R version 4.3.2 (2023-10-31 ucrt) -- "Eye Holes"
Copyright (C) 2023 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing
Platform: x86_64-w64-mingw32/x64 (64-bit)

R is free software and comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY.
You are welcome to redistribute it under certain conditions.
Type 'license()' or 'licence()' for distribution details.

  Natural language support but running in an English locale

R is a collaborative project with many contributors.
Type 'contributors()' for more information and
'citation()' on how to cite R or R packages in publications.

Type 'demo()' for some demos, 'help()' for on-line help, or
'help.start()' for an HTML browser interface to help.
Type 'q()' to quit R.

> ############################################################################
> #     MLwiN MCMC Manual
> #
> # 25  Hierarchical Centring . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .401
> #
> #     Browne, W.J. (2009) MCMC Estimation in MLwiN, v2.13. Centre for
> #     Multilevel Modelling, University of Bristol.
> ############################################################################
> #     R script to replicate all analyses using R2MLwiN
> #
> #     Zhang, Z., Charlton, C., Parker, R, Leckie, G., and Browne, W.J.
> #     Centre for Multilevel Modelling, 2012
> #     http://www.bristol.ac.uk/cmm/software/R2MLwiN/
> ############################################################################
> 
> # 25.1 What is hierarchical centering? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 401
> 
> # 25.2 Centring Normal models using WinBUGS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .403
> 
> library(R2MLwiN)

R2MLwiN: A package to run models implemented in MLwiN from R
Copyright 2013-2024 Zhengzheng Zhang, Christopher M. J. Charlton, Richard M. A. Parker, William J. Browne and George Leckie

Support provided by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC)
(Grants RES-149-25-1084, RES-576-25-0032 and ES/K007246/1)

To cite R2MLwiN in publications use:

  Zhengzheng Zhang, Richard M. A. Parker, Christopher M. J. Charlton,
  George Leckie, William J. Browne (2016). R2MLwiN: A Package to Run
  MLwiN from within R. Journal of Statistical Software, 72(10), 1-43.
  doi:10.18637/jss.v072.i10

A BibTeX entry for LaTeX users is

  @Article{,
    title = {{R2MLwiN}: A Package to Run {MLwiN} from within {R}},
    author = {Zhengzheng Zhang and Richard M. A. Parker and Christopher M. J. Charlton and George Leckie and William J. Browne},
    journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
    year = {2016},
    volume = {72},
    number = {10},
    pages = {1--43},
    doi = {10.18637/jss.v072.i10},
  }

The MLwiN_path option is currently set to C:/Program Files/MLwiN v3.09/
To change this use: options(MLwiN_path="<path to MLwiN>")
> # MLwiN folder
> mlwin <- getOption("MLwiN_path")
> while (!file.access(mlwin, mode = 1) == 0) {
+   cat("Please specify the root MLwiN folder or the full path to the MLwiN executable:\n")
+   mlwin <- scan(what = character(0), sep = "\n")
+   mlwin <- gsub("\\", "/", mlwin, fixed = TRUE)
+ }
> options(MLwiN_path = mlwin)
> 
> # Change contrasts if wish to avoid warning indicating that, by default,
> # specified contrasts for ordered predictors will be ignored by runMLwiN
> # (they will be fitted as "contr.treatment" regardless of this setting). To
> # enable specified contrasts, set allowcontrast to TRUE (this will be the
> # default in future package releases). NB at the end of this script, the
> # specification for contrasts is changed back.
> my_contrasts <- options("contrasts")$contrasts
> options(contrasts = c(unordered = "contr.treatment",
+                       ordered = "contr.treatment"))
> 
> # As an alternative to changing contrasts, can instead use C() to specify
> # contrasts for ordered predictors in formula object, e.g.:
> 
> # (mymodel <- runMLwiN(logit(use) ~ 1 + age + C(lc, "contr.treatment") + urban +
> #                        (1 + urban | district),
> #                      D = "Binomial",
> #                      estoptions = list(EstM = 1,
> #                                        mcmcOptions = list(hcen = 2)),
> #                      data = bang1,
> #                      allowcontrast = TRUE))
> 
> # User's input if necessary
> 
> ## Read tutorial data
> data(tutorial, package = "R2MLwiN")
> 
> ## Hierarchical centring at level 2 (DO NOT USE VERSION 2.25; the bug has been fixed for VERSION 2.26)
> 
> mymodel <- runMLwiN(normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student), estoptions = list(EstM = 1, mcmcOptions = list(hcen = 2), 
+   show.file = TRUE), BUGO = c(version = 4, n.chains = 1, debug = FALSE, seed = 1, OpenBugs = TRUE), 
+   data = tutorial)
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0
Execution completed

Loading required namespace: BRugs
Welcome to BRugs connected to OpenBUGS version 3.2.3
model is syntactically correct
data loaded
model compiled
Initializing chain 1: 
model is initialized
model is already initialized
Sampling has been started ...
500 updates took 0 s
deviance set
monitor set for variable 'beta'
monitor set for variable 'sigma2'
monitor set for variable 'u2'
monitor set for variable 'sigma2.u2'
monitor set for variable 'deviance'
5000 updates took 8 s
> 
> summary(mymodel)

Iterations = 501:5500
Thinning interval = 1 
Number of chains = 1 
Sample size per chain = 5000 

1. Empirical mean and standard deviation for each variable,
   plus standard error of the mean:

                Mean       SD  Naive SE Time-series SE
beta[1]    2.409e-03  0.04012 0.0005674      0.0005882
beta[2]    5.632e-01  0.01229 0.0001738      0.0001830
deviance   9.209e+03 12.11534 0.1713367      0.1813420
sigma2     5.662e-01  0.01283 0.0001815      0.0001562
sigma2.u2  9.691e-02  0.01955 0.0002765      0.0003464
u2[1]      3.764e-01  0.08499 0.0012020      0.0012020
u2[10]    -3.349e-01  0.10013 0.0014161      0.0014161
u2[11]     1.816e-01  0.09184 0.0012988      0.0013643
u2[12]    -5.881e-02  0.10520 0.0014877      0.0014485
u2[13]    -1.477e-01  0.09227 0.0013050      0.0013050
u2[14]    -1.634e-01  0.05267 0.0007448      0.0007283
u2[15]    -1.821e-01  0.07672 0.0010850      0.0010850
u2[16]    -4.081e-01  0.07809 0.0011043      0.0010574
u2[17]    -1.723e-01  0.06571 0.0009293      0.0009293
u2[18]    -8.119e-02  0.06611 0.0009349      0.0009773
u2[19]    -1.143e-02  0.09546 0.0013500      0.0014004
u2[2]      5.047e-01  0.09902 0.0014004      0.0014004
u2[20]     2.143e-01  0.11076 0.0015663      0.0015617
u2[21]     2.468e-01  0.08493 0.0012011      0.0012052
u2[22]    -4.317e-01  0.07692 0.0010878      0.0010878
u2[23]    -4.894e-01  0.13106 0.0018535      0.0018726
u2[24]     2.092e-01  0.11433 0.0016169      0.0016169
u2[25]    -2.275e-01  0.08621 0.0012192      0.0012192
u2[26]    -2.332e-02  0.08247 0.0011664      0.0011664
u2[27]     2.488e-02  0.11204 0.0015845      0.0015845
u2[28]    -6.073e-01  0.09633 0.0013623      0.0013901
u2[29]     2.431e-01  0.08202 0.0011599      0.0011884
u2[3]      5.058e-01  0.09829 0.0013900      0.0013883
u2[30]     1.620e-01  0.10792 0.0015262      0.0015262
u2[31]     3.377e-02  0.10004 0.0014147      0.0013792
u2[32]    -5.933e-03  0.11036 0.0015607      0.0016031
u2[33]     3.094e-02  0.08284 0.0011716      0.0011716
u2[34]    -1.398e-01  0.13480 0.0019063      0.0019063
u2[35]     1.292e-01  0.11282 0.0015955      0.0015955
u2[36]    -1.791e-01  0.08782 0.0012419      0.0012419
u2[37]    -1.848e-01  0.14151 0.0020013      0.0020013
u2[38]    -1.494e-01  0.09700 0.0013718      0.0013314
u2[39]     1.334e-01  0.10168 0.0014380      0.0014380
u2[4]      1.989e-02  0.08015 0.0011335      0.0011335
u2[40]    -2.343e-01  0.08668 0.0012258      0.0012258
u2[41]     2.145e-01  0.09300 0.0013152      0.0013152
u2[42]     9.601e-02  0.09574 0.0013540      0.0013540
u2[43]    -8.772e-02  0.09138 0.0012923      0.0012928
u2[44]    -2.468e-01  0.12554 0.0017754      0.0017754
u2[45]    -1.079e-01  0.09969 0.0014098      0.0014098
u2[46]    -3.515e-01  0.08046 0.0011378      0.0011378
u2[47]    -4.023e-02  0.07993 0.0011304      0.0011304
u2[48]    -4.375e-02  0.27017 0.0038208      0.0034446
u2[49]     4.534e-02  0.06962 0.0009845      0.0009845
u2[5]      2.448e-01  0.11974 0.0016933      0.0016933
u2[50]    -3.006e-01  0.08561 0.0012107      0.0012107
u2[51]    -5.001e-02  0.09477 0.0013403      0.0013403
u2[52]     3.863e-01  0.09176 0.0012977      0.0012977
u2[53]     7.279e-01  0.08780 0.0012417      0.0012731
u2[54]    -5.525e-01  0.20693 0.0029264      0.0030939
u2[55]     5.075e-01  0.10066 0.0014236      0.0014534
u2[56]     1.400e-02  0.11368 0.0016077      0.0018033
u2[57]     3.406e-02  0.09091 0.0012857      0.0012857
u2[58]     1.399e-01  0.11561 0.0016349      0.0016349
u2[59]    -6.584e-01  0.10524 0.0014883      0.0015636
u2[6]      5.465e-01  0.08247 0.0011662      0.0011662
u2[60]     2.274e-01  0.08225 0.0011632      0.0012008
u2[61]    -3.848e-02  0.09041 0.0012786      0.0012963
u2[62]    -5.157e-02  0.08483 0.0011997      0.0011997
u2[63]     5.397e-01  0.12704 0.0017967      0.0017061
u2[64]     8.922e-02  0.09437 0.0013346      0.0013346
u2[65]    -1.643e-01  0.08115 0.0011476      0.0011476
u2[7]      3.830e-01  0.07814 0.0011050      0.0011381
u2[8]     -2.266e-02  0.07346 0.0010389      0.0010389
u2[9]     -1.330e-01  0.12049 0.0017040      0.0018576

2. Quantiles for each variable:

                2.5%        25%        50%        75%      97.5%
beta[1]   -7.747e-02 -2.394e-02  3.098e-03  2.955e-02  8.082e-02
beta[2]    5.393e-01  5.549e-01  5.633e-01  5.716e-01  5.870e-01
deviance   9.188e+03  9.200e+03  9.208e+03  9.217e+03  9.235e+03
sigma2     5.416e-01  5.575e-01  5.663e-01  5.748e-01  5.920e-01
sigma2.u2  6.516e-02  8.286e-02  9.503e-02  1.084e-01  1.412e-01
u2[1]      2.137e-01  3.182e-01  3.754e-01  4.335e-01  5.422e-01
u2[10]    -5.236e-01 -4.051e-01 -3.353e-01 -2.664e-01 -1.385e-01
u2[11]    -5.727e-04  1.208e-01  1.823e-01  2.439e-01  3.614e-01
u2[12]    -2.684e-01 -1.278e-01 -5.802e-02  1.164e-02  1.475e-01
u2[13]    -3.256e-01 -2.104e-01 -1.470e-01 -8.570e-02  3.059e-02
u2[14]    -2.642e-01 -1.996e-01 -1.634e-01 -1.271e-01 -5.935e-02
u2[15]    -3.360e-01 -2.328e-01 -1.808e-01 -1.303e-01 -2.875e-02
u2[16]    -5.588e-01 -4.599e-01 -4.087e-01 -3.569e-01 -2.514e-01
u2[17]    -3.041e-01 -2.163e-01 -1.713e-01 -1.267e-01 -4.513e-02
u2[18]    -2.127e-01 -1.256e-01 -8.155e-02 -3.772e-02  5.099e-02
u2[19]    -2.021e-01 -7.636e-02 -9.920e-03  5.439e-02  1.701e-01
u2[2]      3.084e-01  4.375e-01  5.055e-01  5.706e-01  7.019e-01
u2[20]    -2.701e-03  1.406e-01  2.156e-01  2.878e-01  4.280e-01
u2[21]     8.209e-02  1.870e-01  2.465e-01  3.055e-01  4.099e-01
u2[22]    -5.821e-01 -4.835e-01 -4.317e-01 -3.798e-01 -2.820e-01
u2[23]    -7.415e-01 -5.787e-01 -4.876e-01 -4.023e-01 -2.286e-01
u2[24]    -1.945e-02  1.337e-01  2.080e-01  2.846e-01  4.314e-01
u2[25]    -3.967e-01 -2.861e-01 -2.273e-01 -1.684e-01 -6.023e-02
u2[26]    -1.868e-01 -7.761e-02 -2.320e-02  3.128e-02  1.398e-01
u2[27]    -1.948e-01 -5.004e-02  2.425e-02  1.001e-01  2.427e-01
u2[28]    -7.958e-01 -6.735e-01 -6.059e-01 -5.423e-01 -4.181e-01
u2[29]     8.218e-02  1.888e-01  2.440e-01  2.983e-01  4.016e-01
u2[3]      3.092e-01  4.407e-01  5.068e-01  5.721e-01  6.950e-01
u2[30]    -4.754e-02  9.095e-02  1.628e-01  2.349e-01  3.743e-01
u2[31]    -1.620e-01 -3.258e-02  3.524e-02  1.005e-01  2.282e-01
u2[32]    -2.185e-01 -8.095e-02 -7.655e-03  6.780e-02  2.138e-01
u2[33]    -1.311e-01 -2.376e-02  3.103e-02  8.600e-02  1.930e-01
u2[34]    -4.086e-01 -2.326e-01 -1.395e-01 -4.422e-02  1.202e-01
u2[35]    -8.934e-02  5.237e-02  1.272e-01  2.059e-01  3.523e-01
u2[36]    -3.470e-01 -2.383e-01 -1.790e-01 -1.190e-01 -6.890e-03
u2[37]    -4.552e-01 -2.830e-01 -1.844e-01 -8.676e-02  9.278e-02
u2[38]    -3.371e-01 -2.162e-01 -1.486e-01 -8.362e-02  4.272e-02
u2[39]    -6.533e-02  6.461e-02  1.323e-01  2.011e-01  3.323e-01
u2[4]     -1.344e-01 -3.491e-02  1.985e-02  7.477e-02  1.753e-01
u2[40]    -4.072e-01 -2.922e-01 -2.312e-01 -1.782e-01 -6.697e-02
u2[41]     3.461e-02  1.530e-01  2.140e-01  2.777e-01  3.975e-01
u2[42]    -9.200e-02  3.265e-02  9.579e-02  1.585e-01  2.832e-01
u2[43]    -2.698e-01 -1.486e-01 -9.013e-02 -2.538e-02  9.367e-02
u2[44]    -4.898e-01 -3.322e-01 -2.461e-01 -1.623e-01 -1.844e-03
u2[45]    -2.994e-01 -1.758e-01 -1.103e-01 -4.030e-02  9.050e-02
u2[46]    -5.045e-01 -4.063e-01 -3.507e-01 -2.987e-01 -1.917e-01
u2[47]    -1.979e-01 -9.323e-02 -4.049e-02  1.330e-02  1.161e-01
u2[48]    -5.702e-01 -2.251e-01 -4.559e-02  1.385e-01  4.959e-01
u2[49]    -9.310e-02 -1.063e-03  4.578e-02  9.129e-02  1.830e-01
u2[5]      8.413e-03  1.652e-01  2.428e-01  3.274e-01  4.771e-01
u2[50]    -4.688e-01 -3.584e-01 -3.007e-01 -2.425e-01 -1.330e-01
u2[51]    -2.383e-01 -1.136e-01 -5.074e-02  1.458e-02  1.362e-01
u2[52]     2.084e-01  3.231e-01  3.863e-01  4.477e-01  5.680e-01
u2[53]     5.581e-01  6.682e-01  7.263e-01  7.861e-01  8.980e-01
u2[54]    -9.750e-01 -6.891e-01 -5.519e-01 -4.132e-01 -1.578e-01
u2[55]     3.136e-01  4.395e-01  5.062e-01  5.760e-01  7.054e-01
u2[56]    -2.113e-01 -6.369e-02  1.251e-02  9.050e-02  2.376e-01
u2[57]    -1.443e-01 -2.635e-02  3.363e-02  9.702e-02  2.114e-01
u2[58]    -9.032e-02  6.196e-02  1.386e-01  2.185e-01  3.681e-01
u2[59]    -8.645e-01 -7.293e-01 -6.583e-01 -5.866e-01 -4.532e-01
u2[6]      3.850e-01  4.894e-01  5.456e-01  6.032e-01  7.119e-01
u2[60]     6.317e-02  1.724e-01  2.274e-01  2.833e-01  3.868e-01
u2[61]    -2.171e-01 -9.953e-02 -3.800e-02  2.214e-02  1.348e-01
u2[62]    -2.156e-01 -1.098e-01 -5.308e-02  5.658e-03  1.137e-01
u2[63]     2.854e-01  4.543e-01  5.408e-01  6.231e-01  7.859e-01
u2[64]    -9.261e-02  2.479e-02  8.890e-02  1.538e-01  2.746e-01
u2[65]    -3.206e-01 -2.190e-01 -1.656e-01 -1.092e-01 -3.608e-03
u2[7]      2.264e-01  3.302e-01  3.834e-01  4.354e-01  5.336e-01
u2[8]     -1.670e-01 -7.151e-02 -2.260e-02  2.773e-02  1.187e-01
u2[9]     -3.642e-01 -2.173e-01 -1.326e-01 -5.250e-02  1.029e-01

> sixway(mymodel[, "beta[1]", drop = FALSE])
> 
> # 25.3 Binomial hierarchical centering algorithm . . . . . . . . . . . . 408
> 
> # 25.4 Binomial example in practice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .410
> 
> ## Read bang1 data
> data(bang1, package = "R2MLwiN")
> 
> ## Define the model
> 
> 
> ## Hierarchical centring at level 2
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(logit(use) ~ 1 + age + lc + urban + (1 + urban | district), D = "Binomial", estoptions = list(EstM = 1, 
+   mcmcOptions = list(hcen = 2)), data = bang1))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3
iteration 4
iteration 5

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 2 1 1 2
RUNNING ADAPTIVE PROCEDURE AND BURNING IN...
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2314.127814
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2352.590359
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2325.740466
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2338.516369
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2327.594616
Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2321.903225
Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2333.654889
Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2330.068352
Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2334.301819
Adapting for 1000 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2320.297681
Adapting for 1100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2327.588245
Adapting for 1200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2349.451104
Adapting for 1300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2327.422487
Adapting for 1400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2315.284464
Adapting finished and took 1500 iterations
Adapting took 1500 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2321.660042
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2321.900522
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2349.090667
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2354.230055
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2310.614175
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2321.473823
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2321.263747
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2297.416289
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2343.749888
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2322.089100

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 2
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2319.439795
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.142277
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.616540
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.952866
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2357.755472
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.411334
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.455926
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.398195
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2331.632187
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2309.129213
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.773605
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2340.554599
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.197837
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.971643
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.863855
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2319.168652
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.339124
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2334.184041
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2316.154120
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2335.020722
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2311.616169
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.747272
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2324.299179
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2311.808121
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2325.844049
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.199013
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.870627
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2348.407910
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2337.706535
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2331.334610
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.770760
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.636766
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2325.612938
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.130258
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2288.190002
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.491221
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2335.324090
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.162461
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.191035
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2323.036925
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.079495
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2353.739202
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.749945
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.625123
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2353.678257
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2331.089233
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.833692
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2334.695653
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.216146
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2320.336154
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.712722
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.525123
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2323.544243
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2340.174466
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.808241
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2324.933117
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.758845
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.652998
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2344.015983
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2343.750630
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.086059
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.084748
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2308.505127
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2348.224051
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.284250
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.390159
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2314.443403
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2318.068758
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.502600
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.815485
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2356.315611
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.226257
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2324.152736
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.891181
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.139436
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.917833
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.051489
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2350.711223
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2345.027991
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2298.648957
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2340.062742
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.017643
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2319.345915
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.925549
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.390458
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2331.418633
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2345.773686
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2324.531450
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.787396
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2352.577495
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.919337
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.217425
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2309.633692
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.129625
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.241573
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.123824
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.269194
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2344.363637
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.470549
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2309.010898
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          2330.7
S.D.    =          13.854
S.E.M.  =         0.19592

