R version 3.6.3 (2020-02-29) -- "Holding the Windsock" Copyright (C) 2020 The R Foundation for Statistical Computing Platform: x86_64-w64-mingw32/x64 (64-bit) R is free software and comes with ABSOLUTELY NO WARRANTY. You are welcome to redistribute it under certain conditions. Type 'license()' or 'licence()' for distribution details. Natural language support but running in an English locale R is a collaborative project with many contributors. Type 'contributors()' for more information and 'citation()' on how to cite R or R packages in publications. Type 'demo()' for some demos, 'help()' for on-line help, or 'help.start()' for an HTML browser interface to help. Type 'q()' to quit R. > ## R script to run examples from: Zhang Z, Parker RMA, Charlton CMJ, Leckie G, > ## Browne WJ. R2MLwiN: A Package to Run MLwiN from within R, Journal of > ## Statistical Software. > > ## NB the predLines function uses a lot of contiguous memory, and so we recommend > ## running via 64-bit version R to mititate against any potential problems. > > ## 1: Introduction ############################################################# > > #### 1.3: The R2MLwiN package > > library("R2MLwiN") R2MLwiN: A package to run models implemented in MLwiN from R Copyright 2013-2017 Zhengzheng Zhang, Christopher M. J. Charlton, Richard M. A. Parker, William J. Browne and George Leckie Support provided by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) (Grants RES-149-25-1084, RES-576-25-0032 and ES/K007246/1) To cite R2MLwiN in publications use: Zhengzheng Zhang, Richard M. A. Parker, Christopher M. J. Charlton, George Leckie, William J. Browne (2016). R2MLwiN: A Package to Run MLwiN from within R. Journal of Statistical Software, 72(10), 1-43. doi:10.18637/jss.v072.i10 A BibTeX entry for LaTeX users is @Article{, title = {{R2MLwiN}: A Package to Run {MLwiN} from within {R}}, author = {Zhengzheng Zhang and Richard M. A. Parker and Christopher M. J. Charlton and George Leckie and William J. Browne}, journal = {Journal of Statistical Software}, year = {2016}, volume = {72}, number = {10}, pages = {1--43}, doi = {10.18637/jss.v072.i10}, } The MLwiN_path option is currently set to C:/Program Files/MLwiN v3.05/ To change this use: options(MLwiN_path="") > > ## Returns current path to MLwiN - please change if your path differs (see below): > options("MLwiN_path") $MLwiN_path [1] "C:/Program Files/MLwiN v3.05/" > > ## To change current path: options(MLwiN_path = 'path/to/MLwiN vX.XX/') > > demo(package = "R2MLwiN") > > ## To run a demo: > demo("MCMCGuide03") demo(MCMCGuide03) ---- ~~~~~~~~~~~ > ############################################################################ > # MLwiN MCMC Manual > # > # 3 Variance Components Models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35 > # > # Browne, W.J. (2009) MCMC Estimation in MLwiN, v2.13. Centre for > # Multilevel Modelling, University of Bristol. > ############################################################################ > # R script to replicate all analyses using R2MLwiN > # > # Zhang, Z., Charlton, C., Parker, R, Leckie, G., and Browne, W.J. > # Centre for Multilevel Modelling, 2012 > # http://www.bristol.ac.uk/cmm/software/R2MLwiN/ > ############################################################################ > > # 3.1 A 2 level variance components model for the Tutorial dataset . . . .36 > > library(R2MLwiN) > # MLwiN folder > mlwin <- getOption("MLwiN_path") > while (!file.access(mlwin, mode = 1) == 0) { + cat("Please specify the root MLwiN folder or the full path to the MLwiN executable:\n") + mlwin <- scan(what = character(0), sep = "\n") + mlwin <- gsub("\\", "/", mlwin, fixed = TRUE) + } > options(MLwiN_path = mlwin) > ## save current par settings > mypar <- par(no.readonly = TRUE) > ## Read tutorial data > data(tutorial, package = "R2MLwiN") > ## The highest level comes first, then the second highest and so on > (mymodel1 <- runMLwiN(normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student), estoptions = list(EstM = 1), data = tutorial)) MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 iteration 3 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9204.262556 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9225.063419 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9205.620423 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9207.286175 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9189.882541 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9213.131781 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9191.967839 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9200.072789 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9197.978878 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9206.312775 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9182.514808 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9224.799767 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9192.533264 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9235.302728 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9192.588497 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9200.798346 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.971258 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9191.471053 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9216.792403 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9185.644474 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9203.752807 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9201.223665 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.804872 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9204.519349 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9189.609771 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9213.416013 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9211.107554 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9219.303837 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9195.273065 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9191.690604 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.236489 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9218.185496 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9210.517749 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9225.032838 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.460499 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9225.333397 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9208.977623 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9210.427472 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9225.575111 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.428957 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9200.886427 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9198.521334 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.777166 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9198.900296 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9208.265053 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9203.987061 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.776243 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.497296 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9224.467108 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9194.146736 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9212.845807 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9224.944089 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9213.612843 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9198.265355 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9195.222358 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9250.643212 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9194.598687 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9214.421500 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9240.315838 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9235.012216 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9188.825586 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9220.910444 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9198.293627 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9205.222052 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9209.264188 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9211.039764 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9230.996469 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9224.580436 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9199.499799 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.292584 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.040587 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.604250 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9216.541549 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9205.256474 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9211.029403 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9186.699312 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9210.823399 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.867998 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9219.418322 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9206.509889 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9211.940598 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9209.426437 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9217.104187 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9206.433860 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9208.530610 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9212.678566 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9201.101902 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.943453 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9226.646620 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9199.272707 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9185.496662 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9204.693995 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9205.338782 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9218.098365 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9192.878156 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9211.471250 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9217.216161 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9214.835575 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9208.972779 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9223.102763 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9203.956845 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9201.960121 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9194.101999 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.476225 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.003009 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9186.582930 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.744286 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9228.521835 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9210.720494 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9214.075214 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 9208.8 S.D. = 12.005 S.E.M. = 0.16978 ECHO 0 Execution completed -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- MLwiN (version: 3.05) multilevel model (Normal) N min mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete school 65 2 62.44615 198 65 2 62.44615 198 Estimation algorithm: MCMC Elapsed time : 1.49s Number of obs: 4059 (from total 4059) Number of iter.: 5000 Chains: 1 Burn-in: 500 Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) Dbar D(thetabar) pD DIC 9208.817 9148.971 59.846 9268.664 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The model formula: normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student) Level 2: school Level 1: student --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The fixed part estimates: Coef. Std. Err. z Pr(>|z|) [95% Cred. Interval] ESS Intercept 0.00133 0.04216 0.03 0.9748 -0.07762 0.08519 208 standlrt 0.56331 0.01254 44.93 0 *** 0.53892 0.58799 4017 Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the school level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.09732 0.02049 0.06441 0.14454 2981 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the student level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.56634 0.01269 0.54175 0.59197 5000 -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- > if (!require(coda)) { + warning("package coda required to run this example") + } else { + estimates <- mymodel1@chains + par(mfrow = c(3, 2)) + plot(4501:niter(estimates), estimates[4501:niter(estimates), "deviance"], xlab = "iteration", ylab = expression(paste("Est. of deviance")), + type = "l") + plot(4501:niter(estimates), estimates[4501:niter(estimates), "FP_Intercept"], xlab = "iteration", ylab = expression(paste("Est. of ", + beta[0])), type = "l") + plot(4501:niter(estimates), estimates[4501:niter(estimates), "FP_standlrt"], xlab = "iteration", ylab = expression(paste("Est. of ", + beta[1])), type = "l") + plot(4501:niter(estimates), estimates[4501:niter(estimates), "RP2_var_Intercept"], xlab = "iteration", ylab = expression(paste("Est. of ", + sigma[u0]^2)), type = "l") + plot(4501:niter(estimates), estimates[4501:niter(estimates), "RP1_var_Intercept"], xlab = "iteration", ylab = expression(paste("Est. of ", + sigma[e0]^2)), type = "l") + ## reinstate par settings + par(mypar) + } Loading required package: coda > sixway(mymodel1@chains[, "FP_standlrt", drop = FALSE], "beta_1") > sixway(mymodel1@chains[, "RP2_var_Intercept", drop = FALSE], "sigma2u0") > # 3.2 DIC and multilevel models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 > > # 3.3 Comparison between fixed and random school effects . . . . . . . . .41 > > (mymodel2 <- runMLwiN(normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + sex + (1 | school) + (1 | student), estoptions = list(EstM = 1), data = tutorial)) MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 iteration 3 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9181.270470 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9169.980786 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9163.689876 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9185.535655 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9174.453302 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9193.020958 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9175.035276 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9185.703019 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9210.526711 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9173.792760 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.530003 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9190.378039 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9188.010225 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9182.852575 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9173.957671 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9184.552675 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9160.970002 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9200.063377 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9178.026008 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9174.875764 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9177.644754 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9178.779270 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9199.280515 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9173.154865 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9177.607855 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9171.846060 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9193.926564 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9190.725371 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9178.212852 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9180.060307 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9169.771026 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9185.790279 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9191.674662 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9192.638555 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9181.080311 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.017408 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9188.780598 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9176.128907 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9184.452334 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9217.516482 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9182.894173 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9187.859598 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9179.595486 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9175.491839 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9171.754269 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9179.106013 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.123633 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9191.001772 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9180.356613 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9177.789297 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9186.661295 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9187.975478 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9181.922806 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9194.002533 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9177.781113 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9192.844556 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9181.477385 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9183.157064 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9199.336107 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9177.949353 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9191.082809 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9185.352385 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9178.171274 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9224.802062 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9177.831945 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9189.930627 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9194.601591 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9216.178340 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9173.738788 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9191.902138 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9193.772214 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9190.718966 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9179.819724 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9186.850068 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9179.284089 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9193.988815 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9173.434373 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9198.291162 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9179.401528 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.850247 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9193.258201 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9188.842017 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9184.324904 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9180.647712 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9172.493531 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9204.299211 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9186.882300 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9180.723640 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9197.259454 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9184.999450 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9175.371541 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9189.478919 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9162.924976 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9180.337904 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9183.478704 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9185.018768 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9176.124035 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9177.332764 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9178.494910 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9182.696684 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9191.048924 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9171.832291 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9177.754383 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9189.901778 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9190.113340 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9195.173309 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9193.722014 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9188.537692 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9198.740553 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9176.298090 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 9184.7 S.D. = 12.079 S.E.M. = 0.17083 ECHO 0 Execution completed -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- MLwiN (version: 3.05) multilevel model (Normal) N min mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete school 65 2 62.44615 198 65 2 62.44615 198 Estimation algorithm: MCMC Elapsed time : 1.42s Number of obs: 4059 (from total 4059) Number of iter.: 5000 Chains: 1 Burn-in: 500 Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) Dbar D(thetabar) pD DIC 9184.678 9124.278 60.400 9245.077 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The model formula: normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + sex + (1 | school) + (1 | student) Level 2: school Level 1: student --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The fixed part estimates: Coef. Std. Err. z Pr(>|z|) [95% Cred. Interval] ESS Intercept -0.09649 0.04261 -2.26 0.02354 * -0.17894 -0.01062 263 standlrt 0.55936 0.01258 44.45 0 *** 0.53516 0.58370 4624 sexgirl 0.17067 0.03233 5.28 1.3e-07 *** 0.10795 0.23375 1829 Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the school level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.09279 0.01927 0.06239 0.13576 3093 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the student level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.56310 0.01280 0.53880 0.58886 5078 -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- > # Chapter learning outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 > > > > ############################################################################ > > > ## 2: Fitting a 2-level continuous response model using IGLS ################### > > data("tutorial") > > F1 <- normexam ~ 1 + (1 | school) + (1 | student) > > (VarCompModel <- runMLwiN(Formula = F1, data = tutorial)) /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- MLwiN (version: 3.05) multilevel model (Normal) N min mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete school 65 2 62.44615 198 65 2 62.44615 198 Estimation algorithm: IGLS Elapsed time : 0.04s Number of obs: 4059 (from total 4059) The model converged after 3 iterations. Log likelihood: -5505.3 Deviance statistic: 11010.6 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The model formula: normexam ~ 1 + (1 | school) + (1 | student) Level 2: school Level 1: student --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The fixed part estimates: Coef. Std. Err. z Pr(>|z|) [95% Conf. Interval] Intercept -0.01317 0.05363 -0.25 0.806 -0.11827 0.09194 Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the school level: Coef. Std. Err. var_Intercept 0.16863 0.03245 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the student level: Coef. Std. Err. var_Intercept 0.84776 0.01897 -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- > > #### 2.1 Conducting a likelihood ratio test > > F2 <- normexam ~ 1 + (1 | student) > > OneLevelModel <- runMLwiN(Formula = F2, data = tutorial) /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed > > if (!require(lmtest)) install.packages("lmtest") Loading required package: lmtest Loading required package: zoo Attaching package: 'zoo' The following objects are masked from 'package:base': as.Date, as.Date.numeric > > lrtest(OneLevelModel, VarCompModel) Likelihood ratio test Model 1: normexam ~ 1 + (1 | student) Model 2: normexam ~ 1 + (1 | school) + (1 | student) #Df LogLik Df Chisq Pr(>Chisq) 1 2 -5754.7 2 3 -5505.3 1 498.72 < 2.2e-16 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 > > #### 2.2: Calculating the variance partition coefficient (VPC) > > slotNames(VarCompModel) [1] "version" "Nobs" "DataLength" "Hierarchy" "D" [6] "Formula" "levID" "contrasts" "xlevels" "FP" [11] "RP" "RP.cov" "FP.cov" "LIKE" "elapsed.time" [16] "call" "residual" "Converged" "Iterations" "Meth" [21] "nonlinear" "data" > > print(VPC <- VarCompModel["RP"][["RP2_var_Intercept"]]/(VarCompModel["RP"][["RP1_var_Intercept"]] + + VarCompModel["RP"][["RP2_var_Intercept"]])) [1] 0.1659064 > > rm(VarCompModel) > rm(OneLevelModel) > > > ## 3: Storing residuals ######################################################## > > VarCompResid <- runMLwiN(F1, data = tutorial, estoptions = list(resi.store = TRUE)) /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed > > residuals <- VarCompResid@residual$lev_2_resi_est_Intercept > residualsCI <- 1.96 * sqrt(VarCompResid@residual$lev_2_resi_var_Intercept) > residualsRank <- rank(residuals) > rankno <- order(residualsRank) > > caterpillar(y = residuals[rankno], x = 1:65, qtlow = (residuals - residualsCI)[rankno], + qtup = (residuals + residualsCI)[rankno], xlab = "Rank", ylab = "Intercept") > rm(VarCompResid) > > # Illustrating debugmode > (VarCompResidDebug <- runMLwiN(Formula = F1, data = tutorial, estoptions = list(debugmode = TRUE))) -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- MLwiN (version: 3.05) multilevel model (Normal) N min mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete school 65 2 62.44615 198 65 2 62.44615 198 Estimation algorithm: IGLS Elapsed time : 2.99s Number of obs: 4059 (from total 4059) The model converged after 3 iterations. Log likelihood: -5505.3 Deviance statistic: 11010.6 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The model formula: normexam ~ 1 + (1 | school) + (1 | student) Level 2: school Level 1: student --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The fixed part estimates: Coef. Std. Err. z Pr(>|z|) [95% Conf. Interval] Intercept -0.01317 0.05363 -0.25 0.806 -0.11827 0.09194 Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the school level: Coef. Std. Err. var_Intercept 0.16863 0.03245 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the student level: Coef. Std. Err. var_Intercept 0.84776 0.01897 -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- > > rm(VarCompResidDebug) > > # Illustrating show.file > (VarCompResidShowFile <- runMLwiN(Formula = F1, data = tutorial, estoptions = list(show.file = TRUE, + clean.files = FALSE))) /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- MLwiN (version: 3.05) multilevel model (Normal) N min mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete school 65 2 62.44615 198 65 2 62.44615 198 Estimation algorithm: IGLS Elapsed time : 0.05s Number of obs: 4059 (from total 4059) The model converged after 3 iterations. Log likelihood: -5505.3 Deviance statistic: 11010.6 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The model formula: normexam ~ 1 + (1 | school) + (1 | student) Level 2: school Level 1: student --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The fixed part estimates: Coef. Std. Err. z Pr(>|z|) [95% Conf. Interval] Intercept -0.01317 0.05363 -0.25 0.806 -0.11827 0.09194 Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the school level: Coef. Std. Err. var_Intercept 0.16863 0.03245 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the student level: Coef. Std. Err. var_Intercept 0.84776 0.01897 -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- > > rm(VarCompResidShowFile) > > > ## 5: Fitting a 2-level continuous response model using MCMC ################### > > (VarCompMCMC <- runMLwiN(Formula = F1, data = tutorial, estoptions = list(EstM = 1))) MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 10847.820270 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 10860.697552 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 10849.534371 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 10850.670040 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 10830.922843 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 10851.202135 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 10831.186056 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 10838.507313 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 10841.701201 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 10848.918096 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10822.788614 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10865.181513 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10837.691070 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10880.285861 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10833.110430 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10844.265345 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10858.607350 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10831.891795 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10856.861249 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10824.758762 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10845.858542 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10844.826830 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10862.143643 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10842.581836 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10834.259843 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10851.536666 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10852.274906 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10859.691363 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10833.246570 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10833.952931 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10857.442861 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10860.615023 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10852.796682 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10867.313991 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10846.393868 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10863.772440 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10851.851137 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10849.506033 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10865.054268 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10841.493048 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10837.389773 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10842.953887 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10844.488177 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10844.711989 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10844.804713 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10839.594112 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10849.154572 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10860.437248 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10868.448213 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10835.531579 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10854.971270 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10864.444900 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10850.386079 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10837.019473 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10838.210265 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10890.708656 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10835.721477 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10860.325960 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10882.421342 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10873.131199 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10832.176706 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10858.781475 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10842.603451 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10845.443216 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10846.696437 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10852.980567 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10870.685600 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10865.558939 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10839.289750 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10856.743050 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10846.803279 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10845.939962 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10859.518286 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10844.083664 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10853.951421 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10827.939256 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10855.188332 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10848.802296 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10857.682950 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10847.743737 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10854.692642 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10845.608599 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10853.097920 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10846.784688 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10847.376478 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10851.908312 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10841.962641 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10844.944032 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10866.722823 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10838.317977 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10826.617080 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10844.415737 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10846.888156 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10859.615806 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10834.763065 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10852.353281 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10856.812512 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10852.181962 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10848.798576 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10864.858735 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10844.724386 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10840.243623 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10834.740697 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10848.424253 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10854.432505 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10829.687734 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10840.477795 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10873.693521 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10849.245570 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 10856.432891 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 10850. S.D. = 11.751 S.E.M. = 0.16618 ECHO 0 Execution completed -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- MLwiN (version: 3.05) multilevel model (Normal) N min mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete school 65 2 62.44615 198 65 2 62.44615 198 Estimation algorithm: MCMC Elapsed time : 1.32s Number of obs: 4059 (from total 4059) Number of iter.: 5000 Chains: 1 Burn-in: 500 Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) Dbar D(thetabar) pD DIC 10849.609 10789.729 59.879 10909.488 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The model formula: normexam ~ 1 + (1 | school) + (1 | student) Level 2: school Level 1: student --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The fixed part estimates: Coef. Std. Err. z Pr(>|z|) [95% Cred. Interval] ESS Intercept -0.01474 0.05650 -0.26 0.7942 -0.12039 0.09603 172 Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the school level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.17775 0.03642 0.11920 0.26236 3278 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the student level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.84847 0.01900 0.81147 0.88711 5000 -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- > > # Example changing away from defaults > ChangeEstOptions <- runMLwiN(Formula = F1, data = tutorial, estoptions = list(EstM = 1, + mcmcMeth = list(burnin = 1000, nchains = 3, iterations = 10000, thinning = 10, + seed = 1:3))) MLwiN is running, please wait...... starting worker pid=14684 on localhost:11439 at 17:17:55.156 starting worker pid=20296 on localhost:11439 at 17:17:55.375 starting worker pid=12496 on localhost:11439 at 17:17:55.637 Loading required package: R2MLwiN Loading required package: R2MLwiN Loading required package: R2MLwiN R2MLwiN: A package to run models implemented in MLwiN from R Copyright 2013-2017 Zhengzheng Zhang, Christopher M. J. Charlton, Richard M. A. Parker, William J. Browne and George Leckie R2MLwiN: A package to run models implemented in MLwiN from R Copyright 2013-2017 Zhengzheng Zhang, Christopher M. J. Charlton, Richard M. A. Parker, William J. Browne and George Leckie Support provided by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) (Grants RES-149-25-1084, RES-576-25-0032 and ES/K007246/1) Support provided by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) R2MLwiN: A package to run models implemented in MLwiN from R (Grants RES-149-25-1084, RES-576-25-0032 and ES/K007246/1) Copyright 2013-2017 Zhengzheng Zhang, Christopher M. J. Charlton, Richard M. A. Parker, William J. Browne and George Leckie Support provided by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) (Grants RES-149-25-1084, RES-576-25-0032 and ES/K007246/1) To cite R2MLwiN in publications use: Zhengzheng Zhang, Richard M. A. Parker, Christopher M. J. Charlton, George Leckie, William J. Browne (2016). R2MLwiN: A Package to Run MLwiN from within R. Journal of Statistical Software, 72(10), 1-43. doi:10.18637/jss.v072.i10 A BibTeX entry for LaTeX users is @Article{, title = {{R2MLwiN}: A Package to Run {MLwiN} from within {R}}, author = {Zhengzheng Zhang and Richard M. A. Parker and Christopher M. J. Charlton and George Leckie and William J. Browne}, journal = {Journal of Statistical Software}, year = {2016}, volume = {72}, number = {10}, pages = {1--43}, doi = {10.18637/jss.v072.i10}, } The MLwiN_path option is currently set to C:/Program Files/MLwiN v3.05/ To change this use: options(MLwiN_path="") loaded R2MLwiN and set parent environment To cite R2MLwiN in publications use: Zhengzheng Zhang, Richard M. A. Parker, Christopher M. J. Charlton, George Leckie, William J. Browne (2016). R2MLwiN: A Package to Run MLwiN from within R. Journal of Statistical Software, 72(10), 1-43. doi:10.18637/jss.v072.i10 A BibTeX entry for LaTeX users is @Article{, title = {{R2MLwiN}: A Package to Run {MLwiN} from within {R}}, author = {Zhengzheng Zhang and Richard M. A. Parker and Christopher M. J. Charlton and George Leckie and William J. Browne}, journal = {Journal of Statistical Software}, year = {2016}, volume = {72}, number = {10}, pages = {1--43}, doi = {10.18637/jss.v072.i10}, } The MLwiN_path option is currently set to C:/Program Files/MLwiN v3.05/ To change this use: options(MLwiN_path="") To cite R2MLwiN in publications use: Zhengzheng Zhang, Richard M. A. Parker, Christopher M. J. Charlton, George Leckie, William J. Browne (2016). R2MLwiN: A Package to Run MLwiN from within R. Journal of Statistical Software, 72(10), 1-43. doi:10.18637/jss.v072.i10 A BibTeX entry for LaTeX users is @Article{, title = {{R2MLwiN}: A Package to Run {MLwiN} from within {R}}, author = {Zhengzheng Zhang and Richard M. A. Parker and Christopher M. J. Charlton and George Leckie and William J. Browne}, journal = {Journal of Statistical Software}, year = {2016}, volume = {72}, number = {10}, pages = {1--43}, doi = {10.18637/jss.v072.i10}, } The MLwiN_path option is currently set to C:/Program Files/MLwiN v3.05/ To change this use: options(MLwiN_path="") loaded R2MLwiN and set parent environment loaded R2MLwiN and set parent environment /nogui option ignored /nogui option ignored /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 ECHO 0 ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 1000 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 1000 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 1000 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 1000 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 1000 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10854.772873 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10844.445213 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10847.820270 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10861.813827 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10837.536690 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10860.697552 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10851.165672 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10838.225460 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10849.534371 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10862.567189 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10834.786646 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10850.670040 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10857.077789 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10837.242501 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10830.922843 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10843.355537 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10842.437783 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10851.202135 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10851.053598 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10859.123794 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10831.186056 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10856.346862 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10843.732191 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10838.507313 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10849.877098 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10867.592537 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10841.701201 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10861.252082 Burning in for 550 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10857.401632 Burning in for 550 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10848.918096 Burning in for 550 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10856.434962 Burning in for 600 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10855.610471 Burning in for 600 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10847.529419 Burning in for 600 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10858.800261 Burning in for 650 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10837.817131 Burning in for 650 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10855.766351 Burning in for 650 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10837.587708 Burning in for 700 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10856.094516 Burning in for 700 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10831.485541 Burning in for 700 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10877.854945 Burning in for 750 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10871.011230 Burning in for 750 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10858.050884 Burning in for 750 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10838.222567 Burning in for 800 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10862.698303 Burning in for 800 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10830.648086 Burning in for 800 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10845.873057 Burning in for 850 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10858.520931 Burning in for 850 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10854.702243 Burning in for 850 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10837.079003 Burning in for 900 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10837.011763 Burning in for 900 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10863.936249 Burning in for 900 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10834.170137 Burning in for 950 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10852.277444 Burning in for 950 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10843.430156 Burning in for 950 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10853.786297 Burning in for 1000 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10845.283836 Burning in for 1000 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10859.444487 Burning in for 1000 iterations out of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10839.456920 -2 * Loglike = 10854.829500 -2 * Loglike = 10854.914181 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 1000 10 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 5000 of 10000, Stored update 500 of 1000 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 1000 10 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 5000 of 10000, Stored update 500 of 1000 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 1000 10 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 5000 of 10000, Stored update 500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10842.668372 Actual update 10000 of 10000, Stored update 1000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10833.952931 Actual update 10000 of 10000, Stored update 1000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10831.683662 Actual update 10000 of 10000, Stored update 1000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10865.133388 Actual update 15000 of 10000, Stored update 1500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10841.493048 Actual update 15000 of 10000, Stored update 1500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10854.745125 Actual update 15000 of 10000, Stored update 1500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10835.531579 Actual update 20000 of 10000, Stored update 2000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10826.964518 Actual update 20000 of 10000, Stored update 2000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10842.886886 Actual update 20000 of 10000, Stored update 2000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10846.970546 Actual update 25000 of 10000, Stored update 2500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10873.131199 Actual update 25000 of 10000, Stored update 2500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10837.651482 Actual update 25000 of 10000, Stored update 2500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10845.624337 Actual update 30000 of 10000, Stored update 3000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10856.743050 Actual update 30000 of 10000, Stored update 3000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10838.054967 Actual update 30000 of 10000, Stored update 3000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10844.582157 Actual update 35000 of 10000, Stored update 3500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10847.743737 Actual update 35000 of 10000, Stored update 3500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10847.159327 Actual update 35000 of 10000, Stored update 3500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10854.099452 Actual update 40000 of 10000, Stored update 4000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10838.317977 Actual update 40000 of 10000, Stored update 4000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10844.149466 Actual update 40000 of 10000, Stored update 4000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10864.858735 Actual update 45000 of 10000, Stored update 4500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10858.615955 Actual update 45000 of 10000, Stored update 4500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10856.615490 Actual update 45000 of 10000, Stored update 4500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10856.432891 Actual update 50000 of 10000, Stored update 5000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10855.826913 Actual update 50000 of 10000, Stored update 5000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10835.206624 Actual update 50000 of 10000, Stored update 5000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10850.014356 Actual update 55000 of 10000, Stored update 5500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10859.765319 Actual update 55000 of 10000, Stored update 5500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10840.304443 Actual update 55000 of 10000, Stored update 5500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10841.849437 Actual update 60000 of 10000, Stored update 6000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10845.356022 Actual update 60000 of 10000, Stored update 6000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10850.613980 Actual update 60000 of 10000, Stored update 6000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10864.906513 Actual update 65000 of 10000, Stored update 6500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10843.383815 Actual update 65000 of 10000, Stored update 6500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10853.436419 Actual update 65000 of 10000, Stored update 6500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10840.329686 Actual update 70000 of 10000, Stored update 7000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10850.203118 Actual update 70000 of 10000, Stored update 7000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10862.421566 Actual update 70000 of 10000, Stored update 7000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10852.237731 Actual update 75000 of 10000, Stored update 7500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10853.258741 Actual update 75000 of 10000, Stored update 7500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10853.285078 Actual update 75000 of 10000, Stored update 7500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10844.719521 Actual update 80000 of 10000, Stored update 8000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10855.554280 Actual update 80000 of 10000, Stored update 8000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10865.868293 Actual update 80000 of 10000, Stored update 8000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10863.490665 Actual update 85000 of 10000, Stored update 8500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10849.494832 Actual update 85000 of 10000, Stored update 8500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10861.326583 Actual update 85000 of 10000, Stored update 8500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10833.902984 Actual update 90000 of 10000, Stored update 9000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10851.783090 Actual update 90000 of 10000, Stored update 9000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10853.193837 Actual update 90000 of 10000, Stored update 9000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10858.395226 Actual update 95000 of 10000, Stored update 9500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10860.341747 Actual update 95000 of 10000, Stored update 9500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10841.918957 Actual update 95000 of 10000, Stored update 9500 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10841.192186 Actual update 100000 of 10000, Stored update 10000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10841.279966 Actual update 100000 of 10000, Stored update 10000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10853.050211 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 1000 Average = 10850. S.D. = 11.460 S.E.M. = 0.36239 ECHO 0 Execution completed -2 * Loglike = 10858.015769 Actual update 100000 of 10000, Stored update 10000 of 1000 -2 * Loglike = 10862.880715 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 1000 Average = 10850. S.D. = 11.891 S.E.M. = 0.37601 ECHO 0 Execution completed -2 * Loglike = 10833.171166 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 1000 Average = 10850. S.D. = 11.603 S.E.M. = 0.36693 ECHO 0 Execution completed > > trajectories(VarCompMCMC) > > #### 5.1: Calculating the variance partition coefficient > > VPC_MCMC <- VarCompMCMC["chains"][, "RP2_var_Intercept"]/(VarCompMCMC["chains"][, + "RP1_var_Intercept"] + VarCompMCMC["chains"][, "RP2_var_Intercept"]) > sixway(VPC_MCMC, name = "VPC") > > > ## 6: Adding a predictor to the fixed part of a model ########################## > > F3 <- normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student) > (standlrtMCMC <- runMLwiN(Formula = F3, data = tutorial, estoptions = list(EstM = 1))) MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 iteration 3 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9204.262556 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9225.063419 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9205.620423 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9207.286175 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9189.882541 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9213.131781 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9191.967839 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9200.072789 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9197.978878 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9206.312775 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9182.514808 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9224.799767 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9192.533264 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9235.302728 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9192.588497 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9200.798346 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.971258 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9191.471053 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9216.792403 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9185.644474 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9203.752807 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9201.223665 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.804872 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9204.519349 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9189.609771 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9213.416013 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9211.107554 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9219.303837 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9195.273065 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9191.690604 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.236489 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9218.185496 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9210.517749 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9225.032838 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.460499 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9225.333397 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9208.977623 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9210.427472 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9225.575111 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.428957 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9200.886427 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9198.521334 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.777166 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9198.900296 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9208.265053 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9203.987061 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.776243 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.497296 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9224.467108 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9194.146736 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9212.845807 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9224.944089 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9213.612843 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9198.265355 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9195.222358 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9250.643212 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9194.598687 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9214.421500 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9240.315838 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9235.012216 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9188.825586 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9220.910444 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9198.293627 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9205.222052 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9209.264188 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9211.039764 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9230.996469 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9224.580436 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9199.499799 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.292584 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.040587 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.604250 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9216.541549 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9205.256474 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9211.029403 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9186.699312 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9210.823399 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.867998 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9219.418322 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9206.509889 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9211.940598 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9209.426437 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9217.104187 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9206.433860 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9208.530610 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9212.678566 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9201.101902 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.943453 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9226.646620 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9199.272707 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9185.496662 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9204.693995 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9205.338782 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9218.098365 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9192.878156 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9211.471250 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9217.216161 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9214.835575 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9208.972779 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9223.102763 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9203.956845 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9201.960121 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9194.101999 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.476225 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.003009 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9186.582930 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.744286 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9228.521835 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9210.720494 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9214.075214 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 9208.8 S.D. = 12.005 S.E.M. = 0.16978 ECHO 0 Execution completed -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- MLwiN (version: 3.05) multilevel model (Normal) N min mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete school 65 2 62.44615 198 65 2 62.44615 198 Estimation algorithm: MCMC Elapsed time : 1.41s Number of obs: 4059 (from total 4059) Number of iter.: 5000 Chains: 1 Burn-in: 500 Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) Dbar D(thetabar) pD DIC 9208.817 9148.971 59.846 9268.664 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The model formula: normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student) Level 2: school Level 1: student --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The fixed part estimates: Coef. Std. Err. z Pr(>|z|) [95% Cred. Interval] ESS Intercept 0.00133 0.04216 0.03 0.9748 -0.07762 0.08519 208 standlrt 0.56331 0.01254 44.93 0 *** 0.53892 0.58799 4017 Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the school level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.09732 0.02049 0.06441 0.14454 2981 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the student level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.56634 0.01269 0.54175 0.59197 5000 -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- > > print(standlrtMCMC, z.ratio = FALSE) -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- MLwiN (version: 3.05) multilevel model (Normal) N min mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete school 65 2 62.44615 198 65 2 62.44615 198 Estimation algorithm: MCMC Elapsed time : 1.41s Number of obs: 4059 (from total 4059) Number of iter.: 5000 Chains: 1 Burn-in: 500 Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) Dbar D(thetabar) pD DIC 9208.817 9148.971 59.846 9268.664 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The model formula: normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student) Level 2: school Level 1: student --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The fixed part estimates: Coef. Std. Err. z Pr(>|z|) [95% Cred. Interval] ESS Intercept 0.00133 0.04216 0.03 0.9748 -0.07762 0.08519 208 standlrt 0.56331 0.01254 44.93 0 *** 0.53892 0.58799 4017 Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the school level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.09732 0.02049 0.06441 0.14454 2981 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the student level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.56634 0.01269 0.54175 0.59197 5000 -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- > > VarCompMCMC["BDIC"][["DIC"]] - standlrtMCMC["BDIC"][["DIC"]] [1] 1640.824 > > rm(VarCompMCMC) > > > ## 7: Priors, starting values, and random seeds ################################ > > informpriorMCMC <- runMLwiN(Formula = F3, data = tutorial, estoptions = list(EstM = 1, + mcmcMeth = list(priorParam = list(fixe = list(standlrt = c(1, 0.01)))))) MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 iteration 3 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] c1092 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9682.684147 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9770.203326 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9713.605248 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9683.631915 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9658.390924 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9703.068252 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9644.020802 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9726.505804 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9681.095633 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9724.852473 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9672.381913 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9771.954459 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9667.879491 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9728.703298 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9681.528451 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9699.444330 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9726.835626 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9663.722899 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9713.536669 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9614.912171 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9714.038132 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9700.621304 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9690.469476 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9706.549115 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9668.673106 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9643.803002 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9711.926557 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9671.038245 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9687.994499 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9664.341397 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9738.892965 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9679.468598 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9699.125945 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9699.813214 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9682.990718 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9712.191024 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9690.376509 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9732.831510 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9692.596910 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9668.619885 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9710.084186 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9700.344553 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9724.092101 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9687.518110 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9733.836252 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9652.481949 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9716.538827 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9704.514623 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9718.870507 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9647.738839 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9719.416197 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9695.470163 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9687.937323 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9720.193878 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9679.480290 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9740.398352 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9719.709346 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9683.771214 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9698.568236 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9695.215669 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9654.633967 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9670.252482 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9675.344627 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9728.916599 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9677.236481 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9690.547001 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9746.019230 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9758.780022 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9682.852857 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9663.256261 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9683.356049 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9685.610689 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9707.984415 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9715.579509 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9664.722308 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9666.985308 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9679.904101 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9673.406794 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9660.291642 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9719.544292 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9665.849617 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9733.279756 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9671.804884 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9660.507060 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9691.945214 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9716.140102 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9687.752458 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9677.359373 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9733.644340 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9702.649248 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9694.972483 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9677.078422 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9682.189834 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9710.928716 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9683.956796 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9707.307309 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9718.474245 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9709.972384 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9670.923995 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9693.547856 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9670.707414 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9713.442389 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9698.819118 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9707.214805 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9699.976032 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9667.201196 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9726.342980 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9732.597144 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9681.338359 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9708.538330 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 9693.6 S.D. = 29.650 S.E.M. = 0.41931 ECHO 0 Execution completed > > PlotDensities <- data.frame(PostAndPrior = c(informpriorMCMC["chains"][, "FP_standlrt"], + qnorm(seq(1/5000, 1, by = 1/5000), mean = 1, sd = 0.01)), id = c(rep("Posterior", + 5000), rep("Prior", 5000))) > > if (!require(lattice)) install.packages("lattice") Loading required package: lattice > > densityplot(~PostAndPrior, data = PlotDensities, groups = id, ref = TRUE, plot.points = FALSE, + auto.key = list(space = "bottom"), xlab = NULL) > > rm(informpriorMCMC) > > # Specifying own starting values (instead of IGLS estimates from MLwiN) > OurStartingValues <- list(FP.b = c(-2, 5), RP.b = c(2, 4)) > startvalMCMC <- runMLwiN(F3, data = tutorial, estoptions = list(EstM = 1, startval = OurStartingValues, + mcmcMeth = list(burnin = 0, iterations = 500))) MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved JOIN -2 5 '_FP_b' JOIN 2 4 '_RP_b' ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 0 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 500 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 500, Stored update 50 of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9213.968484 Actual update 100 of 500, Stored update 100 of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9206.594037 Actual update 150 of 500, Stored update 150 of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9203.544698 Actual update 200 of 500, Stored update 200 of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9216.645971 Actual update 250 of 500, Stored update 250 of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9190.807884 Actual update 300 of 500, Stored update 300 of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9195.714042 Actual update 350 of 500, Stored update 350 of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9218.908082 Actual update 400 of 500, Stored update 400 of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9207.491144 Actual update 450 of 500, Stored update 450 of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9219.269751 Actual update 500 of 500, Stored update 500 of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9206.766058 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 500 Average = 9234.8 S.D. = 487.91 S.E.M. = 21.820 ECHO 0 Execution completed > > trajectories(startvalMCMC["chains"], Range = c(1, 500)) > > rm(startvalMCMC) > > # Illustrating a change of random seed > (seedMCMC <- runMLwiN(Formula = F3, data = tutorial, estoptions = list(EstM = 1, + mcmcMeth = list(seed = 2)))) MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 iteration 3 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9200.886232 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9193.149842 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9199.032849 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9191.463650 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9199.193769 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9204.873623 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9223.805833 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9203.644987 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9223.679752 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9215.728395 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9223.926450 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9196.074719 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9219.358244 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9201.342921 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9213.285720 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9203.233353 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9213.175033 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9191.881182 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.709931 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.457951 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9210.443133 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9223.003437 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9220.012337 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9204.797982 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9199.836431 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9219.049258 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9201.896921 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9213.447993 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9243.247237 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9189.309211 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9190.189582 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9192.436363 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9217.109012 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9198.950984 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.708310 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9208.300848 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9209.291513 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9205.310857 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.289667 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9216.564265 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9189.168065 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9231.035409 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9227.615035 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9217.843382 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9220.731700 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.079160 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.725150 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9210.657775 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9190.288417 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9184.204112 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9200.629766 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9201.137269 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.518252 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9198.860810 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9212.170832 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9204.300471 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9212.446686 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9190.272414 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9199.592409 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9208.332937 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9203.228240 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9216.481125 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.417276 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9222.397707 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9212.107679 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9192.786650 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.492175 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9203.847034 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9201.369216 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9198.526839 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9216.249267 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9209.922094 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9205.535772 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9197.436647 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9223.164200 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9200.934133 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9180.481230 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9223.279807 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9215.384544 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9203.502408 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.300603 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9209.446564 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9212.897663 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9200.251854 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9227.643143 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9208.506577 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9216.169062 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9203.657233 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9204.542260 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9212.373222 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9214.755682 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9213.353476 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.745269 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9201.089570 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9214.458857 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9202.470550 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9203.992914 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9199.836832 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9195.834664 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9219.722629 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9201.395154 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9212.187656 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9205.910097 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9207.101920 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9195.186445 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9191.814120 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9206.951873 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9194.769608 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9201.592203 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9219.131975 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 9208.9 S.D. = 11.877 S.E.M. = 0.16796 ECHO 0 Execution completed -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- MLwiN (version: 3.05) multilevel model (Normal) N min mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete school 65 2 62.44615 198 65 2 62.44615 198 Estimation algorithm: MCMC Elapsed time : 1.36s Number of obs: 4059 (from total 4059) Number of iter.: 5000 Chains: 1 Burn-in: 500 Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) Dbar D(thetabar) pD DIC 9208.931 9149.206 59.726 9268.657 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The model formula: normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 | school) + (1 | student) Level 2: school Level 1: student --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The fixed part estimates: Coef. Std. Err. z Pr(>|z|) [95% Cred. Interval] ESS Intercept 0.00412 0.04069 0.10 0.9194 -0.07396 0.08671 216 standlrt 0.56338 0.01238 45.50 0 *** 0.53918 0.58811 3774 Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the school level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.09661 0.02000 0.06421 0.14316 2898 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the student level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.56600 0.01270 0.54156 0.59139 5000 -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- > > rm(seedMCMC) > > > ## 8: Adding a random slope / coefficient ###################################### > > F4 <- normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 + standlrt | school) + (1 | student) > (standlrtRS_MCMC <- runMLwiN(Formula = F4, data = tutorial, estoptions = list(EstM = 1, + resi.store.levs = 2))) MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 iteration 3 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9145.871584 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9132.292720 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9116.964735 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9109.819138 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9142.444254 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9126.443022 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9158.382599 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9130.050027 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9132.164613 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9095.782185 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9141.251505 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9092.112338 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9114.453660 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9130.042851 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9112.630195 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9127.189612 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9121.760133 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9095.484118 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9119.696741 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9097.278119 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9091.835441 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9147.067486 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9115.848152 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9136.364432 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9122.999236 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9125.626814 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9124.942111 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9123.715072 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9139.162535 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9093.087478 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9103.780217 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9125.714840 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9117.856745 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9104.224610 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9136.726333 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9115.553162 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9135.082659 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9106.260473 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9113.023248 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9128.720286 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9128.243265 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9112.524919 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9116.163849 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9100.141526 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9112.566069 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9129.956343 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9131.034399 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9121.937589 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9094.252149 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9117.545274 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9099.416940 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9132.162100 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9135.159139 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9110.982424 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9112.731006 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9129.335122 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9135.832789 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9115.598454 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9119.806787 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9106.961083 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9094.496029 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9114.022952 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9122.506561 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9108.681836 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9110.341205 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9131.645275 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9143.193063 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9096.461754 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9142.098601 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9090.543006 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9123.431925 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9100.574500 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9135.650108 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9131.254028 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9130.803281 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9137.320115 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9151.055699 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9113.381797 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9136.395805 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9119.182591 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9099.498807 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9094.669026 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9124.954760 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9113.843599 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9122.879346 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9138.609563 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9106.548693 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9104.254128 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9117.331443 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9094.789350 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9135.693654 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9101.392385 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9114.650394 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9113.173542 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9126.374967 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9142.771045 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9133.755790 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9146.895681 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9130.279064 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9126.639139 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9112.546091 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9130.121874 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9102.731900 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9101.131722 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9081.592796 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9107.770592 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9129.044185 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9118.474018 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9118.583370 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9132.471942 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 9122.7 S.D. = 16.894 S.E.M. = 0.23892 ECHO 0 Execution completed -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- MLwiN (version: 3.05) multilevel model (Normal) N min mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete school 65 2 62.44615 198 65 2 62.44615 198 Estimation algorithm: MCMC Elapsed time : 1.99s Number of obs: 4059 (from total 4059) Number of iter.: 5000 Chains: 1 Burn-in: 500 Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) Dbar D(thetabar) pD DIC 9122.672 9031.177 91.496 9214.168 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The model formula: normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 + standlrt | school) + (1 | student) Level 2: school Level 1: student --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The fixed part estimates: Coef. Std. Err. z Pr(>|z|) [95% Cred. Interval] ESS Intercept -0.01325 0.03984 -0.33 0.7395 -0.08901 0.07336 225 standlrt 0.55687 0.02033 27.39 4.031e-165 *** 0.51599 0.59630 563 Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the school level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.09706 0.02004 0.06544 0.14260 3136 cov_Intercept_standlrt 0.01955 0.00737 0.00647 0.03595 1644 var_standlrt 0.01549 0.00484 0.00804 0.02681 930 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the student level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.55432 0.01247 0.53027 0.57958 4575 -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- > > ComparingModels <- rbind(standlrtMCMC["BDIC"], standlrtRS_MCMC["BDIC"]) > rownames(ComparingModels) <- c("Random intercept", "Random slope") > ComparingModels Dbar D(thetabar) pD DIC Random intercept 9208.817 9148.971 59.84625 9268.664 Random slope 9122.672 9031.177 91.49583 9214.168 > > predLines(standlrtRS_MCMC, xname = "standlrt", lev = 2, probs = c(0.025, 0.975), + legend = FALSE) > > predLines(standlrtRS_MCMC, xname = "standlrt", lev = 2, selected = c(30, 44, 53, + 59), probs = c(0.025, 0.975), legend = TRUE) > > rm(standlrtMCMC) > rm(standlrtRS_MCMC) > > > ## 9: Modeling complex level 1 variance ######################################## > > F5 <- normexam ~ 1 + standlrt + (1 + standlrt | school) + (1 + standlrt | student) > standlrtC1V_MCMC <- runMLwiN(Formula = F5, data = tutorial, estoptions = (list(EstM = 1, + mcmcMeth = list(lclo = 1)))) MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 iteration 3 iteration 4 iteration 5 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 9121.753165 Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 9140.661191 Adapting finished and took 300 iterations Adapting took 300 iterations Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9161.195059 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9100.156795 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9149.003083 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9126.422032 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9132.413173 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9118.013619 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9147.857668 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9096.786159 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9120.297492 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 9118.954365 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9134.986200 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9138.645570 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9126.628750 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9117.411747 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9161.641389 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9121.898607 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9122.714400 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9113.122357 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9114.775668 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9131.303861 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9109.082452 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9104.746111 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9183.234265 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9119.742925 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9090.842047 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9124.122493 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9116.460040 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9105.291966 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9098.894135 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9110.175255 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9116.168469 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9141.174011 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9112.602858 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9092.546513 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9103.838431 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9083.068024 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9113.319084 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9117.903796 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9140.402543 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9122.207339 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9122.766417 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9146.274102 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9121.928985 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9155.023109 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9100.215341 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9112.483409 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9134.210952 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9099.089901 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9092.022869 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9112.030571 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9131.705116 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9110.043174 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9100.296905 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9111.897957 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9126.540695 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9120.056715 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9107.557848 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9128.276067 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9110.098545 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9154.298787 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9150.991786 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9099.118532 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9138.327397 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9121.587547 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9120.391189 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9120.969965 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9142.650978 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9116.977989 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9141.763080 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9097.095047 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9115.549011 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9114.958703 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9120.114171 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9125.156124 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9138.568045 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9124.698197 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9121.299827 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9117.923901 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9118.780161 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9116.363927 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9109.309004 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9111.679081 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9104.848968 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9166.844306 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9115.379210 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9128.931298 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9114.237803 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9102.944721 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9140.826418 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9123.455921 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9101.412718 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9106.101947 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9132.465248 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9134.519378 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9127.019805 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9119.200654 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9132.665639 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9122.626260 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9119.043691 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9105.881516 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9109.394709 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9104.051490 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9130.711698 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9124.806854 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9107.004432 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9148.528738 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9102.323751 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9103.317189 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9118.602531 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 9110.157052 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 9120.4 S.D. = 17.016 S.E.M. = 0.24064 ECHO 0 Execution completed > > l2varfn <- standlrtC1V_MCMC["RP"][["RP2_var_Intercept"]] + 2 * standlrtC1V_MCMC["RP"][["RP2_cov_Intercept_standlrt"]] * + tutorial[["standlrt"]] + standlrtC1V_MCMC["RP"][["RP2_var_standlrt"]] * tutorial[["standlrt"]]^2 > l1varfn <- 1/exp(standlrtC1V_MCMC["RP"][["RP1_var_Intercept"]] + 2 * standlrtC1V_MCMC["RP"][["RP1_cov_Intercept_standlrt"]] * + tutorial[["standlrt"]] + standlrtC1V_MCMC["RP"][["RP1_var_standlrt"]] * tutorial[["standlrt"]]^2) > > plot(sort(tutorial[["standlrt"]]), l2varfn[order(tutorial[["standlrt"]])], xlab = "standlrt", + ylab = "variance", ylim = c(0, 0.7), type = "l") > > lines(sort(tutorial[["standlrt"]]), l1varfn[order(tutorial[["standlrt"]])], lty = "longdash") > abline(v = 0, lty = "dotted") > legend("bottomright", legend = c("between-student", "between-school"), lty = c("longdash", + "solid")) > > trajectories(standlrtC1V_MCMC["chains"][, "FP_Intercept", drop = FALSE], Range = c(4501, + 5000)) > > trajectories(standlrtC1V_MCMC["chains"][, "RP2_var_Intercept", drop = FALSE], Range = c(4501, + 5000)) > > trajectories(standlrtC1V_MCMC["chains"][, "RP1_var_Intercept", drop = FALSE], Range = c(4501, + 5000)) > > rm(standlrtC1V_MCMC) > > > ## 10: Fitting a 2-level binary response model using MCMC ###################### > > data("bang1") > > F6 <- logit(use) ~ 1 + age + lc + urban + (1 + urban | district) > > binomialMCMC <- runMLwiN(Formula = F6, D = "Binomial", data = bang1, estoptions = list(EstM = 1)) MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 iteration 3 iteration 4 iteration 5 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 2 2 2 1 1 2 Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2341.937991 Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2362.425212 Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2336.458088 Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2343.693739 Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2310.537894 Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2344.737853 Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2332.320335 Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2340.973110 Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2310.834954 Adapting for 1000 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2333.233051 Adapting for 1100 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2366.357628 Adapting for 1200 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2312.176063 Adapting for 1300 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2311.441870 Adapting for 1400 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2342.139483 Adapting for 1500 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2337.786630 Adapting finished and took 1600 iterations Adapting took 1600 iterations Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2336.577406 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2325.447551 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2319.393014 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2334.594066 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2317.882286 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2309.210809 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2349.235208 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2333.935032 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2330.186094 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2341.758937 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 2 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2327.051966 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2339.874970 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2309.198285 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2346.152832 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2314.905831 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2351.101631 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2317.632930 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2325.626086 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2329.890641 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2327.271130 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2343.902312 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2343.491811 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2344.520396 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2309.826321 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2321.424001 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2310.992568 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2338.427891 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2323.921427 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2320.199534 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2329.341232 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2326.222503 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2314.921784 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2319.414142 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2314.796888 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2334.021752 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2332.470518 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2319.541619 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2355.054801 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2320.924157 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2325.057474 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2335.210506 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2336.135609 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2342.416626 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2321.267379 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2331.467392 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2328.493864 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2329.190621 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2364.273160 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2332.407860 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2323.954660 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2339.502065 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2321.468232 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2303.744745 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2325.786949 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2336.438484 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2339.011289 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2322.161947 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2315.798484 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2302.336882 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2319.976222 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2337.104563 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2346.705841 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2338.761085 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2324.958384 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2329.598206 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2315.708314 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2338.813844 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2327.083980 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2353.960950 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2331.027917 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2311.569206 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2317.945181 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2338.156234 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2348.518739 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2324.434414 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2338.245823 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2333.719836 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2318.488151 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2325.632416 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2319.865947 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2333.254000 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2341.766484 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2341.723143 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2311.475498 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2321.305098 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2321.418754 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2311.329769 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2336.299342 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2355.744179 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2347.723972 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2305.070878 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2322.601416 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2330.932742 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2325.133962 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2303.844210 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2322.715838 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2293.449631 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2325.586295 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2328.399955 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2344.514423 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2320.400520 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2305.159474 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2320.230335 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2316.097034 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2324.333599 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2313.919676 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2319.360953 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2340.517958 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2323.156696 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2327.761270 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 2327.3 S.D. = 13.554 S.E.M. = 0.19168 ECHO 0 Execution completed > > trajectories(binomialMCMC["chains"][, "FP_Intercept", drop = FALSE]) > > > ## 11: Alternative MCMC methods implemented in MLwiN ########################### > > #### 11.1: An example using orthogonal parameterisation to improve mixing > > (OrthogbinomialMCMC <- runMLwiN(Formula = F6, D = "Binomial", data = bang1, estoptions = list(EstM = 1, + mcmcOptions = list(orth = 1)))) MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 iteration 3 iteration 4 iteration 5 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 2 2 2 1 1 2 Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2337.322230 Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2316.691634 Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2341.340708 Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2333.781936 Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2346.289428 Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2328.159115 Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2318.953344 Adapting for 800 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2345.289592 Adapting for 900 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2318.364467 Adapting for 1000 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2322.991461 Adapting for 1100 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 2346.970270 Adapting finished and took 1200 iterations Adapting took 1200 iterations Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2325.185648 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2305.567068 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2345.278446 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2292.035489 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2324.765546 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2333.863661 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2325.465457 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2310.417874 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2332.533635 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 2328.702232 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 2 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2337.838339 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2318.920523 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2305.053342 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2322.427944 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2321.858413 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2323.922719 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2338.878946 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2330.155720 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2343.443552 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2336.772033 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2335.030565 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2311.509472 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2329.199820 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2333.409215 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2341.947371 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2321.947767 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2346.513443 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2336.612196 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2340.368839 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2350.420350 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2338.208394 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2322.958221 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2330.391010 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2343.171574 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2311.079892 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2319.647785 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2329.637852 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2324.678560 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2318.353838 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2316.288094 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2338.211897 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2321.494156 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2333.630595 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2313.392789 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2325.003198 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2312.935296 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2332.903595 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2306.894318 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2326.793129 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2317.413119 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2319.815170 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2317.011019 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2309.928606 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2330.403261 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2329.813043 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2332.050631 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2317.845437 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2319.364067 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2326.793550 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2336.257315 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2340.741219 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2340.920219 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2339.136355 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2324.127447 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2362.306299 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2311.678761 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2318.575630 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2323.066120 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2335.911082 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2340.797405 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2354.965435 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2333.400708 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2334.795722 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2327.315997 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2324.279787 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2329.117578 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2320.318949 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2343.366013 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2344.374385 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2340.612532 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2346.371540 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2336.775870 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2326.498009 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2312.121903 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2337.460304 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2347.122635 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2322.815532 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2329.943483 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2312.374891 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2312.121418 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2320.140219 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2315.629012 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2314.426678 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2317.459486 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2315.715362 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2336.435619 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2321.551392 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2345.680810 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2329.899472 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2320.869233 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2328.290977 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2335.321520 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2357.976515 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2322.088880 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2353.411926 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2345.877264 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2336.450908 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2359.398450 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2358.745731 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 2341.460550 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 2329.9 S.D. = 13.773 S.E.M. = 0.19478 ECHO 0 Execution completed -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- MLwiN (version: 3.05) multilevel model (Binomial) N min mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete district 60 2 32.23333 118 60 2 32.23333 118 Estimation algorithm: MCMC Elapsed time : 6.76s Number of obs: 1934 (from total 1934) Number of iter.: 5000 Chains: 1 Burn-in: 500 Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) Dbar D(thetabar) pD DIC 2329.932 2274.246 55.686 2385.619 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The model formula: logit(use) ~ 1 + age + lc + urban + (1 + urban | district) Level 2: district Level 1: l1id --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The fixed part estimates: Coef. Std. Err. z Pr(>|z|) [95% Cred. Interval] ESS Intercept -1.72531 0.15970 -10.80 3.315e-27 *** -2.04633 -1.41669 253 age -0.02682 0.00791 -3.39 0.0006962 *** -0.04201 -0.01128 1022 lcOne_child 1.13785 0.16084 7.07 1.5e-12 *** 0.83887 1.45232 1029 lcTwo_children 1.36251 0.17940 7.59 3.08e-14 *** 1.01457 1.70508 906 lcThree_plus 1.36258 0.18452 7.38 1.532e-13 *** 1.00614 1.72403 947 urbanUrban 0.81988 0.17754 4.62 3.877e-06 *** 0.49603 1.18249 185 Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the district level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.41479 0.13095 0.21191 0.72769 201 cov_Intercept_urbanUrban -0.41011 0.17509 -0.82066 -0.14898 111 var_urbanUrban 0.67575 0.31982 0.24280 1.46760 77 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the l1id level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_bcons_1 1.00000 1e-05 1.00000 1.00000 5000 -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- > > trajectories(OrthogbinomialMCMC["chains"][, "FP_Intercept", drop = FALSE]) > > > ## 12: Using R2MLwiN to write BUGS code ######################################## > > # If not running via Windows (or Wine), and WinBUGS not available, try OpenBUGS > # Please change line below if path different > openbugs <- "C:/Program Files (x86)/OpenBUGS/OpenBUGS323/OpenBUGS.exe" > BUGSmodel <- runMLwiN(Formula = F6, D = "Binomial", data = bang1, estoptions = list(EstM = 1, + mcmcMeth = list(burnin = 500, iterations = 5000, thinning = 1)), BUGO = c(n.chains = 1, + debug = FALSE, seed = 1, bugs = openbugs, OpenBugs = TRUE)) MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 iteration 3 iteration 4 iteration 5 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed Loading required namespace: BRugs Welcome to BRugs connected to OpenBUGS version 3.2.3 model is syntactically correct data loaded model compiled Initializing chain 1: model is initialized model is already initialized Sampling has been started ... 