 49850 of 50000, Stored update 49850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.574411
Actual update 49900 of 50000, Stored update 49900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.256566
Actual update 49950 of 50000, Stored update 49950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.107090
Actual update 50000 of 50000, Stored update 50000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.088269
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =          50000
Average =          2028.0
S.D.    =          12.654
S.E.M.  =        0.056590

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.11)  multilevel model (Poisson) 
        N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
region 78   1 4.538462  13         78            1      4.538462           13
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 6.89s 
Number of obs:  354 (from total 354)          Number of iter.: 50000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
2028.040   1964.826   63.214     2091.254   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
log(obs) ~ 0 + nation + nation:uvbi + offset(log(exp)) + (1 | 
    region)
Level 2: region     Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
                            Coef.   Std. Err.       z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
nationBelgium             0.70485     0.75090    0.94      0.3479         -0.76161     2.18286   5033 
nationW_Germany           0.48321     0.12543    3.85   0.0001169  ***     0.23976     0.73312   1173 
nationDenmark             0.31763     0.87967    0.36       0.718         -1.43036     2.04178   4822 
nationFrance             -0.59351     0.05502  -10.79   3.996e-27  ***    -0.70217    -0.48634   7981 
nationUK                  0.62036     0.20923    2.96    0.003027  **      0.20996     1.03107   1114 
nationItaly               0.27998     0.10777    2.60    0.009377  **      0.06436     0.48721   1942 
nationIreland            -0.46883     1.28659   -0.36      0.7156         -2.99825     2.03237   6084 
nationLuxembourg         17.63399    16.02463    1.10      0.2711        -11.27117    51.23787   1466 
nationNetherlands        -0.33593     0.93797   -0.36      0.7202         -2.17104     1.50257   2197 
nationBelgium:uvbi        0.26600     0.25327    1.05      0.2936         -0.22549     0.76496   4996 
nationW_Germany:uvbi     -0.01231     0.03350   -0.37      0.7132         -0.07722     0.05466    946 
nationDenmark:uvbi       -0.08254     0.15512   -0.53      0.5946         -0.39121     0.22131   4685 
nationFrance:uvbi         0.01298     0.01790    0.73      0.4684         -0.02161     0.04785   1689 
nationUK:uvbi             0.14311     0.04308    3.32   0.0008944  ***     0.05883     0.22901    983 
nationItaly:uvbi         -0.08705     0.01615   -5.39   7.114e-08  ***    -0.11775    -0.05517   1395 
nationIreland:uvbi        0.01239     0.25919    0.05      0.9619         -0.49252     0.52076   5615 
nationLuxembourg:uvbi     7.69252     6.99662    1.10      0.2716         -4.86936    22.38755   1444 
nationNetherlands:uvbi   -0.11050     0.22518   -0.49      0.6236         -0.55106     0.33134   2170 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the region level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.03704     0.00925      0.02226     0.05831   5580 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
                Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]     ESS 
var_bcons_1   1.00000     0.00000      1.00000     1.00000   50000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> sixway(mymodel@chains[, "FP_nationBelgium", drop = FALSE], acf.maxlag = 100, "beta_1")
> 
> # 25.6 Normal response models in MLwiN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 419
> 
> ## Read tutorial data
> data(tutorial, package = "R2MLwiN")
> 
> ## Define the model Univariate MH Hierarchical centring at level 2
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student), estoptions = list(EstM = 1, mcmcMeth = list(fixM = 2, 
+   residM = 2), mcmcOptions = list(hcen = 2)), data = tutorial))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 1 1 1 1
RUNNING ADAPTIVE PROCEDURE AND BURNING IN...
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 9208.915598
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 9230.679205
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 9217.558985
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 9189.162267
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 9206.613880
Adapting finished and took 600 iterations
Adapting took 600 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9231.779417
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9199.521781
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9199.328198
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9220.212377
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9192.079977
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9205.259212
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9179.446157
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9215.145020
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9217.475915
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9202.290545