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.09)  multilevel model (Binomial) 
          N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
district 60   2 32.23333 118         60            2      32.23333          118
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 7.08s 
Number of obs:  1934 (from total 1934)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
2330.668   2275.199   55.469     2386.137   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
logit(use) ~ 1 + age + lc + urban + (1 + urban | district)
Level 2: district     Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
                    Coef.   Std. Err.       z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
Intercept        -1.68377     0.14496  -11.62   3.444e-31  ***    -1.95289    -1.38328    82 
age              -0.02562     0.00751   -3.41    0.000651  ***    -0.04044    -0.01111   195 
lcOne_child       1.11909     0.15685    7.13   9.708e-13  ***     0.83976     1.43334   264 
lcTwo_children    1.34129     0.16866    7.95   1.829e-15  ***     0.98953     1.65697   129 
lcThree_plus      1.32658     0.16990    7.81   5.813e-15  ***     0.98216     1.64225    76 
urbanUrban        0.79524     0.16916    4.70   2.587e-06  ***     0.46641     1.13508   322 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the district level: 
                              Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
var_Intercept               0.40394     0.12824      0.21029     0.70237   228 
cov_Intercept_urbanUrban   -0.41194     0.17555     -0.83747    -0.15305   119 
var_urbanUrban              0.69366     0.32899      0.26363     1.54801    84 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
                Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_bcons_1   1.00000       1e-05      1.00000     1.00000   5000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> trajectories(mymodel)
dev.new(): using pdf(file="Rplots6.pdf")
> 
> ## Hierarchical centring at level 2 + Orthogonal updates
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(logit(use) ~ 1 + age + lc + urban + (1 + urban | district), D = "Binomial", estoptions = list(EstM = 1, 
+   mcmcOptions = list(hcen = 2, orth = 1)), data = bang1))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3
iteration 4
iteration 5

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 2 1 1 2
RUNNING ADAPTIVE PROCEDURE AND BURNING IN...
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2308.721422
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2336.874316
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2325.480043
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2334.554574
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2363.757482
Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2342.068702
Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2328.148115
Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2324.767405
Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2342.674356
Adapting for 1000 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2334.206929
Adapting for 1100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2333.248901
Adapting finished and took 1200 iterations
Adapting took 1200 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2343.444526
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2332.273840
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2312.193210
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2341.990966
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2347.931881
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2309.445406
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2320.641457
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2339.306158
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2331.413964
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2341.142032

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 2
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.375666
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2328.037908
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2342.738050
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2315.319670
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.698566
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2309.237246
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.196161
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2350.646607
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2340.523375
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2344.961265
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.124251
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.780443
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2325.791956
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2318.344078
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.179271
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.988700
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2297.878714
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.295991
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.952961
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2308.709815
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2337.038883
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.967539
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.726219
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.066759
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.393603
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.285874
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2345.981343
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.082488
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2331.186210
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.268998
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2343.160697
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2302.405753
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2311.746193
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.841164
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2343.818510
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.861423
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2351.201664
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2335.974408
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.362310
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.728514
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2325.061475
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2344.526622
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2347.455825
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.734158
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2333.744298
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.578771
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.154588
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.413023
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.173148
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2339.524758
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.926617
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2308.283974
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2358.302951
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.866386
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.607411
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2306.678562
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.259704
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.212829
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2334.992363
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2346.716958
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2337.727088
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2323.283233
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2339.504611
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.824013
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.444132
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2335.252015
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2329.387850
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.648424
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2344.912598
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2308.170707
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2335.843524
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.650023
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.579329
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2331.762698
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2316.796308
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.051283
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2369.325114
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2310.403739
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.227278
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.283093
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2326.537062
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2310.616224
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2336.136684
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.004325
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2341.596875
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2317.530907
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.729517
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2322.585916
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2321.791486
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.503473
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2332.432802
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2343.540505
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2327.426845
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2356.990440
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2338.023573
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2316.119634
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2309.684994
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2330.322072
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2309.400785
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 2311.261947
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          2329.7
S.D.    =          13.637
S.E.M.  =         0.19286

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.09)  multilevel model (Binomial) 
          N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
district 60   2 32.23333 118         60            2      32.23333          118
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 7.36s 
Number of obs:  1934 (from total 1934)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
2329.693   2274.093   55.601     2385.294   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
logit(use) ~ 1 + age + lc + urban + (1 + urban | district)
Level 2: district     Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
                    Coef.   Std. Err.       z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
Intercept        -1.72031     0.15984  -10.76   5.173e-27  ***    -2.02722    -1.40997    483 
age              -0.02651     0.00792   -3.35   0.0008162  ***    -0.04261    -0.01147   1136 
lcOne_child       1.14197     0.15836    7.21   5.543e-13  ***     0.83660     1.44117   1035 
lcTwo_children    1.36558     0.17477    7.81   5.559e-15  ***     1.02770     1.71322   1078 
lcThree_plus      1.36530     0.18173    7.51   5.789e-14  ***     1.01207     1.71235    911 
urbanUrban        0.81124     0.17151    4.73   2.245e-06  ***     0.46726     1.15415    214 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the district level: 
                              Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]   ESS 
var_Intercept               0.41132     0.13099      0.19730     0.70484   238 
cov_Intercept_urbanUrban   -0.40136     0.16606     -0.77090    -0.13197   122 
var_urbanUrban              0.66298     0.29277      0.25760     1.37158    85 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
                Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_bcons_1   1.00000       1e-05      1.00000     1.00000   5000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> trajectories(mymodel)
dev.new(): using pdf(file="Rplots7.pdf")
> 
> # 25.5 The Melanoma example . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .414
> 
> ## Read mmmec data
> data(mmmec, package = "R2MLwiN")
> 
> ## Define the model Hierarchical centring at level 2
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(log(obs) ~ 0 + nation + nation:uvbi + offset(log(exp)) + (1 | region), D = "Poisson", estoptions = list(EstM = 1, 
+   mcmcMeth = list(iterations = 50000), mcmcOptions = list(hcen = 2)), data = mmmec))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3
iteration 4

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 2 1 1 3
RUNNING ADAPTIVE PROCEDURE AND BURNING IN...
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2031.987534
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2032.844250
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2016.322951
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2011.985280
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2039.563306
Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2046.714044
Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2023.520060
Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2017.636548
Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2019.929023
Adapting for 1000 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2042.248975
Adapting finished and took 1100 iterations
Adapting took 1100 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2028.450051
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2017.691646
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2017.959743
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2035.357063
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2029.765501
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2009.340326
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2023.342776
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2026.279342
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2030.557917
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2020.883554