500 updates took 6 s deviance set monitor set for variable 'beta' monitor set for variable 'u2' monitor set for variable 'sigma2.u2' monitor set for variable 'deviance' 5000 updates took 49 s > summary(BUGSmodel) Iterations = 501:5500 Thinning interval = 1 Number of chains = 1 Sample size per chain = 5000 1. Empirical mean and standard deviation for each variable, plus standard error of the mean: Mean SD Naive SE Time-series SE beta[1] -1.716e+00 0.161787 0.0022880 0.004774 beta[2] -2.642e-02 0.008093 0.0001145 0.000135 beta[3] 1.127e+00 0.157901 0.0022331 0.002558 beta[4] 1.361e+00 0.178228 0.0025205 0.002982 beta[5] 1.355e+00 0.183615 0.0025967 0.003168 beta[6] 8.205e-01 0.176803 0.0025004 0.005706 deviance 2.329e+03 14.068616 0.1989603 0.364074 sigma2.u2[1,1] 4.305e-01 0.142902 0.0020209 0.004987 sigma2.u2[1,2] -4.439e-01 0.186796 0.0026417 0.007136 sigma2.u2[2,1] -4.439e-01 0.186796 0.0026417 0.007136 sigma2.u2[2,2] 7.350e-01 0.334513 0.0047307 0.014282 u2[1,1] -9.440e-01 0.339978 0.0048080 0.008053 u2[1,2] 3.918e-01 0.426069 0.0060255 0.009978 u2[10,1] -5.743e-01 0.500213 0.0070741 0.009828 u2[10,2] 5.892e-01 0.741317 0.0104838 0.015229 u2[11,1] -1.054e+00 0.513331 0.0072596 0.012735 u2[11,2] 1.090e+00 0.784515 0.0110947 0.021421 u2[12,1] 3.885e-03 0.385626 0.0054536 0.007086 u2[12,2] -2.016e-01 0.585887 0.0082857 0.010565 u2[13,1] 2.997e-01 0.424662 0.0060056 0.006872 u2[13,2] -4.238e-01 0.608202 0.0086013 0.011588 u2[14,1] 1.051e-02 0.411073 0.0058135 0.009388 u2[14,2] 6.373e-01 0.473945 0.0067026 0.010973 u2[15,1] 1.062e-01 0.440149 0.0062246 0.007697 u2[15,2] -2.825e-01 0.615075 0.0086985 0.010081 u2[16,1] 6.165e-01 0.411413 0.0058183 0.007833 u2[16,2] -4.062e-01 0.650862 0.0092046 0.011769 u2[17,1] -1.821e-01 0.379196 0.0053626 0.007364 u2[17,2] 1.767e-01 0.653329 0.0092395 0.011818 u2[18,1] -1.987e-01 0.346937 0.0049064 0.006605 u2[18,2] 2.731e-01 0.503056 0.0071143 0.008798 u2[19,1] -7.907e-03 0.386219 0.0054620 0.006974 u2[19,2] 2.221e-01 0.605136 0.0085579 0.010812 u2[2,1] -3.913e-02 0.393597 0.0055663 0.006665 u2[2,2] 4.803e-02 0.644156 0.0091097 0.009986 u2[20,1] 2.706e-01 0.441696 0.0062465 0.007120 u2[20,2] -2.650e-01 0.692924 0.0097994 0.011249 u2[21,1] 6.441e-01 0.494358 0.0069913 0.010092 u2[21,2] -1.166e+00 0.720115 0.0101840 0.020065 u2[22,1] -5.025e-01 0.408771 0.0057809 0.007728 u2[22,2] 4.977e-01 0.688824 0.0097414 0.013424 u2[23,1] -2.212e-01 0.437153 0.0061823 0.007364 u2[23,2] 2.178e-01 0.681261 0.0096345 0.010944 u2[24,1] -7.109e-01 0.506514 0.0071632 0.010148 u2[24,2] 7.457e-01 0.750173 0.0106091 0.016165 u2[25,1] 3.176e-01 0.286096 0.0040460 0.005447 u2[25,2] -3.778e-01 0.453880 0.0064188 0.008385 u2[26,1] 2.571e-02 0.440834 0.0062343 0.007464 u2[26,2] -3.999e-02 0.686110 0.0097031 0.011769 u2[27,1] -6.198e-01 0.376150 0.0053196 0.009472 u2[27,2] 5.657e-01 0.599866 0.0084834 0.013176 u2[28,1] -3.254e-01 0.317331 0.0044877 0.006294 u2[28,2] 6.304e-02 0.556848 0.0078750 0.010449 u2[29,1] -3.340e-01 0.403102 0.0057007 0.009615 u2[29,2] 4.895e-01 0.598134 0.0084589 0.012535 u2[3,1] -2.203e-02 0.661934 0.0093612 0.010018 u2[3,2] 2.656e-01 0.851207 0.0120379 0.015248 u2[30,1] 3.453e-01 0.301508 0.0042640 0.006398 u2[30,2] 7.461e-02 0.489458 0.0069220 0.010672 u2[31,1] 3.894e-01 0.343288 0.0048548 0.006288 u2[31,2] -3.863e-01 0.560052 0.0079203 0.008748 u2[32,1] -5.130e-01 0.395298 0.0055904 0.007641 u2[32,2] 5.098e-01 0.666104 0.0094201 0.011777 u2[33,1] -4.398e-01 0.518891 0.0073382 0.009385 u2[33,2] 6.081e-01 0.683964 0.0096727 0.012772 u2[34,1] 1.246e+00 0.392570 0.0055518 0.009539 u2[34,2] -1.451e+00 0.616698 0.0087214 0.017951 u2[35,1] 2.996e-01 0.344444 0.0048712 0.006697 u2[35,2] -2.194e-01 0.490779 0.0069407 0.008144 u2[36,1] -4.729e-02 0.428388 0.0060583 0.007191 u2[36,2] -6.554e-02 0.637409 0.0090143 0.009999 u2[37,1] 4.535e-01 0.437324 0.0061847 0.007214 u2[37,2] -4.681e-01 0.686769 0.0097124 0.011746 u2[38,1] -5.709e-01 0.558139 0.0078933 0.011497 u2[38,2] 6.651e-01 0.718960 0.0101676 0.015584 u2[39,1] 6.362e-01 0.372495 0.0052679 0.006943 u2[39,2] -6.966e-01 0.637740 0.0090190 0.012819 u2[4,1] -2.707e-01 0.411824 0.0058241 0.008050 u2[4,2] 8.384e-01 0.614693 0.0086931 0.016506 u2[40,1] 1.927e-01 0.444289 0.0062832 0.007257 u2[40,2] -1.552e-01 0.546284 0.0077256 0.009251 u2[41,1] 6.096e-01 0.370849 0.0052446 0.006346 u2[41,2] -9.185e-01 0.644720 0.0091177 0.015160 u2[42,1] 8.042e-01 0.557644 0.0078863 0.011144 u2[42,2] -1.143e+00 0.780134 0.0110328 0.019052 u2[43,1] 6.332e-01 0.348324 0.0049260 0.006533 u2[43,2] -4.607e-01 0.502802 0.0071107 0.008738 u2[44,1] -3.577e-01 0.382769 0.0054132 0.007163 u2[44,2] 3.703e-01 0.646588 0.0091441 0.011696 u2[45,1] -3.453e-01 0.337924 0.0047790 0.007282 u2[45,2] 6.033e-01 0.570225 0.0080642 0.011973 u2[46,1] 6.275e-01 0.245521 0.0034722 0.005677 u2[46,2] -4.112e-01 0.472575 0.0066832 0.010098 u2[47,1] 2.808e-01 0.475981 0.0067314 0.007506 u2[47,2] -2.148e-01 0.655428 0.0092692 0.010033 u2[48,1] 5.841e-01 0.357696 0.0050586 0.006828 u2[48,2] -4.729e-01 0.504434 0.0071338 0.009521 u2[49,1] -3.325e-01 0.594336 0.0084052 0.010279 u2[49,2] 3.529e-01 0.804213 0.0113733 0.014101 u2[5,1] 7.026e-02 0.319293 0.0045155 0.006130 u2[5,2] -6.755e-02 0.574160 0.0081199 0.009774 u2[50,1] 1.086e-01 0.442998 0.0062649 0.008120 u2[50,2] 2.827e-01 0.666047 0.0094193 0.013143 u2[51,1] -3.812e-02 0.386270 0.0054627 0.006898 u2[51,2] 1.231e-01 0.530880 0.0075078 0.009464 u2[52,1] 6.490e-01 0.307052 0.0043424 0.006824 u2[52,2] -1.169e+00 0.510257 0.0072161 0.014404 u2[53,1] 2.527e-02 0.643638 0.0091024 0.010410 u2[53,2] -1.889e-01 0.749285 0.0105965 0.012517 u2[54,1] -7.048e-04 0.655829 0.0092748 0.011941 u2[54,2] -3.847e-01 0.824459 0.0116596 0.016309 u2[55,1] 7.104e-01 0.369394 0.0052240 0.007630 u2[55,2] -4.242e-01 0.513756 0.0072656 0.010541 u2[56,1] -4.561e-01 0.412849 0.0058386 0.008013 u2[56,2] 2.259e-01 0.630939 0.0089228 0.013127 u2[57,1] 7.266e-01 0.394033 0.0055725 0.007775 u2[57,2] -1.069e+00 0.580589 0.0082108 0.014741 u2[58,1] -6.088e-01 0.502741 0.0071098 0.009986 u2[58,2] 6.314e-01 0.755271 0.0106811 0.015575 u2[59,1] -4.397e-01 0.416584 0.0058914 0.008362 u2[59,2] 1.935e-01 0.588264 0.0083193 0.011533 u2[6,1] -3.933e-01 0.295894 0.0041846 0.006237 u2[6,2] 6.618e-01 0.534768 0.0075628 0.010936 u2[60,1] -5.697e-01 0.366848 0.0051880 0.007595 u2[60,2] 2.040e-01 0.553889 0.0078332 0.011699 u2[7,1] -1.927e-01 0.412726 0.0058368 0.006952 u2[7,2] 1.948e-01 0.676543 0.0095678 0.010941 u2[8,1] 5.300e-02 0.332434 0.0047013 0.006291 u2[8,2] 1.800e-01 0.596339 0.0084335 0.011966 u2[9,1] -3.870e-01 0.408261 0.0057737 0.007471 u2[9,2] 4.625e-01 0.627304 0.0088714 0.011293 2. Quantiles for each variable: 2.5% 25% 50% 75% 97.5% beta[1] -2.03761 -1.826e+00 -1.716e+00 -1.604e+00 -1.40004 beta[2] -0.04246 -3.187e-02 -2.653e-02 -2.093e-02 -0.01042 beta[3] 0.81566 1.020e+00 1.125e+00 1.233e+00 1.43386 beta[4] 1.02156 1.242e+00 1.360e+00 1.481e+00 1.71294 beta[5] 0.99430 1.231e+00 1.354e+00 1.479e+00 1.72200 beta[6] 0.48086 7.031e-01 8.152e-01 9.360e-01 1.17714 deviance 2302.98492 2.319e+03 2.329e+03 2.339e+03 2357.46281 sigma2.u2[1,1] 0.21078 3.309e-01 4.120e-01 5.072e-01 0.77150 sigma2.u2[1,2] -0.88320 -5.464e-01 -4.147e-01 -3.114e-01 -0.16176 sigma2.u2[2,1] -0.88320 -5.464e-01 -4.147e-01 -3.114e-01 -0.16176 sigma2.u2[2,2] 0.27556 4.964e-01 6.749e-01 9.049e-01 1.54291 u2[1,1] -1.64891 -1.159e+00 -9.389e-01 -7.192e-01 -0.30609 u2[1,2] -0.45122 1.113e-01 3.970e-01 6.743e-01 1.21455 u2[10,1] -1.60437 -8.920e-01 -5.671e-01 -2.396e-01 0.37467 u2[10,2] -0.80339 9.520e-02 5.612e-01 1.045e+00 2.12471 u2[11,1] -2.11132 -1.380e+00 -1.026e+00 -6.972e-01 -0.13362 u2[11,2] -0.31303 5.598e-01 1.037e+00 1.574e+00 2.80812 u2[12,1] -0.76814 -2.531e-01 7.014e-03 2.602e-01 0.76642 u2[12,2] -1.40161 -5.725e-01 -1.913e-01 1.804e-01 0.94004 u2[13,1] -0.52737 9.802e-03 2.941e-01 5.920e-01 1.12180 u2[13,2] -1.66019 -8.198e-01 -4.090e-01 -1.337e-02 0.73626 u2[14,1] -0.77439 -2.631e-01 1.223e-02 2.909e-01 0.81245 u2[14,2] -0.25672 3.117e-01 6.355e-01 9.438e-01 1.60196 u2[15,1] -0.75940 -1.899e-01 1.104e-01 4.005e-01 0.96438 u2[15,2] -1.50428 -6.939e-01 -2.733e-01 1.310e-01 0.93441 u2[16,1] -0.18701 3.427e-01 6.169e-01 8.916e-01 1.42516 u2[16,2] -1.68093 -8.340e-01 -4.032e-01 1.576e-02 0.87465 u2[17,1] -0.95260 -4.320e-01 -1.771e-01 7.255e-02 0.55342 u2[17,2] -1.11391 -2.299e-01 1.761e-01 5.913e-01 1.48255 u2[18,1] -0.87698 -4.317e-01 -1.917e-01 3.194e-02 0.48003 u2[18,2] -0.69399 -6.766e-02 2.670e-01 6.009e-01 1.29767 u2[19,1] -0.75094 -2.789e-01 -7.359e-03 2.561e-01 0.73893 u2[19,2] -0.93217 -1.833e-01 2.114e-01 6.123e-01 1.47322 u2[2,1] -0.81885 -3.009e-01 -2.987e-02 2.236e-01 0.71542 u2[2,2] -1.24793 -3.655e-01 4.839e-02 4.584e-01 1.31997 u2[20,1] -0.61818 -1.899e-02 2.760e-01 5.815e-01 1.10667 u2[20,2] -1.62356 -6.995e-01 -2.647e-01 1.781e-01 1.12328 u2[21,1] -0.30667 3.013e-01 6.347e-01 9.669e-01 1.62112 u2[21,2] -2.71292 -1.610e+00 -1.118e+00 -6.761e-01 0.12274 u2[22,1] -1.31785 -7.726e-01 -4.912e-01 -2.233e-01 0.26868 u2[22,2] -0.82139 4.905e-02 4.789e-01 9.304e-01 1.95157 u2[23,1] -1.12548 -5.113e-01 -2.070e-01 7.608e-02 0.60495 u2[23,2] -1.12856 -2.267e-01 2.150e-01 6.534e-01 1.60948 u2[24,1] -1.82156 -1.028e+00 -6.799e-01 -3.603e-01 0.20098 u2[24,2] -0.66605 2.472e-01 7.088e-01 1.192e+00 2.37336 u2[25,1] -0.23674 1.206e-01 3.165e-01 5.090e-01 0.87661 u2[25,2] -1.30897 -6.730e-01 -3.683e-01 -7.775e-02 0.50312 u2[26,1] -0.82415 -2.633e-01 3.402e-02 3.152e-01 0.88576 u2[26,2] -1.39330 -4.790e-01 -4.579e-02 4.068e-01 1.29639 u2[27,1] -1.40391 -8.496e-01 -6.133e-01 -3.654e-01 0.08225 u2[27,2] -0.59441 1.756e-01 5.585e-01 9.469e-01 1.81883 u2[28,1] -0.97106 -5.363e-01 -3.230e-01 -1.104e-01 0.28956 u2[28,2] -1.06332 -2.892e-01 7.093e-02 4.389e-01 1.13144 u2[29,1] -1.16879 -5.976e-01 -3.253e-01 -6.453e-02 0.42881 u2[29,2] -0.64175 8.560e-02 4.743e-01 8.711e-01 1.73229 u2[3,1] -1.36294 -4.502e-01 -2.535e-02 4.218e-01 1.26281 u2[3,2] -1.33393 -2.885e-01 2.462e-01 7.689e-01 2.03627 u2[30,1] -0.24768 1.473e-01 3.443e-01 5.476e-01 0.94191 u2[30,2] -0.86630 -2.590e-01 7.275e-02 3.947e-01 1.05636 u2[31,1] -0.28468 1.625e-01 3.903e-01 6.145e-01 1.07622 u2[31,2] -1.55053 -7.546e-01 -3.802e-01 -2.374e-02 0.68920 u2[32,1] -1.30468 -7.706e-01 -4.981e-01 -2.531e-01 0.24422 u2[32,2] -0.76134 6.373e-02 4.809e-01 9.443e-01 1.86041 u2[33,1] -1.50661 -7.762e-01 -4.224e-01 -8.701e-02 0.54158 u2[33,2] -0.64880 1.340e-01 5.969e-01 1.040e+00 2.04555 u2[34,1] 0.50774 9.763e-01 1.236e+00 1.504e+00 2.05525 u2[34,2] -2.70437 -1.863e+00 -1.410e+00 -1.015e+00 -0.34273 u2[35,1] -0.37573 6.183e-02 2.965e-01 5.339e-01 0.97218 u2[35,2] -1.21700 -5.432e-01 -2.109e-01 1.056e-01 0.75115 u2[36,1] -0.89842 -3.372e-01 -3.803e-02 2.393e-01 0.78769 u2[36,2] -1.35068 -4.850e-01 -6.638e-02 3.496e-01 1.20632 u2[37,1] -0.39003 1.670e-01 4.387e-01 7.432e-01 1.32411 u2[37,2] -1.91919 -8.961e-01 -4.490e-01 -2.054e-02 0.80474 u2[38,1] -1.72891 -9.307e-01 -5.452e-01 -1.927e-01 0.45670 u2[38,2] -0.69530 1.849e-01 6.327e-01 1.122e+00 2.20331 u2[39,1] -0.09152 3.787e-01 6.369e-01 8.931e-01 1.36755 u2[39,2] -1.99157 -1.099e+00 -6.765e-01 -2.813e-01 0.51067 u2[4,1] -1.12468 -5.354e-01 -2.593e-01 7.594e-03 0.50864 u2[4,2] -0.27720 4.229e-01 8.084e-01 1.221e+00 2.12723 u2[40,1] -0.66730 -1.056e-01 1.980e-01 4.838e-01 1.07327 u2[40,2] -1.21776 -5.208e-01 -1.509e-01 2.073e-01 0.92119 u2[41,1] -0.09447 3.542e-01 6.095e-01 8.594e-01 1.34197 u2[41,2] -2.31867 -1.327e+00 -8.791e-01 -4.710e-01 0.25151 u2[42,1] -0.23656 4.189e-01 7.865e-01 1.168e+00 1.94149 u2[42,2] -2.79511 -1.624e+00 -1.103e+00 -6.094e-01 0.28276 u2[43,1] -0.03856 3.958e-01 6.365e-01 8.607e-01 1.32983 u2[43,2] -1.42983 -7.938e-01 -4.695e-01 -1.261e-01 0.53883 u2[44,1] -1.14694 -6.113e-01 -3.504e-01 -9.669e-02 0.38978 u2[44,2] -0.88483 -4.992e-02 3.491e-01 7.924e-01 1.68124 u2[45,1] -1.01650 -5.674e-01 -3.434e-01 -1.211e-01 0.31835 u2[45,2] -0.46081 2.194e-01 5.745e-01 9.593e-01 1.81032 u2[46,1] 0.14457 4.608e-01 6.249e-01 7.928e-01 1.12053 u2[46,2] -1.32999 -7.309e-01 -4.155e-01 -1.105e-01 0.55270 u2[47,1] -0.64460 -4.390e-02 2.861e-01 5.945e-01 1.22183 u2[47,2] -1.52107 -6.530e-01 -2.087e-01 2.148e-01 1.05489 u2[48,1] -0.09277 3.373e-01 5.814e-01 8.226e-01 1.30120 u2[48,2] -1.47970 -8.111e-01 -4.656e-01 -1.236e-01 0.48159 u2[49,1] -1.52596 -7.226e-01 -3.177e-01 6.772e-02 0.78839 u2[49,2] -1.19978 -1.527e-01 3.194e-01 8.590e-01 1.98823 u2[5,1] -0.54199 -1.478e-01 7.016e-02 2.855e-01 0.68859 u2[5,2] -1.21490 -4.481e-01 -6.566e-02 3.106e-01 1.05506 u2[50,1] -0.77855 -1.865e-01 1.113e-01 4.020e-01 0.97485 u2[50,2] -0.97376 -1.684e-01 2.626e-01 7.047e-01 1.64936 u2[51,1] -0.82613 -2.931e-01 -3.121e-02 2.173e-01 0.70535 u2[51,2] -0.89552 -2.280e-01 1.144e-01 4.675e-01 1.18763 u2[52,1] 0.03778 4.455e-01 6.470e-01 8.526e-01 1.24465 u2[52,2] -2.22962 -1.504e+00 -1.149e+00 -8.259e-01 -0.19037 u2[53,1] -1.21799 -3.968e-01 1.225e-02 4.451e-01 1.32958 u2[53,2] -1.76619 -6.582e-01 -1.709e-01 3.155e-01 1.26678 u2[54,1] -1.27636 -4.258e-01 5.749e-03 4.192e-01 1.29235 u2[54,2] -2.07305 -9.167e-01 -3.582e-01 1.691e-01 1.16561 u2[55,1] -0.02657 4.562e-01 7.145e-01 9.593e-01 1.41333 u2[55,2] -1.42156 -7.724e-01 -4.330e-01 -8.000e-02 0.58804 u2[56,1] -1.29016 -7.341e-01 -4.419e-01 -1.652e-01 0.32163 u2[56,2] -1.00678 -1.872e-01 2.134e-01 6.383e-01 1.49982 u2[57,1] -0.02789 4.533e-01 7.260e-01 9.855e-01 1.50890 u2[57,2] -2.26439 -1.449e+00 -1.054e+00 -6.640e-01 0.01591 u2[58,1] -1.61291 -9.423e-01 -5.913e-01 -2.599e-01 0.32656 u2[58,2] -0.82297 1.283e-01 6.220e-01 1.099e+00 2.17939 u2[59,1] -1.31393 -7.134e-01 -4.194e-01 -1.568e-01 0.35761 u2[59,2] -0.97729 -1.857e-01 1.969e-01 5.770e-01 1.34544 u2[6,1] -1.01066 -5.906e-01 -3.799e-01 -1.922e-01 0.17159 u2[6,2] -0.32346 2.941e-01 6.446e-01 1.006e+00 1.76475 u2[60,1] -1.32766 -8.121e-01 -5.600e-01 -3.168e-01 0.11638 u2[60,2] -0.87659 -1.698e-01 2.053e-01 5.673e-01 1.28713 u2[7,1] -1.02988 -4.644e-01 -1.896e-01 7.904e-02 0.60720 u2[7,2] -1.09856 -2.353e-01 1.909e-01 6.205e-01 1.54722 u2[8,1] -0.59330 -1.724e-01 4.948e-02 2.764e-01 0.70413 u2[8,2] -0.95643 -2.080e-01 1.662e-01 5.633e-01 1.39615 u2[9,1] -1.22858 -6.549e-01 -3.719e-01 -1.124e-01 0.39504 u2[9,2] -0.70101 4.752e-02 4.269e-01 8.586e-01 1.77344 > cc <- cbind(binomialMCMC["FP"], OrthogbinomialMCMC["FP"]) > dd <- cbind(head(binomialMCMC["RP"], -1), head(OrthogbinomialMCMC["RP"], -1)) > ESS.binMCMC <- effectiveSize(binomialMCMC["chains"][, 2:10]) > ESS.orthogMCMC <- effectiveSize(OrthogbinomialMCMC["chains"][, 2:10]) > ESStable <- round(rbind(cc, dd), 3) > BUGSlist <- c(1:6, 8, 9, 11) > BUGS.Coeff <- round(summary(BUGSmodel)$statistics[BUGSlist, 1], 3) > BUGS.ESS <- as.data.frame(effectiveSize(BUGSmodel)) > ESStable <- cbind(ESStable[, 1], round(ESS.binMCMC), ESStable[, 2], round(ESS.orthogMCMC), + BUGS.Coeff, round(BUGS.ESS[BUGSlist, ])) > colnames(ESStable) <- c("A)Coeff.", "A)ESS", "B)Coeff.", "B)ESS", "C)Coeff.", "C)ESS") > cat("NB: A = MLwiN(non-orthog.), B = MLwiN(orthog.), C = WinBUGS\n");ESStable NB: A = MLwiN(non-orthog.), B = MLwiN(orthog.), C = WinBUGS A)Coeff. A)ESS B)Coeff. B)ESS C)Coeff. C)ESS FP_Intercept -1.724 64 -1.725 253 -1.716 1149 FP_age -0.026 292 -0.027 1022 -0.026 3594 FP_lcOne_child 1.126 279 1.138 1029 1.127 3811 FP_lcTwo_children 1.347 182 1.363 906 1.361 3572 FP_lcThree_plus 1.343 96 1.363 947 1.355 3359 FP_urbanUrban 0.839 93 0.820 185 0.820 960 RP2_var_Intercept 0.437 186 0.415 201 0.430 821 RP2_cov_Intercept_urbanUrban -0.462 118 -0.410 111 -0.444 685 RP2_var_urbanUrban 0.789 96 0.676 77 0.735 549 > > rm(binomialMCMC) > rm(OrthogbinomialMCMC) > rm(BUGSmodel) > > > ## 13: Modeling a cross-classified data structure ############################## > > data("xc") > > F7 <- attain ~ 1 + (1 | sid) + (1 | pid) + (1 | pupil) > (XCModel <- runMLwiN(Formula = F7, data = xc, estoptions = list(xc = TRUE, EstM = 1))) MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 iteration 3 iteration 4 iteration 5 iteration 6 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Setting up classifications as categorical variables - may take a while Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 1 1 1 1 1 1 Setting up XC/MM data structures - may take a while Setting up XC/MM data structures - may take a while Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 17116.846282 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 16925.138026 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 16927.319828 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 16965.778183 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 16955.606264 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 16951.951837 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 16945.378353 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 16936.190276 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 16938.670246 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 16944.131253 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16930.772493 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16958.858172 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16923.352209 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16940.009141 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16914.697421 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16944.496356 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16928.528878 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16943.248935 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16971.423614 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16922.090260 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16935.816614 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16947.385332 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16920.685758 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16928.587528 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16965.325091 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16943.473439 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16919.308622 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16933.128432 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16930.758905 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16957.083527 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16943.888178 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16965.964089 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16921.824473 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16953.658454 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16934.451954 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16951.781793 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16941.251450 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16935.745368 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16955.226196 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16941.287874 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16948.896118 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16945.849702 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16937.136440 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16945.958318 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16974.412435 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16900.602388 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16924.854352 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16937.713157 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16959.782807 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16923.766471 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16976.590398 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16913.081256 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16926.910322 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16990.699816 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16931.869556 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16962.784588 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16946.179309 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16943.240263 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16962.278361 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16920.934579 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16936.105454 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16930.768009 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16932.632200 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16946.364136 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16949.664178 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16927.858517 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16943.524849 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16961.762283 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16948.996892 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16936.466061 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16960.544199 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16935.903308 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16952.645973 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16925.194864 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16949.719926 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16981.039812 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16938.904935 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16931.690563 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16919.876781 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16978.709486 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16943.686121 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16949.383004 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16945.389033 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16978.610197 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16922.976805 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16955.136854 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16937.103010 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16960.278852 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16960.759481 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16927.385163 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16913.975117 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16948.521988 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16923.748271 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16919.286345 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16975.125566 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16961.544364 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16943.126718 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16918.061242 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16945.876480 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16951.286098 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16947.170810 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16952.497601 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16949.644844 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16923.183627 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16941.651907 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16934.280639 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16970.783159 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16919.141601 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16954.922840 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 16920.466392 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 16941. S.D. = 18.665 S.E.M. = 0.26397 ECHO 0 Execution completed -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- MLwiN (version: 3.05) multilevel model (Normal) N min mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete sid 19 92 180.78947 290 19 92 180.78947 290 pid 148 1 23.20946 72 148 1 23.20946 72 Estimation algorithm: MCMC Cross-classified Elapsed time : 2.59s Number of obs: 3435 (from total 3435) Number of iter.: 5000 Chains: 1 Burn-in: 500 Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) Dbar D(thetabar) pD DIC 16940.799 16833.534 107.265 17048.064 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The model formula: attain ~ 1 + (1 | sid) + (1 | pid) + (1 | pupil) Level 3: sid Level 2: pid Level 1: pupil --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The fixed part estimates: Coef. Std. Err. z Pr(>|z|) [95% Cred. Interval] ESS Intercept 5.50851 0.19195 28.70 4.091e-181 *** 5.11068 5.88199 167 Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the sid level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.42008 0.21979 0.14039 0.97629 992 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the pid level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 1.14487 0.21097 0.78224 1.59964 1092 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the pupil level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 8.12044 0.19749 7.73796 8.51995 4052 -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- > > PercentExplainedBy <- cbind(XCModel["RP"][["RP3_var_Intercept"]]/(XCModel["RP"][["RP1_var_Intercept"]] + + XCModel["RP"][["RP2_var_Intercept"]] + XCModel["RP"][["RP3_var_Intercept"]]) * + 100, XCModel["RP"][["RP2_var_Intercept"]]/(XCModel["RP"][["RP1_var_Intercept"]] + + XCModel["RP"][["RP2_var_Intercept"]] + XCModel["RP"][["RP3_var_Intercept"]]) * + 100) > colnames(PercentExplainedBy) <- c("sid", "pid") > PercentExplainedBy sid pid [1,] 4.337235 11.8206 > > rm(XCModel) > > > ## 14: Modeling a multiple membership data structure ########################### > > data("wage1") > > F8 <- logearn ~ 1 + age_40 + numjobs + (1 | company) + (1 | id) > OurMultiMemb <- list(list(mmvar = list("company", "company2", "company3", "company4"), + weights = list("weight1", "weight2", "weight3", "weight4")), NA) > (MMembModel <- runMLwiN(Formula = F8, data = wage1, estoptions = list(EstM = 1, drop.data = FALSE, + mm = OurMultiMemb))) MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Setting up classifications as categorical variables - may take a while Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 1 1 1 1 1 1 Setting up XC/MM data structures - may take a while Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 4765.741567 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 4623.225871 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 4620.949355 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 4624.726683 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 4632.687624 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 4611.583939 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 4623.414045 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 4607.981194 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 4628.491695 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 4615.513031 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4633.373313 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4618.529498 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4639.850425 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4607.200922 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4606.249563 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4627.547337 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4615.478814 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4625.755329 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4633.393607 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4621.842634 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4626.540290 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4608.611472 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4622.638774 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4625.549924 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4612.286537 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4621.325918 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4627.251299 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4623.137044 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4620.554616 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4621.702561 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4604.346291 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4631.082274 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4618.077414 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4615.211492 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4599.398821 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4612.691344 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4634.186997 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4633.906027 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4642.670469 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4631.968256 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4630.023751 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4645.938357 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4602.589850 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4636.894112 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4623.735380 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4595.758831 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4625.371224 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4622.138444 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4625.879911 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4626.802084 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4641.168536 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4613.218225 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4634.433834 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4611.774648 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4623.658258 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4632.221980 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4627.409360 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4652.012114 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4646.984774 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4597.030569 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4619.531719 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4648.407047 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4617.917498 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4656.811543 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4651.771033 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4615.938348 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4603.658571 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4619.843913 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4624.020017 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4631.464932 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4636.502726 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4637.886446 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4618.830380 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4644.049335 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4609.315455 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4628.612235 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4648.987830 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4642.225433 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4578.376743 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4603.903928 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4618.367632 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4619.321366 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4635.873713 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4680.309988 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4638.205472 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4636.844697 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4631.457218 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4614.277481 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4644.049228 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4642.856910 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4625.559447 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4637.281346 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4617.879025 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4655.828828 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4660.814504 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4603.957702 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4641.671454 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4624.124935 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4622.910381 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4603.341156 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4630.080213 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4621.094163 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4624.869743 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4641.799534 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4631.074126 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4639.207236 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4622.780128 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4624.486232 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4650.511091 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 4626.681512 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 4624.9 S.D. = 17.147 S.E.M. = 0.24250 ECHO 0 Execution completed -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- MLwiN (version: 3.05) multilevel model (Normal) N min mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete company 141 2 21.43262 49 141 2 21.43262 49 Estimation algorithm: MCMC Cross-classified Elapsed time : 1.91s Number of obs: 3022 (from total 3022) Number of iter.: 5000 Chains: 1 Burn-in: 500 Bayesian Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) Dbar D(thetabar) pD DIC 4624.880 4514.462 110.418 4735.299 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The model formula: logearn ~ 1 + age_40 + numjobs + (1 | company) + (1 | id) Level 2: company Level 1: id --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The fixed part estimates: Coef. Std. Err. z Pr(>|z|) [95% Cred. Interval] ESS Intercept 3.05024 0.03515 86.77 0 *** 2.97952 3.11650 869 age_40 0.01272 0.00095 13.38 7.951e-41 *** 0.01084 0.01462 4583 numjobs -0.11201 0.02181 -5.14 2.799e-07 *** -0.15474 -0.06886 4358 Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the company level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.05816 0.00906 0.04292 0.07864 2160 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the id level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept 0.27059 0.00706 0.25704 0.28483 4681 -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- > > MMembModel["RP"][["RP2_var_Intercept"]]/(MMembModel["RP"][["RP2_var_Intercept"]] + + MMembModel["RP"][["RP1_var_Intercept"]]) * 100 [1] 17.69259 > > rm(MMembModel) > > > ## 15: Multivariate response models ############################################ > > data("jspmix1") > > F9 <- c(english, probit(behaviour)) ~ 1 + sex + ravens + fluent[1] + (1 | school) + + (1[1] | id) > > (MixedRespMCMC <- runMLwiN(Formula = F9, D = c("Mixed", "Normal", "Binomial"), data = jspmix1, + estoptions = list(EstM = 1, mcmcMeth = list(fixM = 1, residM = 1, Lev1VarM = 2)))) MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence not achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 iteration 3 iteration 4 iteration 5 iteration 6 iteration 7 iteration 8 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 2 1 1 5 Adapting for 100 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 12525.658322 Adapting for 200 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 12593.457854 Adapting for 300 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 12542.630286 Adapting for 400 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 12467.925995 Adapting for 500 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 12569.865026 Adapting for 600 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 12561.878881 Adapting for 700 iterations (Maximum 5000) -2 * Loglike = 12485.786776 Adapting finished and took 800 iterations Adapting took 800 iterations Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 12561.833984 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 12590.811909 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 12484.819059 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 12582.254061 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 12572.319424 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 12568.440828 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 12566.051808 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 12551.209439 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 12523.790179 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 12562.427806 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 5 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12588.808395 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12510.453167 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12664.435852 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12542.722437 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12522.155920 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12578.344955 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12566.853411 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12465.874142 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12584.190993 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12602.940999 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12445.486613 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12537.055338 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12617.291428 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12462.995124 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12545.681692 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12506.899370 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12474.618203 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12554.530305 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12566.010778 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12519.719816 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12450.965390 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12564.980219 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12499.566213 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12562.123366 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12560.872773 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12468.739685 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12508.356907 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12477.288177 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12422.673899 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12602.517576 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12581.578312 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12585.553877 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12549.691145 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12626.643663 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12586.903014 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12484.665680 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12486.328551 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12497.814341 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12487.421476 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12488.144779 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12465.074512 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12546.661222 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12507.636723 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12608.623492 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12500.235270 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12605.135751 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12643.360000 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12541.408777 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12646.548957 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12598.267247 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12456.516485 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12486.544571 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12523.251366 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12630.881340 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12576.997843 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12579.945712 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12506.448137 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12510.190371 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12472.260589 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12464.480791 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12393.313306 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12533.290687 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12562.288463 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12499.309589 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12526.616523 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12581.839372 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12487.938207 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12479.313460 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12545.773577 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12505.310953 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12452.990205 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12570.980498 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12647.585685 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12569.762979 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12522.044375 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12568.953657 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12636.900420 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12502.428452 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12440.901754 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12656.500634 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12610.232973 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12619.856266 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12544.921528 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12562.320164 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12549.874046 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12546.631284 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12468.626822 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12653.896506 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12531.798163 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12566.774518 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12398.839179 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12518.103460 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12475.833195 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12485.950731 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12503.389621 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12641.030255 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12471.456858 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12560.844191 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12515.566571 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 12559.674437 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 12540. S.D. = 55.432 S.E.M. = 0.78393 ECHO 0 Execution completed -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- MLwiN (version: 3.05) multilevel model (Mixed) N min mean max N_complete min_complete mean_complete max_complete school 47 7 23.80851 76 47 7 23.80851 76 Estimation algorithm: MCMC Elapsed time : 4.3s Number of obs: 1119 (from total 1119) Number of iter.: 5000 Chains: 1 Burn-in: 500 Deviance statistic: NA --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The model formula: c(english, probit(behaviour)) ~ 1 + sex + ravens + fluent[1] + (1 | school) + (1[1] | id) Level 2: school Level 1: id --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The fixed part estimates: Coef. Std. Err. z Pr(>|z|) [95% Cred. Interval] ESS sexmale_english -6.25128 1.04875 -5.96 2.512e-09 *** -8.24857 -4.14073 5000 sexmale_behaviour -0.41709 0.08993 -4.64 3.515e-06 *** -0.59170 -0.23841 1362 ravens_english 1.66182 0.09105 18.25 2.026e-74 *** 1.48512 1.83777 4083 ravens_behaviour 0.05683 0.00772 7.36 1.791e-13 *** 0.04202 0.07219 1155 fluent_1 6.37932 1.28503 4.96 6.894e-07 *** 3.90506 8.87736 4348 Intercept_1 -9.27886 3.29575 -2.82 0.004872 ** -15.81773 -2.67064 2931 Intercept_2 -0.35566 0.19942 -1.78 0.07451 . -0.74788 0.03255 1185 Signif. codes: 0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the school level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_Intercept_1 40.87154 11.81184 22.55033 68.01690 1700 cov_Intercept_1_Intercept_2 0.03318 0.42400 -0.79115 0.91364 694 var_Intercept_2 0.06268 0.03102 0.01903 0.13664 363 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The random part estimates at the id level: Coef. Std. Err. [95% Cred. Interval] ESS var_bcons_2 1.00000 0.00001 1.00000 1.00000 5000 cov_bcons_2_Intercept_1 6.22421 0.70235 4.85780 7.59930 345 var_Intercept_1 291.33014 12.34688 268.03250 316.60036 782 -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- > > CompareCorrelation <- cbind(MixedRespMCMC["RP"][["RP2_cov_Intercept_1_Intercept_2"]]/sqrt(MixedRespMCMC["RP"][["RP2_var_Intercept_1"]] * + MixedRespMCMC["RP"][["RP2_var_Intercept_2"]]), MixedRespMCMC["RP"][["RP1_cov_bcons_2_Intercept_1"]]/sqrt(MixedRespMCMC["RP"][["RP1_var_Intercept_1"]] * + MixedRespMCMC["RP"][["RP1_var_bcons_2"]])) > colnames(CompareCorrelation) <- c("school-level", "pupil-level") > CompareCorrelation school-level pupil-level [1,] 0.02073086 0.3646631 > > ExplainedBySchool <- cbind(MixedRespMCMC["RP"][["RP2_var_Intercept_1"]]/(MixedRespMCMC["RP"][["RP1_var_Intercept_1"]] + + MixedRespMCMC["RP"][["RP2_var_Intercept_1"]]) * 100, MixedRespMCMC["RP"][["RP2_var_Intercept_2"]]/(MixedRespMCMC["RP"][["RP1_var_bcons_2"]] + + MixedRespMCMC["RP"][["RP2_var_Intercept_2"]]) * 100) > colnames(ExplainedBySchool) <- c("english", "behaviour") > ExplainedBySchool english behaviour [1,] 12.30323 5.898167 > > rm(MixedRespMCMC) > > > ## 16: Running simulations / fitting multiple models ########################### > > set.seed(1) > pupil <- 1:108 > school <- rep(1:6, each = 18) > F10 <- resp ~ 1 + (1 | school) + (1 | pupil) > > ns <- 100 > IGLS_array <- MCMC_array <- array(, c(3, 2, ns)) > MCMC_median <- data.frame(RP2_var_Intercept = rep(0, ns), RP1_var_Intercept = rep(0, + ns)) > CounterMCMC <- rep(0, 3) > Actual <- c(30, 10, 40) > for (i in 1:ns) { + u_short <- rnorm(6, 0, sqrt(Actual[2])) + u <- rep(u_short, each = 18, len = 108) + e <- rnorm(108, 0, sqrt(Actual[3])) + resp <- Actual[1] * 1 + u + e + simData <- data.frame(cbind(pupil, school, resp)) + simModelIGLS <- runMLwiN(F10, data = simData) + IGLS_array[, , i] <- cbind(coef(simModelIGLS), diag(vcov(simModelIGLS))) + simModelMCMC <- runMLwiN(F10, estoptions = list(EstM = 1), data = simData) + MCMC_array[, , i] <- cbind(coef(simModelMCMC), diag(vcov(simModelMCMC))) + MCMC_median[i, ] <- c(median(simModelMCMC["chains"][, "RP2_var_Intercept"]), + median(simModelMCMC["chains"][, "RP1_var_Intercept"])) + if (Actual[1] > quantile(simModelMCMC["chains"][, "FP_Intercept"], 0.025) & Actual[1] < + quantile(simModelMCMC["chains"][, "FP_Intercept"], 0.975)) { + CounterMCMC[1] <- CounterMCMC[1] + 1 + } + if (Actual[2] > quantile(simModelMCMC["chains"][, "RP2_var_Intercept"], 0.025) & + Actual[2] < quantile(simModelMCMC["chains"][, "RP2_var_Intercept"], 0.975)) { + CounterMCMC[2] <- CounterMCMC[2] + 1 + } + if (Actual[3] > quantile(simModelMCMC["chains"][, "RP1_var_Intercept"], 0.025) & + Actual[3] < quantile(simModelMCMC["chains"][, "RP1_var_Intercept"], 0.975)) { + CounterMCMC[3] <- CounterMCMC[3] + 1 + } + } /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 687.432575 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 682.999136 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 684.195140 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 684.031335 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.030669 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 685.695358 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 690.642506 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 689.087391 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.081480 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.968182 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.355000 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.350023 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.509522 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.784035 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.130767 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.784023 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.658528 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.533022 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.766915 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.056754 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.895265 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.396383 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.300087 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.011907 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.924963 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.983463 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.437128 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.960172 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.574398 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.663531 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.204460 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.350900 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.049683 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.132568 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.981932 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.443199 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.394867 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.534064 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.744223 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.765458 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.170751 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.360894 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.719563 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.019397 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.885312 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.966975 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.976249 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.762425 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.451424 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.621616 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.023372 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.683553 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.421637 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.671473 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.161392 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.138563 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.532711 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.201360 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.776811 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.054816 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.998040 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.536249 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.666490 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.404742 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.631523 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.195115 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.888611 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.739692 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.438476 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.004325 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.757229 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.720408 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.481857 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.438127 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.220529 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.724299 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.514114 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.352953 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.584288 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.670650 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.228159 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.953527 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.756168 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.355044 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.664826 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.001398 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.466138 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.671999 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.713494 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.952692 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.726739 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.348572 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.671189 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.463672 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.038468 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.785977 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.413246 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.945536 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.933476 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.770010 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.696652 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.218195 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.903940 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.351514 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.835284 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.442837 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.653088 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.335151 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.870152 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.508110 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 687.44 S.D. = 4.3101 S.E.M. = 0.060954 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.501714 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.161617 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.728168 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.936917 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.465965 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.020037 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.282909 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.487909 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.339904 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.778653 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.877102 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.244857 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.404068 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.081568 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.369923 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.783233 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.624179 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.039248 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.556287 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.629652 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.676358 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.448545 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.179842 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.186246 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.548845 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.634947 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.427086 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.416650 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.716546 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.587480 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.657848 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.287336 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.180604 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.716967 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.794298 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.531782 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.385685 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.370840 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.905136 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.635226 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.941862 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.488591 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.016025 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.899513 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.710275 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.965944 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.316416 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.788723 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.643119 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.723766 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.684230 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.133373 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.407250 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.578407 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.818586 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.459319 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.981040 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.886717 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.126505 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.129890 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.491618 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.706547 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.156406 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.198908 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.945715 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.803132 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.312128 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.612491 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.523852 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.330302 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.680394 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.589233 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.936305 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.502774 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.436487 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.283379 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.733169 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.824651 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.719692 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.805059 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.199719 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.429250 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.024193 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.796892 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.429047 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.534899 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.594366 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.070094 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.516157 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.403760 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.184351 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.994291 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.850269 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.131445 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.732517 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.417240 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.901646 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.422636 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.772508 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.566024 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.303787 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.361289 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.659050 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.636071 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.490840 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.655071 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.371960 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.028265 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.292466 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.229436 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 712.15 S.D. = 5.2421 S.E.M. = 0.074134 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.298198 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 690.133429 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 690.880603 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.871440 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 697.378745 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.915614 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.501257 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.120551 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 697.271436 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.516276 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.175970 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.287172 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.075946 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.098477 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.168563 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.829470 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.386302 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.260136 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.633751 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.679803 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.708760 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.767662 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.986967 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.394176 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.345032 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.186146 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.811535 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.142484 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.124541 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.017554 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.255393 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.622776 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.442826 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.616964 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.703435 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.347915 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.105602 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.713832 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.605402 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.782623 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.030539 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.481157 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.507728 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.219941 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.181837 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.514914 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.478014 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.928231 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.556818 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.978916 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.916251 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.481806 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.534472 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.129901 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.203124 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.461945 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.717665 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.167688 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.527280 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.962372 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.028314 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.364511 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.544830 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.646618 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.740322 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.897035 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.263987 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.382942 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.474364 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.621791 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.652871 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.476371 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.542094 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.072416 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.255512 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.256288 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.754264 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.760256 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.848719 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.384066 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.898929 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.081612 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.742794 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.984540 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.509959 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.964991 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.565786 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.265644 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.089933 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.412754 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.917059 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.789470 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.098841 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.712409 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.937474 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.564769 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.291130 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.443942 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.066451 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.509044 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.831499 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.392564 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.476290 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.886424 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.171189 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.157478 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.295888 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.171355 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.784784 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.480821 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 695.82 S.D. = 5.9503 S.E.M. = 0.084150 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.321379 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.310505 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.142364 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.629718 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.916458 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 732.543675 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.174612 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 716.194654 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.638800 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.437414 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.551756 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.366412 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.528599 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.091432 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.738927 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.283852 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.466646 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.066121 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.591629 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.140894 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.912849 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.078982 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.601002 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.402912 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.547572 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.736210 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.987117 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.745201 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.149315 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.192444 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.679783 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.516631 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.456370 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.258428 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.559565 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.434377 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.389351 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.390249 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.432362 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.512822 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.346732 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.051452 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.979987 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.167771 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.862466 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.877461 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.355570 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.320375 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.003032 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.632018 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.791707 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.244238 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.789764 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.344402 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.782288 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.252946 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.816503 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.242411 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.206879 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.695202 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.999364 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.242634 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.550644 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.745127 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.749176 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.836939 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.516718 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.311725 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.781858 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.613847 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.922330 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.843791 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.055194 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.403995 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.462184 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.608513 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.201380 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.169229 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.110283 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.791463 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.176961 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.180408 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.251837 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.524396 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.842281 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.005424 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.795423 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.214817 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.505741 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.977710 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.823421 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.056179 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.509823 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.799726 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.464938 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.926825 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.328518 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.358762 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.023027 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.567254 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.263032 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.531835 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.208433 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.821719 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.024027 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.932114 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.926513 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.854088 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.267494 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.943847 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 720.85 S.D. = 5.5801 S.E.M. = 0.078914 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.530885 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.063576 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.992274 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.028324 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.595899 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.375986 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.591107 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.657089 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.222565 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 716.464190 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.347370 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.279148 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.957752 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.987725 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.449785 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.574805 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.161504 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.260851 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.803981 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.909385 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.117007 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.248666 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.619654 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.626915 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.988028 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.195856 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.000808 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.517498 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.364173 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.729866 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.655322 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.198419 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.078349 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.517022 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.106248 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.812721 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.089413 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.062312 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.921206 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.693570 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.489366 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.745442 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.446339 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.241330 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.502150 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.508815 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.712903 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.840462 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.414638 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.872385 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.215482 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.354976 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.236381 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.188650 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.864062 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.509959 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.872212 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.333517 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.327972 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.469418 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.304997 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.222591 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.477933 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.639285 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.805549 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.805048 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.474945 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.278659 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.215077 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.304448 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.754469 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.107296 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.036062 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.727142 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.000343 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.862075 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.114842 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.142705 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.925790 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.445592 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.466911 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.278501 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.395952 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.770746 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.500514 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.935349 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.115217 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.574347 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.269072 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.227881 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.425360 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.765358 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.121952 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.691718 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.546103 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.518281 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.852822 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.405682 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.786535 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.385655 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.765812 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.240502 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.116753 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.496745 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.353778 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.697555 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.428674 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.235415 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.063599 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.381114 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 717.86 S.D. = 4.1035 S.E.M. = 0.058032 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 727.685326 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.938041 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.890811 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.381197 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 728.654378 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.066298 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 732.247163 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.076478 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 728.142144 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 731.504837 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.968306 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.139401 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.380443 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.458881 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.761537 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.676241 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.428547 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.822428 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.427773 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.662011 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.097926 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.703133 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.140756 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.117824 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.796771 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.269164 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.311149 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.763981 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.385793 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.446471 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.447527 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.654851 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.309106 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.205937 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.900319 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.469247 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.177085 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.383650 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.370607 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.760061 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.211708 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.317961 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.775613 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.977051 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.710335 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.747215 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.660687 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.768243 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.872415 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.008659 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.708516 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.051878 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.862607 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.029564 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.505234 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.839968 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.923637 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.365568 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.050559 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.606456 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.037483 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.915852 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.074158 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.350720 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.272776 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.031135 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.929599 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.332096 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.804685 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.165763 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.119439 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.701128 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.840922 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.011477 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.449702 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.626589 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.631313 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.465112 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.728137 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.279403 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.282158 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.065390 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.235774 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.444499 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.120869 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.537121 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.091858 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.226018 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.921489 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.193472 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.780555 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.116984 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.297307 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.022512 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.476334 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.142712 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.090269 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.371971 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.478590 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.043920 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.732552 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.510976 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.643877 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.984447 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.703672 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.760448 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.466125 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.300723 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.853727 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.455373 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 728.53 S.D. = 5.4984 S.E.M. = 0.077759 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.247875 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.225412 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.737529 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.220816 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.147185 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.594080 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 727.940431 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.164918 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.343052 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.984288 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.388448 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.890625 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.353440 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.463741 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.505814 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.451395 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.005166 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.900182 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.493379 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.633810 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.075920 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.756144 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.584931 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.113154 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.667682 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.998758 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.290003 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.793780 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.354902 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.921128 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.659918 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.677699 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.748990 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.081345 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.037158 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.910072 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.553580 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.231613 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.744370 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.470985 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.521300 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.400719 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.459651 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.748444 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.839157 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.557023 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.625239 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.336253 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.242168 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.863823 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.459465 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.305822 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.690368 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.852640 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.830559 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.471742 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.574569 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.556052 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.447919 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.937824 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.656813 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.976815 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.891122 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.219434 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.246949 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.590906 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.150400 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.377037 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.301417 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.687811 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.862278 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.990665 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.463055 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.880318 