Climate, economic growth, and national preferences for geoengineering

15 August 2012, 1.00 PM - 15 August 2012, 1.00 PM

Peel Lecture Theatre, Geographical Sciences, University Road, Bristol, BS8 1SS
Malcolm Fairbrother

Malcolm Fairbrother


Dr Malcolm Fairbrother, School of Geographical Sciences


If national governments could choose their countries climates, what kinds of climates - particularly temperatures and precipitation - would they choose? 

The question of national climatic preferences is not whimsical, but highly relevant in the context of impending policy decisions to be made with respect to geoengineering; conflicting national preferences with respect to geoengineering could even precipitate international conflicts.

This paper confronts this question by modelling the relationship between climate and economic growth - exploiting climatic and economic variation across countries, within countries, and over time.

The paper reviews the existing literature on the question of how climate shapes economic output and growth; briefly introduces the "G-Econ" dataset we use to investigate this issue; presents our methodological approach, which relies on the innovative application of multilevel modelling techniques; and then discusses what the models can tell us about the likely consequences of different climate change and geoengineering scenarios for different countries.

View the presentation from the seminar.




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