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 50000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 3
Actual update 50 of 50000, Stored update 50 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.975932
Actual update 100 of 50000, Stored update 100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.989840
Actual update 150 of 50000, Stored update 150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.826905
Actual update 200 of 50000, Stored update 200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.751490
Actual update 250 of 50000, Stored update 250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.128706
Actual update 300 of 50000, Stored update 300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.340979
Actual update 350 of 50000, Stored update 350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.868845
Actual update 400 of 50000, Stored update 400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.520280
Actual update 450 of 50000, Stored update 450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.374130
Actual update 500 of 50000, Stored update 500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.250517
Actual update 550 of 50000, Stored update 550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.603000
Actual update 600 of 50000, Stored update 600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.428369
Actual update 650 of 50000, Stored update 650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.008858
Actual update 700 of 50000, Stored update 700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.555945
Actual update 750 of 50000, Stored update 750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.207422
Actual update 800 of 50000, Stored update 800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.437081
Actual update 850 of 50000, Stored update 850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.994256
Actual update 900 of 50000, Stored update 900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.220041
Actual update 950 of 50000, Stored update 950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.647525
Actual update 1000 of 50000, Stored update 1000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.700096
Actual update 1050 of 50000, Stored update 1050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.126895
Actual update 1100 of 50000, Stored update 1100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.246898
Actual update 1150 of 50000, Stored update 1150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.979352
Actual update 1200 of 50000, Stored update 1200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.155617
Actual update 1250 of 50000, Stored update 1250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.243253
Actual update 1300 of 50000, Stored update 1300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.465668
Actual update 1350 of 50000, Stored update 1350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.958762
Actual update 1400 of 50000, Stored update 1400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.492654
Actual update 1450 of 50000, Stored update 1450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.750697
Actual update 1500 of 50000, Stored update 1500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.377536
Actual update 1550 of 50000, Stored update 1550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.032293
Actual update 1600 of 50000, Stored update 1600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.214998
Actual update 1650 of 50000, Stored update 1650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.692068
Actual update 1700 of 50000, Stored update 1700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.105310
Actual update 1750 of 50000, Stored update 1750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.593575
Actual update 1800 of 50000, Stored update 1800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.241574
Actual update 1850 of 50000, Stored update 1850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.911370
Actual update 1900 of 50000, Stored update 1900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.734920
Actual update 1950 of 50000, Stored update 1950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.373527
Actual update 2000 of 50000, Stored update 2000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.763361
Actual update 2050 of 50000, Stored update 2050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.601545
Actual update 2100 of 50000, Stored update 2100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.993759
Actual update 2150 of 50000, Stored update 2150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.487595
Actual update 2200 of 50000, Stored update 2200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.136053
Actual update 2250 of 50000, Stored update 2250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.224520
Actual update 2300 of 50000, Stored update 2300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.214875
Actual update 2350 of 50000, Stored update 2350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.678732
Actual update 2400 of 50000, Stored update 2400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.681751
Actual update 2450 of 50000, Stored update 2450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.794453
Actual update 2500 of 50000, Stored update 2500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.303788
Actual update 2550 of 50000, Stored update 2550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.243127
Actual update 2600 of 50000, Stored update 2600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.730685
Actual update 2650 of 50000, Stored update 2650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.086486
Actual update 2700 of 50000, Stored update 2700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.175676
Actual update 2750 of 50000, Stored update 2750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.242378
Actual update 2800 of 50000, Stored update 2800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.458469
Actual update 2850 of 50000, Stored update 2850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.979302
Actual update 2900 of 50000, Stored update 2900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.801701
Actual update 2950 of 50000, Stored update 2950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.372756
Actual update 3000 of 50000, Stored update 3000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.735372
Actual update 3050 of 50000, Stored update 3050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.360229
Actual update 3100 of 50000, Stored update 3100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.849092
Actual update 3150 of 50000, Stored update 3150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.200220
Actual update 3200 of 50000, Stored update 3200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.596083
Actual update 3250 of 50000, Stored update 3250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1994.987096
Actual update 3300 of 50000, Stored update 3300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.416231
Actual update 3350 of 50000, Stored update 3350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.292356
Actual update 3400 of 50000, Stored update 3400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.242811
Actual update 3450 of 50000, Stored update 3450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.151670
Actual update 3500 of 50000, Stored update 3500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.783886
Actual update 3550 of 50000, Stored update 3550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.701857
Actual update 3600 of 50000, Stored update 3600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.858805
Actual update 3650 of 50000, Stored update 3650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.902282
Actual update 3700 of 50000, Stored update 3700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.716780
Actual update 3750 of 50000, Stored update 3750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.528075
Actual update 3800 of 50000, Stored update 3800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.199783
Actual update 3850 of 50000, Stored update 3850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.199582
Actual update 3900 of 50000, Stored update 3900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.255062
Actual update 3950 of 50000, Stored update 3950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.252715
Actual update 4000 of 50000, Stored update 4000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.917472
Actual update 4050 of 50000, Stored update 4050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.737948
Actual update 4100 of 50000, Stored update 4100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.150085
Actual update 4150 of 50000, Stored update 4150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.284285
Actual update 4200 of 50000, Stored update 4200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.726288
Actual update 4250 of 50000, Stored update 4250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.639819
Actual update 4300 of 50000, Stored update 4300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.913083
Actual update 4350 of 50000, Stored update 4350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.837136
Actual update 4400 of 50000, Stored update 4400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.669435
Actual update 4450 of 50000, Stored update 4450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.975631
Actual update 4500 of 50000, Stored update 4500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.553634
Actual update 4550 of 50000, Stored update 4550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.910693
Actual update 4600 of 50000, Stored update 4600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.334911
Actual update 4650 of 50000, Stored update 4650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.029661
Actual update 4700 of 50000, Stored update 4700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.241683
Actual update 4750 of 50000, Stored update 4750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.719809
Actual update 4800 of 50000, Stored update 4800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.409514
Actual update 4850 of 50000, Stored update 4850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.684006
Actual update 4900 of 50000, Stored update 4900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.569997
Actual update 4950 of 50000, Stored update 4950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.057779
Actual update 5000 of 50000, Stored update 5000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.174963
Actual update 5050 of 50000, Stored update 5050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.707650
Actual update 5100 of 50000, Stored update 5100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.596081
Actual update 5150 of 50000, Stored update 5150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.608626
Actual update 5200 of 50000, Stored update 5200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.852054
Actual update 5250 of 50000, Stored update 5250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.541173
Actual update 5300 of 50000, Stored update 5300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.796702
Actual update 5350 of 50000, Stored update 5350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.750734
Actual update 5400 of 50000, Stored update 5400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.047933
Actual update 5450 of 50000, Stored update 5450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.544695
Actual update 5500 of 50000, Stored update 5500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.533077
Actual update 5550 of 50000, Stored update 5550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.619537
Actual update 5600 of 50000, Stored update 5600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.267098
Actual update 5650 of 50000, Stored update 5650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.080095
Actual update 5700 of 50000, Stored update 5700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.666401
Actual update 5750 of 50000, Stored update 5750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.266001
Actual update 5800 of 50000, Stored update 5800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.834928
Actual update 5850 of 50000, Stored update 5850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.425232
Actual update 5900 of 50000, Stored update 5900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.614759
Actual update 5950 of 50000, Stored update 5950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.610243
Actual update 6000 of 50000, Stored update 6000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.513792
Actual update 6050 of 50000, Stored update 6050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.290496
Actual update 6100 of 50000, Stored update 6100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.574664
Actual update 6150 of 50000, Stored update 6150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.936823
Actual update 6200 of 50000, Stored update 6200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.636179
Actual update 6250 of 50000, Stored update 6250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.885053
Actual update 6300 of 50000, Stored update 6300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.508609
Actual update 6350 of 50000, Stored update 6350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.481966
Actual update 6400 of 50000, Stored update 6400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.189737
Actual update 6450 of 50000, Stored update 6450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.257504
Actual update 6500 of 50000, Stored update 6500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.612349
Actual update 6550 of 50000, Stored update 6550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.961356
Actual update 6600 of 50000, Stored update 6600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.614300
Actual update 6650 of 50000, Stored update 6650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.534776
Actual update 6700 of 50000, Stored update 6700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.619567
Actual update 6750 of 50000, Stored update 6750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.494665
Actual update 6800 of 50000, Stored update 6800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.023806
Actual update 6850 of 50000, Stored update 6850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.234925
Actual update 6900 of 50000, Stored update 6900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.661197
Actual update 6950 of 50000, Stored update 6950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.019524
Actual update 7000 of 50000, Stored update 7000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.357740
Actual update 7050 of 50000, Stored update 7050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.299312
Actual update 7100 of 50000, Stored update 7100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.569992
Actual update 7150 of 50000, Stored update 7150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.580654
Actual update 7200 of 50000, Stored update 7200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.112260
Actual update 7250 of 50000, Stored update 7250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.068508
Actual update 7300 of 50000, Stored update 7300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.859385
Actual update 7350 of 50000, Stored update 7350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.894907
Actual update 7400 of 50000, Stored update 7400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.501485
Actual update 7450 of 50000, Stored update 7450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.217558
Actual update 7500 of 50000, Stored update 7500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.236229
Actual update 7550 of 50000, Stored update 7550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.555142
Actual update 7600 of 50000, Stored update 7600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.976449
Actual update 7650 of 50000, Stored update 7650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.441639
Actual update 7700 of 50000, Stored update 7700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.389604
Actual update 7750 of 50000, Stored update 7750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.936904
Actual update 7800 of 50000, Stored update 7800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.838448
Actual update 7850 of 50000, Stored update 7850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.824228
Actual update 7900 of 50000, Stored update 7900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.739171
Actual update 7950 of 50000, Stored update 7950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.413581
Actual update 8000 of 50000, Stored update 8000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2060.023061
Actual update 8050 of 50000, Stored update 8050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.161643
Actual update 8100 of 50000, Stored update 8100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.284900
Actual update 8150 of 50000, Stored update 8150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.213246
Actual update 8200 of 50000, Stored update 8200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.327323
Actual update 8250 of 50000, Stored update 8250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.867623
Actual update 8300 of 50000, Stored update 8300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.963670
Actual update 8350 of 50000, Stored update 8350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.208052
Actual update 8400 of 50000, Stored update 8400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.204980
Actual update 8450 of 50000, Stored update 8450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.237154
Actual update 8500 of 50000, Stored update 8500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.423579
Actual update 8550 of 50000, Stored update 8550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1999.343246
Actual update 8600 of 50000, Stored update 8600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.892127
Actual update 8650 of 50000, Stored update 8650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.865372
Actual update 8700 of 50000, Stored update 8700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.849279
Actual update 8750 of 50000, Stored update 8750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.045213
Actual update 8800 of 50000, Stored update 8800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.289801
Actual update 8850 of 50000, Stored update 8850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.937911
Actual update 8900 of 50000, Stored update 8900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.865580
Actual update 8950 of 50000, Stored update 8950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.869696
Actual update 9000 of 50000, Stored update 9000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.556432
Actual update 9050 of 50000, Stored update 9050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.990930
Actual update 9100 of 50000, Stored update 9100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.501294
Actual update 9150 of 50000, Stored update 9150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.933331
Actual update 9200 of 50000, Stored update 9200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.583625
Actual update 9250 of 50000, Stored update 9250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.942515
Actual update 9300 of 50000, Stored update 9300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.203156
Actual update 9350 of 50000, Stored update 9350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.608144
Actual update 9400 of 50000, Stored update 9400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.707791
Actual update 9450 of 50000, Stored update 9450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.058252
Actual update 9500 of 50000, Stored update 9500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.514273
Actual update 9550 of 50000, Stored update 9550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.079675
Actual update 9600 of 50000, Stored update 9600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.705981
Actual update 9650 of 50000, Stored update 9650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.788434
Actual update 9700 of 50000, Stored update 9700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.612933
Actual update 9750 of 50000, Stored update 9750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.851210
Actual update 9800 of 50000, Stored update 9800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.692355
Actual update 9850 of 50000, Stored update 9850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.052186
Actual update 9900 of 50000, Stored update 9900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.222476
Actual update 9950 of 50000, Stored update 9950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.270716
Actual update 10000 of 50000, Stored update 10000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.479445
Actual update 10050 of 50000, Stored update 10050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.603328
Actual update 10100 of 50000, Stored update 10100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.545493
Actual update 10150 of 50000, Stored update 10150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.466743
Actual update 10200 of 50000, Stored update 10200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.769189
Actual update 10250 of 50000, Stored update 10250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.956752
Actual update 10300 of 50000, Stored update 10300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.459034
Actual update 10350 of 50000, Stored update 10350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.632989
Actual update 10400 of 50000, Stored update 10400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.369008
Actual update 10450 of 50000, Stored update 10450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.704388
Actual update 10500 of 50000, Stored update 10500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.263381
Actual update 10550 of 50000, Stored update 10550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.616042
Actual update 10600 of 50000, Stored update 10600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.032326
Actual update 10650 of 50000, Stored update 10650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.068538
Actual update 10700 of 50000, Stored update 10700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.602154
Actual update 10750 of 50000, Stored update 10750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.379864
Actual update 10800 of 50000, Stored update 10800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.488828
Actual update 10850 of 50000, Stored update 10850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.495870
Actual update 10900 of 50000, Stored update 10900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.698108
Actual update 10950 of 50000, Stored update 10950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.065854
Actual update 11000 of 50000, Stored update 11000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.677557
Actual update 11050 of 50000, Stored update 11050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.579621
Actual update 11100 of 50000, Stored update 11100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.294675
Actual update 11150 of 50000, Stored update 11150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.942273
Actual update 11200 of 50000, Stored update 11200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.789593
Actual update 11250 of 50000, Stored update 11250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.733223
Actual update 11300 of 50000, Stored update 11300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.603384
Actual update 11350 of 50000, Stored update 11350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.746455
Actual update 11400 of 50000, Stored update 11400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.867715
Actual update 11450 of 50000, Stored update 11450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.680521
Actual update 11500 of 50000, Stored update 11500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.130041
Actual update 11550 of 50000, Stored update 11550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.326572
Actual update 11600 of 50000, Stored update 11600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.558511
Actual update 11650 of 50000, Stored update 11650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.924869
Actual update 11700 of 50000, Stored update 11700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2059.096630
Actual update 11750 of 50000, Stored update 11750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.748359
Actual update 11800 of 50000, Stored update 11800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.471414
Actual update 11850 of 50000, Stored update 11850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.793058
Actual update 11900 of 50000, Stored update 11900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.640354
Actual update 11950 of 50000, Stored update 11950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.091972
Actual update 12000 of 50000, Stored update 12000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.935879
Actual update 12050 of 50000, Stored update 12050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.231474
Actual update 12100 of 50000, Stored update 12100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.367273
Actual update 12150 of 50000, Stored update 12150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.156361
Actual update 12200 of 50000, Stored update 12200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.398886
Actual update 12250 of 50000, Stored update 12250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.515733
Actual update 12300 of 50000, Stored update 12300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.164455
Actual update 12350 of 50000, Stored update 12350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.446031
Actual update 12400 of 50000, Stored update 12400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.331341
Actual update 12450 of 50000, Stored update 12450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.896052
Actual update 12500 of 50000, Stored update 12500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.303738
Actual update 12550 of 50000, Stored update 12550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.714647
Actual update 12600 of 50000, Stored update 12600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.124650
Actual update 12650 of 50000, Stored update 12650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.074512
Actual update 12700 of 50000, Stored update 12700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.767681
Actual update 12750 of 50000, Stored update 12750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.140554
Actual update 12800 of 50000, Stored update 12800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.252120
Actual update 12850 of 50000, Stored update 12850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.525061
Actual update 12900 of 50000, Stored update 12900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.078305
Actual update 12950 of 50000, Stored update 12950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.561923
Actual update 13000 of 50000, Stored update 13000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.606458
Actual update 13050 of 50000, Stored update 13050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.880887
Actual update 13100 of 50000, Stored update 13100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.526367
Actual update 13150 of 50000, Stored update 13150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.179062
Actual update 13200 of 50000, Stored update 13200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.135475
Actual update 13250 of 50000, Stored update 13250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.571460
Actual update 13300 of 50000, Stored update 13300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.161728
Actual update 13350 of 50000, Stored update 13350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.086002
Actual update 13400 of 50000, Stored update 13400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.059920
Actual update 13450 of 50000, Stored update 13450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.749048
Actual update 13500 of 50000, Stored update 13500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.120426
Actual update 13550 of 50000, Stored update 13550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.467306
Actual update 13600 of 50000, Stored update 13600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.275340
Actual update 13650 of 50000, Stored update 13650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.671087
Actual update 13700 of 50000, Stored update 13700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.173968
Actual update 13750 of 50000, Stored update 13750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2063.390485
Actual update 13800 of 50000, Stored update 13800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.624601
Actual update 13850 of 50000, Stored update 13850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.345548
Actual update 13900 of 50000, Stored update 13900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.714529
Actual update 13950 of 50000, Stored update 13950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.264555
Actual update 14000 of 50000, Stored update 14000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.843230
Actual update 14050 of 50000, Stored update 14050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.821897
Actual update 14100 of 50000, Stored update 14100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.458019
Actual update 14150 of 50000, Stored update 14150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.989624
Actual update 14200 of 50000, Stored update 14200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.909731
Actual update 14250 of 50000, Stored update 14250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.892520
Actual update 14300 of 50000, Stored update 14300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.907806
Actual update 14350 of 50000, Stored update 14350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.453681
Actual update 14400 of 50000, Stored update 14400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.877313
Actual update 14450 of 50000, Stored update 14450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.044935
Actual update 14500 of 50000, Stored update 14500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.133224
Actual update 14550 of 50000, Stored update 14550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.550187
Actual update 14600 of 50000, Stored update 14600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.194961
Actual update 14650 of 50000, Stored update 14650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1998.190854
Actual update 14700 of 50000, Stored update 14700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.239325
Actual update 14750 of 50000, Stored update 14750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.297938
Actual update 14800 of 50000, Stored update 14800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.642992
Actual update 14850 of 50000, Stored update 14850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.931228
Actual update 14900 of 50000, Stored update 14900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1994.202078
Actual update 14950 of 50000, Stored update 14950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.838674
Actual update 15000 of 50000, Stored update 15000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.149466
Actual update 15050 of 50000, Stored update 15050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.955403
Actual update 15100 of 50000, Stored update 15100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.805086
Actual update 15150 of 50000, Stored update 15150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.001042
Actual update 15200 of 50000, Stored update 15200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.722002
Actual update 15250 of 50000, Stored update 15250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.075447
Actual update 15300 of 50000, Stored update 15300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.356511
Actual update 15350 of 50000, Stored update 15350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.714483
Actual update 15400 of 50000, Stored update 15400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.525307
Actual update 15450 of 50000, Stored update 15450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.659540
Actual update 15500 of 50000, Stored update 15500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.805846
Actual update 15550 of 50000, Stored update 15550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.559045
Actual update 15600 of 50000, Stored update 15600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.295344
Actual update 15650 of 50000, Stored update 15650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.806294
Actual update 15700 of 50000, Stored update 15700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.164257
Actual update 15750 of 50000, Stored update 15750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.631712
Actual update 15800 of 50000, Stored update 15800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.485827
Actual update 15850 of 50000, Stored update 15850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.107975
Actual update 15900 of 50000, Stored update 15900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.197504
Actual update 15950 of 50000, Stored update 15950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.658180
Actual update 16000 of 50000, Stored update 16000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.557007
Actual update 16050 of 50000, Stored update 16050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.730393
Actual update 16100 of 50000, Stored update 16100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.135873
Actual update 16150 of 50000, Stored update 16150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.984520
Actual update 16200 of 50000, Stored update 16200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.437856
Actual update 16250 of 50000, Stored update 16250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.550096
Actual update 16300 of 50000, Stored update 16300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.354692
Actual update 16350 of 50000, Stored update 16350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.520562
Actual update 16400 of 50000, Stored update 16400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.210563
Actual update 16450 of 50000, Stored update 16450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.140667
Actual update 16500 of 50000, Stored update 16500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.060370
Actual update 16550 of 50000, Stored update 16550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.950199
Actual update 16600 of 50000, Stored update 16600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.229606
Actual update 16650 of 50000, Stored update 16650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.925753
Actual update 16700 of 50000, Stored update 16700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.920903
Actual update 16750 of 50000, Stored update 16750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.838082
Actual update 16800 of 50000, Stored update 16800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.948087
Actual update 16850 of 50000, Stored update 16850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.850743
Actual update 16900 of 50000, Stored update 16900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.996073
Actual update 16950 of 50000, Stored update 16950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.585035
Actual update 17000 of 50000, Stored update 17000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.412087
Actual update 17050 of 50000, Stored update 17050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.049898
Actual update 17100 of 50000, Stored update 17100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.938453
Actual update 17150 of 50000, Stored update 17150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.808681
Actual update 17200 of 50000, Stored update 17200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.060339
Actual update 17250 of 50000, Stored update 17250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.683869
Actual update 17300 of 50000, Stored update 17300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.326278
Actual update 17350 of 50000, Stored update 17350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.083307
Actual update 17400 of 50000, Stored update 17400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.420640
Actual update 17450 of 50000, Stored update 17450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.095849
Actual update 17500 of 50000, Stored update 17500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.751905
Actual update 17550 of 50000, Stored update 17550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.865493
Actual update 17600 of 50000, Stored update 17600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.750257
Actual update 17650 of 50000, Stored update 17650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.622938
Actual update 17700 of 50000, Stored update 17700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.563096
Actual update 17750 of 50000, Stored update 17750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.568528
Actual update 17800 of 50000, Stored update 17800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.344145
Actual update 17850 of 50000, Stored update 17850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.977848
Actual update 17900 of 50000, Stored update 17900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.947604
Actual update 17950 of 50000, Stored update 17950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.857651
Actual update 18000 of 50000, Stored update 18000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.108255
Actual update 18050 of 50000, Stored update 18050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.982940
Actual update 18100 of 50000, Stored update 18100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.389563
Actual update 18150 of 50000, Stored update 18150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.177657
Actual update 18200 of 50000, Stored update 18200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.702669
Actual update 18250 of 50000, Stored update 18250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.642264
Actual update 18300 of 50000, Stored update 18300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.295830
Actual update 18350 of 50000, Stored update 18350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.163793
Actual update 18400 of 50000, Stored update 18400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.290392
Actual update 18450 of 50000, Stored update 18450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.926110
Actual update 18500 of 50000, Stored update 18500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.143697
Actual update 18550 of 50000, Stored update 18550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.649734
Actual update 18600 of 50000, Stored update 18600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.710186
Actual update 18650 of 50000, Stored update 18650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.005355
Actual update 18700 of 50000, Stored update 18700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.733747
Actual update 18750 of 50000, Stored update 18750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.137441
Actual update 18800 of 50000, Stored update 18800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.264843
Actual update 18850 of 50000, Stored update 18850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.679087
Actual update 18900 of 50000, Stored update 18900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.207321
Actual update 18950 of 50000, Stored update 18950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.060979
Actual update 19000 of 50000, Stored update 19000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.247995
Actual update 19050 of 50000, Stored update 19050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.957305
Actual update 19100 of 50000, Stored update 19100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.510089
Actual update 19150 of 50000, Stored update 19150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.739923
Actual update 19200 of 50000, Stored update 19200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.289143
Actual update 19250 of 50000, Stored update 19250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.965479
Actual update 19300 of 50000, Stored update 19300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.926409
Actual update 19350 of 50000, Stored update 19350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.731872
Actual update 19400 of 50000, Stored update 19400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.033855
Actual update 19450 of 50000, Stored update 19450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.020736
Actual update 19500 of 50000, Stored update 19500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.302064
Actual update 19550 of 50000, Stored update 19550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.209528
Actual update 19600 of 50000, Stored update 19600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1997.507736
Actual update 19650 of 50000, Stored update 19650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.426108
Actual update 19700 of 50000, Stored update 19700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.917933
Actual update 19750 of 50000, Stored update 19750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.416503
Actual update 19800 of 50000, Stored update 19800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.769477
Actual update 19850 of 50000, Stored update 19850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.756436
Actual update 19900 of 50000, Stored update 19900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.827582
Actual update 19950 of 50000, Stored update 19950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.080373
Actual update 20000 of 50000, Stored update 20000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.485665
Actual update 20050 of 50000, Stored update 20050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.231300
Actual update 20100 of 50000, Stored update 20100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.507858
Actual update 20150 of 50000, Stored update 20150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.215663
Actual update 20200 of 50000, Stored update 20200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.809828
Actual update 20250 of 50000, Stored update 20250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.297791
Actual update 20300 of 50000, Stored update 20300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2063.629027
Actual update 20350 of 50000, Stored update 20350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.013628
Actual update 20400 of 50000, Stored update 20400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.266319
Actual update 20450 of 50000, Stored update 20450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.316515
Actual update 20500 of 50000, Stored update 20500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.428376
Actual update 20550 of 50000, Stored update 20550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.759185
Actual update 20600 of 50000, Stored update 20600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.161036
Actual update 20650 of 50000, Stored update 20650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.037977
Actual update 20700 of 50000, Stored update 20700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.431600
Actual update 20750 of 50000, Stored update 20750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.907958
Actual update 20800 of 50000, Stored update 20800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.239008
Actual update 20850 of 50000, Stored update 20850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.724576
Actual update 20900 of 50000, Stored update 20900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.819459
Actual update 20950 of 50000, Stored update 20950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.026385
Actual update 21000 of 50000, Stored update 21000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.736669
Actual update 21050 of 50000, Stored update 21050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2061.581706
Actual update 21100 of 50000, Stored update 21100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.440256
Actual update 21150 of 50000, Stored update 21150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.097781
Actual update 21200 of 50000, Stored update 21200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.172996
Actual update 21250 of 50000, Stored update 21250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.450720
Actual update 21300 of 50000, Stored update 21300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.227003
Actual update 21350 of 50000, Stored update 21350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.374380
Actual update 21400 of 50000, Stored update 21400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.706522
Actual update 21450 of 50000, Stored update 21450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.268455
Actual update 21500 of 50000, Stored update 21500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.130615
Actual update 21550 of 50000, Stored update 21550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.467468
Actual update 21600 of 50000, Stored update 21600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.814764
Actual update 21650 of 50000, Stored update 21650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.964977
Actual update 21700 of 50000, Stored update 21700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.785906
Actual update 21750 of 50000, Stored update 21750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.849757
Actual update 21800 of 50000, Stored update 21800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.918580
Actual update 21850 of 50000, Stored update 21850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.579799
Actual update 21900 of 50000, Stored update 21900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.896578
Actual update 21950 of 50000, Stored update 21950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.169157
Actual update 22000 of 50000, Stored update 22000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.305604
Actual update 22050 of 50000, Stored update 22050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.880568
Actual update 22100 of 50000, Stored update 22100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.921778
Actual update 22150 of 50000, Stored update 22150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.161936
Actual update 22200 of 50000, Stored update 22200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.426634
Actual update 22250 of 50000, Stored update 22250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.338774
Actual update 22300 of 50000, Stored update 22300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.225327
Actual update 22350 of 50000, Stored update 22350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.999739
Actual update 22400 of 50000, Stored update 22400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.274725
Actual update 22450 of 50000, Stored update 22450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.091708
Actual update 22500 of 50000, Stored update 22500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.087093
Actual update 22550 of 50000, Stored update 22550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.389468
Actual update 22600 of 50000, Stored update 22600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.259783
Actual update 22650 of 50000, Stored update 22650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.311565
Actual update 22700 of 50000, Stored update 22700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.120219
Actual update 22750 of 50000, Stored update 22750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.624333
Actual update 22800 of 50000, Stored update 22800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.717217
Actual update 22850 of 50000, Stored update 22850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.860936
Actual update 22900 of 50000, Stored update 22900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.145605
Actual update 22950 of 50000, Stored update 22950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.335721
Actual update 23000 of 50000, Stored update 23000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.721862
Actual update 23050 of 50000, Stored update 23050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.924086
Actual update 23100 of 50000, Stored update 23100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.178230
Actual update 23150 of 50000, Stored update 23150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.986037
Actual update 23200 of 50000, Stored update 23200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.425867
Actual update 23250 of 50000, Stored update 23250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.766341
Actual update 23300 of 50000, Stored update 23300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.702174
Actual update 23350 of 50000, Stored update 23350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.455241
Actual update 23400 of 50000, Stored update 23400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.972995
Actual update 23450 of 50000, Stored update 23450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.737229
Actual update 23500 of 50000, Stored update 23500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.970900
Actual update 23550 of 50000, Stored update 23550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.698800
Actual update 23600 of 50000, Stored update 23600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.586066
Actual update 23650 of 50000, Stored update 23650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.779823
Actual update 23700 of 50000, Stored update 23700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.220316
Actual update 23750 of 50000, Stored update 23750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.029742
Actual update 23800 of 50000, Stored update 23800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.338039
Actual update 23850 of 50000, Stored update 23850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.655287
Actual update 23900 of 50000, Stored update 23900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.250199
Actual update 23950 of 50000, Stored update 23950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.761659
Actual update 24000 of 50000, Stored update 24000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.177328
Actual update 24050 of 50000, Stored update 24050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.167342
Actual update 24100 of 50000, Stored update 24100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.477316
Actual update 24150 of 50000, Stored update 24150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.834196
Actual update 24200 of 50000, Stored update 24200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.415561
Actual update 24250 of 50000, Stored update 24250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.868750
Actual update 24300 of 50000, Stored update 24300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.373398
Actual update 24350 of 50000, Stored update 24350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.469833
Actual update 24400 of 50000, Stored update 24400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.931372
Actual update 24450 of 50000, Stored update 24450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.387195
Actual update 24500 of 50000, Stored update 24500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1997.997457
Actual update 24550 of 50000, Stored update 24550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.576670
Actual update 24600 of 50000, Stored update 24600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.407376
Actual update 24650 of 50000, Stored update 24650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.148395
Actual update 24700 of 50000, Stored update 24700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.645954
Actual update 24750 of 50000, Stored update 24750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.589519
Actual update 24800 of 50000, Stored update 24800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.788914
Actual update 24850 of 50000, Stored update 24850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.552050
Actual update 24900 of 50000, Stored update 24900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.496103
Actual update 24950 of 50000, Stored update 24950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.842498
Actual update 25000 of 50000, Stored update 25000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.746526
Actual update 25050 of 50000, Stored update 25050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.131254
Actual update 25100 of 50000, Stored update 25100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.530226
Actual update 25150 of 50000, Stored update 25150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.985859
Actual update 25200 of 50000, Stored update 25200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.434413
Actual update 25250 of 50000, Stored update 25250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.828968
Actual update 25300 of 50000, Stored update 25300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.432625
Actual update 25350 of 50000, Stored update 25350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.464052
Actual update 25400 of 50000, Stored update 25400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.001286
Actual update 25450 of 50000, Stored update 25450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.083015
Actual update 25500 of 50000, Stored update 25500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.060398
Actual update 25550 of 50000, Stored update 25550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.180389
Actual update 25600 of 50000, Stored update 25600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.404479
Actual update 25650 of 50000, Stored update 25650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.403357
Actual update 25700 of 50000, Stored update 25700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.143152
Actual update 25750 of 50000, Stored update 25750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.803135
Actual update 25800 of 50000, Stored update 25800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1995.560029
Actual update 25850 of 50000, Stored update 25850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.801374
Actual update 25900 of 50000, Stored update 25900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.541483
Actual update 25950 of 50000, Stored update 25950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.333403
Actual update 26000 of 50000, Stored update 26000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.775729
Actual update 26050 of 50000, Stored update 26050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.828798
Actual update 26100 of 50000, Stored update 26100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.568102
Actual update 26150 of 50000, Stored update 26150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.438678
Actual update 26200 of 50000, Stored update 26200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.889114
Actual update 26250 of 50000, Stored update 26250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.295095
Actual update 26300 of 50000, Stored update 26300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.216395
Actual update 26350 of 50000, Stored update 26350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.709303
Actual update 26400 of 50000, Stored update 26400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.828443
Actual update 26450 of 50000, Stored update 26450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.053724
Actual update 26500 of 50000, Stored update 26500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.913096
Actual update 26550 of 50000, Stored update 26550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.498878
Actual update 26600 of 50000, Stored update 26600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.117734
Actual update 26650 of 50000, Stored update 26650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.652875
Actual update 26700 of 50000, Stored update 26700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.250438
Actual update 26750 of 50000, Stored update 26750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.537696
Actual update 26800 of 50000, Stored update 26800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.681017
Actual update 26850 of 50000, Stored update 26850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.628295
Actual update 26900 of 50000, Stored update 26900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.449240
Actual update 26950 of 50000, Stored update 26950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.919273
Actual update 27000 of 50000, Stored update 27000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.699499
Actual update 27050 of 50000, Stored update 27050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.853902
Actual update 27100 of 50000, Stored update 27100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.156568
Actual update 27150 of 50000, Stored update 27150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.521311
Actual update 27200 of 50000, Stored update 27200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.888437
Actual update 27250 of 50000, Stored update 27250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.680184
Actual update 27300 of 50000, Stored update 27300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.355459
Actual update 27350 of 50000, Stored update 27350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.836969
Actual update 27400 of 50000, Stored update 27400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.036894
Actual update 27450 of 50000, Stored update 27450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.432653
Actual update 27500 of 50000, Stored update 27500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.483453
Actual update 27550 of 50000, Stored update 27550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.529430
Actual update 27600 of 50000, Stored update 27600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.482078
Actual update 27650 of 50000, Stored update 27650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.129086
Actual update 27700 of 50000, Stored update 27700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.618516
Actual update 27750 of 50000, Stored update 27750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.431790
Actual update 27800 of 50000, Stored update 27800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.279476
Actual update 27850 of 50000, Stored update 27850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.049398
Actual update 27900 of 50000, Stored update 27900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.495460
Actual update 27950 of 50000, Stored update 27950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.507441
Actual update 28000 of 50000, Stored update 28000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.545002
Actual update 28050 of 50000, Stored update 28050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.042248
Actual update 28100 of 50000, Stored update 28100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.950052
Actual update 28150 of 50000, Stored update 28150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.836096
Actual update 28200 of 50000, Stored update 28200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.548441
Actual update 28250 of 50000, Stored update 28250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.994472
Actual update 28300 of 50000, Stored update 28300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.366092
Actual update 28350 of 50000, Stored update 28350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.236287
Actual update 28400 of 50000, Stored update 28400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.998178
Actual update 28450 of 50000, Stored update 28450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.041555
Actual update 28500 of 50000, Stored update 28500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.650538
Actual update 28550 of 50000, Stored update 28550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.112880
Actual update 28600 of 50000, Stored update 28600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.616383
Actual update 28650 of 50000, Stored update 28650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.453184
Actual update 28700 of 50000, Stored update 28700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.957782
Actual update 28750 of 50000, Stored update 28750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.580062
Actual update 28800 of 50000, Stored update 28800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.787618
Actual update 28850 of 50000, Stored update 28850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.868603
Actual update 28900 of 50000, Stored update 28900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.982989
Actual update 28950 of 50000, Stored update 28950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.624733
Actual update 29000 of 50000, Stored update 29000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.153925
Actual update 29050 of 50000, Stored update 29050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.262692
Actual update 29100 of 50000, Stored update 29100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.908176
Actual update 29150 of 50000, Stored update 29150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.449346
Actual update 29200 of 50000, Stored update 29200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.853581
Actual update 29250 of 50000, Stored update 29250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.398209
Actual update 29300 of 50000, Stored update 29300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.434891
Actual update 29350 of 50000, Stored update 29350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.527021
Actual update 29400 of 50000, Stored update 29400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.887477
Actual update 29450 of 50000, Stored update 29450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.253859
Actual update 29500 of 50000, Stored update 29500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.793515
Actual update 29550 of 50000, Stored update 29550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.760208
Actual update 29600 of 50000, Stored update 29600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.941775
Actual update 29650 of 50000, Stored update 29650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.064459
Actual update 29700 of 50000, Stored update 29700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.757429
Actual update 29750 of 50000, Stored update 29750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.786960
Actual update 29800 of 50000, Stored update 29800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.709445
Actual update 29850 of 50000, Stored update 29850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.768524
Actual update 29900 of 50000, Stored update 29900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.142204
Actual update 29950 of 50000, Stored update 29950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.283464
Actual update 30000 of 50000, Stored update 30000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.194483
Actual update 30050 of 50000, Stored update 30050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.918730
Actual update 30100 of 50000, Stored update 30100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.175290
Actual update 30150 of 50000, Stored update 30150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.349564
Actual update 30200 of 50000, Stored update 30200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.786661
Actual update 30250 of 50000, Stored update 30250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.220060
Actual update 30300 of 50000, Stored update 30300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.235278
Actual update 30350 of 50000, Stored update 30350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.781753
Actual update 30400 of 50000, Stored update 30400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.466051
Actual update 30450 of 50000, Stored update 30450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.091490
Actual update 30500 of 50000, Stored update 30500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.676598
Actual update 30550 of 50000, Stored update 30550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.295024
Actual update 30600 of 50000, Stored update 30600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.209612
Actual update 30650 of 50000, Stored update 30650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.363358
Actual update 30700 of 50000, Stored update 30700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.178170
Actual update 30750 of 50000, Stored update 30750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.430832
Actual update 30800 of 50000, Stored update 30800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2062.362863
Actual update 30850 of 50000, Stored update 30850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.926067
Actual update 30900 of 50000, Stored update 30900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.373849
Actual update 30950 of 50000, Stored update 30950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.218591
Actual update 31000 of 50000, Stored update 31000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.403894
Actual update 31050 of 50000, Stored update 31050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.498461
Actual update 31100 of 50000, Stored update 31100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.086686
Actual update 31150 of 50000, Stored update 31150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.040774
Actual update 31200 of 50000, Stored update 31200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.017794
Actual update 31250 of 50000, Stored update 31250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.033086
Actual update 31300 of 50000, Stored update 31300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.890985
Actual update 31350 of 50000, Stored update 31350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.074527
Actual update 31400 of 50000, Stored update 31400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.846272
Actual update 31450 of 50000, Stored update 31450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.909242
Actual update 31500 of 50000, Stored update 31500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.843382
Actual update 31550 of 50000, Stored update 31550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.004248
Actual update 31600 of 50000, Stored update 31600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.784515
Actual update 31650 of 50000, Stored update 31650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.700461
Actual update 31700 of 50000, Stored update 31700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.708257
Actual update 31750 of 50000, Stored update 31750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.145664
Actual update 31800 of 50000, Stored update 31800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.367306
Actual update 31850 of 50000, Stored update 31850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.000357
Actual update 31900 of 50000, Stored update 31900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.975521
Actual update 31950 of 50000, Stored update 31950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.971169
Actual update 32000 of 50000, Stored update 32000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.669302
Actual update 32050 of 50000, Stored update 32050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.286632
Actual update 32100 of 50000, Stored update 32100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.696186
Actual update 32150 of 50000, Stored update 32150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.601449
Actual update 32200 of 50000, Stored update 32200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.975421
Actual update 32250 of 50000, Stored update 32250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.578740
Actual update 32300 of 50000, Stored update 32300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.560504
Actual update 32350 of 50000, Stored update 32350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.170341
Actual update 32400 of 50000, Stored update 32400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.410594
Actual update 32450 of 50000, Stored update 32450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.130137
Actual update 32500 of 50000, Stored update 32500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.568860
Actual update 32550 of 50000, Stored update 32550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.389305
Actual update 32600 of 50000, Stored update 32600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.454846
Actual update 32650 of 50000, Stored update 32650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.796915
Actual update 32700 of 50000, Stored update 32700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.849949
Actual update 32750 of 50000, Stored update 32750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.665005
Actual update 32800 of 50000, Stored update 32800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.341256
Actual update 32850 of 50000, Stored update 32850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.716348
Actual update 32900 of 50000, Stored update 32900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.284843
Actual update 32950 of 50000, Stored update 32950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.926804
Actual update 33000 of 50000, Stored update 33000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.885652
Actual update 33050 of 50000, Stored update 33050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.856118
Actual update 33100 of 50000, Stored update 33100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.038895
Actual update 33150 of 50000, Stored update 33150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.759982
Actual update 33200 of 50000, Stored update 33200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2060.119051
Actual update 33250 of 50000, Stored update 33250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.418071
Actual update 33300 of 50000, Stored update 33300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.920278
Actual update 33350 of 50000, Stored update 33350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.606005
Actual update 33400 of 50000, Stored update 33400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.198462
Actual update 33450 of 50000, Stored update 33450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.588026
Actual update 33500 of 50000, Stored update 33500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.880181
Actual update 33550 of 50000, Stored update 33550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.131565
Actual update 33600 of 50000, Stored update 33600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.682363
Actual update 33650 of 50000, Stored update 33650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.306811
Actual update 33700 of 50000, Stored update 33700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.820118
Actual update 33750 of 50000, Stored update 33750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.511350
Actual update 33800 of 50000, Stored update 33800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.445685
Actual update 33850 of 50000, Stored update 33850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.200240
Actual update 33900 of 50000, Stored update 33900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.469571
Actual update 33950 of 50000, Stored update 33950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.122411
Actual update 34000 of 50000, Stored update 34000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.220963
Actual update 34050 of 50000, Stored update 34050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.501417
Actual update 34100 of 50000, Stored update 34100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.067574
Actual update 34150 of 50000, Stored update 34150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.873975
Actual update 34200 of 50000, Stored update 34200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.645718
Actual update 34250 of 50000, Stored update 34250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.963287
Actual update 34300 of 50000, Stored update 34300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.925841
Actual update 34350 of 50000, Stored update 34350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.784967
Actual update 34400 of 50000, Stored update 34400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.794534
Actual update 34450 of 50000, Stored update 34450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.418609
Actual update 34500 of 50000, Stored update 34500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.533548
Actual update 34550 of 50000, Stored update 34550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.484604
Actual update 34600 of 50000, Stored update 34600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.221668
Actual update 34650 of 50000, Stored update 34650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.559560
Actual update 34700 of 50000, Stored update 34700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.373269
Actual update 34750 of 50000, Stored update 34750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.399276
Actual update 34800 of 50000, Stored update 34800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.065483
Actual update 34850 of 50000, Stored update 34850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.468733
Actual update 34900 of 50000, Stored update 34900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.490501
Actual update 34950 of 50000, Stored update 34950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.450470
Actual update 35000 of 50000, Stored update 35000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.849420
Actual update 35050 of 50000, Stored update 35050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.430037
Actual update 35100 of 50000, Stored update 35100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.646612
Actual update 35150 of 50000, Stored update 35150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.763701
Actual update 35200 of 50000, Stored update 35200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.012113
Actual update 35250 of 50000, Stored update 35250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.804106
Actual update 35300 of 50000, Stored update 35300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.571791
Actual update 35350 of 50000, Stored update 35350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.994141
Actual update 35400 of 50000, Stored update 35400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.246564
Actual update 35450 of 50000, Stored update 35450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.099157
Actual update 35500 of 50000, Stored update 35500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.823378
Actual update 35550 of 50000, Stored update 35550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.238714
Actual update 35600 of 50000, Stored update 35600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.730931
Actual update 35650 of 50000, Stored update 35650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.066142
Actual update 35700 of 50000, Stored update 35700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.234569
Actual update 35750 of 50000, Stored update 35750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.089519
Actual update 35800 of 50000, Stored update 35800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.390942
Actual update 35850 of 50000, Stored update 35850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.212495
Actual update 35900 of 50000, Stored update 35900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.600925
Actual update 35950 of 50000, Stored update 35950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.715199
Actual update 36000 of 50000, Stored update 36000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.415352
Actual update 36050 of 50000, Stored update 36050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.188322
Actual update 36100 of 50000, Stored update 36100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.708327
Actual update 36150 of 50000, Stored update 36150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.238496
Actual update 36200 of 50000, Stored update 36200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.480716
Actual update 36250 of 50000, Stored update 36250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.810972
Actual update 36300 of 50000, Stored update 36300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.161507
Actual update 36350 of 50000, Stored update 36350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.856373
Actual update 36400 of 50000, Stored update 36400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.720574
Actual update 36450 of 50000, Stored update 36450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.902070
Actual update 36500 of 50000, Stored update 36500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.373510
Actual update 36550 of 50000, Stored update 36550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.282177
Actual update 36600 of 50000, Stored update 36600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.738854
Actual update 36650 of 50000, Stored update 36650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.553596
Actual update 36700 of 50000, Stored update 36700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.800653
Actual update 36750 of 50000, Stored update 36750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.372053
Actual update 36800 of 50000, Stored update 36800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.801046
Actual update 36850 of 50000, Stored update 36850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.300246
Actual update 36900 of 50000, Stored update 36900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.992251
Actual update 36950 of 50000, Stored update 36950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.872871
Actual update 37000 of 50000, Stored update 37000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.182616
Actual update 37050 of 50000, Stored update 37050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.489311
Actual update 37100 of 50000, Stored update 37100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.939142
Actual update 37150 of 50000, Stored update 37150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.124884
Actual update 37200 of 50000, Stored update 37200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.724735
Actual update 37250 of 50000, Stored update 37250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2054.090377
Actual update 37300 of 50000, Stored update 37300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.227718
Actual update 37350 of 50000, Stored update 37350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.430728
Actual update 37400 of 50000, Stored update 37400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.589623
Actual update 37450 of 50000, Stored update 37450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.812123
Actual update 37500 of 50000, Stored update 37500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.423476
Actual update 37550 of 50000, Stored update 37550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.337103
Actual update 37600 of 50000, Stored update 37600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.059498
Actual update 37650 of 50000, Stored update 37650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.345683
Actual update 37700 of 50000, Stored update 37700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.323461
Actual update 37750 of 50000, Stored update 37750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.532417
Actual update 37800 of 50000, Stored update 37800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.603698
Actual update 37850 of 50000, Stored update 37850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.302857
Actual update 37900 of 50000, Stored update 37900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.808247
Actual update 37950 of 50000, Stored update 37950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.610410
Actual update 38000 of 50000, Stored update 38000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.371359
Actual update 38050 of 50000, Stored update 38050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.492574
Actual update 38100 of 50000, Stored update 38100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.136641
Actual update 38150 of 50000, Stored update 38150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.342050
Actual update 38200 of 50000, Stored update 38200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.227395
Actual update 38250 of 50000, Stored update 38250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.947951
Actual update 38300 of 50000, Stored update 38300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.404031
Actual update 38350 of 50000, Stored update 38350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.329632
Actual update 38400 of 50000, Stored update 38400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.456045
Actual update 38450 of 50000, Stored update 38450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.367932
Actual update 38500 of 50000, Stored update 38500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.884912
Actual update 38550 of 50000, Stored update 38550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.773494
Actual update 38600 of 50000, Stored update 38600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.012775
Actual update 38650 of 50000, Stored update 38650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.998145
Actual update 38700 of 50000, Stored update 38700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.361386
Actual update 38750 of 50000, Stored update 38750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.123411
Actual update 38800 of 50000, Stored update 38800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.752596
Actual update 38850 of 50000, Stored update 38850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.295624
Actual update 38900 of 50000, Stored update 38900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.815507
Actual update 38950 of 50000, Stored update 38950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.457697
Actual update 39000 of 50000, Stored update 39000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.048711
Actual update 39050 of 50000, Stored update 39050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.408290
Actual update 39100 of 50000, Stored update 39100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.337389
Actual update 39150 of 50000, Stored update 39150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.367751
Actual update 39200 of 50000, Stored update 39200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.711908
Actual update 39250 of 50000, Stored update 39250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.370854
Actual update 39300 of 50000, Stored update 39300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.967386
Actual update 39350 of 50000, Stored update 39350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.529225
Actual update 39400 of 50000, Stored update 39400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.982271
Actual update 39450 of 50000, Stored update 39450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.681137
Actual update 39500 of 50000, Stored update 39500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.522879
Actual update 39550 of 50000, Stored update 39550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.886249
Actual update 39600 of 50000, Stored update 39600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.546985
Actual update 39650 of 50000, Stored update 39650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.190470
Actual update 39700 of 50000, Stored update 39700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.978074
Actual update 39750 of 50000, Stored update 39750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.214291
Actual update 39800 of 50000, Stored update 39800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.867439
Actual update 39850 of 50000, Stored update 39850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.082964
Actual update 39900 of 50000, Stored update 39900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.311203
Actual update 39950 of 50000, Stored update 39950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.418893
Actual update 40000 of 50000, Stored update 40000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.832154
Actual update 40050 of 50000, Stored update 40050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.323240
Actual update 40100 of 50000, Stored update 40100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.174285
Actual update 40150 of 50000, Stored update 40150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.339985
Actual update 40200 of 50000, Stored update 40200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.584889
Actual update 40250 of 50000, Stored update 40250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.362504
Actual update 40300 of 50000, Stored update 40300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.767944
Actual update 40350 of 50000, Stored update 40350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.672946
Actual update 40400 of 50000, Stored update 40400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.319449
Actual update 40450 of 50000, Stored update 40450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.438496
Actual update 40500 of 50000, Stored update 40500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.872859
Actual update 40550 of 50000, Stored update 40550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.648475
Actual update 40600 of 50000, Stored update 40600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.587819
Actual update 40650 of 50000, Stored update 40650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.817494
Actual update 40700 of 50000, Stored update 40700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.720765
Actual update 40750 of 50000, Stored update 40750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1997.684854
Actual update 40800 of 50000, Stored update 40800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.070820
Actual update 40850 of 50000, Stored update 40850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.321605
Actual update 40900 of 50000, Stored update 40900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.978520
Actual update 40950 of 50000, Stored update 40950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.970463
Actual update 41000 of 50000, Stored update 41000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.283633
Actual update 41050 of 50000, Stored update 41050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.418154
Actual update 41100 of 50000, Stored update 41100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.172451
Actual update 41150 of 50000, Stored update 41150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.661815
Actual update 41200 of 50000, Stored update 41200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.941819
Actual update 41250 of 50000, Stored update 41250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.200378
Actual update 41300 of 50000, Stored update 41300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.607880
Actual update 41350 of 50000, Stored update 41350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.579228
Actual update 41400 of 50000, Stored update 41400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.882691
Actual update 41450 of 50000, Stored update 41450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.940418
Actual update 41500 of 50000, Stored update 41500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.331596
Actual update 41550 of 50000, Stored update 41550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2061.051557
Actual update 41600 of 50000, Stored update 41600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.919663
Actual update 41650 of 50000, Stored update 41650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.485450
Actual update 41700 of 50000, Stored update 41700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.717558
Actual update 41750 of 50000, Stored update 41750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.405688
Actual update 41800 of 50000, Stored update 41800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.311835
Actual update 41850 of 50000, Stored update 41850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.981524
Actual update 41900 of 50000, Stored update 41900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.098250
Actual update 41950 of 50000, Stored update 41950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.132340
Actual update 42000 of 50000, Stored update 42000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.386480
Actual update 42050 of 50000, Stored update 42050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.350539
Actual update 42100 of 50000, Stored update 42100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.885458
Actual update 42150 of 50000, Stored update 42150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.151395
Actual update 42200 of 50000, Stored update 42200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.904533
Actual update 42250 of 50000, Stored update 42250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.203827
Actual update 42300 of 50000, Stored update 42300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.045416
Actual update 42350 of 50000, Stored update 42350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.657964
Actual update 42400 of 50000, Stored update 42400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.000470
Actual update 42450 of 50000, Stored update 42450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.487168
Actual update 42500 of 50000, Stored update 42500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.194538
Actual update 42550 of 50000, Stored update 42550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.841508
Actual update 42600 of 50000, Stored update 42600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.139895
Actual update 42650 of 50000, Stored update 42650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2062.693729
Actual update 42700 of 50000, Stored update 42700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.515990
Actual update 42750 of 50000, Stored update 42750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.046181
Actual update 42800 of 50000, Stored update 42800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.690734
Actual update 42850 of 50000, Stored update 42850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.855152
Actual update 42900 of 50000, Stored update 42900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.957931
Actual update 42950 of 50000, Stored update 42950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.849299
Actual update 43000 of 50000, Stored update 43000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2061.726023
Actual update 43050 of 50000, Stored update 43050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.188168
Actual update 43100 of 50000, Stored update 43100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.915901
Actual update 43150 of 50000, Stored update 43150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1994.833899
Actual update 43200 of 50000, Stored update 43200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.552650
Actual update 43250 of 50000, Stored update 43250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.120614
Actual update 43300 of 50000, Stored update 43300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.801355
Actual update 43350 of 50000, Stored update 43350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.645859
Actual update 43400 of 50000, Stored update 43400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.678524
Actual update 43450 of 50000, Stored update 43450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.667681
Actual update 43500 of 50000, Stored update 43500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.287727
Actual update 43550 of 50000, Stored update 43550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.613209
Actual update 43600 of 50000, Stored update 43600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.463539
Actual update 43650 of 50000, Stored update 43650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.943490
Actual update 43700 of 50000, Stored update 43700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.520205
Actual update 43750 of 50000, Stored update 43750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.120512
Actual update 43800 of 50000, Stored update 43800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.604231
Actual update 43850 of 50000, Stored update 43850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.888869
Actual update 43900 of 50000, Stored update 43900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.828985
Actual update 43950 of 50000, Stored update 43950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.426059
Actual update 44000 of 50000, Stored update 44000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.047078
Actual update 44050 of 50000, Stored update 44050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.145881
Actual update 44100 of 50000, Stored update 44100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.227148
Actual update 44150 of 50000, Stored update 44150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.997250
Actual update 44200 of 50000, Stored update 44200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.026111
Actual update 44250 of 50000, Stored update 44250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.689387
Actual update 44300 of 50000, Stored update 44300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.770960
Actual update 44350 of 50000, Stored update 44350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.925159
Actual update 44400 of 50000, Stored update 44400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.871879
Actual update 44450 of 50000, Stored update 44450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.248881
Actual update 44500 of 50000, Stored update 44500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.242875
Actual update 44550 of 50000, Stored update 44550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.002607
Actual update 44600 of 50000, Stored update 44600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.154279
Actual update 44650 of 50000, Stored update 44650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.997882
Actual update 44700 of 50000, Stored update 44700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.247878
Actual update 44750 of 50000, Stored update 44750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.309314
Actual update 44800 of 50000, Stored update 44800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.018026
Actual update 44850 of 50000, Stored update 44850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.640745
Actual update 44900 of 50000, Stored update 44900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.244967
Actual update 44950 of 50000, Stored update 44950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.025872
Actual update 45000 of 50000, Stored update 45000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.691866
Actual update 45050 of 50000, Stored update 45050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.472317
Actual update 45100 of 50000, Stored update 45100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.035153
Actual update 45150 of 50000, Stored update 45150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.815588
Actual update 45200 of 50000, Stored update 45200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.181519
Actual update 45250 of 50000, Stored update 45250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.449541
Actual update 45300 of 50000, Stored update 45300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.044918
Actual update 45350 of 50000, Stored update 45350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.391236
Actual update 45400 of 50000, Stored update 45400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.532420
Actual update 45450 of 50000, Stored update 45450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.233534
Actual update 45500 of 50000, Stored update 45500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.383479
Actual update 45550 of 50000, Stored update 45550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.305763
Actual update 45600 of 50000, Stored update 45600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.593606
Actual update 45650 of 50000, Stored update 45650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.578949
Actual update 45700 of 50000, Stored update 45700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.903378
Actual update 45750 of 50000, Stored update 45750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1999.167445
Actual update 45800 of 50000, Stored update 45800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.085792
Actual update 45850 of 50000, Stored update 45850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.996353
Actual update 45900 of 50000, Stored update 45900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.889199
Actual update 45950 of 50000, Stored update 45950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.868253
Actual update 46000 of 50000, Stored update 46000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.668234
Actual update 46050 of 50000, Stored update 46050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2054.441654
Actual update 46100 of 50000, Stored update 46100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.278323
Actual update 46150 of 50000, Stored update 46150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.100658
Actual update 46200 of 50000, Stored update 46200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.587019
Actual update 46250 of 50000, Stored update 46250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.829808
Actual update 46300 of 50000, Stored update 46300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.516209
Actual update 46350 of 50000, Stored update 46350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.820284
Actual update 46400 of 50000, Stored update 46400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.039745
Actual update 46450 of 50000, Stored update 46450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.264782
Actual update 46500 of 50000, Stored update 46500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.993107
Actual update 46550 of 50000, Stored update 46550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.643004
Actual update 46600 of 50000, Stored update 46600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.721930
Actual update 46650 of 50000, Stored update 46650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.004717
Actual update 46700 of 50000, Stored update 46700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.523914
Actual update 46750 of 50000, Stored update 46750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.970445
Actual update 46800 of 50000, Stored update 46800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.405109
Actual update 46850 of 50000, Stored update 46850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.455452
Actual update 46900 of 50000, Stored update 46900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.650737
Actual update 46950 of 50000, Stored update 46950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.135788
Actual update 47000 of 50000, Stored update 47000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.561192
Actual update 47050 of 50000, Stored update 47050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.511255
Actual update 47100 of 50000, Stored update 47100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.677469
Actual update 47150 of 50000, Stored update 47150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.481167
Actual update 47200 of 50000, Stored update 47200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.682388
Actual update 47250 of 50000, Stored update 47250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.438379
Actual update 47300 of 50000, Stored update 47300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.576773
Actual update 47350 of 50000, Stored update 47350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.040627
Actual update 47400 of 50000, Stored update 47400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.118546
Actual update 47450 of 50000, Stored update 47450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.526638
Actual update 47500 of 50000, Stored update 47500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.108911
Actual update 47550 of 50000, Stored update 47550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.343611
Actual update 47600 of 50000, Stored update 47600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.167074
Actual update 47650 of 50000, Stored update 47650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.673342
Actual update 47700 of 50000, Stored update 47700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.470911
Actual update 47750 of 50000, Stored update 47750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.057577
Actual update 47800 of 50000, Stored update 47800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.935886
Actual update 47850 of 50000, Stored update 47850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.984999
Actual update 47900 of 50000, Stored update 47900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.874991
Actual update 47950 of 50000, Stored update 47950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.731281
Actual update 48000 of 50000, Stored update 48000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.389971
Actual update 48050 of 50000, Stored update 48050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.583846
Actual update 48100 of 50000, Stored update 48100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.484891
Actual update 48150 of 50000, Stored update 48150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.081591
Actual update 48200 of 50000, Stored update 48200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.285693
Actual update 48250 of 50000, Stored update 48250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.723061
Actual update 48300 of 50000, Stored update 48300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.786729
Actual update 48350 of 50000, Stored update 48350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.452288
Actual update 48400 of 50000, Stored update 48400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.347576
Actual update 48450 of 50000, Stored update 48450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.339423
Actual update 48500 of 50000, Stored update 48500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.732430
Actual update 48550 of 50000, Stored update 48550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.773686
Actual update 48600 of 50000, Stored update 48600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.142813
Actual update 48650 of 50000, Stored update 48650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.383473
Actual update 48700 of 50000, Stored update 48700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.519928
Actual update 48750 of 50000, Stored update 48750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2069.709251
Actual update 48800 of 50000, Stored update 48800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.515609
Actual update 48850 of 50000, Stored update 48850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.457432
Actual update 48900 of 50000, Stored update 48900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2061.322024
Actual update 48950 of 50000, Stored update 48950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.257988
Actual update 49000 of 50000, Stored update 49000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.673744
Actual update 49050 of 50000, Stored update 49050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.392787
Actual update 49100 of 50000, Stored update 49100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.379449
Actual update 49150 of 50000, Stored update 49150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.921906
Actual update 49200 of 50000, Stored update 49200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.362818
Actual update 49250 of 50000, Stored update 49250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.493135
Actual update 49300 of 50000, Stored update 49300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.500408
Actual update 49350 of 50000, Stored update 49350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.998273
Actual update 49400 of 50000, Stored update 49400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.152681
Actual update 49450 of 50000, Stored update 49450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.261967
Actual update 49500 of 50000, Stored update 49500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.165020
Actual update 49550 of 50000, Stored update 49550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.683384
Actual update 49600 of 50000, Stored update 49600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.885086
Actual update 49650 of 50000, Stored update 49650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.044727
Actual update 49700 of 50000, Stored update 49700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.220427
Actual update 49750 of 50000, Stored update 49750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.337002
Actual update 49800 of 50000, Stored update 49800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.325109
Actual update 49850 of 50000, Stored update 49850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.023941
Actual update 49900 of 50000, Stored update 49900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.532625
Actual update 49950 of 50000, Stored update 49950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.213931
Actual update 50000 of 50000, Stored update 50000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.178662
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =          50000
Average =          2027.0
S.D.    =          12.384
S.E.M.  =        0.055385