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.882147 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.868892 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.421946 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.431896 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.472757 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.340369 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.130940 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.453160 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.125108 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.633498 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.585039 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.937578 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.837988 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.487344 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.680096 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.239367 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.648244 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.128933 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.615414 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.780199 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.549841 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.333971 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.084352 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.280154 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.081553 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.473429 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.197993 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.446561 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.274387 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.182800 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.035768 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.793131 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.750249 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.288214 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.808990 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.426219 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 723.53 S.D. = 4.1201 S.E.M. = 0.058267 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.502994 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.603965 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.628768 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.015611 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.615905 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.857775 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.299632 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.079135 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.055870 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.109050 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.562150 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.451302 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.517245 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.422971 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.885009 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.136339 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.034987 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.555839 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.566034 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.557546 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.097931 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.196103 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.252792 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.101405 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.177882 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.606199 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.697567 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.572543 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.453446 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.901710 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.102080 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.953406 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.710879 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.627255 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.160278 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.669552 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.849894 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.670872 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.851100 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.258073 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.596918 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.122246 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.485402 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.104815 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.783248 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.240604 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.747872 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.503626 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.229483 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.488490 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.610395 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.126978 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.143182 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.974124 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.481826 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.624233 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.692431 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.056892 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.077527 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.534494 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.377177 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.623900 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.748665 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.327494 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.059368 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.814631 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.975355 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.717585 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.527645 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.095117 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.838975 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.033213 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.686987 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.807187 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.820887 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.950973 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.599798 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.782683 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.756859 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.282264 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.958808 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.616317 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.385892 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.268424 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.845089 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.208029 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.829806 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.235545 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.614602 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.356529 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.868056 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.838654 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.586987 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.929720 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.550577 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.636349 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.576003 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.430711 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.913259 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.765570 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.028233 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.980343 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.001612 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.806121 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.383456 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.278451 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.312534 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.338802 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.445722 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.600364 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 719.59 S.D. = 4.0740 S.E.M. = 0.057615 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.061830 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.937607 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.069840 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.983255 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.038814 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.690714 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 729.233607 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.563242 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.652007 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 728.971546 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.045172 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.279790 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.253568 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.215509 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.511797 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.044174 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.446046 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.841806 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.131590 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.661282 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.756344 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.620044 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.766399 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.236684 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.152849 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.309738 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.079383 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.650790 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.606430 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.449412 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.481410 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.573032 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.595863 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.828541 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.122754 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.566076 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.421177 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.557261 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.680891 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.811869 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.020356 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.316566 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.081569 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.685793 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.701475 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.962703 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.667973 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.080477 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.488230 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.146771 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.328751 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.714095 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.083793 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.823677 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.456174 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.861266 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.294172 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.485932 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.303043 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.293387 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.827956 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.190419 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.230042 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.872775 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.691516 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.841692 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.806569 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.344746 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.170538 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.171853 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.661703 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.610274 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.446570 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.006320 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.909410 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.421852 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.081527 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.305310 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.207463 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.958030 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.485558 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.521896 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.954536 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.399044 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.852073 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.420439 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.188694 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.087013 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.039470 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.380525 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.747673 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.533996 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.365030 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.603852 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.128749 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.732550 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.933007 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.894792 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.961884 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.754131 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.882296 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.684691 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.706103 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.216512 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.349641 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.529614 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.959370 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.988659 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.096133 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.804847 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 726.91 S.D. = 5.2124 S.E.M. = 0.073715 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.466046 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.220956 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.461524 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.813176 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.569643 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.171533 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.749939 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.382666 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.788208 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.496381 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.173324 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.622360 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.912883 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.919050 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.164166 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.679454 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.083527 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.771840 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.109043 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.708696 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.232598 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.913666 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.542574 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.991762 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.335244 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.346729 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.277481 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.357067 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.068098 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.729380 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.681127 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.004995 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.802244 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.419367 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.448862 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.706923 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.430511 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.545240 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.936374 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.761061 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.892954 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.041966 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.527553 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.648123 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.588006 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.538348 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.677810 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.149333 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.457875 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.886049 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.752636 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.763838 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.769665 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.985505 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.281189 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.042278 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.532867 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.504302 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.573744 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.009664 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.778990 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.153622 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.827172 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.365185 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.076846 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.600621 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.159567 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.129470 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.736594 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.044780 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.188657 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.737551 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.621389 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.562788 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.347025 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.256038 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.685335 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.791136 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.989990 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.422273 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.873965 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.803734 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.042262 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.316096 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.360335 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.772769 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.548492 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.894900 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.927000 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.452532 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.024233 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.402406 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.851385 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.104533 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.277319 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.527812 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.646116 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.242919 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.421562 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.412905 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.729784 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.833859 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.817691 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.214725 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.672279 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.891775 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.494061 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.783980 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.217200 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.012137 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 706.06 S.D. = 4.8370 S.E.M. = 0.068406 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.367574 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.728659 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.724064 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.834325 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 727.197612 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 740.561432 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 728.005530 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.980964 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.955612 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.084228 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.193572 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.186451 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.960410 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.776605 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.785086 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.860090 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.165370 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.967710 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.602011 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.923512 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.625411 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.126793 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.754776 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.754484 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.836536 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.121417 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.214560 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.260463 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.827886 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.524011 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.993705 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.542982 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.034762 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.306056 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.389513 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.739177 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.575327 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.650746 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.783140 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.164947 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.890837 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.179637 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.023718 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.201470 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.548116 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.364373 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.070613 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.857398 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.682082 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.683772 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.461918 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.227656 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.585891 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.446910 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.129910 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.277126 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.773580 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.928387 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.878084 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.038560 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 744.488229 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.790497 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.166779 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.471481 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.542597 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.053750 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.870142 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.274011 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.610218 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.937758 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.547258 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.891296 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.213207 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.104420 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.745579 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.380387 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.424627 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.852905 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.072750 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.153542 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.280497 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.799055 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.800990 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.145727 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.905169 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.893245 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.101548 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.877387 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.516291 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.907279 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.316235 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.337894 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.620102 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.386558 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.695711 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.919465 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.895630 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.224886 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.249558 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.765695 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.682939 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.757808 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.904846 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.930323 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.184069 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.169873 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.217242 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.896364 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.453330 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.584476 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 726.32 S.D. = 5.3709 S.E.M. = 0.075957 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.593804 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.431002 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.967459 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.483642 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.015019 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.460314 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.178718 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.906851 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.618608 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.885324 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.374030 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.189479 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.042029 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.644431 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.369664 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.290741 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.447517 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.899859 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.732979 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.662661 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.260923 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.140716 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.799835 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.246337 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.838861 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.151928 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.686041 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.892735 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.588903 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.375296 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.229852 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.481151 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.882294 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.645283 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.649615 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.879547 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.006526 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.962760 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.713105 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.086122 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.667958 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.761551 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.205426 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.686048 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.184829 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.957045 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.685770 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.092297 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.044513 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.494305 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.336038 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.469062 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.693379 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.326526 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.743095 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.143004 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.024598 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.886646 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.102135 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.523746 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.391765 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.229434 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.187690 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.981934 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.612051 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.388592 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.447366 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.112377 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.553004 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.038534 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.016823 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.196031 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.117277 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.836918 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.627261 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.515461 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.489733 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.088962 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.314708 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.504039 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.956101 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.064728 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.977852 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.552401 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.985640 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.945318 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.413691 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.812146 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.997610 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.426277 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.013923 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.702640 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.608593 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.797062 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.527440 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.079012 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.315811 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.914061 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.410587 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.853649 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.819179 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.559306 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.331038 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.019112 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.318479 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.754500 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.410978 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.581135 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.770769 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.782730 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 696.62 S.D. = 4.2965 S.E.M. = 0.060761 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.670960 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.560295 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.214983 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.245338 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.195851 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.598556 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.161212 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.433788 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.815160 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.405802 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.126994 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.034015 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.933660 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.711539 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.543359 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.145531 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.881740 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.315699 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.859920 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.914363 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.944500 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.828223 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.584564 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.346101 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.863469 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.562460 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.402839 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.903958 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.456483 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.922831 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.019191 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.869883 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.674607 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.886665 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.570882 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.471639 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.689265 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.857494 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.024615 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.927441 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.270446 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.133255 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.799307 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.091364 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.304705 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.150470 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.912825 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.103508 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.964179 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.116210 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.440074 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.580802 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.143998 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.185767 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.952081 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.396080 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.982496 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.914597 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.643193 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.450287 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.163452 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.399671 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.638785 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.703429 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.601289 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.788886 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.488460 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.835303 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.070738 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.399731 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.836232 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.467691 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.092969 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.093235 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.998545 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.562156 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.496779 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.803553 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.812708 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.238432 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.901292 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.472094 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.989786 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.692765 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.705636 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.819175 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.103124 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.254533 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.366152 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.027009 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.414465 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.102903 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.106449 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.314060 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.707266 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.635636 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.248485 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.157924 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.558926 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.884974 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.245042 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.623627 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.702554 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.765346 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.484977 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.991567 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.200339 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.708273 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.708450 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.081034 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 709.37 S.D. = 4.9983 S.E.M. = 0.070686 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.364042 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.533100 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.765241 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.417594 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.220445 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.232851 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.645428 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.067695 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.185832 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.333317 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.002228 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.611443 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.906620 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.725792 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.819218 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.059482 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.086570 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.413984 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.934725 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.251412 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.681913 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.167324 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.502229 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.378226 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.298666 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.695229 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.703811 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.316564 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.434890 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.339411 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.788817 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.088204 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.516370 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.033688 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.586303 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.224820 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.016906 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.314630 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.445059 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.602450 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.735327 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.676148 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.276479 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.708361 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.681018 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.170206 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.283085 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.402310 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.456410 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.093695 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.025632 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.352409 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.884164 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.293682 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.447757 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.417042 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.356778 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.211526 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.953377 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.584264 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.036665 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.590363 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.872649 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.113012 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.409833 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.445082 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.177837 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.257807 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.735243 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.280462 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.412358 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.181137 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.214334 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.849811 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.331462 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.700520 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.867981 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.017188 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.742069 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.635735 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.713040 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.082989 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.763309 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.610483 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.611045 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.899559 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.580504 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.904176 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.829372 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.665203 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.934368 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.710929 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.345727 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.036599 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.314637 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.118928 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.532144 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.260940 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.160541 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.364262 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.584321 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.664600 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.231887 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.136143 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.914962 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.751164 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.911345 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.452723 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.497363 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.991443 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 712.00 S.D. = 2.5110 S.E.M. = 0.035511 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.945926 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.492536 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.930766 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.582279 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.084364 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.603546 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.956708 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.720258 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.001446 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.290081 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.564443 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.129616 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.594076 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.539461 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.498379 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.665862 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.586074 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.834112 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.249232 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.099709 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.914717 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.761873 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.254984 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.418150 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.670935 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.096111 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.783346 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.129058 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.900617 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.279072 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.073176 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.219650 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.948711 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.985339 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.559192 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.211209 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.349173 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.869058 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.309971 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.121228 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.204419 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.354425 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.500588 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.757061 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.556987 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.630177 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.144407 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.963228 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.205466 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.685666 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.511182 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.310969 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.043874 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.590902 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.641487 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.398025 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.306778 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.372550 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.301891 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.903410 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.607395 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.479454 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.404292 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.466561 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.772586 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.671459 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.472799 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.127215 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.512867 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.186968 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.708002 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.257733 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.409363 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.350975 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.541496 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.358062 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.125105 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.073979 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.947127 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.414034 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.609300 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.966143 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.397505 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.171353 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.675456 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.511498 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.656765 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.617079 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.754171 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.633740 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.678563 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.825554 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.073414 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.556617 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.522937 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.873925 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.955980 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.984278 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.797582 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.718139 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.779943 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.167284 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.007909 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.786995 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.230700 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.238840 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.689751 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.457080 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.604007 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.926491 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 715.53 S.D. = 4.0518 S.E.M. = 0.057302 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.392461 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.159058 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.643238 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.685315 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.947925 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 730.176205 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.651106 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.957027 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.306157 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.794365 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.931837 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.287343 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.067036 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.642147 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.908957 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.572318 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.986423 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.431800 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.454547 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.352540 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.263466 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.090538 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.759496 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.370531 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.848993 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.675646 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.880070 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.362419 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.250057 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.948043 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.697047 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.231538 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.239995 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.045425 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.496440 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.844115 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.489869 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.247163 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.960927 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.487718 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.631278 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.608555 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.293743 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.495910 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.110405 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.269052 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.250374 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.287229 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.595579 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.061231 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.618889 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.682828 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.595450 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.077371 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.810321 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.574577 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.724370 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.499917 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.900877 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.993596 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.771944 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.311049 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.520834 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.040799 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.895656 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.591084 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.166531 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.982022 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.069532 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.402515 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.348710 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.315137 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.555839 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.647012 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.597860 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.154221 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.598023 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.372980 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.867937 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.261610 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.975058 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.840610 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.178405 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.835455 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.847254 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.223023 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.318628 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.949635 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.084752 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.571055 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.924431 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.224071 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.272745 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.061420 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.862367 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.245906 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.461448 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.931828 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.121788 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.575154 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.431837 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.810800 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.425780 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.782451 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.763411 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.250474 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.631865 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.557327 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.737557 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.232592 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 726.94 S.D. = 4.1813 S.E.M. = 0.059132 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 729.243761 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.081660 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 728.295879 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 732.247206 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 727.595986 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 729.449183 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 733.532333 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 732.040045 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 730.758140 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 729.625865 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.335723 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.997379 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.616999 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.126373 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.288595 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.768160 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.009850 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.250189 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.601232 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.130705 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.199082 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.045217 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.240697 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.986091 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.259704 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.482953 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.258383 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.642815 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.112342 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.086019 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.055148 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.673533 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.913821 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.940357 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.973371 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.485790 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.860698 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.680804 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.747029 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.847300 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.231149 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.918911 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.670629 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.538285 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.278783 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.147324 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.063651 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.462022 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.358859 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.287768 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.930863 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.734359 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.373250 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.122381 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.577937 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.317487 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.288645 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.496424 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.440576 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.033787 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.230971 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.388969 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.083640 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.789106 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.868331 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.172729 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.455570 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.534021 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.300122 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.216266 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.408870 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.880040 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.531780 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.452835 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.867019 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.872749 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.838409 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.281511 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.072525 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.524666 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.458982 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.279499 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.111569 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.481083 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.532347 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.027240 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.094540 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.443128 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.436339 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.525793 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.115461 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.566661 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.650495 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.639573 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.796284 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.284370 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.651949 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.118218 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.707294 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.399067 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.891748 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.425405 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.908749 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.440856 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.453753 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.026914 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.325174 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.809927 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.065987 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.089766 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 730.17 S.D. = 4.3408 S.E.M. = 0.061388 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 730.800829 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.668002 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 728.457031 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 734.721262 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 731.016915 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 732.917022 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 734.552075 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 732.481682 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 732.893541 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 731.065331 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.686152 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.918354 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.030852 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.023521 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.602292 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.913861 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.330366 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.439143 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.893910 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.208051 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.876516 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.570099 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.909302 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.904815 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.285916 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.527889 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.495723 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.640143 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.609573 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.088267 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.520718 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.862103 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.577423 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.885362 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.943362 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.604811 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.005422 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.674129 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.260386 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.686639 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.809145 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.796231 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.715454 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.470927 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.439711 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.781706 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.774393 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.337994 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.504665 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.409463 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.748692 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.088116 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.206003 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.440174 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.132720 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.430588 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.661973 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.766034 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.685138 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.323394 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.322326 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.245025 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.432414 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.022664 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.039413 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.690974 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.259664 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.230503 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.055944 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.198986 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.497878 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.625717 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.213818 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.017738 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.325666 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.536927 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.031543 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.753007 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.034295 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.413182 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.139650 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.130188 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.977888 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.010031 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.454630 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.190836 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.632190 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.276741 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.292653 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.504974 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.394490 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.729561 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.971578 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.056578 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.282119 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.103646 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.184037 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.314660 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.113895 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.726222 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.577190 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.924411 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.131961 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.448735 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.052197 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.871171 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.253878 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.900387 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.214373 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.915411 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 733.70 S.D. = 4.5354 S.E.M. = 0.064140 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.467352 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.699824 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.379781 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.660799 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.862559 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.279639 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 727.806033 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 728.680217 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.324577 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.001475 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.218593 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.381859 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.929273 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.392883 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.141568 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.806550 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.290081 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.272397 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.567566 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.555175 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.425226 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.646667 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.783260 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.549545 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.576457 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.082160 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.646271 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.517375 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.045064 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.281133 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.802853 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.798180 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.631989 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.854928 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.691880 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.485218 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.329853 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.196602 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.108803 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.549486 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.444242 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.993211 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.388498 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.949439 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.792648 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.754900 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.133345 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.484760 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.710877 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.613068 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.761669 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.186711 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.561137 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.386015 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.397971 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.028372 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.841543 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.213136 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.337991 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.961420 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.512070 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.176266 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.470518 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.650439 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.055507 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.946358 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.566436 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.412979 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.612726 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.269408 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.016201 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.868340 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.932917 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.726166 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.827202 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.645237 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.440270 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.885506 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.510837 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.859432 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.461656 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.237781 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.626496 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.333125 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.030547 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.165713 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.993931 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.446953 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.288118 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.968640 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.132296 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.097581 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.987897 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.559378 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.568912 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.512280 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.219719 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.625817 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.060065 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.723895 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.075817 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.729955 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.113380 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.909163 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.003772 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.952728 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.673620 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.392070 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.085177 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.232153 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 726.87 S.D. = 5.5487 S.E.M. = 0.078471 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.186882 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.942562 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.185536 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.655467 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.534873 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.763543 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.279167 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.468205 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.109946 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.196528 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.976856 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.174877 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.121675 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.340387 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.670010 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.278692 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.190619 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.764506 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.336238 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.977691 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.361587 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.943765 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.719176 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.707649 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.887634 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.900955 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.203181 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.520887 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.809514 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.993326 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.310938 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.474684 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.947674 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.779093 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.024085 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.809185 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.644295 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.739525 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.482707 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.216094 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.804543 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.015013 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.924368 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.264499 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.407751 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.732585 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.683118 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.976718 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.681455 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.835242 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.362429 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.424766 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.897080 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.200738 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.134066 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.976949 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.638852 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.689620 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.495889 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.604602 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.533475 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.942494 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.992088 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.084029 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.000035 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.927894 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.303390 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.295512 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.146462 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.553446 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.211783 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.523484 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.148321 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.033232 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.389803 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.299712 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.303374 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.375339 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.928931 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.637628 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.606167 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.742432 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.940197 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.263898 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.357211 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.857810 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.118055 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.710078 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.075740 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.151438 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.423585 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.425804 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.868030 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.736101 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.597675 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.851073 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.021435 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.366706 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.481062 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.617769 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.087605 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.630285 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.897061 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.671244 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.122424 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.735517 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.510829 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.477865 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.136298 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.046966 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 710.16 S.D. = 3.8889 S.E.M. = 0.054998 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.190398 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.662032 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.157531 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.877340 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.772427 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.715433 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.589707 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.335361 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.903679 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.876753 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.789471 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.077219 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.580765 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.474268 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.236842 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.633182 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.090908 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.629640 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.648312 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.856303 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.699376 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.807969 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.903095 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.557859 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.526984 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.827757 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.689468 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.863989 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.600463 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.331131 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.948550 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.377466 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.144496 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.161188 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.843390 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.124516 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.798809 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.724784 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.213640 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.449936 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.180721 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.458300 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.377514 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.526063 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.395105 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.669361 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.873166 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.101698 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.533786 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.948422 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.483469 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.794827 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.482757 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.891856 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.866629 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.717897 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.763237 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.561651 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.799357 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.379497 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.112926 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.055792 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.441981 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.455049 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.917901 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.117167 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.421924 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.260057 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.975694 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.794839 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.977588 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.841541 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.516803 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.173671 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.269008 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.350434 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.630952 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.302355 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.751897 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.680149 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.187238 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.010711 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.917032 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.584921 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.004316 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.480459 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.890779 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.388628 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.696290 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.619129 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.769796 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.166914 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.188433 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.634532 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.634261 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.233153 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.697665 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.326795 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.198358 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.711948 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.758121 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.307711 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.721360 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.898606 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.171668 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.884081 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.138661 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.860000 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.794381 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.530160 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 704.79 S.D. = 5.0312 S.E.M. = 0.071152 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.182588 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.895352 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.516774 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.767645 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.412555 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.455311 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.931888 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.212858 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.076049 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.528438 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.523732 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.752836 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.805843 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.630648 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.885612 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.776141 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.942281 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.387761 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.963669 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.696875 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.217074 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.911249 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.519021 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.836671 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.227438 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.435561 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.075337 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.390629 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.081144 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.328695 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.470459 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.205604 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.407455 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.114697 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.495862 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.814028 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.781231 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.081004 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.902468 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.619327 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.555241 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.710379 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.430874 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.493885 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.153760 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.197317 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.933396 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.251015 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.013230 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.368460 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.592624 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.578090 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.404479 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.697157 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.099683 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.414399 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.176642 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.848793 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.668078 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.722812 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.636034 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.504602 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.852639 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.899892 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.120251 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.887876 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.970015 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.260400 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.763622 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.236057 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.916475 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.853449 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.054563 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.943319 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.738789 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.156082 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.396317 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.177794 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.337861 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.468606 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.093465 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.048656 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.890154 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.302212 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.501553 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.657868 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.128171 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.559036 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.602813 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.778399 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.715030 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.325450 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.098007 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.243327 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.957888 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.933065 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.575622 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.579987 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.561446 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.735703 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.437843 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.174427 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.360473 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.472785 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.709384 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.977645 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.999320 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.178749 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.870024 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.063332 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 709.25 S.D. = 4.6444 S.E.M. = 0.065682 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 685.157679 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 684.858988 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 690.889514 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 683.525002 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.547965 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.027497 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.540272 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.043441 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 686.198623 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 687.458757 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.932646 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.736037 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.811288 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.797445 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.841741 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.540347 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.784705 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.738932 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.786711 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.984680 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.922536 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.367714 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.070254 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.913343 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.832738 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.444434 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.076792 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.207274 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.803501 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.919265 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.205179 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.853928 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.367401 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.002528 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.806155 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.156075 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.439671 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.594307 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.877119 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.947721 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.534725 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.165102 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.022300 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.300078 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.558608 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.516721 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.523713 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.437029 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.993779 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.142318 