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9216.011185
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.610526
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9217.086698
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9190.503331
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9213.280359
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9208.026049
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9213.464235
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.191343
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.289616
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9225.646624
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9213.686483
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9213.188076
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9218.132760
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9220.461304
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9215.314286
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9217.665141
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9213.315145
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9192.400172
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9239.810214
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9217.461176
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9211.760683
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9208.017385
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9214.436603
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9190.637010
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9238.533082
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9235.853467
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9209.999462
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9260.614218
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9193.395758
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9200.885074
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9234.413597
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9212.212208
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.309387
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9226.530744
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9220.148684
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9208.441972
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9195.736956
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.852356
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.529560
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9209.894133
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9217.573328
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9209.512197
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9200.002721
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9205.301809
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9237.481234
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.324925
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9225.983553
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9228.256281
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.690252
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9193.596887
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9200.220788
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9230.056399
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.565179
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9199.727405
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9188.690311
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.517667
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9209.276449
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9219.102808
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9211.901222
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.911182
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.495727
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9221.711802
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9201.361311
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9219.062015
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9223.438997
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9246.628220
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9207.232900
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9214.363067
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9214.536009
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9180.425863
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9226.426574
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9183.128084
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9226.183315
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9189.256641
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9195.327527
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9189.485891
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9214.473211
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.995647
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.561281
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9203.886293
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.765432
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9207.600628
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9220.881065
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9217.280342
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9212.377911
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9230.568995
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9200.900996
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9215.068621
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9207.587739
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9221.444626
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9195.671986
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9196.364169
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9215.768116
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9231.087414
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.835504
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.747527
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9199.122520
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9217.353010
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.493560
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9220.569450
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          9209.5
S.D.    =          12.002
S.E.M.  =         0.16973

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.11)  multilevel model (Normal) 
        N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
school 65   2 62.44615 198         65            2      62.44615          198
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 1.21s 
Number of obs:  4059 (from total 4059)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
9209.486   9149.353   60.134     9269.620   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student)
Level 2: school     Level 1: student      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
              Coef.   Std. Err.      z   Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
Intercept   0.00357     0.04060   0.09       0.93         -0.07487     0.08439   2878 
standlrt    0.56366     0.01225  46.00          0  ***     0.53959     0.58734   1073 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the school level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.09600     0.01989      0.06350     0.14065   1938 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the student level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.56619     0.01261      0.54227     0.59142   4021 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> trajectories(mymodel, Range = c(4501, 5000))
> ## Gibbs Hierarchical centring at level 2
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student), estoptions = list(EstM = 1, mcmcOptions = list(hcen = 2)), 
+   data = tutorial))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  1 1 1 1 1 1
BURNING IN...
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9204.675944
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9218.363945
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9212.051404
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9209.503321
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9191.303197
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9225.119964
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9216.289057
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9213.345633
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9212.001584
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9194.667049

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.888609
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9203.619893
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9203.550214
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9218.771914
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.786797
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.254095
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.369403
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9211.191384
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9221.829596
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.372156
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9235.836998
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9201.314979
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.513503
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.677393
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.363109
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9203.673125
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9196.063723
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9218.615592
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9229.942351
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9214.818897
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9205.962300
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.371871
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9199.367610
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9209.810942
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9217.321450
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9199.907951
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.525262
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9212.833034
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9200.385400
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9214.951770
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.368552
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9203.890713
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9192.474623
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9193.292936
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9199.857398
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9206.724208
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9212.448780
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9194.219127
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9220.520320
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9208.676824
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9216.689561
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9209.875660
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9211.082106
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9228.885706
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9191.379243
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9223.275739
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9215.614559
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9201.517899
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9200.338340
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9206.287296
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9214.376844
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9207.174652
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9239.128287
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9201.101694
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9220.449224
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9233.468879
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.763390
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9195.408457
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9225.969421
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9222.758325
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.654603
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9189.277987
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9229.357887
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9208.060099
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.357512
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9196.495028
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9228.431085
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9222.742758
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9207.965542
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9213.668112
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9196.932114
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.002909
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.296919
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9209.800006
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9206.129704
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9208.993903
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9200.702393
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.681857
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9241.904185
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9212.980645
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9203.776647
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9203.481573
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.380645
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.682158
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.721526
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9222.298829
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9193.838521
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9228.117619
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.241036
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9215.869948
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9190.459772
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9193.905214
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.083296
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9205.733901
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.925913
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9230.304716
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9207.972247
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.071939
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9229.325155
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.546386
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          9209.3
S.D.    =          11.901
S.E.M.  =         0.16830

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.11)  multilevel model (Normal) 
        N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
school 65   2 62.44615 198         65            2      62.44615          198
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 1.44s 
Number of obs:  4059 (from total 4059)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
9209.337   9149.395   59.941     9269.278   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student)
Level 2: school     Level 1: student      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
              Coef.   Std. Err.      z   Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
Intercept   0.00299     0.04120   0.07     0.9422         -0.07934     0.08377   4743 
standlrt    0.56352     0.01291  43.65          0  ***     0.53880     0.58883   4016 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the school level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.09620     0.01978      0.06501     0.14041   3118 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the student level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.56650     0.01259      0.54203     0.59203   5000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> trajectories(mymodel, Range = c(4501, 5000))
> 
> # Chapter learning outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .422
> 
> # Addendum: changing contrasts back to pre-existing . . . . . . . . . . . NA
> 
> # Following re-specification of contrast settings towards the start of this
> # script, change contrasts back to pre-existing:
> options(contrasts = my_contrasts)
> 
> ############################################################################
> 
> proc.time()
   user  system elapsed 
  15.48    2.81   68.68