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.09)  multilevel model (Poisson) 
        N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
region 78   1 4.538462  13         78            1      4.538462           13
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 6.54s 
Number of obs:  354 (from total 354)          Number of iter.: 50000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
2026.962   1964.438   62.524     2089.487   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
log(obs) ~ 0 + nation + nation:uvbi + offset(log(exp)) + (1 | 
    region)
Level 2: region     Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
                            Coef.   Std. Err.       z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
nationBelgium             0.73557     0.60946    1.21      0.2275         -0.47109     1.98334     29 
nationW_Germany           0.50291     0.11941    4.21   2.534e-05  ***     0.27283     0.74000    268 
nationDenmark             0.60846     0.81368    0.75      0.4546         -0.72448     2.41924     12 
nationFrance             -0.59486     0.05555  -10.71   9.354e-27  ***    -0.70475    -0.48580   5427 
nationUK                  0.64933     0.22571    2.88    0.004017  **      0.17178     1.08933     61 
nationItaly               0.27855     0.11213    2.48     0.01298  *       0.05696     0.49803    373 
nationIreland            -0.21999     1.10435   -0.20      0.8421         -2.35107     1.91035     36 
nationLuxembourg          7.66678    10.71260    0.72      0.4742         -5.36598    32.43445      3 
nationNetherlands        -1.00226     1.03500   -0.97      0.3329         -2.86860     1.19468     10 
nationBelgium:uvbi        0.27603     0.20432    1.35      0.1767         -0.12999     0.69514     30 
nationW_Germany:uvbi     -0.00610     0.03170   -0.19      0.8474         -0.06720     0.05584    192 
nationDenmark:uvbi       -0.03089     0.14340   -0.22      0.8295         -0.26190     0.29229     11 
nationFrance:uvbi         0.01395     0.01813    0.77      0.4415         -0.02135     0.05045   1477 
nationUK:uvbi             0.14951     0.04675    3.20    0.001384  **      0.04772     0.23954     56 
nationItaly:uvbi         -0.08678     0.01705   -5.09   3.576e-07  ***    -0.12021    -0.05267    299 
nationIreland:uvbi        0.06317     0.22310    0.28      0.7771         -0.36282     0.49835     37 
nationLuxembourg:uvbi     3.34223     4.67218    0.72      0.4744         -2.33656    14.15877      3 
nationNetherlands:uvbi   -0.27079     0.24853   -1.09      0.2759         -0.72133     0.25630      9 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the region level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.03795     0.00945      0.02280     0.05960   2739 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
                Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]     ESS 
var_bcons_1   1.00000     0.00000      1.00000     1.00000   50000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> sixway(mymodel@chains[, "FP_nationBelgium", drop = FALSE], acf.maxlag = 100, "beta_1")
> 
> ## Hierarchical centring at level 2 + Orthogonal updates
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(log(obs) ~ 0 + nation + nation:uvbi + offset(log(exp)) + (1 | region), D = "Poisson", estoptions = list(EstM = 1, 
+   mcmcMeth = list(iterations = 50000), mcmcOptions = list(orth = 1, hcen = 2)), data = mmmec))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3
iteration 4