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.667706 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.950994 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.640536 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.127197 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.107597 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.653141 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.411229 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.998566 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.670975 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.218443 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.597976 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.862634 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.332430 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.973971 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.325190 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.399810 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.281044 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.479065 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.008915 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.295442 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.919379 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.663529 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.561110 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.321608 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.385064 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.779779 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.516693 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.899101 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.853176 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.762905 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.682769 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.617339 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.766324 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.035554 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.453653 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.761977 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.095859 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.445789 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.977482 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.649204 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.711969 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.637900 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.287549 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.236490 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.516813 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.220510 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.707427 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.762166 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.068864 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.589392 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.817313 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.990658 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.633112 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.131406 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.452080 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.367303 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.284736 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.695202 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.232821 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.022027 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 690.92 S.D. = 4.1242 S.E.M. = 0.058325 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.614275 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.561257 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.522952 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.458317 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.963600 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.560563 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.498765 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.286500 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.586247 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.908581 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.504010 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.739074 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.302033 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.243602 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.443576 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.542210 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.498352 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.851633 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.674078 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.097633 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.826679 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.154039 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.397767 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.460274 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.672522 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.530644 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.077441 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.525748 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.245028 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.602166 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.375006 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.339493 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.014432 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.619755 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.325261 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.001322 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.971190 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.827597 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.073151 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.958277 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.340604 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.854881 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.113410 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.057503 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.082912 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.910627 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.531811 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.722429 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.087859 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.401348 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.456074 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.568030 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.214842 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.745793 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.532890 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.926718 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.955590 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.064870 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.490546 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.061572 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.482741 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.875355 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.336110 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.134271 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.572249 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.580978 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.298988 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.009973 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.914487 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.357960 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.972029 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.386751 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.031291 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.293014 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.360040 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.118897 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.243080 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.004949 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.353472 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.846116 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.233601 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.896380 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.412585 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.593569 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.862405 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.855451 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.672118 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.556109 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.074329 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.242075 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.324457 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.079542 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.108702 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.417925 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.424698 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.476772 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.296744 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.045602 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.075008 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.798046 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.682337 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.103575 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.198437 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.494019 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.668050 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.417729 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.786509 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.821877 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.930176 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.980745 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 709.54 S.D. = 2.3931 S.E.M. = 0.033844 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.072368 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.537294 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.095262 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.928524 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.361861 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 730.778328 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 730.441392 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.204802 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.151918 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.386029 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.418314 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.653341 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.754361 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.750409 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.209059 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.850683 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.503555 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.160519 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.984804 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.995213 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.554984 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.044496 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.308063 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.393597 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.305725 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.916077 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.505976 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.677218 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.212381 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.312168 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.838101 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.477438 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.023404 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.974366 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.127939 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.121893 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.533619 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.790566 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.578108 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.668524 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.292781 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.653115 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.683895 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.812234 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.082251 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.766368 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.189394 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.125259 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.026790 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.264677 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.049765 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.494166 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.809792 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.659924 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.356791 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.840217 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.751095 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.012451 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.712373 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.270037 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.151051 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.072042 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.945708 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.655392 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.441790 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.320396 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.098428 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.051032 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.679258 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.479183 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.827600 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.520342 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.833235 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.656116 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.351996 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.336142 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.857493 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.007224 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.310492 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.453030 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.603866 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.892935 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.624612 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.836455 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.920720 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.534215 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.658450 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.162803 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.940584 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.748798 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.453470 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.719391 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.263127 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.228808 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.290720 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.676107 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.072617 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.225112 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.008363 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.011876 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.849971 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.059749 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.317112 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.553637 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.321400 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.153538 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.775609 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.071400 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.298464 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.804726 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 730.08 S.D. = 4.3191 S.E.M. = 0.061081 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.854214 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.668194 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.484002 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.732473 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.730679 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.514008 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.094914 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.080387 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.219568 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.768409 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.653351 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.346982 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.514737 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.314538 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.807403 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.122348 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.321969 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.264704 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.526325 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.502730 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.041018 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.206063 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.887878 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.894350 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.567780 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.440260 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.278638 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.347632 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.028617 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.927832 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.544719 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.201381 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.862492 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.871499 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.224868 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.331715 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.299571 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.725035 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.582215 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.214132 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.259594 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.580425 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.399641 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.252363 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.569420 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.073581 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.864747 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.042344 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.902877 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.626546 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.981851 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.861071 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.310475 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.843720 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.145160 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.611287 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.918706 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.246239 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.059713 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.371224 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.892757 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.667067 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.965366 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.087349 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.349657 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.219455 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.659623 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.274923 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.092455 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.276529 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.298487 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.358648 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.991736 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.434121 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.913511 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.588137 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.784143 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.784450 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.868218 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.615919 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.140627 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.707077 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.570792 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.323375 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.409947 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.234346 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.949893 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.350407 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.927751 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.218771 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.280005 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.537992 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.796853 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.238526 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.443454 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.204426 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.323427 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.500412 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.090989 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.103644 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.428106 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.687952 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.839120 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.707566 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.556390 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.183572 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.857550 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.160524 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.551661 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.172834 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 724.61 S.D. = 5.2063 S.E.M. = 0.073628 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 739.578791 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 740.734312 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 739.687676 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 742.018734 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 747.871440 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 743.437059 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 749.530133 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 744.301298 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 743.148527 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 743.146416 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.716697 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 751.668500 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.901885 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 744.778827 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.564882 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 757.591420 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.968859 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 746.247679 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.608322 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.952079 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.566057 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.879310 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.540586 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.311149 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 747.636457 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.184788 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 744.157926 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.736839 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 752.794773 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.557999 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.409521 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.204144 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.336020 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 745.220232 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.437776 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 745.414942 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.934738 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 750.932166 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 744.728002 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.392453 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.912769 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 744.720429 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 747.727757 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 744.511439 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.187082 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.705304 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.560048 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.350578 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 750.673912 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 745.045182 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.101069 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 747.691211 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 748.782993 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 745.851144 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 744.020117 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.112002 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 753.636165 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.501726 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.386288 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 754.520533 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 753.175869 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 750.526640 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 746.154382 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.407529 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 747.766440 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 751.805403 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.237393 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 746.061989 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 751.821910 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.850923 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.741736 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.856589 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.040359 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.246930 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 747.147403 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 753.609514 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.021474 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 744.869357 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.165091 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 746.370623 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.031420 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.693999 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.561650 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 748.011783 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.739771 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 757.394258 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 752.051064 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 753.992982 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 748.341212 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.761687 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.417760 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 751.445586 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.090853 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.455978 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 751.279480 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.445941 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 749.827386 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 746.738836 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 744.209716 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 752.770227 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 747.268229 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 749.675179 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 746.329622 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.289313 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 745.327979 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 747.299880 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 753.819440 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.058703 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 753.099451 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.751367 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 745.11 S.D. = 4.5478 S.E.M. = 0.064315 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.642361 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.273970 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.736743 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.601345 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.688216 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.328145 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.006087 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.772065 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.538150 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.883957 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.460337 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.137509 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.546497 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.993948 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.268129 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.074119 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.178839 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.016041 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.499495 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.243883 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.581189 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.010965 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.110720 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.059186 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.070380 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.840734 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.391761 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.009445 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.221630 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.204765 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.561450 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.912097 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.622574 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.506002 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.808710 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.624358 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.154993 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.699395 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.144547 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.259250 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.983195 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.008177 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.931629 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.338956 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.193636 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.727679 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.909507 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.067902 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.581830 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.658454 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.470562 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.813814 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.021037 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.663202 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.855063 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.054352 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.445924 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.328641 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.143210 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.351029 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.452343 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.257071 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.573261 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.356794 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.523641 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.282957 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.859306 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.536283 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.904075 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.612921 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.066394 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.344829 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.831209 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.394008 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.105449 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.839298 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.243483 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.912944 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.143691 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.166893 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.365570 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.737203 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.122073 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.865776 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.710301 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.588521 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.317418 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.848949 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.732738 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.076723 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.918509 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.050705 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.407951 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.927362 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.009736 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.130992 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.938313 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.030539 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.265239 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.458996 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.536724 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.517962 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.363818 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.450913 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.063738 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.306916 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.950046 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.002555 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.654988 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.381158 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 721.56 S.D. = 4.4934 S.E.M. = 0.063547 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.637041 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.764773 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.323927 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 716.300055 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.877140 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.484540 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.333791 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.852106 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.959782 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.981516 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.164094 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.086188 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.857540 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.292860 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.170719 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.495080 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.291423 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.440106 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.433304 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.461516 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.669618 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.172710 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.024950 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.515871 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.992944 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.535956 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.444594 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.211418 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.923175 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.662086 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.385064 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.297784 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.240436 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.418475 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.240151 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.195768 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.652088 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.044215 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.064986 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.918265 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.516662 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.618851 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.897891 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.534979 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.867880 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.815595 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.009242 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.416676 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.088600 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.880251 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.066376 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.554305 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.494693 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.194933 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.743288 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.920534 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.739601 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.780551 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.121075 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.807671 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.593425 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.249779 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.832931 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.693856 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.161885 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.256115 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.824479 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.629533 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.817818 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.481187 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.162140 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.706572 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.867258 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.811818 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.301228 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.794356 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.252919 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.508600 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.527762 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.582554 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.429310 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.809418 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.987790 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.252474 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.273024 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.064890 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.719193 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.648038 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.718533 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.459610 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.249488 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.405657 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.925325 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.479771 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.596481 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.722031 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.657005 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.076762 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.332244 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.270359 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.025977 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.357848 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.655618 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.771102 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.890805 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.711041 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.194273 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.383512 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.791153 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.742556 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 718.32 S.D. = 3.2741 S.E.M. = 0.046303 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.861348 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.560103 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.623421 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.004374 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.313604 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.878800 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 728.108848 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.544552 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.427908 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.893714 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.268607 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.082894 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.701366 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.387426 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.909512 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.611925 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.664368 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.553877 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.826426 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.563036 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.837100 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.397985 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.558922 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.656704 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.874227 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.043825 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.115833 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.627691 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.991077 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.330432 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.645416 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.565488 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.789582 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.471306 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.370044 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.512481 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.652562 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.638091 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.523397 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.750491 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.004183 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.855237 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.182930 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.919160 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.313927 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.381270 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.131325 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.855640 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.840864 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.384625 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.170234 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.951451 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.481444 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.052835 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.855225 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.595414 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.887597 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.704725 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.171867 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.926572 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.168135 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.206762 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.118855 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.652888 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.976288 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.371512 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.488445 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.255294 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.237588 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.609599 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.828327 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.990768 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.620675 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.531859 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.031248 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.084457 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.503471 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.896845 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.227837 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.690668 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.648665 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.920653 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.350482 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.703977 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.116564 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.024893 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.691438 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.513035 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.371611 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.907397 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.391880 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.616881 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.999659 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.566092 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.832013 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.624486 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.079048 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.312591 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.639580 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.658863 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.675899 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.296355 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.841843 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.596067 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.747175 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.589486 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.173422 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.348653 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.243884 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.412569 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 722.64 S.D. = 4.3993 S.E.M. = 0.062216 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.978041 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 693.843917 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 693.996510 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.979354 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.608497 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.001053 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.452955 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.723468 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.601637 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.858865 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.982738 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.067220 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.934166 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.906640 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.309917 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.532793 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.459101 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.517076 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.605630 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.518553 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.690495 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.118231 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.480049 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.400126 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.350170 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.050343 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.471568 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.453104 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.843566 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.673448 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.330526 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.245781 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.536923 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.519750 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.514470 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.907898 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.423270 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.400298 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.818349 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.450651 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.052666 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.578055 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.394705 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.932344 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.066395 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.665598 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.103672 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.901757 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.673107 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.019962 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.860294 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.967528 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.082905 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.410686 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.385183 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.502644 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.250477 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.918403 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.493653 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.889072 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.062596 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.345684 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.847863 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.893007 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.621804 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.287139 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.108424 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.226192 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.360196 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.091467 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.661934 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.231984 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.109482 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.551180 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.566721 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.279285 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.294060 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.545472 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.324275 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.976075 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.605637 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.863936 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.131266 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.493653 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.505258 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.286092 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.944719 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.313315 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.446050 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.736551 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.396406 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.532956 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.195818 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.003435 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.784128 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.232424 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.768015 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.328253 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.348427 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.982794 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.676323 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.942527 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.136876 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.117345 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.497364 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.076731 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.170148 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.265938 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.523120 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.142592 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 697.87 S.D. = 4.3167 S.E.M. = 0.061047 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.636786 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.975672 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.147142 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.690729 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.928657 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.451774 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.343208 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.838329 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.368539 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.965399 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.156674 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.480111 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.478780 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.771149 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.924429 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.758406 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.091807 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.269336 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.762159 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.736743 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.486669 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.931714 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.753182 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.295455 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.159199 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.866960 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.969880 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.006426 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.911800 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.289355 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.200562 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.470929 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.732742 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.142361 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.947260 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.255365 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.887279 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.555458 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.739201 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.165860 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.851179 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.845258 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.240614 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.688270 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.856555 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.723817 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.083698 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.552232 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.793301 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.933178 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.073091 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.705309 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.476273 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.337029 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.469051 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.109042 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.737607 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.493550 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.130106 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.062977 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.092763 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.635408 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.369444 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.273729 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.104624 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.219974 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.432968 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.006789 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.950493 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.872048 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.375762 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.415697 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.433495 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.096970 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.754409 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.883293 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.947958 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.438052 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.215537 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.580064 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.657964 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.735989 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.232055 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.470719 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.771654 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.638502 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.743640 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.013860 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.051194 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.789708 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.730834 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.292817 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.667663 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.637487 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.889445 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.957088 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.922903 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.697833 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.249142 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.614359 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.253172 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.720447 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.434497 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.270018 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.142685 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.049304 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.495304 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.371003 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.168155 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.617443 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 706.78 S.D. = 4.2609 S.E.M. = 0.060258 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 729.781154 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 727.877726 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 729.597461 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 732.340094 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 729.761818 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 728.987735 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 736.288462 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 731.945884 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 730.085524 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 732.203063 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.670331 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.605637 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.802179 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.435115 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.210018 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 745.761358 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.842535 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.877416 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.349193 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.467080 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.181583 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.909277 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.372494 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.655349 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.599881 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.349278 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.950058 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.378360 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.981027 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.435999 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.538437 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.710414 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.528104 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.960728 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.414236 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.066695 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.493072 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.121495 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.387453 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.056668 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.956356 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.529019 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.125129 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.639679 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.785079 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.115407 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.821616 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.436966 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.911785 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.845240 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.357011 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.405046 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.084201 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.432631 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.435116 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.811470 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.353079 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.896649 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.542265 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.751289 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.187878 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.564634 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.375468 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.758996 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.662667 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.643761 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.742731 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.918270 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.273206 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.741944 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.599052 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.374100 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.290832 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.882947 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.943745 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.428758 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.669181 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.808511 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.209305 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.886434 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.778045 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.525488 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.390326 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.384481 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.176671 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 747.250400 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.454501 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.810193 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.496312 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.147766 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.140978 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.213676 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.421163 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.207945 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.356669 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.873865 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.798496 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.327207 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.105017 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.464345 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.600514 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.514570 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.995610 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.347498 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.669080 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.258223 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 744.574307 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.890773 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 749.450988 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.233256 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 732.25 S.D. = 4.7779 S.E.M. = 0.067569 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.492654 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.905898 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 693.749307 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.066235 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.654238 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.796947 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.891333 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.068523 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.714890 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.246556 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.212068 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.071509 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.839606 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.789066 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.983822 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.634020 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.508546 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.638518 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.194145 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.035588 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.157346 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.822631 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.845113 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.812031 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.723017 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.959152 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.262443 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.576599 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.863421 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.504460 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.259989 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.992886 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.139562 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.716577 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.416415 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.921077 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.462740 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.072110 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.989681 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.198080 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.692311 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.878795 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.533176 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.833079 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.759055 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.313430 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.227214 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.341955 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.349471 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.727626 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.712800 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.985632 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.782146 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.553737 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.006133 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.936044 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.403755 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.507869 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.036321 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.308511 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.686441 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.878477 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.570684 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.649296 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.451778 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.972979 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.501703 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.581781 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.888169 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.413837 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.973252 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.572500 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.139690 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.944854 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.351231 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.771129 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.698599 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.674708 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.061797 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.366233 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.680056 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.947150 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.572345 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.920088 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.399871 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.182432 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.403750 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.492373 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.516019 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.776876 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.894023 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.609273 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.358591 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.910493 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.830838 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.599846 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.414155 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.047251 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.424390 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.466450 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.938749 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.648489 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.740224 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.545137 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.107404 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.678974 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.851258 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.978557 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.726947 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.375499 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 699.07 S.D. = 4.0040 S.E.M. = 0.056625 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 676.738149 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 673.101405 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 673.581566 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 674.898604 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 679.672105 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 677.054261 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 680.997494 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 677.079025 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 679.788464 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 678.426345 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.327159 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.440916 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.224972 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.901454 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.184925 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.030433 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.354282 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.404768 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.670091 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.514263 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.566772 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.097217 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.961565 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.864059 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.850772 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.576901 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.770337 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.590491 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.399606 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.139987 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.378675 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.975232 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.983003 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.658820 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.095185 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.337661 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.855565 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.197796 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.501360 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.971991 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.510265 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.808039 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.452880 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.551297 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.689952 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.431814 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.013745 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.611202 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.733673 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.239074 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.966958 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.539869 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.332151 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.042128 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.790266 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.135745 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.158704 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.731355 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.605917 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.724244 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.752360 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.345367 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.073524 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.640857 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.400244 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.359894 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.406286 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.489022 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.314943 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.076910 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.686762 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.497001 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.631348 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.521066 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.842041 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.049270 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.524946 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.535473 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.075073 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.170278 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.237441 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.527105 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.393440 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.288324 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.779630 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.489766 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.239457 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.765161 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.050661 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.086888 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.903903 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.533976 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.578678 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.632921 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.030556 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.030940 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.966203 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.853317 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.896234 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.575999 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.128193 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.674189 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.435549 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.668310 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.779649 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.137560 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.122977 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.593891 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.590851 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.281612 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 676.94 S.D. = 3.9445 S.E.M. = 0.055784 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.981911 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 689.326099 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.481702 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 690.798081 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 693.527430 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.670397 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.291639 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.056435 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 691.039727 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 691.932989 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.782158 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.944596 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.975979 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.175506 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.000963 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.266627 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.458538 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.515705 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.272436 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.106591 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.985916 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.978466 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.008440 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.021697 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.821398 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.348663 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.305057 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.979822 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.778530 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.797379 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.634593 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.202888 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.508327 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.757017 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.188229 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.256101 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.032269 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.168103 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.105719 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.007941 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.815734 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.753667 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.643917 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.208582 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.729663 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.902580 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.692184 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.449629 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.884245 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.806318 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.386228 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.234673 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.783863 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.623322 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.855391 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.903355 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.270128 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.973752 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.546092 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.927840 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.495411 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.970509 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.318353 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.696893 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.267961 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.051607 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.069384 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.048125 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.776537 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.896074 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.856441 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.252828 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.864951 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.695377 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.740246 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.368716 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.895082 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.335942 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.717151 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.126141 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.451681 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.774081 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.274397 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.494069 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.993562 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.984893 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.830077 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.560864 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.682318 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.656679 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.438295 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.994092 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.797232 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.363366 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.602974 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.594210 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.221111 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.755395 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.645491 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.781383 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.210349 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.840693 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.745526 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.447489 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.462689 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.798688 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.842877 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.413636 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.330073 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.607936 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 695.84 S.D. = 2.8432 S.E.M. = 0.040209 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.501663 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.779535 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.904890 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.296698 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.227946 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.179285 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.204226 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.902057 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.206217 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.867951 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.450116 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.428636 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.136886 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.082790 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.977470 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.343749 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.050763 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.876716 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.166877 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.985285 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.910091 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.196733 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.646302 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.029060 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.708017 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.065779 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.825868 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.567183 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.373799 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.678618 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.454308 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.347200 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.396143 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.798989 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.078909 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.472118 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.628106 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.538186 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.584712 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.910507 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.578321 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.104065 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.206720 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.172761 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.912341 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.279014 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.310486 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.973832 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.214655 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.194232 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.690358 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.848720 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.206368 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.970322 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.886865 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.423293 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.330109 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.057361 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.572246 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.278014 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.604838 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.626287 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.443930 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.145631 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.786443 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.042564 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.483079 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.710462 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.416032 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.116485 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.386745 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.564284 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.198971 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.028811 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.954508 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.875126 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.684160 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.206101 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.259376 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.366141 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.889501 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.343510 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.134516 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.902703 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.811627 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.231407 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.131706 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.364517 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.323358 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.549379 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.778570 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.648938 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.538096 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.995585 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.088660 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.063061 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.177854 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.864541 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.042329 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.700059 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.605924 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.239652 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.434325 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.488172 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.152562 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.704128 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.929934 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.890919 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.551761 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.512058 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 712.19 S.D. = 2.6968 S.E.M. = 0.038139 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.460217 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 716.895244 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 716.321905 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 716.646238 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.347080 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.214332 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.474578 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.878082 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.682694 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.287425 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.940738 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.135355 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.012488 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.144259 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.102406 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.797725 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.498511 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.577787 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.163654 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.417983 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.232100 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.571424 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.766955 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.388182 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.927704 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.603948 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.359737 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.475028 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.640328 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.775066 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.126117 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.702941 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.967082 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.522169 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.928560 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.073012 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.863760 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.185096 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.050345 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.528142 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.289881 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.592219 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.152724 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.439987 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.995443 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.299371 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.700639 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.433355 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.829081 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.116181 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.642935 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.437422 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.866098 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.976648 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.176646 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.898911 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.653808 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.987676 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.390210 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.870495 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.314823 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.936878 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.310550 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.095988 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.964038 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.967931 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.279946 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.813474 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.975190 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.190675 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.936336 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.411597 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.209160 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.622681 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.173137 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.268294 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.243358 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.969649 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.667907 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.954034 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.611430 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.524377 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.666619 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.038674 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.606104 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.228963 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.028900 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.177540 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.622599 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.663063 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.242016 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.849648 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.627204 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.042303 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.551242 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.318761 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.541227 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.201347 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.567562 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.204954 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.117162 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.673256 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.804065 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.899777 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.351656 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.396004 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.566481 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.296752 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.024972 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.151680 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 721.02 S.D. = 4.1740 S.E.M. = 0.059029 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 672.224456 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 671.412377 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 671.097318 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 672.474763 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 678.843165 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 674.695955 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 681.021084 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 675.379394 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 676.564038 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 677.952528 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.856383 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.441857 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.611510 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.089684 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.574598 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.582249 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 668.819883 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.689358 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.407062 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.613284 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.988975 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.789492 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.395877 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 668.680518 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.792602 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.890092 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.626803 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.573094 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.650297 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.200165 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.131181 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.668230 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.959732 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.056261 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.658954 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.284655 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.371392 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.836291 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.944410 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.183884 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.840693 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.316162 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.134942 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.724570 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.323208 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.058301 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.541428 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.837429 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.480904 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.821167 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.117466 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.145053 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.645538 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.453363 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.212183 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.673811 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.484100 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.418866 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.409411 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.131822 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.361656 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.708680 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.442044 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.836061 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.165288 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.247318 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.245379 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.320411 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.757584 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.905427 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.793566 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.322458 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.262923 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.159097 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.287967 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.137362 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.543282 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.835707 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.156218 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.839436 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.640014 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.812905 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.009034 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.187885 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.265453 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.166830 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.714212 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.952607 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.854291 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.133733 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.790470 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.862428 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.793243 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.435431 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.582358 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.740290 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.821253 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.061831 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.418513 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.574543 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.366885 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.462863 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.085541 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.757799 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.878902 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.932235 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.989109 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.013112 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.987813 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.929608 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 675.52 S.D. = 4.2897 S.E.M. = 0.060665 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.224278 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.921263 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.254158 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.605380 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.915709 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.804582 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.541681 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.230810 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.048049 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.040216 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.853771 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.671434 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.236699 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.519570 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.512618 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.086205 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.586866 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.550980 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.567086 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.761194 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.168046 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.376143 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.637996 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.237257 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.336350 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.739213 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.709700 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.801853 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.507159 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.386155 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.990092 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.835745 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.265157 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.735206 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.667290 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.957038 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.019275 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.138798 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.589259 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.447035 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.184883 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.301783 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.649829 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.635591 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.656700 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.339060 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.783329 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.057606 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.077609 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.475969 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.923928 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.267011 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.678964 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.084810 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.283585 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.077632 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.047773 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.058275 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.319582 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.998109 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.293494 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.423128 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.062381 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.167917 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.103472 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.727013 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.526092 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.834409 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.238585 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.651513 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.174561 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.803822 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.391001 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.444620 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.094377 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.637436 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.508703 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.192153 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.054844 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.459387 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.991493 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.671454 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.646909 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.741219 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.894233 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.234587 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.115265 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.130892 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.894741 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.469553 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.171282 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.768291 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.318735 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.745048 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.035137 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.452655 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.804406 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.318269 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.030032 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.632362 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.466785 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.563454 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.768348 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.149499 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.527175 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.199011 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.862291 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.589022 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.580479 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.159176 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 719.53 S.D. = 5.4777 S.E.M. = 0.077466 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.338044 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 691.259988 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.185102 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 689.452246 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.379954 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.068114 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.075593 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.448807 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.260616 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.297611 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.286171 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.434719 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.929615 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.385324 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.681504 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.482902 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.416802 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.514566 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.517617 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.522268 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.247965 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.198335 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.372138 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.320781 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.521208 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.069108 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.677125 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.642380 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.764509 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.069789 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.234512 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.533067 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.649296 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.435121 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.985085 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.251982 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.380529 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.566465 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.063833 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.201122 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.247845 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.900390 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.708529 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.412761 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.225431 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.750233 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.185780 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.800581 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.248404 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.452211 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.590555 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.522493 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.786786 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.668982 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.234449 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.175580 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.319338 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.140367 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.246373 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.406044 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.762760 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.235298 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.478408 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.513503 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.416508 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.088230 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.256914 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.275547 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.762260 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.392777 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.068745 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.902577 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.984119 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.396751 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.815949 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.454449 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.272404 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.425394 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.613279 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.923808 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.826776 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.688348 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.148377 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.553352 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.042701 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.687525 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.099000 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.816411 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.611022 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.585376 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.838860 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.371552 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.905346 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.583080 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.956466 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.280365 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.508030 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.874966 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.897322 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.133450 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.025622 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.365422 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.920706 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.484541 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.353324 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.936621 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.248366 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.334707 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.982545 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.116963 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 696.36 S.D. = 3.3040 S.E.M. = 0.046725 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.202892 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.943804 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.546290 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.683000 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.868962 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.533346 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.883574 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.401018 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.732252 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.211948 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.356578 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.344631 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.006051 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.882442 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.456541 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.689577 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.042345 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.891206 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.366264 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.269641 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.510103 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.089613 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.189086 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.732749 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.642790 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.632678 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.241263 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.056600 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.534306 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.512777 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.207913 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.998807 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.738646 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.049424 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.397193 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.085750 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.129253 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.694862 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.854883 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.840364 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.500558 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.347170 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.607292 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.068885 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.755409 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.622129 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.012896 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.559788 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.231346 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.768568 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.704386 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.689838 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.497025 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.006304 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.301884 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.669907 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.615236 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.470074 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.324198 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.749719 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.410722 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.370478 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.215803 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.941510 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.290509 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.033275 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.417512 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.862654 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.884346 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.630870 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.804707 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.576743 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.338043 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.503305 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.864824 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.923462 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.089218 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.816240 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.414027 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.088896 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.712410 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.814848 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.361557 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.225165 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.108756 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.329108 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.763557 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.359608 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.157479 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.152096 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.005181 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.896051 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.913690 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.231983 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.658134 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.956685 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.360439 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.970179 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.466285 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.878435 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.691723 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.260680 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.022903 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.280591 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.548559 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.138121 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.809327 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.328500 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.085435 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.803854 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 721.65 S.D. = 5.9744 S.E.M. = 0.084491 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.967071 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 687.864712 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.568548 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 689.453500 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 690.474328 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 687.358556 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.752188 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 693.215497 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.201297 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.325315 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.485459 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.332945 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.598004 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.880983 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.307740 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.454344 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.118258 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.873126 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.511168 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.223898 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.879131 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.222857 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.600617 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.908058 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.135532 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.062356 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.806472 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.202914 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.819926 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.002736 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.962641 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.874610 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.209403 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.700870 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.735940 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.590574 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.011538 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.934677 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.180351 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.421979 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.612534 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.009876 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.814779 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.879233 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.242232 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.512497 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.498165 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.336685 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.188433 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.829272 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.449255 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.219569 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.178869 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.945564 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.505917 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.040558 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.327736 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.448644 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.716008 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.801905 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.513456 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.949193 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.390265 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.052065 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.951034 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.714797 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.596259 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.202827 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.880023 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.588781 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.690445 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.022928 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.723096 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.969235 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.047103 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.681788 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.326003 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.345421 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.378418 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.258355 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.310935 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.968313 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.805073 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.543266 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.202962 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.020674 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.304255 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.987943 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.937847 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.374459 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.931792 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.519441 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.109642 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.535569 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.358548 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.958433 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.853357 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.764866 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.749139 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.765104 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.587618 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.358354 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.658697 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.390774 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.645658 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.480663 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.798185 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.810771 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.292287 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.422976 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 692.22 S.D. = 4.6194 S.E.M. = 0.065327 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.820205 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.248922 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.025178 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 716.014672 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.343053 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.558070 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.650786 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.147186 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.370081 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.660186 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.618147 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.444668 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.503677 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.561411 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.767242 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.045884 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.974998 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.009076 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.069984 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.487352 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.652359 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.935031 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.615903 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.917568 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.051982 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.802953 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.961185 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.264900 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.014914 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.729906 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.048474 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.321696 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.954920 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.643977 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.514789 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.124133 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.552727 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.151225 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.787219 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.324347 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.467358 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.760181 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.642083 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.690587 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.564738 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.936827 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.922705 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.129175 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.089114 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.518502 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.157281 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.808371 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.096337 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.701710 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.708066 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.410396 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.082353 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.782119 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.679491 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.255068 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.942741 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.913543 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.392659 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.799066 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.460147 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.202908 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.026180 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.908459 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.761869 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.102566 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.942295 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.433709 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.769230 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.203128 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.120520 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.912412 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.069398 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.904368 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.578606 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.255280 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.475275 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.862417 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.306643 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.437362 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.369083 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.114733 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.315070 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.984215 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.863836 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.304519 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.903917 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.991461 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.110037 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.563269 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.830806 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.922644 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.357899 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.557270 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.391516 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.727281 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.679015 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.431985 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.273169 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.080541 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.707479 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.088521 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.356788 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.962370 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.072653 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.114121 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 714.38 S.D. = 3.4182 S.E.M. = 0.048341 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 685.432847 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 685.432688 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 684.468739 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 685.605760 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 693.339800 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.608761 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.781771 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.775407 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 689.513228 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 689.368761 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.506448 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.209273 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.332213 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.720321 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.418278 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.315826 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.736295 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.205103 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.410210 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.808818 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.025477 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.222329 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.808315 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.881643 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.192974 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.010284 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.041739 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.890165 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.985761 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.110586 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.738221 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.071088 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.834805 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.504858 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.077978 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.139650 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.091377 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.355649 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.765490 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.982793 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.415467 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.544820 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.670240 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.326975 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.718135 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.719932 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.018835 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.578897 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.725645 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.325358 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.964704 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.038604 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.107758 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.063548 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.019351 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.615216 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.064906 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.746492 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.979868 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.393693 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.514043 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.259126 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.099792 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.141615 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.812667 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.833928 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.048037 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.469922 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.413893 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.884420 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.329626 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.906113 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.546580 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.978840 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.944252 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.231659 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.787710 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.802519 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.053509 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.136646 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.966034 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.220466 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.287412 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.540415 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.304723 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.182230 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.911261 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.081522 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.892674 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.295682 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.795771 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.743845 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.827292 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.010100 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.133590 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.624765 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.043349 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.102042 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.093758 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.513499 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.748711 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.457317 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.490801 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.692359 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.216575 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.168218 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.629064 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.748114 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.944709 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.386870 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 689.38 S.D. = 4.1279 S.E.M. = 0.058378 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 687.579913 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 684.317972 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 686.108210 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.256608 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 689.454170 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 687.930902 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.736153 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.891989 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 690.749707 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.384765 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.770978 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.915842 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.997725 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.594069 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.427699 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.722230 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.753094 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.421053 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.761229 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.206565 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.222105 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.243147 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.240170 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.854647 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.366221 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.794287 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.630731 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.649119 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.356790 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.136803 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.834877 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.350822 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.839328 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.168801 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.886214 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.796463 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.586065 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.655403 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.508181 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.405928 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.264819 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.774192 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.531702 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.453891 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.229958 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.722078 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.129352 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.594169 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.385063 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.778902 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.467534 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.148053 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.958870 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.429356 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.506336 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.500456 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.672399 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.508494 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.927995 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.777869 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.425485 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.780429 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.456889 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.831532 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.816193 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.027701 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.830567 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.597852 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.083097 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.965128 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.762082 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.656475 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.343421 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.001624 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.636161 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.693478 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.581813 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.670398 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.372811 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.135292 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.328701 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.587172 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.609527 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.291066 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.102940 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.883172 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.842020 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.449841 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.645109 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.311665 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.605566 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.964178 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.470414 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.897682 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.396865 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.955275 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.769238 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.723616 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.259998 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.847628 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.657917 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.280312 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.821518 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.603602 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.014883 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.422449 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.115940 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.059475 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.240219 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.786483 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 688.51 S.D. = 4.5020 S.E.M. = 0.063667 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 697.054541 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 689.136888 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 691.976411 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.965939 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.802979 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 693.089005 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.073631 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.647289 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.302846 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.115856 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.487373 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.826529 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.774692 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.173626 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.028852 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.966709 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.221114 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.366317 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.685210 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.086826 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.137855 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.612531 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.506859 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.688583 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.018882 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.773015 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.329391 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.879399 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.619643 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.682909 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.298986 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.390226 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.395230 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.487672 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.730999 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.553782 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.123220 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.484272 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.417126 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.052718 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.072516 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.061174 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.267705 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.806304 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.300562 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.711792 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.123725 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.027578 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.701660 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.189439 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.930106 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.193806 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.203259 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.182951 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.149236 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.583074 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.262424 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.970259 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.368841 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.337920 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.722459 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.435794 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.879891 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.666946 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.485983 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.713279 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.948763 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.320352 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.103341 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.094946 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.198293 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.385118 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.707131 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.682606 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.342228 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.896913 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.427353 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.375544 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.528397 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.606449 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.233335 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.312988 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.234462 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.782765 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.387586 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.070405 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.071876 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.105859 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.340443 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.674083 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.093265 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.277085 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.107306 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.071000 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.191140 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.015022 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.564936 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.646395 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.563798 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.308994 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.526699 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.218866 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.256320 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.208822 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.723271 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.230255 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.934780 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.280904 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.630306 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.643490 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 693.89 S.D. = 4.8235 S.E.M. = 0.068214 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.524490 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.965901 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 690.317170 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 693.918690 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.510706 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.491560 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 697.510525 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 691.758547 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 693.981640 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.300092 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.872094 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.189028 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.227145 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.420770 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.498804 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.432250 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.827279 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.841805 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.018387 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.826139 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.171804 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.304377 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.803739 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.826998 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.537135 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.144247 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.062867 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.358537 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.747610 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.973349 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.176296 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.870924 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.060788 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.473300 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.716782 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.073268 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.676478 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.948051 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.070183 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.391346 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.114880 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.469540 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.950226 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.150136 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.003913 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.391440 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.233448 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.709468 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.974255 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.651113 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.455834 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.201297 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.773108 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.943766 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.810095 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.344745 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.014977 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.380090 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.702607 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.974573 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.601832 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.480694 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.035248 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.196156 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.914213 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.866089 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.568378 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.800865 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.224332 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.861088 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.827469 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.761415 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.463004 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.259698 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.417284 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.150875 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.242967 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.142924 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.168926 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.336273 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.619700 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.791773 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.346767 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.652042 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.345766 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.318318 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.816092 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.936542 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.498262 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.097207 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.203801 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.245624 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.079145 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.969565 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.888480 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.890382 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.715068 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.282252 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.025652 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.634993 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.946396 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.642086 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.335593 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.901176 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.664789 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.900090 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.840573 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.497272 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.042686 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.020512 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 692.80 S.D. = 4.0359 S.E.M. = 0.057077 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.998483 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 716.381992 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.283734 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 716.883809 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.654126 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.875046 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.331112 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.990943 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.689494 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.858418 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.656856 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.311106 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.257473 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.555491 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.924546 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.259988 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.853041 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.980177 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.677096 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.312326 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.313686 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.491256 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.789167 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.665785 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.231943 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.682534 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.707386 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.116232 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.656531 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.086762 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.258017 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.417859 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.031551 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.078873 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.416014 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.964104 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.819177 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.493625 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.531214 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.223389 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.100099 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.759361 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.706228 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.397400 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.955017 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.005242 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.206256 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.403132 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.186498 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.397212 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.455510 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.932497 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.662403 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.904666 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.166823 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.517095 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.526381 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.579761 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.783897 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.909583 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.797086 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.738868 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.021385 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.724528 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.431236 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.982192 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.114078 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.096916 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.426324 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.060445 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.468935 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.201298 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.789217 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.355619 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.730938 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.198975 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.753544 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.689587 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.194719 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.503291 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.733304 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.226592 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.779896 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.798913 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.380057 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.395479 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.941722 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.845374 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.344605 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.437421 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.384310 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.878416 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.302893 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.715618 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.881754 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.725254 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.050034 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.241794 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.406208 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.290041 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.916655 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.774796 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.675434 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.970866 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.438539 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.463827 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.676420 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.817766 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.856763 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.564569 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 720.77 S.D. = 2.4782 S.E.M. = 0.035048 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.188065 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.404726 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.323378 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 716.967479 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.893338 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.633652 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.755313 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.306044 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 716.113170 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.488694 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.962444 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.297073 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.366026 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.296467 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.177516 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.568693 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.529795 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.811453 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.371335 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.652068 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.489062 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.231489 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.849483 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.762033 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.473093 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.336467 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.371574 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.944805 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.866571 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.391951 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.191254 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.699791 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.899831 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.135924 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.954436 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.046612 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.463593 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.280019 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.175439 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.042279 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.084941 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.550202 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.399307 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.366435 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.200236 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.593040 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.938627 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.923173 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.081273 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.257864 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.145677 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.216551 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.154886 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.170669 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.087280 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.969301 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.904693 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.549277 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.577751 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.456369 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.544262 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.924426 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.407165 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.831278 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.982292 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.992072 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.805171 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.588078 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.842055 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.223538 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.169538 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.767202 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.764410 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.402403 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.055250 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.573692 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.333123 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.241567 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.926693 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.235463 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.866501 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.292259 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.613953 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.745129 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.001315 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.888324 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.305283 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.917941 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.898408 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.049121 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.173951 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.959563 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.998361 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.840424 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.632494 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.387562 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.404821 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.088899 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.771602 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.744173 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.570403 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.801946 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.528542 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.588090 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.336591 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.961435 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.141688 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.030778 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.675526 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.796450 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 716.52 S.D. = 5.6332 S.E.M. = 0.079666 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.945597 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.218113 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.242956 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.769142 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.787853 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.054796 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.955253 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.850089 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.907041 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.088929 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.349697 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.263285 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.860809 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.000417 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.900028 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.614026 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.160602 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.358556 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.148310 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.932958 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.200774 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.875536 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.444833 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.814481 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.815206 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.771618 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.676457 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.621941 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.432088 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.138437 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.702147 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.736900 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.246264 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.652859 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.440346 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.985929 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.328754 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.522904 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.533301 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.563190 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.039236 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.329192 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.554661 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.669610 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.269124 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.476788 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.417978 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.161216 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.031356 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.381231 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.136582 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.046578 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.450961 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.697724 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.361227 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.008104 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.985470 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.082070 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.768499 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.115743 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.662316 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.842121 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.213492 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.646346 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.715480 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.021975 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.193501 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.711119 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.107687 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.416149 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.831343 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.221394 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.278508 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.523353 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.954168 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.265755 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.754646 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.666983 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.268248 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.481154 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.624839 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.787099 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.175056 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.725660 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.949234 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.845688 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.778212 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.087289 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.963380 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.934282 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.448272 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.643270 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.781683 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.058778 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.417746 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.035573 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.787474 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.824713 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.827000 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.253762 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.138282 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.973608 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.800951 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.044742 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.309644 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.922646 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.983827 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.677521 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.953662 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.066833 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 706.86 S.D. = 5.3804 S.E.M. = 0.076090 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.215508 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.436177 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.685924 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.430979 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.221326 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.255369 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.341226 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.538399 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.849476 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.781317 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.460084 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.329090 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.463161 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.095958 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.277164 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.271605 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.453241 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.116916 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.036183 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.713552 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.902644 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.539493 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.854278 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.672366 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.481312 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.228869 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.380740 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.432779 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.042863 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.179268 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.212180 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.851730 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.248029 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.797052 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.363873 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.071752 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.000666 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.239336 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.056907 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.358457 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.768220 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.471921 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.646003 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.640089 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.396653 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.110461 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.440101 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.340631 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.785702 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.036303 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.388017 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.862653 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.365452 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.222645 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.033870 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.323086 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.320941 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.024866 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.007376 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.075265 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.614486 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.841480 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.853289 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.138424 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.241901 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.315342 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.005128 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.209134 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.614285 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.824587 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.110923 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.669432 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.747123 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.330588 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.498014 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.162449 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.226866 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.500898 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.628568 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.210717 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.415009 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.039111 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.019679 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.593404 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.384401 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.459619 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.176635 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.612881 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.917586 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.811949 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.537114 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.692981 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.795298 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.634527 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.184883 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.421887 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.785582 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.605710 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.245630 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.473757 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.886695 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.005964 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.198800 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.243827 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.539038 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.554056 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.127082 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.569690 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.865134 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.312491 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 703.16 S.D. = 4.1870 S.E.M. = 0.059214 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 685.785895 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 685.801094 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 686.752856 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 689.287931 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 687.340786 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.075036 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.119242 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 691.631507 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 685.117413 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.040864 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.390965 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.733165 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.935848 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.410175 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.890553 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.547735 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.917698 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.910848 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.390805 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.510267 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.182706 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.759542 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.258711 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.140859 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.274874 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.310289 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.084740 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.645933 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.502836 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.001794 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.151924 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.434308 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.486230 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.645095 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.409235 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.244296 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.703395 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.706023 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.652801 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.451161 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.462543 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.116301 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.985744 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.641786 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.875636 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.848304 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.208264 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.365501 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.481172 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.687271 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.722305 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.353359 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.480588 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.111282 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.024405 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.292000 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.599014 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.226025 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.438311 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.231372 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.673196 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.245954 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.049076 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.720701 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.869566 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.735073 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.696150 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.652629 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.114772 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.114600 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.598971 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.343415 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.782118 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.183804 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.793626 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.161115 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.188773 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.545576 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.808000 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.586640 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.059493 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.338355 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.983932 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.356393 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.970976 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.276647 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.617966 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.798862 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.080870 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.261504 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.886735 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.663586 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.825784 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.992009 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.282331 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.037761 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.023285 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.395358 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.103297 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.230096 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.649545 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.613761 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.040016 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.654095 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.972541 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.833255 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.255539 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.911073 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.114515 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.399595 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 692.32 S.D. = 4.0907 S.E.M. = 0.057852 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 730.949686 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 728.527173 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 728.665755 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 729.123967 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 733.009116 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 730.174716 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 735.866997 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 733.915298 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 731.138316 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 732.752717 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.812362 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.917177 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.034255 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.118732 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.576708 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 744.259026 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.061610 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.578716 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.075609 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.818765 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.484680 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.156108 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.180613 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.658550 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.750679 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.118641 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.922750 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.067466 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 745.774338 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.271824 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.555720 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.044288 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.055875 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.326225 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.491148 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.188537 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.320294 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.983314 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.412431 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.753099 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.179920 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.486226 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.280666 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.791818 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.901617 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.140408 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.492228 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.626497 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.015434 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.539925 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.119792 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.230391 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.504095 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.891840 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.526735 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.859333 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.780331 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.945069 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.554790 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.432251 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.893425 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.500135 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.366359 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.595846 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.945352 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.540926 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.923190 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.203546 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.860237 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.384775 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.751058 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.812787 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.871615 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.934693 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.708618 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.265110 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.006758 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.334008 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.434408 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.230606 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.544851 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.999682 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.160246 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.167939 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.584048 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.743672 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.230727 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.754462 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.922409 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.227120 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.128572 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.775888 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.169054 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.424626 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.648302 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.682605 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.480954 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.049484 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.584743 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.434377 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.318146 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.561240 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.329578 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.774963 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.110056 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.719873 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.204014 