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 2 1 1 3
RUNNING ADAPTIVE PROCEDURE AND BURNING IN...
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2014.716526
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2031.587025
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2040.803994
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2016.295962
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2017.165195
Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2028.427412
Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2018.677212
Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2041.926055
Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 2028.878376
Adapting finished and took 1000 iterations
Adapting took 1000 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2015.480916
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2013.469903
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2021.200783
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2021.797400
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2014.305854
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2027.231145
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2030.152523
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2022.482766
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2014.737060
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 2017.129376

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 50000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 3
Actual update 50 of 50000, Stored update 50 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.613481
Actual update 100 of 50000, Stored update 100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.163117
Actual update 150 of 50000, Stored update 150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.525956
Actual update 200 of 50000, Stored update 200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.392327
Actual update 250 of 50000, Stored update 250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.303102
Actual update 300 of 50000, Stored update 300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.509737
Actual update 350 of 50000, Stored update 350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.155479
Actual update 400 of 50000, Stored update 400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.565292
Actual update 450 of 50000, Stored update 450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.314598
Actual update 500 of 50000, Stored update 500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.878230
Actual update 550 of 50000, Stored update 550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.343442
Actual update 600 of 50000, Stored update 600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.719418
Actual update 650 of 50000, Stored update 650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.809371
Actual update 700 of 50000, Stored update 700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.215337
Actual update 750 of 50000, Stored update 750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.171458
Actual update 800 of 50000, Stored update 800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.303416
Actual update 850 of 50000, Stored update 850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.192118
Actual update 900 of 50000, Stored update 900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.732050
Actual update 950 of 50000, Stored update 950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.099413
Actual update 1000 of 50000, Stored update 1000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.213152
Actual update 1050 of 50000, Stored update 1050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.519927
Actual update 1100 of 50000, Stored update 1100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.175031
Actual update 1150 of 50000, Stored update 1150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.758682
Actual update 1200 of 50000, Stored update 1200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.381629
Actual update 1250 of 50000, Stored update 1250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.109828
Actual update 1300 of 50000, Stored update 1300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.078684
Actual update 1350 of 50000, Stored update 1350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.974504
Actual update 1400 of 50000, Stored update 1400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.090860
Actual update 1450 of 50000, Stored update 1450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.027941
Actual update 1500 of 50000, Stored update 1500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.893679
Actual update 1550 of 50000, Stored update 1550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.989823
Actual update 1600 of 50000, Stored update 1600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.660178
Actual update 1650 of 50000, Stored update 1650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.971005
Actual update 1700 of 50000, Stored update 1700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.372483
Actual update 1750 of 50000, Stored update 1750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.310544
Actual update 1800 of 50000, Stored update 1800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.197219
Actual update 1850 of 50000, Stored update 1850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.117802
Actual update 1900 of 50000, Stored update 1900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.260680
Actual update 1950 of 50000, Stored update 1950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.280437
Actual update 2000 of 50000, Stored update 2000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.087068
Actual update 2050 of 50000, Stored update 2050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.035129
Actual update 2100 of 50000, Stored update 2100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.418873
Actual update 2150 of 50000, Stored update 2150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.515331
Actual update 2200 of 50000, Stored update 2200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.642138
Actual update 2250 of 50000, Stored update 2250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.910778
Actual update 2300 of 50000, Stored update 2300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.077709
Actual update 2350 of 50000, Stored update 2350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.678647
Actual update 2400 of 50000, Stored update 2400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.287541
Actual update 2450 of 50000, Stored update 2450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.391528
Actual update 2500 of 50000, Stored update 2500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.015409
Actual update 2550 of 50000, Stored update 2550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1999.004864
Actual update 2600 of 50000, Stored update 2600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.666905
Actual update 2650 of 50000, Stored update 2650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.162071
Actual update 2700 of 50000, Stored update 2700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.151364
Actual update 2750 of 50000, Stored update 2750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.648514
Actual update 2800 of 50000, Stored update 2800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.515239
Actual update 2850 of 50000, Stored update 2850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.629285
Actual update 2900 of 50000, Stored update 2900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.288509
Actual update 2950 of 50000, Stored update 2950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.987172
Actual update 3000 of 50000, Stored update 3000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.964081
Actual update 3050 of 50000, Stored update 3050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.957228
Actual update 3100 of 50000, Stored update 3100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.334434
Actual update 3150 of 50000, Stored update 3150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.431896
Actual update 3200 of 50000, Stored update 3200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.474908
Actual update 3250 of 50000, Stored update 3250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.609586
Actual update 3300 of 50000, Stored update 3300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.099022
Actual update 3350 of 50000, Stored update 3350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.579463
Actual update 3400 of 50000, Stored update 3400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.453010
Actual update 3450 of 50000, Stored update 3450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.730089
Actual update 3500 of 50000, Stored update 3500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.715333
Actual update 3550 of 50000, Stored update 3550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.515313
Actual update 3600 of 50000, Stored update 3600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.739573
Actual update 3650 of 50000, Stored update 3650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.569639
Actual update 3700 of 50000, Stored update 3700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.668239
Actual update 3750 of 50000, Stored update 3750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.428881
Actual update 3800 of 50000, Stored update 3800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.205507
Actual update 3850 of 50000, Stored update 3850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.191532
Actual update 3900 of 50000, Stored update 3900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.238344
Actual update 3950 of 50000, Stored update 3950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.258457
Actual update 4000 of 50000, Stored update 4000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.913713
Actual update 4050 of 50000, Stored update 4050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.549849
Actual update 4100 of 50000, Stored update 4100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.546523
Actual update 4150 of 50000, Stored update 4150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.318439
Actual update 4200 of 50000, Stored update 4200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.332610
Actual update 4250 of 50000, Stored update 4250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.455373
Actual update 4300 of 50000, Stored update 4300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.135164
Actual update 4350 of 50000, Stored update 4350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.820085
Actual update 4400 of 50000, Stored update 4400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.721037
Actual update 4450 of 50000, Stored update 4450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.306382
Actual update 4500 of 50000, Stored update 4500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.023147
Actual update 4550 of 50000, Stored update 4550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.125664
Actual update 4600 of 50000, Stored update 4600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.271797
Actual update 4650 of 50000, Stored update 4650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.384076
Actual update 4700 of 50000, Stored update 4700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.521903
Actual update 4750 of 50000, Stored update 4750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.389614
Actual update 4800 of 50000, Stored update 4800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.271925
Actual update 4850 of 50000, Stored update 4850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.004540
Actual update 4900 of 50000, Stored update 4900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.670676
Actual update 4950 of 50000, Stored update 4950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.754593
Actual update 5000 of 50000, Stored update 5000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.333824
Actual update 5050 of 50000, Stored update 5050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.273311
Actual update 5100 of 50000, Stored update 5100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2067.536975
Actual update 5150 of 50000, Stored update 5150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.377905
Actual update 5200 of 50000, Stored update 5200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.307863
Actual update 5250 of 50000, Stored update 5250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.054735
Actual update 5300 of 50000, Stored update 5300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.521416
Actual update 5350 of 50000, Stored update 5350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.158748
Actual update 5400 of 50000, Stored update 5400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.414660
Actual update 5450 of 50000, Stored update 5450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.995318
Actual update 5500 of 50000, Stored update 5500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.223026
Actual update 5550 of 50000, Stored update 5550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.529641
Actual update 5600 of 50000, Stored update 5600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.849619
Actual update 5650 of 50000, Stored update 5650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.392181
Actual update 5700 of 50000, Stored update 5700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.222607
Actual update 5750 of 50000, Stored update 5750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.997337
Actual update 5800 of 50000, Stored update 5800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.655927
Actual update 5850 of 50000, Stored update 5850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.799893
Actual update 5900 of 50000, Stored update 5900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.284228
Actual update 5950 of 50000, Stored update 5950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.252585
Actual update 6000 of 50000, Stored update 6000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.355482
Actual update 6050 of 50000, Stored update 6050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.841864
Actual update 6100 of 50000, Stored update 6100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.287786
Actual update 6150 of 50000, Stored update 6150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.963779
Actual update 6200 of 50000, Stored update 6200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.781978
Actual update 6250 of 50000, Stored update 6250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.514633
Actual update 6300 of 50000, Stored update 6300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.761717
Actual update 6350 of 50000, Stored update 6350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.853612
Actual update 6400 of 50000, Stored update 6400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.517573
Actual update 6450 of 50000, Stored update 6450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.465408
Actual update 6500 of 50000, Stored update 6500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.242835
Actual update 6550 of 50000, Stored update 6550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.438286
Actual update 6600 of 50000, Stored update 6600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.448714
Actual update 6650 of 50000, Stored update 6650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.008967
Actual update 6700 of 50000, Stored update 6700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.979965
Actual update 6750 of 50000, Stored update 6750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.171211
Actual update 6800 of 50000, Stored update 6800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.225808
Actual update 6850 of 50000, Stored update 6850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.423605
Actual update 6900 of 50000, Stored update 6900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.414062
Actual update 6950 of 50000, Stored update 6950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.727569
Actual update 7000 of 50000, Stored update 7000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.891057
Actual update 7050 of 50000, Stored update 7050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.053235
Actual update 7100 of 50000, Stored update 7100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.966656
Actual update 7150 of 50000, Stored update 7150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.209310
Actual update 7200 of 50000, Stored update 7200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.361718
Actual update 7250 of 50000, Stored update 7250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.380458
Actual update 7300 of 50000, Stored update 7300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.385672
Actual update 7350 of 50000, Stored update 7350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.707048
Actual update 7400 of 50000, Stored update 7400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.356968
Actual update 7450 of 50000, Stored update 7450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.610923
Actual update 7500 of 50000, Stored update 7500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.978038
Actual update 7550 of 50000, Stored update 7550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.730689
Actual update 7600 of 50000, Stored update 7600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.961152
Actual update 7650 of 50000, Stored update 7650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.858328
Actual update 7700 of 50000, Stored update 7700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.075764
Actual update 7750 of 50000, Stored update 7750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.572987
Actual update 7800 of 50000, Stored update 7800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.032299
Actual update 7850 of 50000, Stored update 7850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.576957
Actual update 7900 of 50000, Stored update 7900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.322993
Actual update 7950 of 50000, Stored update 7950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.079050
Actual update 8000 of 50000, Stored update 8000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.362808
Actual update 8050 of 50000, Stored update 8050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.819672
Actual update 8100 of 50000, Stored update 8100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.318943
Actual update 8150 of 50000, Stored update 8150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.803258
Actual update 8200 of 50000, Stored update 8200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.145396
Actual update 8250 of 50000, Stored update 8250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.860784
Actual update 8300 of 50000, Stored update 8300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.742402
Actual update 8350 of 50000, Stored update 8350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.347026
Actual update 8400 of 50000, Stored update 8400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.388437
Actual update 8450 of 50000, Stored update 8450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.998313
Actual update 8500 of 50000, Stored update 8500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2062.603444
Actual update 8550 of 50000, Stored update 8550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.072844
Actual update 8600 of 50000, Stored update 8600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.748402
Actual update 8650 of 50000, Stored update 8650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.417708
Actual update 8700 of 50000, Stored update 8700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.645482
Actual update 8750 of 50000, Stored update 8750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.506709
Actual update 8800 of 50000, Stored update 8800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.305056
Actual update 8850 of 50000, Stored update 8850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.252098
Actual update 8900 of 50000, Stored update 8900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.449602
Actual update 8950 of 50000, Stored update 8950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.112102
Actual update 9000 of 50000, Stored update 9000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.368663
Actual update 9050 of 50000, Stored update 9050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.632861
Actual update 9100 of 50000, Stored update 9100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.740197
Actual update 9150 of 50000, Stored update 9150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.484611
Actual update 9200 of 50000, Stored update 9200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.812323
Actual update 9250 of 50000, Stored update 9250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.826624
Actual update 9300 of 50000, Stored update 9300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.374804
Actual update 9350 of 50000, Stored update 9350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.134602
Actual update 9400 of 50000, Stored update 9400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.878699
Actual update 9450 of 50000, Stored update 9450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2060.442541
Actual update 9500 of 50000, Stored update 9500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.095053
Actual update 9550 of 50000, Stored update 9550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.404173
Actual update 9600 of 50000, Stored update 9600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.044447
Actual update 9650 of 50000, Stored update 9650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.473086
Actual update 9700 of 50000, Stored update 9700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.667450
Actual update 9750 of 50000, Stored update 9750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.517407
Actual update 9800 of 50000, Stored update 9800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.310557
Actual update 9850 of 50000, Stored update 9850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.371819
Actual update 9900 of 50000, Stored update 9900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.718652
Actual update 9950 of 50000, Stored update 9950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.035091
Actual update 10000 of 50000, Stored update 10000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.108630
Actual update 10050 of 50000, Stored update 10050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.238825
Actual update 10100 of 50000, Stored update 10100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.815993
Actual update 10150 of 50000, Stored update 10150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.919023
Actual update 10200 of 50000, Stored update 10200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.959353
Actual update 10250 of 50000, Stored update 10250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.579132
Actual update 10300 of 50000, Stored update 10300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.683988
Actual update 10350 of 50000, Stored update 10350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.411588
Actual update 10400 of 50000, Stored update 10400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.072770
Actual update 10450 of 50000, Stored update 10450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.148265
Actual update 10500 of 50000, Stored update 10500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.868619
Actual update 10550 of 50000, Stored update 10550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.963698
Actual update 10600 of 50000, Stored update 10600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.033926
Actual update 10650 of 50000, Stored update 10650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.161326
Actual update 10700 of 50000, Stored update 10700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.337028
Actual update 10750 of 50000, Stored update 10750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.027151
Actual update 10800 of 50000, Stored update 10800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.007093
Actual update 10850 of 50000, Stored update 10850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.364821
Actual update 10900 of 50000, Stored update 10900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.585025
Actual update 10950 of 50000, Stored update 10950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.749208
Actual update 11000 of 50000, Stored update 11000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.056260
Actual update 11050 of 50000, Stored update 11050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.529275
Actual update 11100 of 50000, Stored update 11100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.095599
Actual update 11150 of 50000, Stored update 11150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.691590
Actual update 11200 of 50000, Stored update 11200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.759709
Actual update 11250 of 50000, Stored update 11250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.596085
Actual update 11300 of 50000, Stored update 11300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.458597
Actual update 11350 of 50000, Stored update 11350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2059.811221
Actual update 11400 of 50000, Stored update 11400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.240191
Actual update 11450 of 50000, Stored update 11450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.827176
Actual update 11500 of 50000, Stored update 11500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.293439
Actual update 11550 of 50000, Stored update 11550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.021319
Actual update 11600 of 50000, Stored update 11600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.708342
Actual update 11650 of 50000, Stored update 11650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.689987
Actual update 11700 of 50000, Stored update 11700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.357355
Actual update 11750 of 50000, Stored update 11750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.186667
Actual update 11800 of 50000, Stored update 11800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.720460
Actual update 11850 of 50000, Stored update 11850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.791223
Actual update 11900 of 50000, Stored update 11900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.733905
Actual update 11950 of 50000, Stored update 11950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.931739
Actual update 12000 of 50000, Stored update 12000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.073690
Actual update 12050 of 50000, Stored update 12050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.281757
Actual update 12100 of 50000, Stored update 12100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.855014
Actual update 12150 of 50000, Stored update 12150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.866118
Actual update 12200 of 50000, Stored update 12200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2054.522859
Actual update 12250 of 50000, Stored update 12250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.397275
Actual update 12300 of 50000, Stored update 12300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.853647
Actual update 12350 of 50000, Stored update 12350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.046406
Actual update 12400 of 50000, Stored update 12400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.019170
Actual update 12450 of 50000, Stored update 12450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.103750
Actual update 12500 of 50000, Stored update 12500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.653061
Actual update 12550 of 50000, Stored update 12550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.143478
Actual update 12600 of 50000, Stored update 12600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.290070
Actual update 12650 of 50000, Stored update 12650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.264273
Actual update 12700 of 50000, Stored update 12700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.781590
Actual update 12750 of 50000, Stored update 12750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.932696
Actual update 12800 of 50000, Stored update 12800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.458095
Actual update 12850 of 50000, Stored update 12850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.769663
Actual update 12900 of 50000, Stored update 12900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.846451
Actual update 12950 of 50000, Stored update 12950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.425329
Actual update 13000 of 50000, Stored update 13000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.526243
Actual update 13050 of 50000, Stored update 13050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.954265
Actual update 13100 of 50000, Stored update 13100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.754147
Actual update 13150 of 50000, Stored update 13150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.520170
Actual update 13200 of 50000, Stored update 13200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.161571
Actual update 13250 of 50000, Stored update 13250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.299148
Actual update 13300 of 50000, Stored update 13300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.034876
Actual update 13350 of 50000, Stored update 13350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.941124
Actual update 13400 of 50000, Stored update 13400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.677474
Actual update 13450 of 50000, Stored update 13450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.936514
Actual update 13500 of 50000, Stored update 13500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.686111
Actual update 13550 of 50000, Stored update 13550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.414323
Actual update 13600 of 50000, Stored update 13600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.214354
Actual update 13650 of 50000, Stored update 13650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.052746
Actual update 13700 of 50000, Stored update 13700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.125856
Actual update 13750 of 50000, Stored update 13750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.219680
Actual update 13800 of 50000, Stored update 13800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.514471
Actual update 13850 of 50000, Stored update 13850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.760300
Actual update 13900 of 50000, Stored update 13900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.525237
Actual update 13950 of 50000, Stored update 13950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.787805
Actual update 14000 of 50000, Stored update 14000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.398531
Actual update 14050 of 50000, Stored update 14050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.587976
Actual update 14100 of 50000, Stored update 14100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.381254
Actual update 14150 of 50000, Stored update 14150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.171433
Actual update 14200 of 50000, Stored update 14200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.779410
Actual update 14250 of 50000, Stored update 14250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.891794
Actual update 14300 of 50000, Stored update 14300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2060.737878
Actual update 14350 of 50000, Stored update 14350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.646344
Actual update 14400 of 50000, Stored update 14400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.515454
Actual update 14450 of 50000, Stored update 14450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.425710
Actual update 14500 of 50000, Stored update 14500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.979416
Actual update 14550 of 50000, Stored update 14550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.907812
Actual update 14600 of 50000, Stored update 14600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.513544
Actual update 14650 of 50000, Stored update 14650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.451530
Actual update 14700 of 50000, Stored update 14700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.805561
Actual update 14750 of 50000, Stored update 14750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.090892
Actual update 14800 of 50000, Stored update 14800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.134543
Actual update 14850 of 50000, Stored update 14850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.598101
Actual update 14900 of 50000, Stored update 14900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.648242
Actual update 14950 of 50000, Stored update 14950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.900660
Actual update 15000 of 50000, Stored update 15000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.131054
Actual update 15050 of 50000, Stored update 15050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.654955
Actual update 15100 of 50000, Stored update 15100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.675748
Actual update 15150 of 50000, Stored update 15150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.160848
Actual update 15200 of 50000, Stored update 15200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.994007
Actual update 15250 of 50000, Stored update 15250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.803547
Actual update 15300 of 50000, Stored update 15300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.167102
Actual update 15350 of 50000, Stored update 15350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.604350
Actual update 15400 of 50000, Stored update 15400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.255631
Actual update 15450 of 50000, Stored update 15450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.456820
Actual update 15500 of 50000, Stored update 15500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.606477
Actual update 15550 of 50000, Stored update 15550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.044294
Actual update 15600 of 50000, Stored update 15600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.924194
Actual update 15650 of 50000, Stored update 15650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.364978
Actual update 15700 of 50000, Stored update 15700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.766288
Actual update 15750 of 50000, Stored update 15750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.535045
Actual update 15800 of 50000, Stored update 15800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.545029
Actual update 15850 of 50000, Stored update 15850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.248282
Actual update 15900 of 50000, Stored update 15900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.060531
Actual update 15950 of 50000, Stored update 15950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.245647
Actual update 16000 of 50000, Stored update 16000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.589976
Actual update 16050 of 50000, Stored update 16050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.263983
Actual update 16100 of 50000, Stored update 16100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.937739
Actual update 16150 of 50000, Stored update 16150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.680220
Actual update 16200 of 50000, Stored update 16200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.389519
Actual update 16250 of 50000, Stored update 16250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.458104
Actual update 16300 of 50000, Stored update 16300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.520659
Actual update 16350 of 50000, Stored update 16350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.641825
Actual update 16400 of 50000, Stored update 16400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.580013
Actual update 16450 of 50000, Stored update 16450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.411061
Actual update 16500 of 50000, Stored update 16500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1999.617373
Actual update 16550 of 50000, Stored update 16550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.929909
Actual update 16600 of 50000, Stored update 16600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.538651
Actual update 16650 of 50000, Stored update 16650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.472756
Actual update 16700 of 50000, Stored update 16700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.251771
Actual update 16750 of 50000, Stored update 16750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.333136
Actual update 16800 of 50000, Stored update 16800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.672928
Actual update 16850 of 50000, Stored update 16850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.698484
Actual update 16900 of 50000, Stored update 16900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.911057
Actual update 16950 of 50000, Stored update 16950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.093683
Actual update 17000 of 50000, Stored update 17000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.455232
Actual update 17050 of 50000, Stored update 17050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.874844
Actual update 17100 of 50000, Stored update 17100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.401671
Actual update 17150 of 50000, Stored update 17150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.931797
Actual update 17200 of 50000, Stored update 17200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.132246
Actual update 17250 of 50000, Stored update 17250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2059.153784
Actual update 17300 of 50000, Stored update 17300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.143335
Actual update 17350 of 50000, Stored update 17350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.103890
Actual update 17400 of 50000, Stored update 17400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.937102
Actual update 17450 of 50000, Stored update 17450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.869226
Actual update 17500 of 50000, Stored update 17500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.783136
Actual update 17550 of 50000, Stored update 17550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.883956
Actual update 17600 of 50000, Stored update 17600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.808314
Actual update 17650 of 50000, Stored update 17650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2062.541988
Actual update 17700 of 50000, Stored update 17700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.077489
Actual update 17750 of 50000, Stored update 17750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.690699
Actual update 17800 of 50000, Stored update 17800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.304262
Actual update 17850 of 50000, Stored update 17850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.652970
Actual update 17900 of 50000, Stored update 17900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.496926
Actual update 17950 of 50000, Stored update 17950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.190861
Actual update 18000 of 50000, Stored update 18000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2054.787885
Actual update 18050 of 50000, Stored update 18050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.605272
Actual update 18100 of 50000, Stored update 18100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.227193
Actual update 18150 of 50000, Stored update 18150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.302940
Actual update 18200 of 50000, Stored update 18200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.463236
Actual update 18250 of 50000, Stored update 18250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.549188
Actual update 18300 of 50000, Stored update 18300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.658676
Actual update 18350 of 50000, Stored update 18350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.630068
Actual update 18400 of 50000, Stored update 18400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.050061
Actual update 18450 of 50000, Stored update 18450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.372212
Actual update 18500 of 50000, Stored update 18500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.059433
Actual update 18550 of 50000, Stored update 18550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.013380
Actual update 18600 of 50000, Stored update 18600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.510593
Actual update 18650 of 50000, Stored update 18650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.895905
Actual update 18700 of 50000, Stored update 18700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.268329
Actual update 18750 of 50000, Stored update 18750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.051737
Actual update 18800 of 50000, Stored update 18800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.688544
Actual update 18850 of 50000, Stored update 18850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.235374
Actual update 18900 of 50000, Stored update 18900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.718726
Actual update 18950 of 50000, Stored update 18950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.669632
Actual update 19000 of 50000, Stored update 19000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.403395
Actual update 19050 of 50000, Stored update 19050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2070.853463
Actual update 19100 of 50000, Stored update 19100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.911036
Actual update 19150 of 50000, Stored update 19150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.628305
Actual update 19200 of 50000, Stored update 19200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.740553
Actual update 19250 of 50000, Stored update 19250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.017419
Actual update 19300 of 50000, Stored update 19300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.100444
Actual update 19350 of 50000, Stored update 19350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.695543
Actual update 19400 of 50000, Stored update 19400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.697286
Actual update 19450 of 50000, Stored update 19450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.416963
Actual update 19500 of 50000, Stored update 19500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.188516
Actual update 19550 of 50000, Stored update 19550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.995849
Actual update 19600 of 50000, Stored update 19600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.632335
Actual update 19650 of 50000, Stored update 19650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.388689
Actual update 19700 of 50000, Stored update 19700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.606567
Actual update 19750 of 50000, Stored update 19750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.773662
Actual update 19800 of 50000, Stored update 19800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.817496
Actual update 19850 of 50000, Stored update 19850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.312935
Actual update 19900 of 50000, Stored update 19900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.102604
Actual update 19950 of 50000, Stored update 19950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.313491
Actual update 20000 of 50000, Stored update 20000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.569789
Actual update 20050 of 50000, Stored update 20050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.833604
Actual update 20100 of 50000, Stored update 20100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.610014
Actual update 20150 of 50000, Stored update 20150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.977782
Actual update 20200 of 50000, Stored update 20200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.295870
Actual update 20250 of 50000, Stored update 20250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.555148
Actual update 20300 of 50000, Stored update 20300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.198547
Actual update 20350 of 50000, Stored update 20350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.939559
Actual update 20400 of 50000, Stored update 20400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.482457
Actual update 20450 of 50000, Stored update 20450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.879772
Actual update 20500 of 50000, Stored update 20500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.215079
Actual update 20550 of 50000, Stored update 20550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.588952
Actual update 20600 of 50000, Stored update 20600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.600721
Actual update 20650 of 50000, Stored update 20650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.486725
Actual update 20700 of 50000, Stored update 20700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.348357
Actual update 20750 of 50000, Stored update 20750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.733645
Actual update 20800 of 50000, Stored update 20800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.683728
Actual update 20850 of 50000, Stored update 20850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.477308
Actual update 20900 of 50000, Stored update 20900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.559138
Actual update 20950 of 50000, Stored update 20950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.009757
Actual update 21000 of 50000, Stored update 21000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.912321
Actual update 21050 of 50000, Stored update 21050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.211582
Actual update 21100 of 50000, Stored update 21100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.012646
Actual update 21150 of 50000, Stored update 21150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.173285
Actual update 21200 of 50000, Stored update 21200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.930362
Actual update 21250 of 50000, Stored update 21250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.950844
Actual update 21300 of 50000, Stored update 21300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.313010
Actual update 21350 of 50000, Stored update 21350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.864061
Actual update 21400 of 50000, Stored update 21400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.151163
Actual update 21450 of 50000, Stored update 21450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.319426
Actual update 21500 of 50000, Stored update 21500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.538334
Actual update 21550 of 50000, Stored update 21550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.220488
Actual update 21600 of 50000, Stored update 21600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2059.298544
Actual update 21650 of 50000, Stored update 21650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.758862
Actual update 21700 of 50000, Stored update 21700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.595761
Actual update 21750 of 50000, Stored update 21750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.343621
Actual update 21800 of 50000, Stored update 21800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.376413
Actual update 21850 of 50000, Stored update 21850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.566124
Actual update 21900 of 50000, Stored update 21900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.967342
Actual update 21950 of 50000, Stored update 21950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.475784
Actual update 22000 of 50000, Stored update 22000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.868919
Actual update 22050 of 50000, Stored update 22050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.126570
Actual update 22100 of 50000, Stored update 22100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.404657
Actual update 22150 of 50000, Stored update 22150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.714072
Actual update 22200 of 50000, Stored update 22200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.009488
Actual update 22250 of 50000, Stored update 22250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.439211
Actual update 22300 of 50000, Stored update 22300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.589181
Actual update 22350 of 50000, Stored update 22350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.269128
Actual update 22400 of 50000, Stored update 22400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.509836
Actual update 22450 of 50000, Stored update 22450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.899979
Actual update 22500 of 50000, Stored update 22500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.473997
Actual update 22550 of 50000, Stored update 22550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.584011
Actual update 22600 of 50000, Stored update 22600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.786306
Actual update 22650 of 50000, Stored update 22650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.963147
Actual update 22700 of 50000, Stored update 22700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.662950
Actual update 22750 of 50000, Stored update 22750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.138581
Actual update 22800 of 50000, Stored update 22800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.090322
Actual update 22850 of 50000, Stored update 22850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.016542
Actual update 22900 of 50000, Stored update 22900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.057188
Actual update 22950 of 50000, Stored update 22950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.219004
Actual update 23000 of 50000, Stored update 23000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.453744
Actual update 23050 of 50000, Stored update 23050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.687523
Actual update 23100 of 50000, Stored update 23100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.815320
Actual update 23150 of 50000, Stored update 23150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.209637
Actual update 23200 of 50000, Stored update 23200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.353001
Actual update 23250 of 50000, Stored update 23250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.151383
Actual update 23300 of 50000, Stored update 23300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.305773
Actual update 23350 of 50000, Stored update 23350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.398716
Actual update 23400 of 50000, Stored update 23400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.466397
Actual update 23450 of 50000, Stored update 23450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.322313
Actual update 23500 of 50000, Stored update 23500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.390740
Actual update 23550 of 50000, Stored update 23550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.340409
Actual update 23600 of 50000, Stored update 23600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.011046
Actual update 23650 of 50000, Stored update 23650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.600784
Actual update 23700 of 50000, Stored update 23700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.080109
Actual update 23750 of 50000, Stored update 23750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.624530
Actual update 23800 of 50000, Stored update 23800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.304535
Actual update 23850 of 50000, Stored update 23850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.884447
Actual update 23900 of 50000, Stored update 23900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.722433
Actual update 23950 of 50000, Stored update 23950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.936569
Actual update 24000 of 50000, Stored update 24000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.780229
Actual update 24050 of 50000, Stored update 24050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.871197
Actual update 24100 of 50000, Stored update 24100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.494503
Actual update 24150 of 50000, Stored update 24150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.027573
Actual update 24200 of 50000, Stored update 24200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.010697
Actual update 24250 of 50000, Stored update 24250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.867733
Actual update 24300 of 50000, Stored update 24300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.457782
Actual update 24350 of 50000, Stored update 24350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1994.509930
Actual update 24400 of 50000, Stored update 24400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.977529
Actual update 24450 of 50000, Stored update 24450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.617908
Actual update 24500 of 50000, Stored update 24500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.461922
Actual update 24550 of 50000, Stored update 24550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.808132
Actual update 24600 of 50000, Stored update 24600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.416804
Actual update 24650 of 50000, Stored update 24650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.193043
Actual update 24700 of 50000, Stored update 24700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.931766
Actual update 24750 of 50000, Stored update 24750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.236960
Actual update 24800 of 50000, Stored update 24800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.950583
Actual update 24850 of 50000, Stored update 24850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.193773