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.425209 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.209407 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.496614 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 733.16 S.D. = 4.4407 S.E.M. = 0.062801 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.933880 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.871944 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.335892 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.914370 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.945266 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.033741 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.430896 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.700843 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.470593 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.276197 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.539644 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.896221 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.116653 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.337168 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.604829 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.540234 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.042503 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.685086 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.426641 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.324627 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.419519 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.519011 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.482190 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.498791 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.322287 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.270846 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.756813 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.459298 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.519387 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.605977 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.021690 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.351145 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.749840 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.474652 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.652727 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.763838 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.931341 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.634462 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.466023 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.373757 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.640499 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.799687 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.837731 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.533173 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.238803 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.935945 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.474740 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.936160 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.631730 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.299278 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.731379 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.561938 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.257161 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.055200 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.224462 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.498216 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.021113 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.196060 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.278463 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.058859 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.670289 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.160167 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.576746 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.072724 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.190999 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.693979 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.495916 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.916409 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.039656 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.094118 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.154353 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.882399 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.796706 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.001602 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.991192 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.097833 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.631101 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.258949 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.374746 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.762330 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.254297 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.315359 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.381382 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.735241 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.251449 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.791818 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.861574 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.075091 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.829749 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.006577 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.727960 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.260614 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.933035 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.343852 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.051451 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.463761 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.966729 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.633002 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.421670 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.667648 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.297025 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.064052 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.259229 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.160794 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.820129 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.591310 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.370982 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.346442 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.757728 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.691962 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 720.18 S.D. = 4.3329 S.E.M. = 0.061277 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.877212 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.347961 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.286193 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.490388 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.984602 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.913732 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.850724 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.955210 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.721102 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.271915 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.672765 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.339377 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.812494 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.356293 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.492131 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.027328 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.808837 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.108973 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.895458 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.261165 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.610910 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.136725 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.983228 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.085944 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.661081 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.295960 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.143767 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.941049 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.940079 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.800158 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.981181 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.088446 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.952452 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.106538 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.201938 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.214510 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.507789 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.586338 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.805559 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.097313 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.034794 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.574218 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.301277 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.198664 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.835572 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.887366 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.805501 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.089587 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.859643 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.871216 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.619155 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.661577 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.196024 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.269792 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.287806 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.125538 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.949371 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.216993 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.463067 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.820042 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.686122 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.395638 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.639105 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.327022 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.320566 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.778715 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.673654 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.293647 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.233010 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.573341 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.954535 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.645531 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.972639 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.827330 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.365307 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.735432 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.409081 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.376763 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.508960 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.387404 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.746687 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.230207 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.469225 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.184621 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.437910 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.278376 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.076179 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.940382 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.496033 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.912013 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.149610 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.084266 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.357384 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.600612 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.163460 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.670773 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.810899 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.546860 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.883637 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.386297 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.239591 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.758351 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.908905 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.601252 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.990430 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.624165 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.549082 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.862078 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.736198 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.718497 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 721.33 S.D. = 4.1370 S.E.M. = 0.058507 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.202807 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.033336 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.821640 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.623393 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 728.544992 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.858253 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 730.050538 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.360938 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.754729 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.582009 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.959115 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.786192 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.264896 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.552197 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.383109 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.810754 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.726601 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.062504 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.226358 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.001159 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.886626 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.110234 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.442141 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.319554 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.926444 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.677135 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.045464 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.932788 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.503994 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.518174 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.163071 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.382157 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.126125 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.171428 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.018790 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.335853 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.273537 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.535067 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.024860 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.310901 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.037988 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.638292 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.047228 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.583507 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.639195 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.044158 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.361348 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.836176 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.257351 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.283515 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.305278 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.148285 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.477518 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.911662 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.450257 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.971254 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.138710 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.776431 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.264575 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.547934 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.314205 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.602688 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.127576 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.861862 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.298477 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.187515 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.545773 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.944182 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.891908 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.559497 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.608470 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.125717 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.989104 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.121829 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.511472 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.483995 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.592249 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.532373 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.377498 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.255863 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.867809 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.997968 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.385942 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.680229 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.939935 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.627821 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.315193 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.076553 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.003606 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.144541 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.373961 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.359545 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.350688 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.555902 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.973894 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.415376 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.240488 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.741660 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.373394 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.289791 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.778643 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.704677 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.921380 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.269172 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.060626 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.447767 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.257362 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.545413 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.526680 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.355719 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 727.15 S.D. = 4.6571 S.E.M. = 0.065861 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.209877 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.499168 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.419613 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.176951 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.605026 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.281203 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.173292 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.859202 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.020888 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.543101 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.689077 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.078474 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.126132 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.196184 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.450619 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.447560 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.361194 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.605080 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.811227 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.985240 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.610457 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.487225 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.111415 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.546854 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.871558 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.223354 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.452599 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.428434 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.494814 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.722229 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.691790 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.419306 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.202232 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.305220 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.089831 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.039923 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.860214 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.509333 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.206337 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.994127 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.696287 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.457257 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.564714 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.158946 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.030659 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.779102 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.747628 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.442902 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.513190 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.307243 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.206715 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.387547 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.768192 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.449020 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.662177 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.229746 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.771159 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.289297 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.124702 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.216426 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.810124 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.912738 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.398542 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.000708 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.261523 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.581985 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.957289 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.441749 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.932456 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.570032 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.620912 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.768003 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.634260 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.342665 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.112480 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.879026 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.977916 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.832217 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.556130 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.904457 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.134132 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.739735 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.344000 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.241484 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.363612 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.707432 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.753407 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.292445 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.669683 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.025738 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.414915 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.100845 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.924244 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.867065 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.546654 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.279870 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.845329 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.146461 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.602815 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.642251 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.610685 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.658501 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.646329 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.965783 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.589783 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.780253 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.153000 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.492665 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.583037 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.700178 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 705.24 S.D. = 4.8198 S.E.M. = 0.068162 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.608321 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 686.731667 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.096222 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 689.698479 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 693.004004 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.034154 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.914942 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 689.544272 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.350771 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.242123 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.545445 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.890080 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.961887 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.873787 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.129983 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.785537 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.464515 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.975879 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.797703 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.204440 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.402368 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.481848 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.042769 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.704204 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.966286 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.818777 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.496676 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.055181 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.947011 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.609879 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.732575 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.134093 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.032516 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.032271 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.216110 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.373331 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.789001 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.447997 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.117550 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.752561 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.148567 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.807237 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.344624 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.982861 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.598117 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.966114 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.730322 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.308406 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.469158 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.552013 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.789101 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.366603 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.377159 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.848818 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.729134 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.608924 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.176329 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.809174 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.423867 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.921531 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.600843 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.976172 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.564166 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.272438 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.375157 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.764376 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.420880 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.477246 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.415418 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.313318 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.281659 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.073983 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.654065 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.490225 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.874428 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.608431 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.566168 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.659380 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.841122 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.211692 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.190441 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.915994 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.867230 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.389181 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.129016 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.428848 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.175945 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.307686 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.684543 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.209882 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.982056 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.289530 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.613915 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.537318 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.596004 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.524543 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.225083 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.240624 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.230391 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.520510 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.612289 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.421907 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.879053 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.224930 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.857794 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.187709 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.861419 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.984822 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.555784 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.084388 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 691.58 S.D. = 4.6115 S.E.M. = 0.065216 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.435787 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.819449 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.734969 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.172200 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.920826 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.758312 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.715056 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.995246 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.646717 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.400136 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.662153 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.122873 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.422999 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.642200 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.923321 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.067919 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.308369 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.097695 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.897013 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.590845 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.726754 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.857481 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.971064 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.124467 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.405274 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.275400 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.317001 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.451092 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.785505 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.179224 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.004147 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.001974 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.897428 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.191891 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.536457 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.798400 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.188494 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.650650 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.172703 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.310871 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.158351 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.209549 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.307644 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.501357 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.674681 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.063028 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.340939 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.933272 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.585528 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.468163 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.534933 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.314261 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.519082 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.353074 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.828571 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.963529 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.953076 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.984424 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.013519 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.181606 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.294008 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.529248 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.090338 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.715342 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.473858 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.247050 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.666102 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.086043 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.200226 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.585165 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.867216 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.322624 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.496686 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.422074 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.681042 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.616208 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.088162 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.914784 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.466414 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.528229 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.538802 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.424439 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.232966 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.207469 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.283966 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.882622 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.451239 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.638315 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.043032 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.852990 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.573660 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.853618 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.435408 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.533979 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.267008 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.700587 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.506813 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.599462 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.295213 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.762387 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.757053 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.235433 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.074384 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.445991 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.077815 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.166173 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.190976 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.940113 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.393215 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.645701 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 715.68 S.D. = 5.7838 S.E.M. = 0.081795 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.751788 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.745144 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.906939 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.372062 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 731.308855 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 727.731767 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 733.734431 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 730.476491 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 730.255316 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 732.519147 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.420132 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.352015 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.127850 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.133232 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.834031 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.453698 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.347541 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.656535 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.444822 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.444533 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.914888 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.068163 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.382095 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.292983 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.938516 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.779563 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.608611 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.959947 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.169484 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.423250 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.391798 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.286076 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.641246 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.437358 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.238672 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.504774 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.634652 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 743.676595 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.077694 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.922803 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.661802 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.138754 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.155272 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.707514 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.798339 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.378107 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.504282 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.402119 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.096571 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.488289 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.379122 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.913933 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.526107 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.230557 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.868242 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.479418 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.392571 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.861672 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.357466 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.312165 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.449732 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.531777 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.444026 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.475170 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.944350 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.978976 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.189105 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.028395 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.779165 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.411196 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.108937 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.709768 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.078096 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.368520 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.512897 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.902029 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.253488 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.911547 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.341695 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.593283 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.153679 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.090237 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.096810 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.195885 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.648314 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.867258 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.106882 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.360762 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.679693 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.887898 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.336481 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.656497 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.664281 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.649223 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.574340 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.250150 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.804186 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.709572 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.937018 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.248533 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.549287 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.860112 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.201450 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.926723 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.773624 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.462711 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.845089 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.287115 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.019309 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.692680 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 728.82 S.D. = 4.1816 S.E.M. = 0.059137 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.431343 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.613646 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.931547 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.299378 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.822429 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.675532 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.404179 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.305469 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.151385 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.760797 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.010851 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.202684 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.102223 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.667376 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.527375 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.287682 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.948413 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.058847 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.165470 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.258413 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.720667 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.709517 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.370719 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.196851 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.450931 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.033163 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.651793 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.543993 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.469759 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.954824 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.923927 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.295099 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.308582 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.553341 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.821650 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.936152 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.143156 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.067736 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.410819 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.364363 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.256154 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.191683 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.495613 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.666773 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.906647 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.242506 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.633741 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.951356 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.126859 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.571635 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.358846 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.638683 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.116636 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.111426 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.581137 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.108299 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.886724 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.922158 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.795658 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.615211 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.709412 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.272920 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.988085 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.332717 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.666374 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.233474 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.799852 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.525599 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.151490 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.467059 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.114932 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.022032 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.026535 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.921314 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.659708 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.736936 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.252915 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.764063 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.235669 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.348051 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.143669 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.006497 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.785595 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.596117 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.964668 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.785523 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.082446 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.033868 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.708053 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.247000 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.338852 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.585363 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.139982 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.973373 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.447967 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.833204 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.884761 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.154148 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.672077 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.552977 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.972387 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.337264 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.507289 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.466345 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.131023 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.017167 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.828323 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.494295 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.466677 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.028034 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 705.19 S.D. = 4.8778 S.E.M. = 0.068982 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 682.180352 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 676.147427 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 676.899428 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 681.879333 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 683.497963 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.999161 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 684.248086 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 679.896817 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 684.096507 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 680.762027 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.931303 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.839931 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.141138 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.780627 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.015438 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.005789 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.819694 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.042039 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.046262 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.852297 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.808168 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.005831 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.281083 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.680451 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.863125 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.426120 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.672468 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.963534 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.503534 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.473295 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.995551 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.712093 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.080295 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.853627 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.639031 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.457506 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.513947 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.785977 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.898339 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.830456 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.882315 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.550959 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.060932 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.785642 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.392105 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.666912 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.084329 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.980543 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.062337 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.047752 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.315922 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.450061 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.449584 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.869692 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.350978 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.418452 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.881615 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.612866 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.887256 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.693642 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.070559 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.093960 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.383510 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.885621 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.913518 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.397278 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.461860 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.135403 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.451599 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.596650 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.387688 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.012730 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.877953 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.333591 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.074197 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.288321 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.188516 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.490403 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.505836 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.024560 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.102878 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.414914 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.878874 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.122778 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.196486 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.860957 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.623459 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.480440 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.291928 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.818816 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.318666 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.759753 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.745710 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.601715 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.571427 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.920383 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.447632 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.704426 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.400163 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.911008 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.225750 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.592939 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.633553 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.563303 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.687601 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.041548 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.631493 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.724686 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.036519 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.634819 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 680.80 S.D. = 4.9702 S.E.M. = 0.070290 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 691.156372 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 683.931427 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 685.237462 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.612137 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 690.177289 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.492486 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.212026 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 686.466725 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 691.882051 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.769676 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.405550 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.308061 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.102037 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.579193 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.196977 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.163513 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.125071 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.621748 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.700463 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.240939 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.079111 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.622166 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.318762 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.684657 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.287046 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.849262 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.901000 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.263036 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.823692 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.812581 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.579599 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.540480 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.867978 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.456173 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.311228 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.694728 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.669645 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.387555 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.346515 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.571498 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.454449 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.618810 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.924072 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.036288 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.534577 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.555374 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.681365 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.220061 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.192508 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.132404 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.363696 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.800142 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.316088 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.725755 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.219514 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.038949 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.451780 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.565795 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.619197 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.805593 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.886313 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.933133 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.541989 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.884658 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.332710 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.175320 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.324306 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.712369 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.005239 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.387011 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.682824 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.317972 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.090658 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.358625 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.710828 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.915019 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.278478 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.563745 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.073695 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.786612 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.795603 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.054471 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.140134 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.081846 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.684185 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.990443 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.803992 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.121536 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.714238 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.508496 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.423929 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.125402 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.593245 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.590600 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.495208 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.461595 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.764050 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.649661 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.055163 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.955742 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.416410 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.416669 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.682801 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.590982 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.753190 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.505854 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.906233 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.476583 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.169848 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.213615 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 688.13 S.D. = 4.1739 S.E.M. = 0.059028 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.230024 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.805768 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.762872 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.511898 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.329543 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.914907 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.307188 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.152411 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.826463 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.986962 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.763146 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.084549 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.488838 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.289665 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.389219 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.731182 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.140851 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.158559 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.398641 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.845687 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.344616 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.352595 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.053162 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.262656 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.870595 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.589187 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.479845 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.914088 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.963040 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.573887 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.537653 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.094733 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.384152 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.732322 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.750446 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.280342 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.213658 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.648369 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.524335 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.623328 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.206623 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.665539 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.278073 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.153078 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.128914 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.777500 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.086848 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.024967 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.320602 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.446358 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.620168 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.896851 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.927110 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.750771 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.240555 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.646708 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.644787 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.087899 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.613333 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.112718 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.052223 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.869556 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.739306 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.480314 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.127781 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.012945 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.441310 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.785867 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.840639 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.188339 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.012459 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.857327 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.933724 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.242086 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.624210 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.107995 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.311825 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.877729 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.391163 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.508567 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.637309 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.243755 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.952086 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.731727 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.568127 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.116364 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.291162 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.974333 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.297752 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.678319 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.514002 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.250627 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.571737 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.514186 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.979333 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.156268 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.197723 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.186324 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.762046 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.188080 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.839056 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.298267 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.888724 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.288123 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.576227 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.505052 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.415353 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.628558 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.382020 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.139103 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 718.69 S.D. = 4.0835 S.E.M. = 0.057749 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.001060 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.630816 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.038959 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.673459 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.524679 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.971946 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.762124 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.606001 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.146204 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.385155 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.145594 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.876972 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.607275 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.134392 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.322847 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.891732 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.048152 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.189861 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.126993 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.940552 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.319442 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.532112 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.586152 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.386951 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.786735 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.644915 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.217766 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.764674 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.071550 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.065313 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.080574 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.726329 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.931282 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.038267 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.665703 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.538588 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.189809 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.502292 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.495601 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.920721 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.367575 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.726508 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.161815 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.004504 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.029990 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.062818 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.648894 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.073515 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.241410 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.161940 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.771560 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.285862 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.917744 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.032142 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.217947 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.918764 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.592883 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.958474 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.379756 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.230215 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.738555 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.257616 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.666395 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.196960 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.595923 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.601982 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.804513 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.143839 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.960804 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.628391 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.185102 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.023165 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.773455 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.343382 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.843523 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.808809 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.161688 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.281089 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.845763 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.983340 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.716648 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.647703 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.124933 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.912350 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.074925 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.378885 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.887412 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.487503 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.869915 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.182389 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.023164 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.938852 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.955471 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.345325 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.323232 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.476803 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.522776 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.018795 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.391873 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.759538 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.614620 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.218175 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.584666 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.423268 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.682365 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.222942 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.011753 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.650905 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.773716 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.672933 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 724.40 S.D. = 5.7255 S.E.M. = 0.080971 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.604920 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.684848 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.894402 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.764309 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.262141 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.748902 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.728884 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.223593 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.494420 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 697.236382 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.006921 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.452643 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.644904 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.988039 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.176004 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.690931 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.666868 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.049320 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.560651 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.951922 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.052542 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.968462 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.398514 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.234574 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.334912 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.900248 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.329765 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.325166 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.004565 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.131886 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.309914 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.209633 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.618342 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.573174 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.906272 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.806913 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.394666 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.285601 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.455008 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.618057 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.541628 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.719972 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.156896 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.350280 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.631539 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.586825 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.939738 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.830352 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.492498 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.377940 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.191483 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.518205 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.477866 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.355287 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.027660 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.932436 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.963962 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.142702 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.311106 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.100886 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.263393 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.935753 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.965019 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.490797 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.418156 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.657503 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.528008 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.278362 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.355964 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.689685 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.338554 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.482317 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.630373 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.320971 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.474715 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.384970 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.021887 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.556702 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.950815 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.725483 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.782478 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.088539 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.840601 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.144185 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.876927 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.677653 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.354186 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.335115 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.961166 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.126225 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.249636 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.878174 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.375175 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.015495 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.042926 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.681494 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.089402 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.954605 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.160439 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.460713 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.324794 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.364830 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.591114 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.256685 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.267105 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.553127 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.000093 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.268796 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.282445 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.218776 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 702.66 S.D. = 4.8326 S.E.M. = 0.068344 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.751200 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.175967 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.587307 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.457667 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.734042 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.125767 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 730.064038 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.942529 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.964621 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.874532 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.749239 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.994707 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.448384 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.114725 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.466071 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.914092 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.700342 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.861889 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.615739 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.020239 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.992799 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.224472 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.822262 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.910693 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.647308 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.199129 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.109686 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.574048 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.967971 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.574703 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.550461 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.055966 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.620249 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.705268 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.756445 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.022919 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.858255 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.532155 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.514408 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.977672 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.843893 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.650550 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.270120 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.988640 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.898119 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.101240 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.701224 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.846385 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.725230 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.199831 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.274425 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.126896 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.085639 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.879044 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.670227 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.109544 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.936243 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.156597 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.774819 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.165154 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.462105 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.889184 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.763569 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.655167 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.843342 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.472199 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.998400 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.578098 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.880581 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.728924 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.164577 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.030296 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.733661 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.879671 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.253610 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.863069 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.999522 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.492479 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.504586 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.553150 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.939201 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.011192 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.299370 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.843118 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.849644 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.482233 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.066061 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.334301 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.573388 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.898153 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.987145 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.160725 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.811118 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.729277 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.699409 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.830158 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.147003 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.892554 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.711170 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.116742 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.696610 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.106704 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.302859 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.198062 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.383037 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.955616 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.553514 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.988951 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.368641 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.629045 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 723.91 S.D. = 2.2542 S.E.M. = 0.031879 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.013010 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.120114 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.351414 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.632828 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.542958 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.109822 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.712011 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.713967 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.532937 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.703948 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.365892 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.644998 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.664333 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.964721 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.868241 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.637530 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.075081 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.088258 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.246682 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.482388 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.677008 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.143974 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.722981 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.747647 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.169897 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.171518 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.302403 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.204809 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.019760 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.863161 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.287306 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.028057 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.079650 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.068685 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.006838 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.088757 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.151292 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.119112 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.775465 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.394686 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.037147 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.654244 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.809235 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.757389 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.603729 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.710962 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.059453 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.692360 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.597186 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.031713 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.627062 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.667522 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.645830 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.089825 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.935779 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.856658 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.400679 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.741557 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.742560 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.121326 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.393689 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.660295 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.712470 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.254594 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.675469 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.763117 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.682924 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.111280 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.207689 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.439979 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.950404 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.684705 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.505983 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.065280 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.122130 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.860668 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.711409 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.647524 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.990540 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.246288 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.988030 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.942376 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.606872 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.495065 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.882139 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.783539 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.914566 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.917257 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.035981 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.575226 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.679679 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.148899 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.483715 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.504788 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.695290 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.749708 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.198718 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.499911 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.192100 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.991150 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.009162 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.280724 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.662615 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.728153 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.738498 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.932255 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.510172 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.067243 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.460958 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.885764 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 705.98 S.D. = 5.4716 S.E.M. = 0.077380 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.172982 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.430206 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.787792 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 716.001870 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.591663 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.377335 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.858899 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.863777 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 716.361587 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.577487 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.227724 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.332794 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.076922 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.079921 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.468351 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.364278 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.248316 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.472441 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.954523 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.376829 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.963597 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.974981 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.716678 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.931379 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.900378 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.966000 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.430628 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.967747 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.636664 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.535005 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.414720 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.891531 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.520625 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.811200 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.886648 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.916301 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.410204 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.128642 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.083469 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.801718 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.875113 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.212292 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.717828 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.632025 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.436963 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.953180 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.542106 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.649086 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.982443 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.459942 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.088622 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.786939 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.339718 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.767326 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.489846 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.024979 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.834676 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.538508 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.613152 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.216017 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.888744 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.620531 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.892920 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.877082 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.217660 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.152835 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.225072 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.451188 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.788666 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.464871 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.830470 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.286021 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.429242 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.799263 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.790379 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.508938 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.993188 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.367279 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.199365 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.635387 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.205762 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.454095 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.576630 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.078655 