Actual update 24900 of 50000, Stored update 24900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.491544
Actual update 24950 of 50000, Stored update 24950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.328625
Actual update 25000 of 50000, Stored update 25000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.876962
Actual update 25050 of 50000, Stored update 25050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.348369
Actual update 25100 of 50000, Stored update 25100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.571567
Actual update 25150 of 50000, Stored update 25150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.072126
Actual update 25200 of 50000, Stored update 25200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.147651
Actual update 25250 of 50000, Stored update 25250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.388243
Actual update 25300 of 50000, Stored update 25300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.310827
Actual update 25350 of 50000, Stored update 25350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.989508
Actual update 25400 of 50000, Stored update 25400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.683911
Actual update 25450 of 50000, Stored update 25450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.655336
Actual update 25500 of 50000, Stored update 25500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.929352
Actual update 25550 of 50000, Stored update 25550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.180862
Actual update 25600 of 50000, Stored update 25600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.724948
Actual update 25650 of 50000, Stored update 25650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.863454
Actual update 25700 of 50000, Stored update 25700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.965550
Actual update 25750 of 50000, Stored update 25750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.860228
Actual update 25800 of 50000, Stored update 25800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.058143
Actual update 25850 of 50000, Stored update 25850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.995673
Actual update 25900 of 50000, Stored update 25900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.825579
Actual update 25950 of 50000, Stored update 25950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.874450
Actual update 26000 of 50000, Stored update 26000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.740323
Actual update 26050 of 50000, Stored update 26050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.837005
Actual update 26100 of 50000, Stored update 26100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.103049
Actual update 26150 of 50000, Stored update 26150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.293941
Actual update 26200 of 50000, Stored update 26200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.363773
Actual update 26250 of 50000, Stored update 26250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.479819
Actual update 26300 of 50000, Stored update 26300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2070.634490
Actual update 26350 of 50000, Stored update 26350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.477082
Actual update 26400 of 50000, Stored update 26400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.638218
Actual update 26450 of 50000, Stored update 26450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.798425
Actual update 26500 of 50000, Stored update 26500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.729539
Actual update 26550 of 50000, Stored update 26550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.843165
Actual update 26600 of 50000, Stored update 26600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.616828
Actual update 26650 of 50000, Stored update 26650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.477110
Actual update 26700 of 50000, Stored update 26700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.145023
Actual update 26750 of 50000, Stored update 26750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.424494
Actual update 26800 of 50000, Stored update 26800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.540217
Actual update 26850 of 50000, Stored update 26850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.910841
Actual update 26900 of 50000, Stored update 26900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.990806
Actual update 26950 of 50000, Stored update 26950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.718296
Actual update 27000 of 50000, Stored update 27000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.315952
Actual update 27050 of 50000, Stored update 27050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.591976
Actual update 27100 of 50000, Stored update 27100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.014665
Actual update 27150 of 50000, Stored update 27150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.316698
Actual update 27200 of 50000, Stored update 27200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.593341
Actual update 27250 of 50000, Stored update 27250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.919712
Actual update 27300 of 50000, Stored update 27300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.785233
Actual update 27350 of 50000, Stored update 27350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.894283
Actual update 27400 of 50000, Stored update 27400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.231256
Actual update 27450 of 50000, Stored update 27450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.076716
Actual update 27500 of 50000, Stored update 27500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.691209
Actual update 27550 of 50000, Stored update 27550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.754593
Actual update 27600 of 50000, Stored update 27600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.711690
Actual update 27650 of 50000, Stored update 27650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.151933
Actual update 27700 of 50000, Stored update 27700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.666380
Actual update 27750 of 50000, Stored update 27750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.106082
Actual update 27800 of 50000, Stored update 27800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.878501
Actual update 27850 of 50000, Stored update 27850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.664574
Actual update 27900 of 50000, Stored update 27900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.757927
Actual update 27950 of 50000, Stored update 27950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.236716
Actual update 28000 of 50000, Stored update 28000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.814245
Actual update 28050 of 50000, Stored update 28050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.140399
Actual update 28100 of 50000, Stored update 28100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.212026
Actual update 28150 of 50000, Stored update 28150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.638944
Actual update 28200 of 50000, Stored update 28200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.991924
Actual update 28250 of 50000, Stored update 28250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.183993
Actual update 28300 of 50000, Stored update 28300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.727768
Actual update 28350 of 50000, Stored update 28350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.647405
Actual update 28400 of 50000, Stored update 28400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.600839
Actual update 28450 of 50000, Stored update 28450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.568989
Actual update 28500 of 50000, Stored update 28500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.218246
Actual update 28550 of 50000, Stored update 28550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.489128
Actual update 28600 of 50000, Stored update 28600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.047853
Actual update 28650 of 50000, Stored update 28650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.672209
Actual update 28700 of 50000, Stored update 28700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.232429
Actual update 28750 of 50000, Stored update 28750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.780654
Actual update 28800 of 50000, Stored update 28800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.629818
Actual update 28850 of 50000, Stored update 28850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.777310
Actual update 28900 of 50000, Stored update 28900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.207928
Actual update 28950 of 50000, Stored update 28950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.562720
Actual update 29000 of 50000, Stored update 29000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.154616
Actual update 29050 of 50000, Stored update 29050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.404386
Actual update 29100 of 50000, Stored update 29100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.694491
Actual update 29150 of 50000, Stored update 29150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.829103
Actual update 29200 of 50000, Stored update 29200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.119516
Actual update 29250 of 50000, Stored update 29250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.594112
Actual update 29300 of 50000, Stored update 29300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.785146
Actual update 29350 of 50000, Stored update 29350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.945655
Actual update 29400 of 50000, Stored update 29400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.521310
Actual update 29450 of 50000, Stored update 29450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.463201
Actual update 29500 of 50000, Stored update 29500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.347628
Actual update 29550 of 50000, Stored update 29550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.297468
Actual update 29600 of 50000, Stored update 29600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.475867
Actual update 29650 of 50000, Stored update 29650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.112975
Actual update 29700 of 50000, Stored update 29700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.077122
Actual update 29750 of 50000, Stored update 29750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.646389
Actual update 29800 of 50000, Stored update 29800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.525062
Actual update 29850 of 50000, Stored update 29850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.715045
Actual update 29900 of 50000, Stored update 29900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.033653
Actual update 29950 of 50000, Stored update 29950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.481455
Actual update 30000 of 50000, Stored update 30000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.868684
Actual update 30050 of 50000, Stored update 30050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.515579
Actual update 30100 of 50000, Stored update 30100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.124197
Actual update 30150 of 50000, Stored update 30150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.368066
Actual update 30200 of 50000, Stored update 30200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.484450
Actual update 30250 of 50000, Stored update 30250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.261206
Actual update 30300 of 50000, Stored update 30300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.532134
Actual update 30350 of 50000, Stored update 30350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.329582
Actual update 30400 of 50000, Stored update 30400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.333358
Actual update 30450 of 50000, Stored update 30450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.674427
Actual update 30500 of 50000, Stored update 30500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.503343
Actual update 30550 of 50000, Stored update 30550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.814669
Actual update 30600 of 50000, Stored update 30600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.082685
Actual update 30650 of 50000, Stored update 30650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.897828
Actual update 30700 of 50000, Stored update 30700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.921011
Actual update 30750 of 50000, Stored update 30750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2058.730681
Actual update 30800 of 50000, Stored update 30800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.526581
Actual update 30850 of 50000, Stored update 30850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.820549
Actual update 30900 of 50000, Stored update 30900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.057826
Actual update 30950 of 50000, Stored update 30950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.627231
Actual update 31000 of 50000, Stored update 31000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.751991
Actual update 31050 of 50000, Stored update 31050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.577273
Actual update 31100 of 50000, Stored update 31100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.992259
Actual update 31150 of 50000, Stored update 31150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.755866
Actual update 31200 of 50000, Stored update 31200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.383425
Actual update 31250 of 50000, Stored update 31250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.804272
Actual update 31300 of 50000, Stored update 31300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.108061
Actual update 31350 of 50000, Stored update 31350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.962579
Actual update 31400 of 50000, Stored update 31400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.961092
Actual update 31450 of 50000, Stored update 31450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.168610
Actual update 31500 of 50000, Stored update 31500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.984211
Actual update 31550 of 50000, Stored update 31550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.380139
Actual update 31600 of 50000, Stored update 31600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.933028
Actual update 31650 of 50000, Stored update 31650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.702144
Actual update 31700 of 50000, Stored update 31700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.716864
Actual update 31750 of 50000, Stored update 31750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.242096
Actual update 31800 of 50000, Stored update 31800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.873862
Actual update 31850 of 50000, Stored update 31850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.935394
Actual update 31900 of 50000, Stored update 31900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.075267
Actual update 31950 of 50000, Stored update 31950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.720691
Actual update 32000 of 50000, Stored update 32000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.864242
Actual update 32050 of 50000, Stored update 32050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.041316
Actual update 32100 of 50000, Stored update 32100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.555466
Actual update 32150 of 50000, Stored update 32150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.460635
Actual update 32200 of 50000, Stored update 32200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2059.044538
Actual update 32250 of 50000, Stored update 32250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.056355
Actual update 32300 of 50000, Stored update 32300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.730788
Actual update 32350 of 50000, Stored update 32350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.361418
Actual update 32400 of 50000, Stored update 32400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.622549
Actual update 32450 of 50000, Stored update 32450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.114472
Actual update 32500 of 50000, Stored update 32500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.535128
Actual update 32550 of 50000, Stored update 32550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.274912
Actual update 32600 of 50000, Stored update 32600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.496527
Actual update 32650 of 50000, Stored update 32650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.725780
Actual update 32700 of 50000, Stored update 32700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.678788
Actual update 32750 of 50000, Stored update 32750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.074808
Actual update 32800 of 50000, Stored update 32800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.736834
Actual update 32850 of 50000, Stored update 32850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.418938
Actual update 32900 of 50000, Stored update 32900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.034869
Actual update 32950 of 50000, Stored update 32950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.722394
Actual update 33000 of 50000, Stored update 33000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.373063
Actual update 33050 of 50000, Stored update 33050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.634353
Actual update 33100 of 50000, Stored update 33100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.615617
Actual update 33150 of 50000, Stored update 33150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.555921
Actual update 33200 of 50000, Stored update 33200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.295426
Actual update 33250 of 50000, Stored update 33250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.712370
Actual update 33300 of 50000, Stored update 33300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.228967
Actual update 33350 of 50000, Stored update 33350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.507339
Actual update 33400 of 50000, Stored update 33400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.223859
Actual update 33450 of 50000, Stored update 33450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.613155
Actual update 33500 of 50000, Stored update 33500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.806036
Actual update 33550 of 50000, Stored update 33550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.868433
Actual update 33600 of 50000, Stored update 33600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.419776
Actual update 33650 of 50000, Stored update 33650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.993165
Actual update 33700 of 50000, Stored update 33700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.769823
Actual update 33750 of 50000, Stored update 33750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.926027
Actual update 33800 of 50000, Stored update 33800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.891967
Actual update 33850 of 50000, Stored update 33850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.313459
Actual update 33900 of 50000, Stored update 33900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.926565
Actual update 33950 of 50000, Stored update 33950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.104203
Actual update 34000 of 50000, Stored update 34000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.382924
Actual update 34050 of 50000, Stored update 34050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.540816
Actual update 34100 of 50000, Stored update 34100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.231187
Actual update 34150 of 50000, Stored update 34150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.278535
Actual update 34200 of 50000, Stored update 34200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.422747
Actual update 34250 of 50000, Stored update 34250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.009175
Actual update 34300 of 50000, Stored update 34300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.584622
Actual update 34350 of 50000, Stored update 34350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2063.352717
Actual update 34400 of 50000, Stored update 34400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.971246
Actual update 34450 of 50000, Stored update 34450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.523493
Actual update 34500 of 50000, Stored update 34500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.296657
Actual update 34550 of 50000, Stored update 34550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.326759
Actual update 34600 of 50000, Stored update 34600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.530182
Actual update 34650 of 50000, Stored update 34650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.169481
Actual update 34700 of 50000, Stored update 34700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.927189
Actual update 34750 of 50000, Stored update 34750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.946736
Actual update 34800 of 50000, Stored update 34800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.194063
Actual update 34850 of 50000, Stored update 34850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.733695
Actual update 34900 of 50000, Stored update 34900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.497045
Actual update 34950 of 50000, Stored update 34950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.474711
Actual update 35000 of 50000, Stored update 35000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.158307
Actual update 35050 of 50000, Stored update 35050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.201525
Actual update 35100 of 50000, Stored update 35100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.671214
Actual update 35150 of 50000, Stored update 35150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.690481
Actual update 35200 of 50000, Stored update 35200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.290287
Actual update 35250 of 50000, Stored update 35250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2053.762109
Actual update 35300 of 50000, Stored update 35300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.752649
Actual update 35350 of 50000, Stored update 35350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.924725
Actual update 35400 of 50000, Stored update 35400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.890164
Actual update 35450 of 50000, Stored update 35450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.040709
Actual update 35500 of 50000, Stored update 35500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.376902
Actual update 35550 of 50000, Stored update 35550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2051.643685
Actual update 35600 of 50000, Stored update 35600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.806104
Actual update 35650 of 50000, Stored update 35650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.443654
Actual update 35700 of 50000, Stored update 35700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.974467
Actual update 35750 of 50000, Stored update 35750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.388767
Actual update 35800 of 50000, Stored update 35800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.299934
Actual update 35850 of 50000, Stored update 35850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.793355
Actual update 35900 of 50000, Stored update 35900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.183868
Actual update 35950 of 50000, Stored update 35950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.274483
Actual update 36000 of 50000, Stored update 36000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.832513
Actual update 36050 of 50000, Stored update 36050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.416166
Actual update 36100 of 50000, Stored update 36100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.715547
Actual update 36150 of 50000, Stored update 36150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.729406
Actual update 36200 of 50000, Stored update 36200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.528939
Actual update 36250 of 50000, Stored update 36250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.569710
Actual update 36300 of 50000, Stored update 36300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.878105
Actual update 36350 of 50000, Stored update 36350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.047506
Actual update 36400 of 50000, Stored update 36400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.696973
Actual update 36450 of 50000, Stored update 36450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.819854
Actual update 36500 of 50000, Stored update 36500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.983827
Actual update 36550 of 50000, Stored update 36550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.955354
Actual update 36600 of 50000, Stored update 36600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.043896
Actual update 36650 of 50000, Stored update 36650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.661016
Actual update 36700 of 50000, Stored update 36700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.326973
Actual update 36750 of 50000, Stored update 36750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.394699
Actual update 36800 of 50000, Stored update 36800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.237967
Actual update 36850 of 50000, Stored update 36850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.384216
Actual update 36900 of 50000, Stored update 36900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2002.989685
Actual update 36950 of 50000, Stored update 36950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.844080
Actual update 37000 of 50000, Stored update 37000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.967108
Actual update 37050 of 50000, Stored update 37050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.190416
Actual update 37100 of 50000, Stored update 37100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.386666
Actual update 37150 of 50000, Stored update 37150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.816620
Actual update 37200 of 50000, Stored update 37200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.030444
Actual update 37250 of 50000, Stored update 37250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.521732
Actual update 37300 of 50000, Stored update 37300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.479950
Actual update 37350 of 50000, Stored update 37350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.946976
Actual update 37400 of 50000, Stored update 37400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.646021
Actual update 37450 of 50000, Stored update 37450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.492760
Actual update 37500 of 50000, Stored update 37500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.385140
Actual update 37550 of 50000, Stored update 37550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.983444
Actual update 37600 of 50000, Stored update 37600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2052.009812
Actual update 37650 of 50000, Stored update 37650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.296627
Actual update 37700 of 50000, Stored update 37700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2005.593127
Actual update 37750 of 50000, Stored update 37750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.684301
Actual update 37800 of 50000, Stored update 37800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.895579
Actual update 37850 of 50000, Stored update 37850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.930673
Actual update 37900 of 50000, Stored update 37900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.892839
Actual update 37950 of 50000, Stored update 37950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.416995
Actual update 38000 of 50000, Stored update 38000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.559459
Actual update 38050 of 50000, Stored update 38050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2037.746237
Actual update 38100 of 50000, Stored update 38100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.616410
Actual update 38150 of 50000, Stored update 38150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.795290
Actual update 38200 of 50000, Stored update 38200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.677672
Actual update 38250 of 50000, Stored update 38250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.378872
Actual update 38300 of 50000, Stored update 38300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.856856
Actual update 38350 of 50000, Stored update 38350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.587487
Actual update 38400 of 50000, Stored update 38400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.884576
Actual update 38450 of 50000, Stored update 38450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.737310
Actual update 38500 of 50000, Stored update 38500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.566223
Actual update 38550 of 50000, Stored update 38550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 1996.166605
Actual update 38600 of 50000, Stored update 38600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.649119
Actual update 38650 of 50000, Stored update 38650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.919476
Actual update 38700 of 50000, Stored update 38700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.254783
Actual update 38750 of 50000, Stored update 38750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.310994
Actual update 38800 of 50000, Stored update 38800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.673065
Actual update 38850 of 50000, Stored update 38850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.227130
Actual update 38900 of 50000, Stored update 38900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.182019
Actual update 38950 of 50000, Stored update 38950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.319634
Actual update 39000 of 50000, Stored update 39000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.391069
Actual update 39050 of 50000, Stored update 39050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.583321
Actual update 39100 of 50000, Stored update 39100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.542618
Actual update 39150 of 50000, Stored update 39150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.827348
Actual update 39200 of 50000, Stored update 39200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.139484
Actual update 39250 of 50000, Stored update 39250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.527268
Actual update 39300 of 50000, Stored update 39300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.401505
Actual update 39350 of 50000, Stored update 39350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.664430
Actual update 39400 of 50000, Stored update 39400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.262399
Actual update 39450 of 50000, Stored update 39450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.427603
Actual update 39500 of 50000, Stored update 39500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.016119
Actual update 39550 of 50000, Stored update 39550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.543441
Actual update 39600 of 50000, Stored update 39600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.184690
Actual update 39650 of 50000, Stored update 39650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.236665
Actual update 39700 of 50000, Stored update 39700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.519501
Actual update 39750 of 50000, Stored update 39750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.546142
Actual update 39800 of 50000, Stored update 39800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.795389
Actual update 39850 of 50000, Stored update 39850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.041619
Actual update 39900 of 50000, Stored update 39900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.170481
Actual update 39950 of 50000, Stored update 39950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.165626
Actual update 40000 of 50000, Stored update 40000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.939510
Actual update 40050 of 50000, Stored update 40050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.917691
Actual update 40100 of 50000, Stored update 40100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2043.419744
Actual update 40150 of 50000, Stored update 40150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.963290
Actual update 40200 of 50000, Stored update 40200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.676338
Actual update 40250 of 50000, Stored update 40250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.812491
Actual update 40300 of 50000, Stored update 40300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.476986
Actual update 40350 of 50000, Stored update 40350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.724131
Actual update 40400 of 50000, Stored update 40400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.464633
Actual update 40450 of 50000, Stored update 40450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.329199
Actual update 40500 of 50000, Stored update 40500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.881627
Actual update 40550 of 50000, Stored update 40550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2050.694108
Actual update 40600 of 50000, Stored update 40600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.651595
Actual update 40650 of 50000, Stored update 40650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.346218
Actual update 40700 of 50000, Stored update 40700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.441818
Actual update 40750 of 50000, Stored update 40750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.148564
Actual update 40800 of 50000, Stored update 40800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.166829
Actual update 40850 of 50000, Stored update 40850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.120217
Actual update 40900 of 50000, Stored update 40900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.242101
Actual update 40950 of 50000, Stored update 40950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.600892
Actual update 41000 of 50000, Stored update 41000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.496378
Actual update 41050 of 50000, Stored update 41050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2060.369940
Actual update 41100 of 50000, Stored update 41100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.637405
Actual update 41150 of 50000, Stored update 41150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.763687
Actual update 41200 of 50000, Stored update 41200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.744049
Actual update 41250 of 50000, Stored update 41250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.659822
Actual update 41300 of 50000, Stored update 41300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.578636
Actual update 41350 of 50000, Stored update 41350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.900335
Actual update 41400 of 50000, Stored update 41400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.330541
Actual update 41450 of 50000, Stored update 41450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.730192
Actual update 41500 of 50000, Stored update 41500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.614255
Actual update 41550 of 50000, Stored update 41550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.457758
Actual update 41600 of 50000, Stored update 41600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.424976
Actual update 41650 of 50000, Stored update 41650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.828459
Actual update 41700 of 50000, Stored update 41700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.353252
Actual update 41750 of 50000, Stored update 41750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.160773
Actual update 41800 of 50000, Stored update 41800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.402161
Actual update 41850 of 50000, Stored update 41850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.239680
Actual update 41900 of 50000, Stored update 41900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.169723
Actual update 41950 of 50000, Stored update 41950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.779976
Actual update 42000 of 50000, Stored update 42000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2055.104271
Actual update 42050 of 50000, Stored update 42050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.926129
Actual update 42100 of 50000, Stored update 42100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.026712
Actual update 42150 of 50000, Stored update 42150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.146783
Actual update 42200 of 50000, Stored update 42200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.513480
Actual update 42250 of 50000, Stored update 42250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.598898
Actual update 42300 of 50000, Stored update 42300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.835900
Actual update 42350 of 50000, Stored update 42350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.504578
Actual update 42400 of 50000, Stored update 42400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.758543
Actual update 42450 of 50000, Stored update 42450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.703685
Actual update 42500 of 50000, Stored update 42500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.762950
Actual update 42550 of 50000, Stored update 42550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.696155
Actual update 42600 of 50000, Stored update 42600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.333956
Actual update 42650 of 50000, Stored update 42650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.691572
Actual update 42700 of 50000, Stored update 42700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.868565
Actual update 42750 of 50000, Stored update 42750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.896086
Actual update 42800 of 50000, Stored update 42800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.642062
Actual update 42850 of 50000, Stored update 42850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.894461
Actual update 42900 of 50000, Stored update 42900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.360042
Actual update 42950 of 50000, Stored update 42950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.600651
Actual update 43000 of 50000, Stored update 43000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.125686
Actual update 43050 of 50000, Stored update 43050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.500061
Actual update 43100 of 50000, Stored update 43100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.605670
Actual update 43150 of 50000, Stored update 43150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2021.854655
Actual update 43200 of 50000, Stored update 43200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.024005
Actual update 43250 of 50000, Stored update 43250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.594878
Actual update 43300 of 50000, Stored update 43300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.003848
Actual update 43350 of 50000, Stored update 43350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.521076
Actual update 43400 of 50000, Stored update 43400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.447008
Actual update 43450 of 50000, Stored update 43450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.167845
Actual update 43500 of 50000, Stored update 43500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2057.342114
Actual update 43550 of 50000, Stored update 43550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.560641
Actual update 43600 of 50000, Stored update 43600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.100662
Actual update 43650 of 50000, Stored update 43650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.093257
Actual update 43700 of 50000, Stored update 43700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.852594
Actual update 43750 of 50000, Stored update 43750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.505296
Actual update 43800 of 50000, Stored update 43800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.396349
Actual update 43850 of 50000, Stored update 43850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.879046
Actual update 43900 of 50000, Stored update 43900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2003.849571
Actual update 43950 of 50000, Stored update 43950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.232786
Actual update 44000 of 50000, Stored update 44000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.543083
Actual update 44050 of 50000, Stored update 44050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.852601
Actual update 44100 of 50000, Stored update 44100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2033.850756
Actual update 44150 of 50000, Stored update 44150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.003779
Actual update 44200 of 50000, Stored update 44200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.605396
Actual update 44250 of 50000, Stored update 44250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.687237
Actual update 44300 of 50000, Stored update 44300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.184030
Actual update 44350 of 50000, Stored update 44350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.673652
Actual update 44400 of 50000, Stored update 44400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.103190
Actual update 44450 of 50000, Stored update 44450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2000.640715
Actual update 44500 of 50000, Stored update 44500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.269300
Actual update 44550 of 50000, Stored update 44550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.387761
Actual update 44600 of 50000, Stored update 44600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.207070
Actual update 44650 of 50000, Stored update 44650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2035.483397
Actual update 44700 of 50000, Stored update 44700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.839007
Actual update 44750 of 50000, Stored update 44750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2006.869470
Actual update 44800 of 50000, Stored update 44800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.455175
Actual update 44850 of 50000, Stored update 44850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.273832
Actual update 44900 of 50000, Stored update 44900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.094558
Actual update 44950 of 50000, Stored update 44950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.134441
Actual update 45000 of 50000, Stored update 45000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.049126
Actual update 45050 of 50000, Stored update 45050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.206141
Actual update 45100 of 50000, Stored update 45100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.601861
Actual update 45150 of 50000, Stored update 45150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2056.145276
Actual update 45200 of 50000, Stored update 45200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.172243
Actual update 45250 of 50000, Stored update 45250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.555253
Actual update 45300 of 50000, Stored update 45300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2036.202419
Actual update 45350 of 50000, Stored update 45350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.179450
Actual update 45400 of 50000, Stored update 45400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.594554
Actual update 45450 of 50000, Stored update 45450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.139414
Actual update 45500 of 50000, Stored update 45500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.305276
Actual update 45550 of 50000, Stored update 45550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.137148
Actual update 45600 of 50000, Stored update 45600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.311558
Actual update 45650 of 50000, Stored update 45650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.795896
Actual update 45700 of 50000, Stored update 45700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.918846
Actual update 45750 of 50000, Stored update 45750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2012.956290
Actual update 45800 of 50000, Stored update 45800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.494326
Actual update 45850 of 50000, Stored update 45850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.693569
Actual update 45900 of 50000, Stored update 45900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.893560
Actual update 45950 of 50000, Stored update 45950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.719240
Actual update 46000 of 50000, Stored update 46000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2042.537689
Actual update 46050 of 50000, Stored update 46050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.169167
Actual update 46100 of 50000, Stored update 46100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.998470
Actual update 46150 of 50000, Stored update 46150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.358283
Actual update 46200 of 50000, Stored update 46200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.314739
Actual update 46250 of 50000, Stored update 46250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.959256
Actual update 46300 of 50000, Stored update 46300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.187159
Actual update 46350 of 50000, Stored update 46350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.057354
Actual update 46400 of 50000, Stored update 46400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.363605
Actual update 46450 of 50000, Stored update 46450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.763101
Actual update 46500 of 50000, Stored update 46500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2067.925633
Actual update 46550 of 50000, Stored update 46550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.562287
Actual update 46600 of 50000, Stored update 46600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2014.945815
Actual update 46650 of 50000, Stored update 46650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.699114
Actual update 46700 of 50000, Stored update 46700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.872416
Actual update 46750 of 50000, Stored update 46750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.440304
Actual update 46800 of 50000, Stored update 46800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2064.222112
Actual update 46850 of 50000, Stored update 46850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2011.939467
Actual update 46900 of 50000, Stored update 46900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2024.932945
Actual update 46950 of 50000, Stored update 46950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.357027
Actual update 47000 of 50000, Stored update 47000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.941795
Actual update 47050 of 50000, Stored update 47050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.350950
Actual update 47100 of 50000, Stored update 47100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.655167
Actual update 47150 of 50000, Stored update 47150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.094782
Actual update 47200 of 50000, Stored update 47200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.142007
Actual update 47250 of 50000, Stored update 47250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.543262
Actual update 47300 of 50000, Stored update 47300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2044.596587
Actual update 47350 of 50000, Stored update 47350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2001.902216
Actual update 47400 of 50000, Stored update 47400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.562880
Actual update 47450 of 50000, Stored update 47450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.709649
Actual update 47500 of 50000, Stored update 47500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.625144
Actual update 47550 of 50000, Stored update 47550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2007.980115
Actual update 47600 of 50000, Stored update 47600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2017.302713
Actual update 47650 of 50000, Stored update 47650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.924768
Actual update 47700 of 50000, Stored update 47700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.523400
Actual update 47750 of 50000, Stored update 47750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.039735
Actual update 47800 of 50000, Stored update 47800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.133070
Actual update 47850 of 50000, Stored update 47850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2025.121782
Actual update 47900 of 50000, Stored update 47900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.738674
Actual update 47950 of 50000, Stored update 47950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2020.347224
Actual update 48000 of 50000, Stored update 48000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2048.517421
Actual update 48050 of 50000, Stored update 48050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2047.492845
Actual update 48100 of 50000, Stored update 48100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2038.616079
Actual update 48150 of 50000, Stored update 48150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.276854
Actual update 48200 of 50000, Stored update 48200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2009.635349
Actual update 48250 of 50000, Stored update 48250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.726827
Actual update 48300 of 50000, Stored update 48300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2023.998287
Actual update 48350 of 50000, Stored update 48350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.977217
Actual update 48400 of 50000, Stored update 48400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.141429
Actual update 48450 of 50000, Stored update 48450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.042432
Actual update 48500 of 50000, Stored update 48500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.121884
Actual update 48550 of 50000, Stored update 48550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.574335
Actual update 48600 of 50000, Stored update 48600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2026.817665
Actual update 48650 of 50000, Stored update 48650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2045.587281
Actual update 48700 of 50000, Stored update 48700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2032.568373
Actual update 48750 of 50000, Stored update 48750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.538396
Actual update 48800 of 50000, Stored update 48800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2039.802071
Actual update 48850 of 50000, Stored update 48850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.243641
Actual update 48900 of 50000, Stored update 48900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2034.881138
Actual update 48950 of 50000, Stored update 48950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2027.489805
Actual update 49000 of 50000, Stored update 49000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.570176
Actual update 49050 of 50000, Stored update 49050 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2004.806002
Actual update 49100 of 50000, Stored update 49100 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.883713
Actual update 49150 of 50000, Stored update 49150 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2049.462813
Actual update 49200 of 50000, Stored update 49200 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2015.693925
Actual update 49250 of 50000, Stored update 49250 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2013.083699
Actual update 49300 of 50000, Stored update 49300 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2019.652767
Actual update 49350 of 50000, Stored update 49350 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2010.519285
Actual update 49400 of 50000, Stored update 49400 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2016.735854
Actual update 49450 of 50000, Stored update 49450 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2040.077908
Actual update 49500 of 50000, Stored update 49500 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2046.479210
Actual update 49550 of 50000, Stored update 49550 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.755731
Actual update 49600 of 50000, Stored update 49600 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2031.971729
Actual update 49650 of 50000, Stored update 49650 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2018.426642
Actual update 49700 of 50000, Stored update 49700 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2028.624569
Actual update 49750 of 50000, Stored update 49750 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2022.313794
Actual update 49800 of 50000, Stored update 49800 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.710737
Actual update 49850 of 50000, Stored update 49850 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2041.574411
Actual update 49900 of 50000, Stored update 49900 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2029.256566
Actual update 49950 of 50000, Stored update 49950 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2008.107090
Actual update 50000 of 50000, Stored update 50000 of 50000
-2 * Loglike = 2030.088269
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =          50000
Average =          2028.0
S.D.    =          12.654
S.E.M.  =        0.056590