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.367058 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.664780 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.770609 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.962729 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.509700 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.530075 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.955593 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.018739 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.354710 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.973476 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.231548 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.640335 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.999810 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.099447 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.500357 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.074350 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.379917 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.072896 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.851140 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.830529 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.965929 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.688493 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.804276 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.706802 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.563521 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.193144 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 719.73 S.D. = 5.4719 S.E.M. = 0.077384 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 682.599334 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 681.921444 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 682.964633 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 686.187962 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.166059 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 685.722121 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 691.062356 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 687.110403 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 687.854869 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.246135 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.175413 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.344909 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.294058 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.074211 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.127677 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.975162 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.097394 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.925622 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.877572 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.002936 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.735359 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.783741 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.517438 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.091232 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.152246 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.641462 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.571975 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.302895 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.456527 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.324069 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.433142 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.647762 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.089301 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.798312 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.737277 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.947855 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.371123 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.747695 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.493279 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.440622 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.011366 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.519992 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.725350 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.556948 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.626569 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.223563 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.064011 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.797549 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.166376 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.428854 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.525340 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.552866 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.902668 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.145154 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.697960 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.771257 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.877145 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.217901 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.688357 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.800437 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.820212 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.524817 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.995998 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.410505 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.116585 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.693556 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.049522 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.248135 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.835337 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.505167 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.872511 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.254807 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.344073 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.512645 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.425883 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.129028 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.475138 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.385628 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.613209 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.976698 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.718042 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.790936 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.400992 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.968141 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.068854 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.378197 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.127863 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.798329 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.291537 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.428150 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.671842 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.195552 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.432681 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.545723 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.804439 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.720878 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.508915 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.993372 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.617592 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.006595 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.771834 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.852315 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.958756 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.231696 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.751372 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.685370 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.829076 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.815836 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.081568 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.483281 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 685.75 S.D. = 4.2217 S.E.M. = 0.059704 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.733066 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.679754 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.703016 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.445789 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.048108 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.794860 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.192776 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.858796 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.059699 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.294172 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.934107 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.507939 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.442438 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.976859 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.800115 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.901374 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.980257 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.375257 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.833363 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.065676 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.011094 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.982974 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.392513 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.297277 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.000949 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.734702 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.519516 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.956865 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.333637 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.434112 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.131247 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.022679 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.548785 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.869722 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.315429 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.961063 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.755942 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.595827 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.907728 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.065516 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.330494 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.221498 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.016582 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.273555 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.086647 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.216883 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.552616 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.161203 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.760317 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.332146 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.688281 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.320526 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.858127 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.759264 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.467731 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.128839 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.946874 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.239824 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.172268 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.954688 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.289309 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.931092 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.664866 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.299654 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.442889 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.029873 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.598876 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.410633 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.086785 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.196741 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.752429 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.371510 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.661468 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.388710 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.269031 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.047903 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.331579 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.538522 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.395574 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.300647 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.611013 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.411855 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.081476 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.872620 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.221551 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.449747 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.832306 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.920705 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.879890 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.469285 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.604348 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.609879 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.977091 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.118264 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.239455 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.421900 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.187429 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.709225 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.650538 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.915309 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.455052 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.196901 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.020381 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.045743 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.268214 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.811475 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.624071 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.047875 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.767757 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.459199 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 722.64 S.D. = 5.4948 S.E.M. = 0.077708 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 728.894370 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.478800 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 728.276036 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 731.147829 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 731.427512 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 730.409868 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 734.856642 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 735.790146 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 732.590638 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 735.297862 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.840278 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.490723 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.391031 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.026367 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.474069 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 742.958773 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.967529 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 744.673023 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.532683 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.348005 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.002957 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.462876 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.642045 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.826027 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.368438 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.455003 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.332272 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.953072 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.624656 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.226140 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.632000 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.471353 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.702992 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.299882 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.623145 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.679878 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.535797 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.736007 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.894715 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 741.900750 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.360539 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.527011 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.228423 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.644660 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.095178 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.705955 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.567789 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.059296 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.336249 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.382337 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.104935 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.389893 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.422006 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.663342 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.020972 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.254657 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.133861 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.410100 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.752833 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.294716 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.050391 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.775377 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.933001 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.929522 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.881130 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.439232 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 738.319813 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.856110 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.212926 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.227540 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.821462 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.029446 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.139537 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.730824 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.456012 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.113817 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.668650 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.221563 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.287942 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.881416 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.097034 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.003010 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.517181 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.138362 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.502686 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.950274 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.688272 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.512043 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.317836 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.431338 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.914603 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.452301 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.441210 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.599257 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 747.754660 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.141259 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.875983 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.677492 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.304684 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.788435 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.481143 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.718182 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.907570 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.294412 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.261877 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.346800 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 740.297757 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.833195 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.104561 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.939142 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 731.27 S.D. = 4.9897 S.E.M. = 0.070565 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.984272 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.827462 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.389446 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.450886 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.448668 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.930502 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.378223 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.207732 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.350155 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.393483 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.524091 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.685039 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.451402 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.028666 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.272940 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.792555 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.085569 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.478064 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.777045 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.555968 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.790918 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.464963 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.877521 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.547004 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.514299 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.929060 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.553322 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.225131 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.899642 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.936469 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.986504 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.699514 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.902806 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.427205 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.427318 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.224202 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.925830 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.008011 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.407021 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.505420 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.392905 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.716985 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.868151 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.284538 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.372242 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.539519 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.864321 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.982366 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.550925 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.773075 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.242072 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.764846 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.961468 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.958448 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.399765 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.854514 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.084470 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.329674 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.762189 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.872262 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.789193 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.515797 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.034410 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.036067 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.293927 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.131788 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.056471 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.403948 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.034886 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.911156 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.816645 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.917475 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.165655 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.771021 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.610171 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.153064 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.155590 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.605770 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.688900 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.730286 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.000868 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.528191 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.799453 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.534865 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.586318 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.687071 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.751971 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.820944 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.200903 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.505092 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.136533 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.881985 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.692922 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.063187 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.847859 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.233268 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.333826 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.610526 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.602683 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.199217 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.197410 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.912383 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.066127 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.869902 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.451802 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.393823 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.374376 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.837527 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.865322 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.232730 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 721.68 S.D. = 4.1149 S.E.M. = 0.058194 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.607672 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.761065 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.004541 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 697.950303 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.589538 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.053752 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.938606 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 697.590419 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.396137 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.607305 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.034273 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.976563 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.144580 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.259359 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.993537 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.899111 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.212393 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.042983 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.212397 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.468386 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.103088 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.238193 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.548944 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.672092 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.579458 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.966893 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.533235 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.048230 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.289568 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.049927 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.337693 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.554334 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.325016 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.422238 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.974890 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.865869 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.135534 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.694739 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.817122 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.722338 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.003255 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.606880 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.129170 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.134879 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.342907 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.355328 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.455433 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.332808 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.771715 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.294628 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.030000 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.390686 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.758030 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.858360 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.610260 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.905939 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.764630 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.284417 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.487974 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.204166 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.652735 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.545795 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.940122 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.618579 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.936497 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.201722 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.947912 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.460844 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.527597 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.223974 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.573887 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.327022 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.812262 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.719871 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.328957 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.595218 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.783142 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.349740 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.571293 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.170398 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.087085 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.836031 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.326689 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.433131 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.507761 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.738741 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.490754 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.355641 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.916001 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.683818 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.201589 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.540192 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.063719 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.586099 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.543891 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.871470 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.244423 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.826722 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.407997 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.123196 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.123907 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.387859 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.051082 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.299260 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.830840 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.690875 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.740747 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.674076 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.756954 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.698625 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 699.99 S.D. = 5.3378 S.E.M. = 0.075489 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.391669 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.501097 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.488846 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.416748 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 697.401639 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.022382 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.889820 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.233378 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.566676 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.503635 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.855098 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.996542 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.425974 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.211008 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.619996 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.207291 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.244512 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.784592 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.889985 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.466631 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.546906 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.692636 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.463594 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.865518 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.068082 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.784727 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.294357 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.864795 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.835293 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.916412 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.227504 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.525706 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.542719 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.080537 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.905957 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.173530 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.651097 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.953561 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.102887 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.215992 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.652504 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.856569 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.868924 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.165525 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.805681 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.389842 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.011979 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.285491 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.558520 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.942825 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.117582 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.338399 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.697085 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.209147 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.889549 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.953907 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.714350 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.391189 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.340532 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.678065 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.940163 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.430701 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.285198 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.170189 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.343216 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.220961 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.852888 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.182055 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.119364 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.349071 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.023009 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.772927 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.052663 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.275372 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.765191 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.072831 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.275881 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.888877 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.349405 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.752304 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.581024 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.538376 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.148227 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.746544 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.994642 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.061913 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.203674 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.438576 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.684784 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.258986 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.269172 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.923780 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.422215 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.216066 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.620166 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.508765 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.941536 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.225685 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.217640 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.522512 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.761604 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.861573 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.897754 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.633970 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.959857 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.527146 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.880773 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.430509 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.752053 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.712354 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 703.76 S.D. = 4.9540 S.E.M. = 0.070061 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 684.022875 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 682.346172 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 682.901370 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 683.999274 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.822838 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 685.867143 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 690.902478 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 689.028973 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.339303 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 689.265532 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.377836 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.890022 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.660767 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.632834 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.201447 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.736938 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.900376 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.801240 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.080013 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.596855 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.122947 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.145758 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.961765 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.867296 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.511637 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.562224 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.965512 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.788485 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.866372 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.139338 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.007834 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.897059 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.111181 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.406652 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.680902 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.108685 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.177918 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.516117 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.582869 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.394064 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.351255 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.698254 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.406524 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.260995 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.387851 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.795869 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.704572 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.671541 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.380068 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.237851 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.176035 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.054741 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.340143 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.200453 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.078308 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.376809 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.293075 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.241237 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.337407 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.782502 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.832353 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.770978 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.052152 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.198565 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.328304 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.281744 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.394931 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.771024 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.943229 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.210621 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.376367 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.033111 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.526209 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.647387 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.641397 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.147949 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.132589 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.223218 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.102208 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.611342 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.776307 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.246222 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.174062 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.220158 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.848219 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.523775 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.787200 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.095621 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.007229 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.796458 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.884004 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.093286 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.453158 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.195591 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.500289 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.730585 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.196477 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.048601 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.083994 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.444611 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.342574 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.576519 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.664992 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.571441 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.859063 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.383817 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.793705 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.341870 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.496102 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.057280 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 686.23 S.D. = 4.0801 S.E.M. = 0.057702 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 679.273900 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 674.990858 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 679.190137 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 679.175962 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 675.545987 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 680.340049 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 685.065053 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 681.521259 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 679.971805 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 681.408118 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.258925 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.932215 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.678100 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.359107 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.913101 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.626409 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.074931 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.266988 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.483427 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.104343 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.919042 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.419527 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.907763 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.894070 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.726805 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.698470 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.850094 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.033604 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.695715 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.754964 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.793511 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.645631 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.769655 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.616602 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.332671 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.444766 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.781552 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.682146 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.260574 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.142815 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.943656 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.555234 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.611242 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.102005 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.053381 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.660874 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.545005 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.649268 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.168746 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.548805 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.942970 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.860808 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.055156 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.588114 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.748580 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.139732 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.874042 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.788701 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.520017 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.365092 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.557140 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.041794 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.176305 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.951454 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.879038 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.675127 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.237260 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.950901 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.260392 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.453579 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.234600 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.635584 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.679561 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.135879 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.477528 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.412240 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.533508 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.863720 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.495270 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.172675 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.920514 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.559533 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.965285 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.099781 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.104071 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.427917 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.023613 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.352963 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.676710 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.418750 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.596019 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.607461 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.111478 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.705613 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.744455 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.360142 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.675771 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.299907 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.008175 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.014040 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.892445 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.025826 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.434545 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.824136 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.724540 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.999068 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.914775 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.457624 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.649843 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.647349 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 679.33 S.D. = 2.6591 S.E.M. = 0.037605 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.187603 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.931147 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.731913 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.746230 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.536086 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.477475 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.225246 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.455113 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.510994 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.249219 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.988326 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.595687 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.306573 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.888991 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.846494 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.815690 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.247853 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.391068 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.254240 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.151536 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.570627 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.967653 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.094985 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.363612 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.007808 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.098836 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.814668 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.555988 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.649887 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.727131 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.256873 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.334660 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.465718 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.183267 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.871515 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.823260 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.112960 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.860397 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.653940 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.977076 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.114798 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.824963 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.547348 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.915713 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.850898 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.008984 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.430650 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.860093 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.161114 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.862682 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.970124 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.180348 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.053024 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.377031 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.544755 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.529163 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.545549 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.290985 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.967848 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.991871 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.383037 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.596943 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.025125 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.209120 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.808036 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.379335 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.408732 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.745217 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.587589 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.623574 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.546608 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.350089 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.650541 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.851845 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.142247 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.149875 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.673088 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.714193 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.601317 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.548888 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.309483 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.150549 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.380800 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.304030 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.121699 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.442968 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.705704 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.289804 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.795591 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.879367 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.776079 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.154281 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.244673 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.713848 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.165874 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.607240 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.570219 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.712209 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.068985 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.506025 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.818505 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.406960 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.914054 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.095579 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.560752 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.275032 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.543344 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.172254 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.800727 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.896689 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 709.07 S.D. = 4.5964 S.E.M. = 0.065003 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 680.270159 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 676.772251 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 677.387343 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 680.095669 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 684.364734 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 681.439968 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 685.260943 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 681.444234 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 684.372205 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 682.497301 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.053307 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.981688 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.743448 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.003847 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.533362 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.618533 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.218879 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.970849 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.234158 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.546321 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.399263 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.462831 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.823790 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.160766 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.126958 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.511391 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.134214 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.609114 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.409199 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.058901 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.651128 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.619819 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.602228 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.238624 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.631427 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.199190 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.667756 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.435344 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.288229 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.313330 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.429125 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.826952 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.791877 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.800331 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.790412 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.981686 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.758177 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.830710 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.275200 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.375156 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.676287 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.749025 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.198907 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.003325 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.129152 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.340639 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.272724 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.657409 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.743540 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.755393 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.479111 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.904883 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.720602 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.212255 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.193460 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.011171 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.897046 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.805816 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.079682 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.610109 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.948314 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.712967 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.647066 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.740211 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.677470 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.727638 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.835747 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.416539 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.401579 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.959415 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.811814 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.690928 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.531809 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.099954 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.790856 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.156322 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.236644 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.790042 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.073937 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.258616 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.928043 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.032253 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.025245 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.825461 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.211610 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.958155 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.946838 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.042964 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.628906 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.080939 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.131452 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.051216 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.736076 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.919089 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.023009 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.993696 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.088976 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.498636 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.725264 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.979849 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 680.64 S.D. = 4.0776 S.E.M. = 0.057666 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.730235 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.133569 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.536251 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.047497 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.824986 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.244941 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.770244 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.366181 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.250731 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.445898 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.714258 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.403473 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.062004 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.572763 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.939656 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.727406 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.650493 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.078416 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.782881 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.546716 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.434506 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.685770 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.355903 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.798980 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.918133 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.058410 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.105965 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.658107 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.458569 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.391573 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.601780 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.615301 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.237673 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.303272 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.769733 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.855377 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.261518 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.206177 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.679735 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.491161 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.655207 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.481942 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.011838 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.715729 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.142963 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.562837 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.257303 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.375688 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.180309 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.484074 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.630360 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.483214 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.345892 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.859832 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.392490 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.140742 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.215624 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.201128 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.361325 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.391415 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.188588 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.522970 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.185106 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.623459 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.091777 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.493209 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.281514 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.290737 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.791876 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.294289 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.410738 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.279457 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.684061 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.359786 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.095749 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.042381 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.573691 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.691345 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.500853 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.072152 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.070495 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.529849 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.929019 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.665064 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.705323 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.433633 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.402269 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.272814 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.507625 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.701372 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.154265 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.728746 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.697053 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.373007 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.762665 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.451329 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.647997 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.489393 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.183391 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.931991 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.054486 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.523705 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.198094 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.777239 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.051099 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.626364 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.403395 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.339335 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.934606 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.714421 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 711.49 S.D. = 5.6782 S.E.M. = 0.080302 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.204728 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 693.642767 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.391893 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.396021 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.343834 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 697.672573 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.603704 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.432679 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.815221 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.477011 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.969366 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.795454 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.843999 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.213810 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.428217 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.676562 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.971783 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.049372 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.371366 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.536393 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.325139 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.797264 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.450993 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.262593 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.347900 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.926028 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.488532 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.530346 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.774576 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.447983 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.888733 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.900216 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.668189 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.042826 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.560471 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.644907 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.700488 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.063828 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.396668 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.859864 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.870126 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.061233 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.416849 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.407981 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.006665 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.477548 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.475782 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.855285 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.546426 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.397687 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.775695 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.071242 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.831212 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.766619 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.442031 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.972915 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.048089 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.378198 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.803423 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.210627 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.384217 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.547026 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.542465 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.769040 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.295524 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.272901 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.697348 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.566400 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.472771 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.977651 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.210462 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.139040 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.722961 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.294369 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.861124 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.638502 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.224603 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.021837 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.318881 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.274694 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.151890 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.666779 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.916198 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.164542 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.039604 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.742036 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.214356 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.918088 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.123867 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.645986 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.535219 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.334058 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.520150 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.178439 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.141480 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.422425 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.961712 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.300466 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.079656 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.132774 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.856194 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.984844 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.456469 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.818119 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.589757 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.672416 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.711626 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.724458 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.940668 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.423506 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 698.12 S.D. = 4.4503 S.E.M. = 0.062937 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.376236 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.916833 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.762197 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.232278 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.041152 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.293432 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.148026 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.569201 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.875698 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.460228 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.237413 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.389731 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.932933 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.648808 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.387161 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.669088 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.647229 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.102586 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.037809 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.006405 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.226551 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.235562 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.935594 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.317302 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.936964 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.220658 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.744066 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.794009 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.659149 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.250037 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.383257 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.459844 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.967780 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.264086 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.335570 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.352934 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.527481 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.683474 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.677275 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.692950 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.853856 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.490857 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.381301 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.239204 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.814228 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.590902 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.539362 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.720098 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.523921 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.260093 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.852154 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.544669 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.247094 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.095260 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.752915 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.576494 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.498486 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.844926 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.253410 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.126857 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.642110 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.533700 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.283693 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.069809 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.110608 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.910499 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.368245 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.835770 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.081100 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.399569 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.158439 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.364747 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.382703 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.965376 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.842279 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.727396 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.939414 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.746899 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.799361 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.190131 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.585794 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.573472 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.311859 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.097406 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.328131 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.698347 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.903692 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.869337 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.173440 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.454452 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.699920 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.713981 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.283741 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.400048 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.879108 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.259738 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.073335 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.246389 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.793636 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.577985 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.380447 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.181444 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.461514 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.053233 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.453655 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.133660 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.185621 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.085943 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.852688 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.246439 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 715.58 S.D. = 5.2295 S.E.M. = 0.073957 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.332156 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.384927 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.966681 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.915046 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.671063 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.566369 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.083614 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.221533 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.871250 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 708.038323 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.300314 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.037336 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.647941 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.362596 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.488310 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.846666 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.308742 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.799355 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.032919 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.329707 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.459132 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.674928 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.157613 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.178456 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.045974 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.277638 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.238973 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.924799 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.812886 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.872682 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.125574 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.398939 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.764082 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.371555 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.083964 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.422730 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.422297 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.059546 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.462221 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.958896 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.959301 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.741577 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.636410 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.204788 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.210389 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.795979 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.787661 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.027901 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.521229 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.660586 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.269962 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.279739 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.429688 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.118437 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.213011 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.826023 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.097433 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.133255 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.279035 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.513901 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.438391 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.458424 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.821980 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.320381 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.543219 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.192401 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.641302 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.772093 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.766226 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.011489 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.216210 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.110749 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.637693 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.667591 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.642257 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.163882 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.529896 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.772308 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.000640 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.592933 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.183487 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.418454 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.784122 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.952813 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.866667 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.485460 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.354555 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.678047 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.957022 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.436861 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.396574 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.254993 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.942261 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.130813 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.277689 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.819472 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.345155 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.408444 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.225944 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.870110 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.391522 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.738372 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.186658 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.677201 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.618867 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.851593 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.826702 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.034501 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.225024 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.608003 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 708.23 S.D. = 4.0021 S.E.M. = 0.056598 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.325868 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.445662 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.042390 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.273240 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.676154 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.906564 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.922915 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.313587 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.688725 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.407268 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.533700 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.446505 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.261054 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.466420 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.515122 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.189168 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.725301 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.670837 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.656880 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.313876 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.938986 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.373646 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.933991 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.076062 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.407891 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.408476 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.310488 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.050632 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.174426 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.625857 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.846797 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.416694 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.027090 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.382959 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.713107 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.567064 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.227219 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.611551 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.086781 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.812768 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.304349 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.372524 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.472309 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.696134 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.055667 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.541366 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.346348 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.916102 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.619784 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.523735 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.064529 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.130169 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.904079 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.703253 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.641239 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.502833 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.751937 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.929813 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.982448 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.188351 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.947964 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.155441 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.378842 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.717235 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.773458 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.469739 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.220719 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.332351 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.815431 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.681578 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.102321 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.039557 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.112480 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.840163 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.356624 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.292201 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.502003 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.689094 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.525063 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.246381 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.705359 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.254431 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.229930 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.648526 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.751852 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.909739 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.556066 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.363822 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.930609 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.758668 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.429529 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.554070 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.382488 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.557875 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.108053 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.459607 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.622730 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.142127 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.146095 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.848746 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.346905 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.246994 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.118862 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.741966 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.110911 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.423174 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.657580 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.737617 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.777729 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.940760 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 700.86 S.D. = 4.4205 S.E.M. = 0.062516 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.285125 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 705.058925 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.041421 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 709.636983 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.080391 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 710.314007 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 714.075585 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 707.911205 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.198185 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 712.199778 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.485205 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.554145 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.347697 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.105769 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.525989 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.763090 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.499037 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.773632 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.762534 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.967180 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.944649 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.965652 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.809358 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.714170 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.682118 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.032776 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.190669 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.822987 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.813278 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.284499 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.672245 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.664835 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.065043 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.903111 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.075501 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.019912 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.721676 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.645540 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.664787 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.202681 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.334850 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.779457 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.879183 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.754764 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.305907 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.087196 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.724231 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.748550 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.214384 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.467441 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.659523 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.298891 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.130754 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.685079 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.344686 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.262041 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.957348 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.340326 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.059088 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.848025 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.693117 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.420302 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.184746 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.794851 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.419659 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.886575 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.374824 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.742183 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.762847 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.225787 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.762232 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.809248 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.918150 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.327653 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.885478 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.519257 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.669554 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.582304 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.587229 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.851803 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.772259 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.509942 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.249424 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.478251 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.827891 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.531500 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.286582 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.696698 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.769307 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.297593 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.410271 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.697712 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.514337 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.304384 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.639064 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.345907 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.391405 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.327196 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.348627 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.487463 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.063918 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.559080 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.234923 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.818563 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.793523 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.612775 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.190509 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.134392 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.428223 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.718720 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 709.94 S.D. = 5.0318 S.E.M. = 0.071160 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.526883 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.965182 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.480415 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.052686 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.663123 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 697.725005 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.930649 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.913836 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.925119 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.459000 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.704498 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.394645 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.641268 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.964910 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.824612 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.342134 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.072912 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.256407 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.071581 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.124014 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.452411 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.522127 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.008677 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.392377 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.907819 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.452388 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.713219 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.197340 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.877873 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.227038 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.817095 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.870502 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.923365 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.439484 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.005374 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.398951 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.265784 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.193704 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.519175 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.328520 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.490290 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.115864 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.767632 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.834924 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.955472 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.571395 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.655094 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.252739 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.038938 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.181947 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.063781 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.123920 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.599391 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.871224 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.879594 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.470605 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.103599 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.619710 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.354429 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.567261 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.483230 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.626423 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.977101 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.465824 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.888811 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.092161 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.110110 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.857400 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.089656 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.358378 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.429550 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.629741 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.654722 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.863598 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.020216 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.953221 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.350336 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.717902 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.516177 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.047890 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.739695 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.604126 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.066415 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.118456 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.428868 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.198368 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.086144 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.305894 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.226184 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.384961 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.922900 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.613069 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.493449 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.785999 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.818854 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.960830 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.021643 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.452112 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.568222 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.774887 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.299435 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.055303 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.117599 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.558805 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.946509 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.485769 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.956972 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.987005 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.752351 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.227124 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 698.89 S.D. = 4.3784 S.E.M. = 0.061919 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 662.440088 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 660.264879 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 659.666199 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 660.193535 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 665.828520 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 662.174569 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 669.109954 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 663.904758 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 663.214973 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 665.124624 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.936354 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 667.135164 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 658.589664 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.874995 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 661.811449 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.236916 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.567338 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 667.367895 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 660.644671 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 658.589835 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 660.213715 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 660.458920 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.607433 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 658.171992 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 666.863512 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 659.907250 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 664.054015 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 660.599287 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.574471 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 667.605820 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 664.075847 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.089426 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.802642 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.606043 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.275078 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 666.412137 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 664.310706 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.928782 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.177880 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.036744 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.696581 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 667.955775 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 667.941440 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.844251 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 659.239040 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 658.329786 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 661.248207 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 660.859237 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.125230 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 664.980429 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 659.587041 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.229523 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 664.782738 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 664.856891 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 664.181189 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.552754 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.373181 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 661.891233 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 660.303829 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 668.382496 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 667.672032 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.491666 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.976558 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.908828 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 667.504220 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 668.434232 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.037421 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 666.148297 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.354599 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 667.043079 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.137991 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 661.518061 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.521813 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.931928 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 667.829731 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.170020 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 659.473936 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 665.835146 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.654023 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 664.920031 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 659.061085 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 658.277490 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 659.461491 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 668.284799 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 658.643440 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.039176 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.398764 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.164819 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 667.779493 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 659.602935 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.925553 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.331972 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 661.227690 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 660.074328 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.692662 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.847509 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 668.975642 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.862016 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.215962 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.146812 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 666.095451 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 661.410914 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.417464 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 660.544999 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.082235 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 665.371710 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 668.204169 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.225292 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 667.663829 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 659.005911 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 664.26 S.D. = 4.0395 S.E.M. = 0.057128 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 655.847409 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 653.858603 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 654.407380 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 656.250321 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 657.435675 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 655.851009 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 662.235989 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 657.660288 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 655.841298 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 657.855077 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.046268 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 658.374158 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 652.279769 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 658.776172 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 655.432490 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.642757 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 650.913712 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 661.618495 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 653.281390 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 651.854705 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 653.477559 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 654.542764 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 655.389371 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 651.837418 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 660.172448 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 653.313322 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.542067 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 653.138288 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 661.121325 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 659.519135 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 656.923265 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 655.989199 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 656.865627 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.702947 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.075104 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 659.890847 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.313670 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 667.735830 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 656.642120 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.376058 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 655.565998 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 660.803761 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 659.248057 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.345632 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 653.150004 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 652.027151 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 654.346720 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 653.801686 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 665.151418 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 659.362332 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 653.719886 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.575939 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.584273 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 656.391418 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.249558 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 656.612001 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 667.970427 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 655.211811 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 654.258557 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 661.908442 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 660.673618 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.938008 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.349657 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 656.699862 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 660.456968 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 665.579201 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 656.287439 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 658.302258 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 656.155537 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 658.837343 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 656.920866 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 654.505778 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.071682 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.952354 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 661.136130 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 666.055671 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 653.104858 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 658.492521 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 657.596284 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 659.197449 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 652.483315 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 652.074106 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 653.147617 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.510721 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 651.860375 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 661.603086 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.286096 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 665.935667 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 660.145015 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 653.344467 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 656.167159 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 664.083786 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 654.969475 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 653.811212 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 661.582732 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 658.371165 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.620786 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 660.000256 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 654.287131 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 662.121203 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 660.109598 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 654.127039 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 663.007359 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 654.067441 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 656.245493 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 659.940544 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 661.732150 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 656.122763 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 659.930794 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 652.711173 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 657.71 S.D. = 3.9843 S.E.M. = 0.056347 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.528742 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 691.693429 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.283916 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.891376 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.054911 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.045010 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.551456 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.552889 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.521523 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.983179 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.606388 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.610885 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.356616 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.348045 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.461738 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.290068 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.851432 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.120860 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.932441 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.136817 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.985476 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.569350 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.468102 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.442839 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.334094 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.429200 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.866171 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.111687 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.025832 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.910874 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.956155 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.318234 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.984048 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.854671 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.295242 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.098004 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.583148 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.733358 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.932203 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.629596 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.599266 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.365965 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.787475 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.613499 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.720942 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.178621 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.067624 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.479373 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.990587 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.309834 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.413496 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.538906 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.716862 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.315876 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.912937 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.659228 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.667774 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.313674 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.307125 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.684504 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.055409 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.631012 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.453882 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.088026 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.431576 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.734794 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.001118 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.355244 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.612425 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.752673 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.261273 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.406075 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.330461 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.360096 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.018138 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.274816 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.936658 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.394932 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.705793 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.794941 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.593872 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.189073 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.461328 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.900636 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.568446 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.717650 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.075266 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.470396 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.841144 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.522911 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.393305 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.470970 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.755087 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.965658 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.452207 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.424310 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.065976 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.699037 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.372098 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.754682 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.395135 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.247464 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.384981 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.306409 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.786477 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.821921 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.846952 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.517390 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.311256 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.398125 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 697.15 S.D. = 5.9229 S.E.M. = 0.083762 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.473680 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.226681 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.806152 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 716.784944 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.132216 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.842278 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.947804 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.453636 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 721.131193 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.910030 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.658089 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.951491 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.441453 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.468004 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.216587 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.681205 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.151086 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.456590 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.721643 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.695784 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.833440 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.401512 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.171494 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.117947 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.970075 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.005025 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.087893 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.222036 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.999076 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.893220 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.246680 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.752049 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.271330 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.283391 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.582713 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.612464 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.517314 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.381927 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.983546 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.237314 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.176116 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.746554 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.124898 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.349292 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.440796 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.601872 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.246893 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.038773 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.583290 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.428679 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.781993 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.775727 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.043652 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.328552 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.993932 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.792152 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.326572 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.410585 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.691855 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.519657 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.101323 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.709110 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.611996 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.302556 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.476042 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.893496 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.543909 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.643280 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.505517 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.053264 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.858857 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.551986 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.472545 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.832224 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.205817 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.512536 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.392435 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.891299 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.882537 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.705072 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.114086 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.517006 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.311991 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.612962 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.822147 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.387636 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.108520 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.560863 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.625595 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.311253 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.609050 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.748387 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.477774 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.789098 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.332046 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.809891 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.899350 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.580830 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.916543 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.076025 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.806443 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.953106 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.337661 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.441360 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.159349 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.130861 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.362398 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.064081 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.798407 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.186270 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 721.76 S.D. = 5.2982 S.E.M. = 0.074928 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.564140 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 693.908342 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 693.427663 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 695.910886 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.161481 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 697.895749 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 703.326912 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 696.415933 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.580119 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 697.502487 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.404897 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.818403 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.706450 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.382723 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.971618 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.513813 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.032171 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.500328 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.322596 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.027435 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.342316 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.587122 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.835310 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.337867 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.971541 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.207243 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.814931 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.342026 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.110169 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.582126 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.199906 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.238549 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.388129 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.321710 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.532731 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.324207 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.638174 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.364637 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.478806 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.421845 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.776445 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.628162 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.686108 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.728609 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.216520 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.812761 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.820139 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.622604 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.728065 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.096814 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.333256 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.625811 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.092703 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.078137 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.135672 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.906678 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.853158 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.646447 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.714787 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.157219 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.359290 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.529871 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.760596 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.902532 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.769584 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.750506 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.514327 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.469973 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.804840 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.598829 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.144962 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.182388 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.761362 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.074676 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.863679 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.628450 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.126526 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.586386 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.555813 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.007105 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.619583 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.962468 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.674155 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.391266 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.507240 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.831706 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.176312 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.419179 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.517718 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.138919 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.046643 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.578314 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.446850 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.673394 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.909381 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.480026 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.691723 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.047268 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.616216 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.269014 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.838105 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.134650 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.693512 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.321508 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.956284 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.976706 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.553659 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.578900 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.959393 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.051216 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 697.70 S.D. = 4.0562 S.E.M. = 0.057363 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 687.901150 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 681.755958 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 684.360958 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 683.924876 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 684.968217 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 681.450791 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 690.611247 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 685.335655 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 685.658723 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.584688 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.109212 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.856566 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.032948 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.875896 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.089607 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.972844 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.980746 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.799642 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.718651 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.518675 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.366472 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.961321 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.763657 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.668823 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.001710 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.346011 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.765142 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.372999 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.316565 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.065271 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.070631 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.164697 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.742673 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.948820 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.529620 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.278732 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.897645 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.507300 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.402787 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.066399 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.170142 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.186990 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.184071 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.838248 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.773408 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.937296 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.182402 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.348655 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.852875 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.785449 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.016750 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.764456 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.021680 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.070110 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.665357 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.053697 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.970515 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.373303 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.156914 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.433307 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.598279 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.803211 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.140991 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.830322 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.299484 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.926060 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.874571 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.401071 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.892317 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.682436 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.238263 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.533239 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.993119 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.800649 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.613581 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.977805 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.567313 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.988422 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.143367 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.032670 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.144463 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.766774 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.084737 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.451015 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.328751 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.208106 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.110908 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.476089 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.792107 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.191670 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.342716 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.674793 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.614232 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.160898 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.653458 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.879909 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.836550 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.792894 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.142434 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.234971 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.166800 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.347056 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.779203 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.352393 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.909374 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.164492 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.630604 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.930519 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.048487 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.968104 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 687.75 S.D. = 5.7611 S.E.M. = 0.081475 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.589095 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 691.053477 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 691.869691 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 691.003513 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.712497 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.131569 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.497471 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.382913 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.681753 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.175813 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.020871 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.028775 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.919540 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.978641 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.124463 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.612541 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.793286 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.491725 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.391108 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.958783 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.830608 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.364454 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.341273 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.728001 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.689711 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.485566 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.338798 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.729189 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.160894 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.564674 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.589690 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.286938 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.563842 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.508164 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.152423 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.644543 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.779774 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.283662 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.891793 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.756682 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.713504 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.743124 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.605713 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.947355 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.748876 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.959358 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.912013 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.437803 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.993424 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.925959 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.500170 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.125264 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.920820 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.805812 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.738041 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.390213 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.221250 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.461459 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.658907 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.982097 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.361101 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.088957 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.600324 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.278908 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.010181 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.030779 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.450122 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.539121 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.962144 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.071812 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.797604 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.141961 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.867626 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.146100 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.863119 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.354547 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.276884 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.710488 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.344183 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.877741 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.162656 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.076346 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.193319 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.007544 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.509778 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.770503 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.755084 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.289585 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.126569 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.964381 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.769581 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.041466 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.639652 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.108531 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.599935 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.551518 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.213689 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.687548 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.772061 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.367746 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.435194 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.446423 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.228050 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.070500 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.564383 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.710533 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.913224 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.411586 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.023257 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.138924 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 693.92 S.D. = 2.1943 S.E.M. = 0.031032 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 690.889961 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 687.409841 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 687.695225 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 688.921201 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.498212 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 690.531191 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 694.923611 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 691.552169 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 692.032402 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 691.618270 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.834780 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.948440 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.691742 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.367231 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.610962 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.127539 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 684.648548 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.457428 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.293430 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.351727 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.622536 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.776311 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.979740 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.440708 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.922046 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.550796 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.391720 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.441435 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.070025 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.499692 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.615898 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.323066 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.131188 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.215531 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.494417 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.168025 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.521847 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.272504 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.716664 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.179708 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.956860 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.697326 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.784244 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.745511 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.622728 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.021605 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.204065 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.257769 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.000459 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.202444 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.428837 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.563769 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.546439 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.853649 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.118776 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.190835 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.044142 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.247870 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.418610 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.975770 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.052138 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.705100 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.805716 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.048905 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.360229 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.695531 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.646291 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.637690 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.403654 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.811094 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.209756 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.158669 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.920262 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 691.170623 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.505682 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.160181 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.418486 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.445737 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.573807 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.261252 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.597390 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.729949 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.341330 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.185082 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.064710 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.134926 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.674714 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.757997 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.495153 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.292426 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 690.556321 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.385700 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.081014 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.363623 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.607352 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.365036 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.715926 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.631747 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.776989 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.018751 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 692.875829 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.556247 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.598617 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.214489 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.512746 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.749444 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 693.776780 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.432570 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 688.930581 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 686.643203 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 691.42 S.D. = 3.9550 S.E.M. = 0.055933 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 673.763165 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 670.676039 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 670.590355 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 671.867530 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 677.023350 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 673.654949 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 680.197463 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 673.720326 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 675.776588 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 676.335704 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.427960 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.979046 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 668.934602 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.890549 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.346791 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 687.932936 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 667.912869 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.916834 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.052500 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.321030 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.251231 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.729162 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.724426 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 668.335767 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.697938 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.240775 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.506423 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.224598 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.638098 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.951072 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.519928 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.372242 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.341477 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.033643 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.826446 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.368843 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.225905 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 689.424878 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.512797 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.314525 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.155416 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.554451 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.695797 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.783061 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.168973 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.186870 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.633346 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.585420 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.798076 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.842128 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.654810 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.099269 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.403934 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.678702 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 674.451211 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.301462 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 685.284013 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.774323 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.050375 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.818607 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.799286 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.753168 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.127955 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.450777 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.801833 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.755041 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.325762 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.342526 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.706545 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.441741 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.825327 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.564997 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.067741 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.170034 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.761776 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 683.494671 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.143471 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 677.336344 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.850896 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 675.438337 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.310197 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 668.651897 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.909415 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.038808 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.957609 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.689705 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.448980 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.412801 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.799553 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.080695 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.724235 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 681.396136 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.363957 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.202184 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.985263 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.444461 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.147052 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.804983 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.688034 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 682.653885 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 676.827143 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 671.515814 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 678.204796 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 670.688511 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.859762 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 673.016540 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 680.374461 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 672.672994 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 679.759405 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 669.334537 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 674.60 S.D. = 4.0828 S.E.M. = 0.057739 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.248798 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 717.920250 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.240659 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.541199 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.398897 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.567535 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.314864 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.733368 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.948819 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.528911 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.895653 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.575260 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.637044 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.184862 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.038749 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.064248 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.424563 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.282245 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.678984 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.265025 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.329896 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.824506 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.367626 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.872806 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.509478 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.994271 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.736904 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.692551 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.069256 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.010716 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.753361 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.693994 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.352737 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.020387 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.762090 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.891057 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.403369 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.643720 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.791615 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.346255 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.180817 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.002055 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.140421 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.423472 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.144747 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.156763 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.736155 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.611526 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.549704 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.665677 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.564542 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.029848 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.631555 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.375606 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.045709 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.102998 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.481269 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.101922 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.925568 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.169021 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.663860 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.531684 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.339027 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.983816 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.733167 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.332372 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.799892 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.520192 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.048269 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.745171 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.898991 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.886450 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.776842 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.714869 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.132335 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.070447 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.034768 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.921223 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.425600 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.399044 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.681296 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.745102 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.370132 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.006665 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.346608 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.801842 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.508280 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.857284 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.723668 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.612126 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.588044 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.007521 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.554792 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.909187 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.477394 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.809632 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.026953 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.331391 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.505441 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.668884 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.171170 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.825304 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.553104 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.765346 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.007724 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.925323 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.235893 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.717094 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.423417 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.979702 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 724.42 S.D. = 5.0455 S.E.M. = 0.071354 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 711.929992 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 713.177744 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 719.562643 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.076657 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 718.981295 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 722.365244 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 720.539748 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 716.804281 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.390258 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 715.349899 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.678480 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.146458 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.786126 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.788528 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.784000 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.600754 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.531146 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.751627 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.965964 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.869373 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.134585 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.570607 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.399447 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.827691 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.167240 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.133871 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.318965 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.241770 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.622329 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.187986 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.178956 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.957122 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.091865 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.079231 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.777078 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.353282 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.948766 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.920971 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.484881 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.585316 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.810050 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.436853 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.884665 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.827813 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.420339 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.061393 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.069789 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.776352 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.536291 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.609294 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.917506 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.468215 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.372431 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.073536 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.427246 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.349545 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.890082 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.857680 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.767387 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.093627 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.424414 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.075520 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.284331 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.918654 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.518311 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.110868 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.159781 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.401091 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.001066 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.256335 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.196868 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.355904 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 713.030621 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.800293 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.395603 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.082612 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.744554 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.940754 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.221991 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.111738 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.336193 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 712.390736 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 714.804240 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.446335 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.559348 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.480460 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.786185 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.140015 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.976158 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 719.881965 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.103262 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.941269 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.081134 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.788072 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.778903 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.295865 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 717.601477 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.729594 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.152998 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.486683 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.036561 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.439787 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.907221 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 718.084641 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.116565 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 716.625252 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.351031 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.756307 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 720.274186 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.676438 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 718.84 S.D. = 4.0787 S.E.M. = 0.057682 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 730.769030 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 723.454031 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.467372 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 731.497618 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 724.907420 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 731.845944 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 731.974838 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 725.992644 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 728.820209 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 726.316211 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.316455 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.595295 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.435555 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.494328 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.539340 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 739.935777 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.482963 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.106873 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.529916 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.108462 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.537901 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.301754 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.289992 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.167742 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.065449 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.455413 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.208490 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.803884 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.219763 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.785980 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.631038 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.871290 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.915564 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.895866 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.433700 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.937021 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.517691 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.504714 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.400817 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.453794 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.970697 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.774552 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.845573 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.118598 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.673109 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.363890 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.719724 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.364278 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.896581 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.109109 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.431562 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.681493 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.623607 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.721807 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.787773 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.285591 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.306409 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.319721 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.487752 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.929970 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.841709 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.373035 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.299651 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.020105 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.717388 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.460687 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.043437 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.579982 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.159138 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.049631 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.069662 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.696884 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.174758 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.878489 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.872348 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.288871 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.103847 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.478220 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.141642 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.366906 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 721.539366 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.815674 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.695131 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.269044 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 729.015541 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.521469 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 737.490428 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.935288 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.303929 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.485941 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 722.728719 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 725.176494 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.021251 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 727.589422 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 734.863665 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.148020 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.150830 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 735.870239 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.573711 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 730.534167 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.006756 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 728.270830 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 733.390679 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 731.140447 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 724.354348 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 726.293635 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 736.106135 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.145852 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 732.549864 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 723.172712 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 730.20 S.D. = 4.0711 S.E.M. = 0.057574 ECHO 0 Execution completed /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Execution completed MLwiN is running, please wait...... /nogui option ignored ECHO 0 Echoing is ON BATC 1 Batch mode is ON MAXI 2 STAR iteration 0 iteration 1 Convergence achieved TOLE 2 MAXI 20 BATC 1 Batch mode is ON NEXT iteration 2 Convergence achieved ECHO 0 Echoing is ON MCMC 0 500 1 5.8 50 10 G30[1] G30[2] 1 1 1 1 1 1 Burning in for 50 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 699.714878 Burning in for 100 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 697.501367 Burning in for 150 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 698.953490 Burning in for 200 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.334411 Burning in for 250 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.194746 Burning in for 300 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 700.137625 Burning in for 350 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 706.567673 Burning in for 400 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 701.984859 Burning in for 450 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 702.411685 Burning in for 500 iterations out of 500 -2 * Loglike = 704.263133 ERAS G30 LINK 0 G30 ERAS c1090 c1091 MCMC 1 5000 1 c1090 c1091 c1003 c1004 1 1 Actual update 50 of 5000, Stored update 50 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.153081 Actual update 100 of 5000, Stored update 100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.079923 Actual update 150 of 5000, Stored update 150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.214688 Actual update 200 of 5000, Stored update 200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.568419 Actual update 250 of 5000, Stored update 250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.511498 Actual update 300 of 5000, Stored update 300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.029174 Actual update 350 of 5000, Stored update 350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.622879 Actual update 400 of 5000, Stored update 400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.059411 Actual update 450 of 5000, Stored update 450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.088407 Actual update 500 of 5000, Stored update 500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.800070 Actual update 550 of 5000, Stored update 550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.292953 Actual update 600 of 5000, Stored update 600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.633536 Actual update 650 of 5000, Stored update 650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.662017 Actual update 700 of 5000, Stored update 700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 694.949866 Actual update 750 of 5000, Stored update 750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.534421 Actual update 800 of 5000, Stored update 800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.752373 Actual update 850 of 5000, Stored update 850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.444589 Actual update 900 of 5000, Stored update 900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.838101 Actual update 950 of 5000, Stored update 950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.320375 Actual update 1000 of 5000, Stored update 1000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.898466 Actual update 1050 of 5000, Stored update 1050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.417854 Actual update 1100 of 5000, Stored update 1100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.347394 Actual update 1150 of 5000, Stored update 1150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.451828 Actual update 1200 of 5000, Stored update 1200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.769404 Actual update 1250 of 5000, Stored update 1250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.904988 Actual update 1300 of 5000, Stored update 1300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.127695 Actual update 1350 of 5000, Stored update 1350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.386992 Actual update 1400 of 5000, Stored update 1400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.409095 Actual update 1450 of 5000, Stored update 1450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.991433 Actual update 1500 of 5000, Stored update 1500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.243077 Actual update 1550 of 5000, Stored update 1550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.649791 Actual update 1600 of 5000, Stored update 1600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.483552 Actual update 1650 of 5000, Stored update 1650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.561418 Actual update 1700 of 5000, Stored update 1700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.377381 Actual update 1750 of 5000, Stored update 1750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.528689 Actual update 1800 of 5000, Stored update 1800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.320225 Actual update 1850 of 5000, Stored update 1850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.186891 Actual update 1900 of 5000, Stored update 1900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.735816 Actual update 1950 of 5000, Stored update 1950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.705512 Actual update 2000 of 5000, Stored update 2000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.389931 Actual update 2050 of 5000, Stored update 2050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.342309 Actual update 2100 of 5000, Stored update 2100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.411929 Actual update 2150 of 5000, Stored update 2150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.298834 Actual update 2200 of 5000, Stored update 2200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.272438 Actual update 2250 of 5000, Stored update 2250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.510587 Actual update 2300 of 5000, Stored update 2300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.886774 Actual update 2350 of 5000, Stored update 2350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.685388 Actual update 2400 of 5000, Stored update 2400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.333021 Actual update 2450 of 5000, Stored update 2450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.566226 Actual update 2500 of 5000, Stored update 2500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.906191 Actual update 2550 of 5000, Stored update 2550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.475101 Actual update 2600 of 5000, Stored update 2600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.170842 Actual update 2650 of 5000, Stored update 2650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.488294 Actual update 2700 of 5000, Stored update 2700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.048167 Actual update 2750 of 5000, Stored update 2750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.357298 Actual update 2800 of 5000, Stored update 2800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 708.660105 Actual update 2850 of 5000, Stored update 2850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.452153 Actual update 2900 of 5000, Stored update 2900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.697515 Actual update 2950 of 5000, Stored update 2950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.681681 Actual update 3000 of 5000, Stored update 3000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.033408 Actual update 3050 of 5000, Stored update 3050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.336903 Actual update 3100 of 5000, Stored update 3100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.267085 Actual update 3150 of 5000, Stored update 3150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.278054 Actual update 3200 of 5000, Stored update 3200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.877623 Actual update 3250 of 5000, Stored update 3250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.581304 Actual update 3300 of 5000, Stored update 3300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 710.202827 Actual update 3350 of 5000, Stored update 3350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.756206 Actual update 3400 of 5000, Stored update 3400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.363905 Actual update 3450 of 5000, Stored update 3450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.259330 Actual update 3500 of 5000, Stored update 3500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.409159 Actual update 3550 of 5000, Stored update 3550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.300776 Actual update 3600 of 5000, Stored update 3600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.819915 Actual update 3650 of 5000, Stored update 3650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.378799 Actual update 3700 of 5000, Stored update 3700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.591989 Actual update 3750 of 5000, Stored update 3750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 700.332163 Actual update 3800 of 5000, Stored update 3800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.147249 Actual update 3850 of 5000, Stored update 3850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 707.982909 Actual update 3900 of 5000, Stored update 3900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 702.604668 Actual update 3950 of 5000, Stored update 3950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.832434 Actual update 4000 of 5000, Stored update 4000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.711074 Actual update 4050 of 5000, Stored update 4050 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.429820 Actual update 4100 of 5000, Stored update 4100 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 706.899127 Actual update 4150 of 5000, Stored update 4150 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.972037 Actual update 4200 of 5000, Stored update 4200 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 696.400964 Actual update 4250 of 5000, Stored update 4250 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 709.673314 Actual update 4300 of 5000, Stored update 4300 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.212579 Actual update 4350 of 5000, Stored update 4350 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.771765 Actual update 4400 of 5000, Stored update 4400 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 704.179780 Actual update 4450 of 5000, Stored update 4450 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.749182 Actual update 4500 of 5000, Stored update 4500 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.142731 Actual update 4550 of 5000, Stored update 4550 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 705.955798 Actual update 4600 of 5000, Stored update 4600 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.430532 Actual update 4650 of 5000, Stored update 4650 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 703.699640 Actual update 4700 of 5000, Stored update 4700 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 697.095772 Actual update 4750 of 5000, Stored update 4750 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 699.654873 Actual update 4800 of 5000, Stored update 4800 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 698.448414 Actual update 4850 of 5000, Stored update 4850 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 715.932145 Actual update 4900 of 5000, Stored update 4900 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 701.995955 Actual update 4950 of 5000, Stored update 4950 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 711.837346 Actual update 5000 of 5000, Stored update 5000 of 5000 -2 * Loglike = 695.722202 PUPN c1003 c1004 AVER c1091 b99 b100 Count = 5000 Average = 701.56 S.D. = 4.4586 S.E.M. = 0.063055 ECHO 0 Execution completed > > aa <- sapply(1:ns, function(x) na.omit(stack(as.data.frame(IGLS_array[, , x])))$values) > counterIGLS <- rep(0, 3) > for (i in 1:ns) { + if (Actual[1] > aa[1, i] - 1.96 * sqrt(aa[4, i]) & Actual[1] < aa[1, i] + 1.96 * + sqrt(aa[4, i])) { + counterIGLS[1] <- counterIGLS[1] + 1 + } + if (Actual[2] > aa[2, i] - 1.96 * sqrt(aa[5, i]) & Actual[2] < aa[2, i] + 1.96 * + sqrt(aa[5, i])) { + counterIGLS[2] <- counterIGLS[2] + 1 + } + if (Actual[3] > aa[3, i] - 1.96 * sqrt(aa[6, i]) & Actual[3] < aa[3, i] + 1.96 * + sqrt(aa[6, i])) { + counterIGLS[3] <- counterIGLS[3] + 1 + } + } > Percent_interval_coverage <- (counterIGLS/ns) * 100 > Mean_across_simus <- round(c(mean(aa[1, ]), mean(aa[2, ]), mean(aa[3, ])), 2) > Percent_bias <- round(-100 * (1 - Mean_across_simus/Actual), 2) > IGLS_results <- cbind(Mean_across_simus, Actual, Percent_bias, Percent_interval_coverage) > rownames(IGLS_results) <- c("beta0", "sigma2_u", "sigma2_e") > Percent_interval_coverage <- (CounterMCMC/ns) * 100 > bb <- sapply(1:ns, function(x) na.omit(stack(as.data.frame(MCMC_array[, , x])))$values) > Mean_across_simus <- round(c(mean(bb[1, ]), mean(bb[2, ]), mean(bb[3, ])), 2) > Percent_bias <- round(-100 * (1 - Mean_across_simus/Actual), 2) > MCMC_results <- cbind(Mean_across_simus, Actual, Percent_bias, Percent_interval_coverage) > rownames(MCMC_results) <- c("beta0", "sigma2_u", "sigma2_e") > > > cat("Simulation results using IGLS\n");IGLS_results Simulation results using IGLS Mean_across_simus Actual Percent_bias Percent_interval_coverage beta0 29.78 30 -0.73 87 sigma2_u 8.12 10 -18.80 77 sigma2_e 40.70 40 1.75 93 > cat("Simulation results using MCMC\n");MCMC_results Simulation results using MCMC Mean_across_simus Actual Percent_bias Percent_interval_coverage beta0 29.74 30 -0.87 92 sigma2_u 14.79 10 47.90 89 sigma2_e 42.17 40 5.43 97 > > Mean_across_simus <- round(c(mean(MCMC_median$RP2_var_Intercept), mean(MCMC_median$RP1_var_Intercept)), + 2) > Actual <- tail(Actual, -1) > Percent_bias <- round(-100 * (1 - Mean_across_simus/Actual), 2) > Percent_interval_coverage <- tail(Percent_interval_coverage, -1) > MCMC_results2 <- cbind(Mean_across_simus, Actual, Percent_bias, Percent_interval_coverage) > rownames(MCMC_results2) <- c("sigma2_u", "sigma2_e") > cat("Simulation results based on median MCMC estimates\n");MCMC_results2 Simulation results based on median MCMC estimates Mean_across_simus Actual Percent_bias Percent_interval_coverage sigma2_u 9.83 10 -1.70 89 sigma2_e 41.57 40 3.93 97 > > > proc.time() user system elapsed 38.01 19.07 726.50