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.09)  multilevel model (Poisson) 
        N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
region 78   1 4.538462  13         78            1      4.538462           13
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 6.54s 
Number of obs:  354 (from total 354)          Number of iter.: 50000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
2028.040   1964.826   63.214     2091.254   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
log(obs) ~ 0 + nation + nation:uvbi + offset(log(exp)) + (1 | 
    region)
Level 2: region     Level 1: l1id      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
                            Coef.   Std. Err.       z    Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
nationBelgium             0.70485     0.75090    0.94      0.3479         -0.76161     2.18286   5033 
nationW_Germany           0.48321     0.12543    3.85   0.0001169  ***     0.23976     0.73312   1173 
nationDenmark             0.31763     0.87967    0.36       0.718         -1.43036     2.04178   4822 
nationFrance             -0.59351     0.05502  -10.79   3.996e-27  ***    -0.70217    -0.48634   7981 
nationUK                  0.62036     0.20923    2.96    0.003027  **      0.20996     1.03107   1114 
nationItaly               0.27998     0.10777    2.60    0.009377  **      0.06436     0.48721   1942 
nationIreland            -0.46883     1.28659   -0.36      0.7156         -2.99825     2.03237   6084 
nationLuxembourg         17.63399    16.02463    1.10      0.2711        -11.27117    51.23787   1466 
nationNetherlands        -0.33593     0.93797   -0.36      0.7202         -2.17104     1.50257   2197 
nationBelgium:uvbi        0.26600     0.25327    1.05      0.2936         -0.22549     0.76496   4996 
nationW_Germany:uvbi     -0.01231     0.03350   -0.37      0.7132         -0.07722     0.05466    946 
nationDenmark:uvbi       -0.08254     0.15512   -0.53      0.5946         -0.39121     0.22131   4685 
nationFrance:uvbi         0.01298     0.01790    0.73      0.4684         -0.02161     0.04785   1689 
nationUK:uvbi             0.14311     0.04308    3.32   0.0008944  ***     0.05883     0.22901    983 
nationItaly:uvbi         -0.08705     0.01615   -5.39   7.114e-08  ***    -0.11775    -0.05517   1395 
nationIreland:uvbi        0.01239     0.25919    0.05      0.9619         -0.49252     0.52076   5615 
nationLuxembourg:uvbi     7.69252     6.99662    1.10      0.2716         -4.86936    22.38755   1444 
nationNetherlands:uvbi   -0.11050     0.22518   -0.49      0.6236         -0.55106     0.33134   2170 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the region level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.03704     0.00925      0.02226     0.05831   5580 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the l1id level: 
                Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]     ESS 
var_bcons_1   1.00000     0.00000      1.00000     1.00000   50000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> sixway(mymodel@chains[, "FP_nationBelgium", drop = FALSE], acf.maxlag = 100, "beta_1")
> 
> # 25.6 Normal response models in MLwiN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 419
> 
> ## Read tutorial data
> data(tutorial, package = "R2MLwiN")
> 
> ## Define the model Univariate MH Hierarchical centring at level 2
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student), estoptions = list(EstM = 1, mcmcMeth = list(fixM = 2, 
+   residM = 2), mcmcOptions = list(hcen = 2)), data = tutorial))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  2 2 1 1 1 1
RUNNING ADAPTIVE PROCEDURE AND BURNING IN...
Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 9208.915598
Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 9230.679205
Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 9217.558985
Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 9189.162267
Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000)
-2 * Loglike = 9206.613880
Adapting finished and took 600 iterations
Adapting took 600 iterations
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9231.779417
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9199.521781
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9199.328198
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9220.212377
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9192.079977
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9205.259212
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9179.446157
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9215.145020
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9217.475915
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9202.290545

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9216.011185
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.610526
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9217.086698
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9190.503331
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9213.280359
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9208.026049
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9213.464235
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.191343
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.289616
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9225.646624
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9213.686483
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9213.188076
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9218.132760
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9220.461304
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9215.314286
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9217.665141
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9213.315145
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9192.400172
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9239.810214
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9217.461176
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9211.760683
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9208.017385
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9214.436603
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9190.637010
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9238.533082
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9235.853467
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9209.999462
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9260.614218
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9193.395758
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9200.885074
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9234.413597
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9212.212208
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.309387
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9226.530744
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9220.148684
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9208.441972
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9195.736956
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.852356
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.529560
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9209.894133
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9217.573328
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9209.512197
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9200.002721
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9205.301809
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9237.481234
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.324925
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9225.983553
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9228.256281
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.690252
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9193.596887
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9200.220788
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9230.056399
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.565179
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9199.727405
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9188.690311
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.517667
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9209.276449
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9219.102808
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9211.901222
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.911182
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.495727
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9221.711802
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9201.361311
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9219.062015
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9223.438997
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9246.628220
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9207.232900
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9214.363067
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9214.536009
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9180.425863
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9226.426574
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9183.128084
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9226.183315
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9189.256641
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9195.327527
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9189.485891
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9214.473211
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.995647
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.561281
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9203.886293
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.765432
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9207.600628
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9220.881065
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9217.280342
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9212.377911
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9230.568995
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9200.900996
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9215.068621
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9207.587739
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9221.444626
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9195.671986
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9196.364169
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9215.768116
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9231.087414
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.835504
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.747527
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9199.122520
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9217.353010
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.493560
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9220.569450
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          9209.5
S.D.    =          12.002
S.E.M.  =         0.16973

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.09)  multilevel model (Normal) 
        N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
school 65   2 62.44615 198         65            2      62.44615          198
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 1.25s 
Number of obs:  4059 (from total 4059)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
9209.486   9149.353   60.134     9269.620   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student)
Level 2: school     Level 1: student      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
              Coef.   Std. Err.      z   Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
Intercept   0.00357     0.04060   0.09       0.93         -0.07487     0.08439   2878 
standlrt    0.56366     0.01225  46.00          0  ***     0.53959     0.58734   1073 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the school level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.09600     0.01989      0.06350     0.14065   1938 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the student level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.56619     0.01261      0.54227     0.59142   4021 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> trajectories(mymodel, Range = c(4501, 5000))
> ## Gibbs Hierarchical centring at level 2
> 
> (mymodel <- runMLwiN(normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student), estoptions = list(EstM = 1, mcmcOptions = list(hcen = 2)), 
+   data = tutorial))
MLwiN is running, please wait......
/nogui option ignored
ECHO    0


Echoing is ON
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
MAXI 2
STAR
iteration 0
iteration 1

Convergence not achieved
TOLE 2
MAXI 20
BATC 1

Batch mode is ON
NEXT
iteration 2
iteration 3

Convergence achieved
ECHO 0

Echoing is ON
MCMC   0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2]  1 1 1 1 1 1
BURNING IN...
Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9204.675944
Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9218.363945
Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9212.051404
Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9209.503321
Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9191.303197
Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9225.119964
Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9216.289057
Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9213.345633
Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9212.001584
Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500
-2 * Loglike = 9194.667049

ERAS G30
LINK 0 G30
ERAS  c1090 c1091

MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1
Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.888609
Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9203.619893
Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9203.550214
Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9218.771914
Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.786797
Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.254095
Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.369403
Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9211.191384
Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9221.829596
Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.372156
Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9235.836998
Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9201.314979
Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.513503
Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.677393
Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.363109
Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9203.673125
Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9196.063723
Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9218.615592
Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9229.942351
Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9214.818897
Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9205.962300
Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.371871
Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9199.367610
Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9209.810942
Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9217.321450
Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9199.907951
Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.525262
Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9212.833034
Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9200.385400
Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9214.951770
Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.368552
Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9203.890713
Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9192.474623
Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9193.292936
Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9199.857398
Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9206.724208
Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9212.448780
Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9194.219127
Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9220.520320
Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9208.676824
Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9216.689561
Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9209.875660
Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9211.082106
Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9228.885706
Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9191.379243
Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9223.275739
Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9215.614559
Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9201.517899
Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9200.338340
Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9206.287296
Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9214.376844
Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9207.174652
Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9239.128287
Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9201.101694
Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9220.449224
Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9233.468879
Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.763390
Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9195.408457
Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9225.969421
Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9222.758325
Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.654603
Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9189.277987
Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9229.357887
Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9208.060099
Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.357512
Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9196.495028
Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9228.431085
Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9222.742758
Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9207.965542
Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9213.668112
Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9196.932114
Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9202.002909
Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.296919
Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9209.800006
Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9206.129704
Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9208.993903
Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9200.702393
Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.681857
Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9241.904185
Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9212.980645
Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9203.776647
Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9203.481573
Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.380645
Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.682158
Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.721526
Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9222.298829
Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9193.838521
Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9228.117619
Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9204.241036
Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9215.869948
Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9190.459772
Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9193.905214
Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.083296
Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9205.733901
Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9210.925913
Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9230.304716
Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9207.972247
Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9197.071939
Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9229.325155
Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000
-2 * Loglike = 9198.546386
PUPN c1003 c1004
AVER c1091 b99 b100

Count   =           5000
Average =          9209.3
S.D.    =          11.901
S.E.M.  =         0.16830

ECHO 0
Execution completed


-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
MLwiN (version: 3.09)  multilevel model (Normal) 
        N min     mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete
school 65   2 62.44615 198         65            2      62.44615          198
Estimation algorithm:  MCMC      Elapsed time : 1.48s 
Number of obs:  4059 (from total 4059)          Number of iter.: 5000  Chains: 1  Burn-in: 500 
Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC)
Dbar      D(thetabar)    pD      DIC
9209.337   9149.395   59.941     9269.278   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The model formula:
normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student)
Level 2: school     Level 1: student      
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The fixed part estimates:  
              Coef.   Std. Err.      z   Pr(>|z|)       [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
Intercept   0.00299     0.04120   0.07     0.9422         -0.07934     0.08377   4743 
standlrt    0.56352     0.01291  43.65          0  ***     0.53880     0.58883   4016 
Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1  
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the school level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.09620     0.01978      0.06501     0.14041   3118 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 
The random part estimates at the student level: 
                  Coef.   Std. Err.   [95% Cred.   Interval]    ESS 
var_Intercept   0.56650     0.01259      0.54203     0.59203   5000 
-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- 
> 
> trajectories(mymodel, Range = c(4501, 5000))
> 
> # Chapter learning outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .422
> 
> # Addendum: changing contrasts back to pre-existing . . . . . . . . . . . NA
> 
> # Following re-specification of contrast settings towards the start of this
> # script, change contrasts back to pre-existing:
> options(contrasts = my_contrasts)
> 
> ############################################################################
> 
> proc.time()
   user  system elapsed 
  16.40    5.84  176.40